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Have US elections experts explained Biden losing all Bellwether counties yet?
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Date: January 27th, 2022 10:51 AM Author: bearded racy space filthpig And still winning the election? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#43855744) |
Date: May 11th, 2024 10:59 AM Author: slap-happy patrolman stead https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1788996823786615129
i've saved this analysis because i expect the bellwethers to return to normal by 2028. not sure about 2024 because election gaming seems to still be rampant. |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:01 AM Author: lavender comical pit Wasn't there tons of ballot harvesting and at home voting? Both are legal, both mobilize massive numbers of urban poor who might otherwise not vote. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653338) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:03 AM Author: Carnelian friendly grandma Most of these counties don’t have “urban poor.” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653344) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:06 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur yes, Trump was an historically shitty candidate and everyone knew it. republicans nominated him anyway and the rest is history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653347) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:08 AM Author: Carnelian friendly grandma This doesn’t explain the bellwether counties you idiot. You suck at political science (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653348) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:09 AM Author: Yellow Lay There’s been lots of analysis on it. Give it a read!
Did cons ever explain why every single “audit” revealed jack shit? Do you guys even remember the cyber ninjas? 😉 |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: Carnelian friendly grandma Nobody wants to touch stolen election shenanigans with a 1000 ft pole. It’s like using nuclear weapons or something. But most of it was just the mail-in voting thing imo. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653355) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur yes, it does. Trump’s polling v Biden was atrocious for three years:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden
never has a party nominated such a terrible candidate. things like “bellwethers” only matter when the candidates are of similar strength
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM Author: Carnelian friendly grandma They “mattered” in 1984, 1988, 1996 when the Losing candidate got destroyed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653358) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur Voters are uniquely disgusted by Trump though. only his cult members like him (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653359) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM Author: slap-happy patrolman stead that statement couldn't be more incorrect. bellwethers are bellwethers because they predict in close contests and routs alike.
if your claims about Trump were true, Biden would have won the bellwethers. |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:15 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur black voter turnout is not normally as high as it was though. mail in voting meant more eligible blacks voted than ever before so you can’t compare to elections where blacks didn’t vote as much (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653364) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:23 AM Author: slap-happy patrolman stead you and i are now circling back the same point: industrial harvesting of ballots in a few urban centers was the difference. most of it was illegal and none of it aligned with voter interest. the consent of the governed is now missing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653379) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:24 AM Author: Amber seedy cruise ship Chill with the antisemitism. This isn't a karlstack website (he hates and fellates Jews). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653383) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur “harvesting” is just a racist code word that means “blacks voting”
you guys hate it when blacks vote |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:32 AM Author: Amber seedy cruise ship Yeah sure. I remember reading about poor disenfranchised black women and nyslimes buried the fact black women with out a college degree vote at twice the rate of white men without a college degree. Where is the get out the white vote initiatives? Is Soros funding that? I only vote in local elections. Also voted for Obama in 08. Haven't done a national election since then. Black women are your consistency and have probably an 80 IQ. Lol and they voted for pedo Biden like slaves. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653396) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:37 AM Author: maroon swashbuckling point voyeur If it was as simple as “harvesting ballots” you guys would have been harvesting trailer parks for years but you don’t because you know that’s not the reason you lose (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653408) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM Author: Shimmering institution yeah they dumped tens of thousands of Biden "ballots" at 3am and he "won" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653353) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:12 AM Author: Carnelian friendly grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653356) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM Author: slap-happy patrolman stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653363) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:17 AM Author: Amber seedy cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653368) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:47 AM Author: Contagious Famous Landscape Painting Juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653422) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:25 AM Author: Duck-like Den bellweathers change (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653385) |
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Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: talented pearl cumskin ? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653390) |