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Predict immediate market reaction if Trump fires Powell
Poast new message in this thread
Date: April 19th, 2025 8:05 PM Author: glittery thirsty pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48863539) |
Date: April 19th, 2025 8:08 PM Author: Well-lubricated meetinghouse Libs and Jews will sperg out in the media for a few days and then everyone will forget it ever happened
The same thing that happens every time anything happens. Why would this be any different |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 8:43 AM Author: Cracking embarrassed to the bone parlor circlehead You are all remarkably stupid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864171) |
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Date: April 19th, 2025 8:12 PM Author: Mewling beady-eyed candlestick maker Nothing ever happens (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48863548) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 8:37 AM Author: glittery thirsty pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864163) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 8:38 AM Author: Odious location epic crash and bonds yields wld go thru roof as foreigners flee (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864166) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 2:00 PM Author: Charcoal garrison philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864580) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 2:26 PM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal i'm guessing 30-60% crash from here
that's when i start loading up |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 1:21 PM Author: glittery thirsty pervert https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/C8Enbn5U9G (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864503) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 1:23 PM Author: bistre insane range Up 6% in one day. Indicates a much higher probability of several rate cuts later this year. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864505) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 1:23 PM Author: motley lavender cruise ship DXY goes to zero in a day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864508) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 1:57 PM Author: swashbuckling step-uncle's house pozpig Biggest issue is that no one reputable will want to be the person named to replace him. Navarro or some Republican lifer at treasury would be the top 2 candidates. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864572) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 2:06 PM Author: Charcoal garrison philosopher-king markets would expect tons of rate cuts. stocks rip straight up. bond yields would normally fall with rate cuts, but here there would be panic as foreigners sell off and speculators expect devaluation of the USD. as a result bond yields rise and prices fall. gold rips up. implications to the bond market stuff unknown but likely bad, big risk that something unexpected breaks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864592) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 2:27 PM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal why would stocks rip straight up? nobody would be buying US stocks unless it's a literal short term pump and dump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864624) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 4:34 PM Author: Charcoal garrison philosopher-king lower interest rates increases profits short term, and stock prices are the sum of all future cash flows discounted to the present moment (with current period earnings having the largest impact, due to interest drag/decay over time). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864833) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 1:20 AM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal nobody would have any confidence in the us market unelss there's an independent fed
i certainly am not buying back in if he fires powell. |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 9:31 AM Author: Charcoal garrison philosopher-king appreciate your perspective. and i agree, that could totally happen. my analysis might be a little too dry, while the market may react to JP getting fired with massive loss of confidence/negative sentiment/fear (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48866377) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 2:25 PM Author: dashing university I guarantee you the bond market will freak out, and not just a passing concern. Why wouldn't it? Would be a signal that we aren't even remotely concerned with financial responsibility. I wouldn't want to buy the debt of a country like that without a big yield premium. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48864618) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 1:20 AM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865777) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 6:30 PM Author: Hairraiser sapphire gunner center Market would go up because it would correctly assume whoever replaces Powell will lower rates. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865050) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 6:32 PM Author: Odious location lol the market wld have no furking faith in the US entire economic system without an independent fed. "lower rates" isnt going to furking change that, it becomes like turkey where the faggot dictator interefered with their independnece (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865056) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 1:19 AM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865773) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 6:40 PM Author: Flushed misunderstood shitlib school cafeteria The new guy might have 0.25-0.50% of influence and for that the US would experience instant capital flight and become a stagflating South American economy within 10 years (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865069) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 10:20 PM Author: Adventurous hall gaping bonds would crater and inflation expectations would be 70s level (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865506) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 9:33 AM Author: glittery thirsty pervert The other FOMC members won’t vote to raise rates just because Trump’s pick for chair wants them to (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48866386) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 6:42 PM Author: Cracking embarrassed to the bone parlor circlehead Immediate crash in bond markets and equities. Trump is delusional if he thinks he can make investors tired his “leadership”-tariffs have killed any economic credibility he has permanently. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865074) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 1:19 AM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865770) |
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Date: April 20th, 2025 10:18 PM Author: vermilion school Circuit breaker-level drop in markets. The promise of stability is half the value. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865503) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 1:19 AM Author: Fragrant ocher turdskin sneaky criminal cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48865769) |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 9:34 AM Author: Diverse gaming laptop pit Market crashes over 1000 points within an hour. Crashes another 1000 by end of day, potential circuit breaker situation. Global markets crash wildly. US Markets enter prolonged crash over the course of 3 months, until they are at about 30% of current value. At that point hedge funds and billionaires sweep in and buy the discounts, bringing it to 60% current value.
Also causes a real estate market collapse, particularly in weak/soft markets like Texas and Florida. Unemployment skyrockets to 10%. Democrats flip house by a wide margin in 2026 and immediately begin impeachment proceedings. |
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Date: April 21st, 2025 12:42 PM Author: vermilion school Stocks and bonds would likely sell off sharply if President Donald Trump makes a move to get rid of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Evercore ISI vice president Krishna Guha said Monday. “If you start to raise questions about Federal Reserve independence, you are raising the bar for the Federal Reserve to cut. If you actually did try to remove the Federal Reserve chairman, I think you would see a severe reaction in markets with yields higher, dollars lower and equities selling off. I can’t believe that that’s what the administration is trying to achieve,” Guha told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” The comments come after Trump criticized Powell again last week, calling for the central banker to lower interest rates. White House adviser Kevin Hassett also said that the president’s team is exploring the possibility of removing Powell from office . Trump regularly criticized the Fed during his first stint in the White House, even after he appointed Powell to the head role. The idea that Trump would try to fire Powell has been frequently speculated about, in part due to the president’s harsh public comments. When asked about this possibility last year, Powell said he doesn’t believe the president can legally remove the Fed Chair. One way the president could pressure Powell without firing him is to make it clear publicly who he plans to install as Fed Chair when the seat opens next year, allowing this “shadow Fed Chair” to indicate to markets that interest rates will be cut once Powell is gone. However, Guha said that such a move would be “not a great idea” for the White House. “It’s strongly in the administration’s interest to take a deep breath and let Fed Chair Powell run things for the remainder of his term. That’s the best shot at keeping inflation expectations well anchored, keeping bond yields well behaved, and allowing the Fed to cut without causing real problems in markets,” he added. Trump’s comments last week appeared to be weighing on U.S. assets, with the dollar hitting its lowest level in three years on Monday.
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Date: April 21st, 2025 12:46 PM Author: vermilion school "Powell removed in 2025" only trades at 19 cents on Polymarket. But market selloff today is partly just on the idea being seriously discussed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5713392&forum_id=2#48866996) |