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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
big degenerate cruise ship
  10/05/26
...
wonderful hideous partner mad-dog skullcap
  10/05/26
...
laughsome outnumbered place of business theater stage
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
comical bisexual rigor sanctuary
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
Gold federal affirmative action
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
...
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
bateful library wagecucks
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
tan background story church
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
tan background story church
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
big degenerate cruise ship
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
tan background story church
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
big degenerate cruise ship
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Fragrant yarmulke
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
tan background story church
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
fluffy maize menage useless brakes
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Fragrant yarmulke
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Filthy Foreskin
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
iridescent shitlib
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: tan background story church

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: big degenerate cruise ship

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: wonderful hideous partner mad-dog skullcap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: laughsome outnumbered place of business theater stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: tan background story church

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: comical bisexual rigor sanctuary

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: tan background story church

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: tan background story church

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: Gold federal affirmative action

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: tan background story church

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: tan background story church

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: bateful library wagecucks

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: tan background story church

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: tan background story church

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: tan background story church

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: big degenerate cruise ship

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: tan background story church

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: big degenerate cruise ship

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Fragrant yarmulke

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: tan background story church

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: fluffy maize menage useless brakes

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Fragrant yarmulke

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Filthy Foreskin

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: iridescent shitlib

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)