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Julia can you solve this IQ problem?
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Date: October 6th, 2014 11:30 AM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king Link: http://io9.com/can-you-solve-the-hardest-logic-puzzle-in-the-world-1642492269?utm_source=recirculation&utm_medium=recirculation&utm_campaign=mondayAM
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You visit a remote desert island inhabited by one hundred very friendly dragons, all of whom have green eyes. They haven't seen a human for many centuries and are very excited about your visit. They show you around their island and tell you all about their dragon way of life (dragons can talk, of course).
They seem to be quite normal, as far as dragons go, but then you find out something rather odd. They have a rule on the island which states that if a dragon ever finds out that he/she has green eyes, then at precisely midnight on the day of this discovery, he/she must relinquish all dragon powers and transform into a long-tailed sparrow. However, there are no mirrors on the island, and they never talk about eye color, so the dragons have been living in blissful ignorance throughout the ages.
Upon your departure, all the dragons get together to see you off, and in a tearful farewell you thank them for being such hospitable dragons. Then you decide to tell them something that they all already know (for each can see the colors of the eyes of the other dragons). You tell them all that at least one of them has green eyes. Then you leave, not thinking of the consequences (if any). Assuming that the dragons are (of course) infallibly logical, what happens?
If something interesting does happen, what exactly is the new information that you gave the dragons?" |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:35 AM Author: hot frisky legal warrant remember how badly sealclubber trolled me here? lol im dumb (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136746) |
Date: October 6th, 2014 12:00 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker not Julia, but there are at least two reasons why nothing happens (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466014) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:02 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker You're very, very stupid. Every dragon with green eyes will realize they have green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466033) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:11 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker not just very stupid, but very, very stupid, huh? assuming you're right, which you aren't, then what happens? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:19 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker deleted; waiting on julia (and genius reptile sealclubber!) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466139) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:26 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466187) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:27 PM Author: anal mahogany codepig digit ratio delete that till later. we want to see julia answer. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466193) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:28 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot She hasn't responded to a thread with her name in the title for an hour.
She's either furiously googling for the correct answer or is not going to respond to "XO aspie manchildren" |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:27 PM Author: Crimson curious space nice (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466195) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:28 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault This all makes sense to me, but one thing I'm not sure of is what "new information" you gave the dragons as you were leaving the island. They already knew at least one of them has green eyes, yet somebody had to tell them that before the transformation cascade was set off. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466197) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:29 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot I thought they had forgot what color "green" was? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466201) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:31 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Nah, they're quite explicit that there's nothing lateral about the puzzle. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466208) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:31 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yeah, I was puzzling over this a bit too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466206) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:40 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home very troubling (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466268) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:39 PM Author: Nudist Jewess odd case (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467180) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:43 PM Author: Crawly preventive strike the new information is that now they know that *everyone else* knows that there is at least 1 dragon w/ green eyes
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:44 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker how is that new? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466303) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:45 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault That's not new at all. Every dragon knows that every other dragon sees at least 98 green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466309) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:46 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker this is one reason nothing happens. no new information was given to the dragons. two more |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:47 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker lol. Sealclubber, ladies and gents. XO Reptile. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466323) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:43 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker fuck Julia. what did you write? i was referring to the first question the second question of the riddle is flawed, but again nothing happens there is a third reason nothing happens, too |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:46 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker It's because you're so self-assured despite evidence that you're not very smart. Many XOers fall prey to this.
Okay. Put yourself in the mind of a green-eyed dragon. We know you're perfectly logical and will make all available deductions from all available evidence, which you will gather without any mistakes. We also know you and all other dragons now know that there is at least one green-eyed dragon.
1. First, say there are no other green-eyed dragons. Since you know there is at least one, it must be you. You will turn into a sparrow at midnight.
2. Next, say there is only one other green-eyed dragon. If that dragon didn't turn into a sparrow at midnight on the first day, despite being perfectly logical and rule-following, you know he saw another green-eyed dragon. You can see all the other dragons and none of them have green eyes. So you must be the second. The two of you turn into sparrows at midnight on the second day.
