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5-10 years... "biglawyers" = lamplighters out of work
| mildly autistic gaping associate | 07/18/25 |
| nubile feces | 07/18/25 |
| mildly autistic gaping associate | 07/18/25 |
| aqua kitchen trust fund | 07/18/25 |
| mildly autistic gaping associate | 07/18/25 |
| Flirting stage | 07/18/25 |
| hairraiser den newt | 07/18/25 |
| Razzle-dazzle space athletic conference | 07/18/25 |
| Bearded Orange Idea He Suggested | 07/18/25 |
| Razzle-dazzle space athletic conference | 07/18/25 |
| Disgusting Internal Respiration Weed Whacker | 07/18/25 |
| Bearded Orange Idea He Suggested | 07/18/25 |
| maroon electric furnace | 07/19/25 |
| 180 brilliant trailer park halford | 07/18/25 |
| Cobalt Area | 07/18/25 |
| mildly autistic gaping associate | 07/18/25 |
| thirsty violent lodge pistol | 07/18/25 |
| medicated gunner | 07/18/25 |
| mildly autistic gaping associate | 07/18/25 |
| Excitant demanding knife center | 07/18/25 |
| marvelous international law enforcement agency | 07/18/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/18/25 |
| marvelous international law enforcement agency | 07/18/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/18/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/18/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/18/25 |
| marvelous international law enforcement agency | 07/18/25 |
| Beta home | 07/18/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/19/25 |
| startled stead pocket flask | 07/19/25 |
| Navy Theater Stage Voyeur | 07/19/25 |
| curious jewess rehab | 07/18/25 |
| Transparent Confused Chad Sex Offender | 07/19/25 |
| fiercely-loyal theater | 07/18/25 |
| Rambunctious tattoo | 07/18/25 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 18th, 2025 4:16 AM Author: mildly autistic gaping associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111109) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 4:23 AM Author: nubile feces God willing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111113) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM Author: mildly autistic gaping associate Inshallah (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111128) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM Author: aqua kitchen trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49112809) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:49 PM Author: mildly autistic gaping associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113496) |
Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM Author: Flirting stage nickel endimed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111131) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 6:33 AM Author: hairraiser den newt What happens next though?
Clearly we still have lawyers and law firms, but perhaps the firm headcount drops to 10% the current headcount, and AI/software picks up the slack.
In that world, is the firm owned by just a handful of partners? Do law firms start to act like lean software companies? When does a U.S. firm IPO?
The counterpoint btw is that we just do a lot more work that was prohibitively expensive before. For example, I probably see 25+ cease and desist letters for every lawsuit, because letters cost $5-10k and lawsuits cost $100k to initiate and $5M+ to litigate through summary judgment. If cost of litigation drops [80%] people may file many more lawsuits. There could be an analogous dynamic on the corporate/business side. |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:00 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle space athletic conference Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling me virtually every day because their "friend" cheated them out of $300 or something. I tell them it doesn't make financial sense to pursue that and they start crying. There's a big untapped market out there for adjudicating squabbles among proles. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111342) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:28 AM Author: Bearded Orange Idea He Suggested What is the bulk of your business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111384) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:43 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle space athletic conference The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions, construction disputes, zoning issues. Tons of lawsuits over exactly who owns some piece of land, often with a rotting mobile home sitting on it. Average client expenditure is about $3000, but that varies wildly. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111405) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:54 AM Author: Disgusting Internal Respiration Weed Whacker lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111430) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:15 AM Author: Bearded Orange Idea He Suggested 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111461) |
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Date: July 19th, 2025 7:10 AM Author: maroon electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113902) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:19 AM Author: 180 brilliant trailer park halford prole squabbles, llp (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111464) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:46 AM Author: Cobalt Area UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologies)for the technologists or corporations replacing people with chatbots needs to be scrutinized and tracked ASAP to start determining the amount owed to the american citizenry it's critical |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM Author: mildly autistic gaping associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113498) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:56 PM Author: thirsty violent lodge pistol how about we just have billionaires who "lord" over us and poors who you could say serve or maybe "serf" them and then anyone who doesn't go along with this gets to die (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113524) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:47 AM Author: medicated gunner Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money as soon as you fucking can (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111417) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM Author: mildly autistic gaping associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113499) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:50 AM Author: Excitant demanding knife center I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impressed. It helps, it certainly makes us more productive, but major reductions in headcount? Also, everyone keeps saying wait another year. But we’re a couple of years in and the capabilities (at least as applied to law) seem about the same. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111420) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:57 AM Author: marvelous international law enforcement agency I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capabilities have skyrocketed over the past two years and there's no reason that wouldn't apply to law if it applies subjects that are at least as complex. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111435) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:33 AM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there’s no objectively correct answer unlike coding or whatever. Here’s a better explanation why law is harder to master for AI than coding.
Coding is governed by strict syntax and deterministic rules. A given input in a programming language will always produce the same output if the code is correct. • Legal analysis involves ambiguous language, conflicting authorities, policy tradeoffs, and context-sensitive reasoning—skills that require human judgment and real-world understanding.
AI has been trained on massive open-source code repositories like GitHub, with clear labels, documentation, and results. This data is abundant, consistent, and high-quality. • Legal data is more fragmented: • Case law is often behind paywalls. • Court decisions may be long, inconsistent, or involve complex procedural postures. • Outcomes are not always “correct” or universally agreed upon.
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:34 AM Author: marvelous international law enforcement agency Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro can absolutely handle textual nuance and complex questions. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111500) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:44 AM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucinations or misstatements of the law. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111526) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 11:24 AM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex logic, unlike coding, there’s no single correct answer to the important questions that get litigated, the legal background is often contradictory and nuanced so you can’t just train it easily. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111634) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:04 PM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur Coping fag hello (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111710) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:10 PM Author: marvelous international law enforcement agency You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to generate responses when there isn't an objectively correct answer, there isn't much else to say. If anything law being subjective bullshit will make it easier to automate. When I deal with ai skeptics these days I mostly just wait for reality to prove them wrong. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111715) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM Author: Beta home Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to replace paralegals and juniors to have an enormous impact, which it pretty much already has (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49112807) |
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Date: July 19th, 2025 7:23 AM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of saying “I’m just wrong” with no explanation? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113912) |
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Date: July 19th, 2025 7:26 AM Author: startled stead pocket flask Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argument to the answer it just gave you
(delete the em dash next time you retard) |
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Date: July 19th, 2025 2:45 PM Author: Navy Theater Stage Voyeur Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law products are pretty shit for any complex practice.
No doubt that people who rely on making money through teams of 20 paralegals filling out forms and doing rote tasks will change a lot but automating such repetitive thoughtless tasks is entirely different than writing a compelling brief based on nuanced and complex facts in an uncertain area of law.
It most likely will be similar to how word processing eliminated a lot of support positions. |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:58 AM Author: curious jewess rehab OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111438) |
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Date: July 19th, 2025 1:33 AM Author: Transparent Confused Chad Sex Offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113713) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:23 AM Author: fiercely-loyal theater I wish. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111468) |
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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:24 PM Author: Rambunctious tattoo Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. Add on top that people using it are dumber. All AI is going to do is maybe help the few smart people left do stuff (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111741) |