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Boomers finally trick will be popping the AI bubble

They're overleveraged so when the bubble bursts, millennials...
Vivacious Trailer Park
  11/04/25
and you'll still be unmarried with no kids and renting in mi...
Drunken shimmering shrine
  11/04/25
this is actually the optimistic take. the more likely outcom...
Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler
  11/04/25
I'm not entirely convinced this doesn't work out horribly fo...
Vivacious Trailer Park
  11/04/25
seems like it will likely be either be the worst or best thi...
Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler
  11/04/25
Wouldn't discount the possibility of a Wall-E style future. ...
Orchid high-end twinkling uncleanness stead
  11/04/25
AI will develop a mega virus with a three-month incubation t...
Vivacious Trailer Park
  11/04/25
Poasted from my OpenAI People Mover(TM)
Orchid high-end twinkling uncleanness stead
  11/04/25
Any day now huh
cordovan exciting partner
  11/04/25
obviously we don't know when but the large scale Blackwell d...
Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler
  11/04/25
I agree with you on the 10 years estimation. That's uh, quit...
cordovan exciting partner
  11/04/25
10 years would be longer than i expect at this point. 2-3 ye...
Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler
  11/04/25
so many asset bubbles to choose from--
well-lubricated supple sanctuary
  11/04/25
...
Purple Point
  11/04/25
when the party's over, the mad dash for the exits will be an...
well-lubricated supple sanctuary
  11/04/25
you know nothing of Ontology.
tan property
  11/04/25
2026 = being and nothingness in real time
well-lubricated supple sanctuary
  11/04/25
That’s why I’ve blown all my money on hookers an...
Purple Point
  11/04/25
no itll be some ubereats/doordash "meals on wheels"...
Godawful dashing home
  11/04/25


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Date: November 4th, 2025 12:55 PM
Author: Vivacious Trailer Park

They're overleveraged so when the bubble bursts, millennials will be on the hook to clean up the mess and give their parents the retirements they earned. Millennials will wind up with less than nothing and will become the equivalent of Gen X.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401200)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 12:57 PM
Author: Drunken shimmering shrine

and you'll still be unmarried with no kids and renting in michigan

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401209)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 12:59 PM
Author: Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler

this is actually the optimistic take. the more likely outcome is that compute and data scaling continues to produce better model performance, some time soon AI agent based coding models will be broadly capable of autonomous long-horizon AI research, AI progress accelerates even more, AGI is created and then we will are all dependent on the generosity of tech companies for our livelihoods.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401213)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:01 PM
Author: Vivacious Trailer Park

I'm not entirely convinced this doesn't work out horribly for humanity. Luckily I'm the type who can and will survive anything, so when the collapse occurs, I'll thrive.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401222)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:04 PM
Author: Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler

seems like it will likely be either be the worst or best thing for humanity. whatever happens, the normal state of affairs can't last long.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401225)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:06 PM
Author: Orchid high-end twinkling uncleanness stead

Wouldn't discount the possibility of a Wall-E style future. I think it's genuinely the most directionally correct vision of where we're going

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401231)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:07 PM
Author: Vivacious Trailer Park

AI will develop a mega virus with a three-month incubation time during which it's extremely transmissible. After incubation, its payload will only kill straight white males because they are what's wrong with society.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401237)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:08 PM
Author: Orchid high-end twinkling uncleanness stead

Poasted from my OpenAI People Mover(TM)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401239)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:13 PM
Author: cordovan exciting partner

Any day now huh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401252)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:21 PM
Author: Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler

obviously we don't know when but the large scale Blackwell datacenters that are still being built (and Rubin soon enough) are going to continue to drive progress. plausibly we could be looking at AI coding agents being capable of completing month long SWE tasks in 2 to 3 years based on this:

https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

i wouldn't bet on it taking longer than 10 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401270)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:24 PM
Author: cordovan exciting partner

I agree with you on the 10 years estimation. That's uh, quite a bit longer than 2-3 years though!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401276)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 8:01 PM
Author: Indecent Smoky Temple Deer Antler

10 years would be longer than i expect at this point. 2-3 years is plausible given that the labs are not publishing everything they are doing. regardless, 10 years is still pretty soon for what is likely going to be the most transformative technology of all time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49402271)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:00 PM
Author: well-lubricated supple sanctuary

so many asset bubbles to choose from--

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401218)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:02 PM
Author: Purple Point



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401223)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:07 PM
Author: well-lubricated supple sanctuary

when the party's over, the mad dash for the exits will be an historico-ontological event

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401236)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:09 PM
Author: tan property

you know nothing of Ontology.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401240)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:11 PM
Author: well-lubricated supple sanctuary

2026 = being and nothingness in real time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401246)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:09 PM
Author: Purple Point

That’s why I’ve blown all my money on hookers and booze

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401241)



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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:13 PM
Author: Godawful dashing home

no itll be some ubereats/doordash "meals on wheels" program paid for by the federal government for people over 80 starting in 15 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2/#49401255)