3. Well, say there are three. If you only see two and they didn't turn into sparrows at midnight on the second day, you know they saw a third and you're the only option left, similar to above.
. . .
x. If you see x-1 dragons with green eyes but nobody turned into a sparrow on the x-1th day, you know there are actually x dragons with green eyes and that you're one of them. On the xth day, at midnight, you will turn into a sparrow along with the x-1 perfectly logical dragons you see.
This would have been more deftly explained recursively, but that's harder in English (as opposed to in code). |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:50 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker 1 doesn't apply. every dragon knows that every other dragon has green eyes 2 you're still flawed, but i'll hold off on this one you don't understand the riddle so you are making stupid assumptions, ass fuck |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:50 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 12:50 PM Author: sealclubber
1 doesn't apply. every dragon knows that every other dragon has green eyes
2 you're still flawed, but i'll hold off on this one
you don't understand the riddle so you are making stupid assumptions, ass fuck |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:52 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker you are just making yourself look foolish read this and tell me what it means to you "if a dragon ever finds out that he/she has green eyes" now, tell me how the person changed anything for the dragons? we're still not done, btw |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:53 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 12:52 PM Author: sealclubber
you are just making yourself look foolish
read this and tell me what it means to you "if a dragon ever finds out that he/she has green eyes"
now, tell me how the person changed anything for the dragons?
we're still not done, btw |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:02 PM Author: Crawly preventive strike u sound dumb but here goes
before the hiepo, no dragon knew for 100% certainty what eye color it had. the other dragons will never tell him and there are no mirrors and shit (i think tht's part of the hiepo). so prior to the dude coming to the island, a dragon will never turn into a sparrow
now, for simplicity's sake imagine there are only 2 dragons on the island. both dragons have green eyes but they don't know their own eye color, only the other dragon's. now, the dude says, one of you has green eyes. each dragon imagines it's the other dragon (b/c they don't know they have green eyes themselves, and they know for sure the other dragon has green eyes). so each dragon expects the other dragon to turn into a sparrow. the next day, when neither dragon has turned into the sparrow, each dragon realizes that the OTHER dragon expected it to turn because it has green eyes, ie they both have green eyes. so on day 2, both have to turn into sparrows
repeat for 3 dragons - dragon A will look at B and C, knows they have green eyes, and will expect them to both turn into sparrows (A thinks he does not have green eyes). B will look at A and C and expect the same, C will look at A and B. so on day one, none of them will change. So A will think - "why didn't B or C change? B doesn't know his eye color so he would have expected C to change. C doesn't know his eye color so he would have expected B to change. (remember A thinks he is not green)." so similar to the 2 dragon hypo, on day 2 both B and C should change (because if A was really not green eyed, B and C would realize it was just the two of them). when they don't, A realizes, oh shit, they didn't change because i am green eyed as well. so o nday 3, all 3 change
repeat for 100 dragons
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:04 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot oh. fuck my ass. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466446) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:05 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king tcr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466449) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:05 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Nice, definitely clearer than mine. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466450) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:09 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king Julia's entrance to this thread in 5.....4.......3.... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466466) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:09 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker thanks. no dragon knows what color eyes it has now with 100% accuracy. because they are logically infallible, they will never inquire. they have no incentive to know. what they know is that no dragon can be 100% sure unless someone tells them. [edit: and what the human said, did not tell them anything new] "expects the other dragon to turn into a sparrow" wrong. it doesn't matter what color your eyes are, it only matters if you know what color your eyes are. if you are perfectly logical and assume your eyes are the same color as everyone else's, you will never want to know what color your eyes are and you will never tell anyone what color their eyes are in case they do the same to you. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:10 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 1:09 PM Author: sealclubber
thanks.
no dragon knows what color eyes it has now with 100% accuracy. because they are logically infallible, they will never inquire. they have no incentive to know. what they know is that no dragon can be 100% sure unless someone tells them.
"expects the other dragon to turn into a sparrow" wrong. it doesn't matter what color your eyes are, it only matters if you know what color your eyes are. if you are perfectly logical and assume your eyes are the same color as everyone else's, you will never want to know what color your eyes are and you will never tell anyone what color their eyes are in case they do the same to you. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:10 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot ...........................................................................................dude. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466478) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:15 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker What's amazing to me is not that he failed to understand or solve the riddle (stupid) or that he thought he knew what was going on (hubris), it's that he tried to apply completely foreign principles like "interests" and "incentives" to it. It's as if some shitlib read it and said "Well, the green-eyed dragons are obviously an oppressed group. We need to organize a rally for green-eyed bodies. This riddle seems patriarchal.", etc. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466505) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:20 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Yeah.
Yeah.
That was precisely my thought too.
TBF, I'm a math dood so I'm used to logic (though I thought/think it's stupid and therefore gave up on it), but still...the hubris is pretty bad combined with his complete lack of knowledge in this area. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:27 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker alright math guy when do the dragons turn? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:28 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Dude, I'm not going to re-explain when there are two very cogent descriptions. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466595) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:29 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker the dragons can't turn based on the riddle's parameters (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466599) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:30 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Parameters, huh? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466605) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:30 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Dude, just give up, it's a stupid question but you are pwning yourself really hard in here. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466606) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:32 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker when do they turn? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466622) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:34 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king " then at precisely midnight on the day of this discovery, he/she must relinquish all dragon powers and transform into a long-tailed sparrow" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466630) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:36 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker yeah, and midnight starts a day, doesn't end it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466653) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:36 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 1:36 PM Author: sealclubber
yeah, and midnight starts a day, doesn't end it |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:38 PM Author: Pontificating state roast beef Is this flame? Are you actually this fucking obtuse? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467168) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:59 PM Author: Nudist Jewess LOL WHAT IN THE FUCKING WORLD (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467331) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:41 PM Author: Nudist Jewess what the fuck is this shit, lolololol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467191) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:11 PM Author: jet pervert this assumes that the dragons really give a fuck about the remark, what eye color they have, and closely monitor whether other dragons turn in to sparrows. imagine a giant island with millions of dragons. the remark goes unnoticed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467401) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:26 PM Author: Soul-stirring turdskin national It makes sense in the 2 dragon scenario, I think, but not the 3 or more dragon scenario.
I don't understand this part: "because if A was really not green eyed, B and C would realize it was just the two of them" Why would B realize that he, too, has green eyes? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:29 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker You need to reread it if you're asking this question. It's pretty fundamental induction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467533) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:39 PM Author: Soul-stirring turdskin national I think I understand the reasoning now, from reading other explanations (which I thought spelled this out better).
I still have a problem with the notion that there is any new knowledge.
Every dragon already knew that at least one dragon had green eyes. Also, every dragon already knew that every other dragon knew that there was at least one dragon with green eyes (barring some really unlikely even where dragons are isolated from others on the island). |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:55 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault You need to go a step farther. For three dragons:
1. Every dragon knows at least one dragon has green eyes 2. Every dragon knows that every other dragon sees at least one pair of green eyes. 3. However, every dragon does NOT know that every other dragon knows that every dragon sees at least one pair of green eyes. That part is only confirmed after waiting two nights.
Still, having trouble for how this conclusion spirals with more dragons. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:35 PM Author: House-broken Stubborn Orchestra Pit Sneaky Criminal can you email me your post? 110 IQ bro here who can't think beyond the initial "Ok so yeah my dragon bros have green eyes." Curious to have someone else spell it out for me so that I can convince myself I would have figured it out on my own if I felt like it. tyia.
EDIT: nvm saw it elsewhere. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:21 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot I see two possibilities:
1. They realize all of them have the same eye color therefore, they all become sparrows. You've just identified to them that the color of their eyes is green.
2. Each individual dragon realizes that everyone but them (they cannot observe their own eyes) has the same color eyes. Therefore, they must be the weird one out and therefore they must have green eyes. Poof they become a sparrow.
Finally, the authors of this puzzle seem to have failed to include in your hypothetical that you are Julia. Who else would destroy a unique habitat by violating the one rule for no reason other than proving your intellectual superiority? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:24 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Nah, analysis per se's explanation is correct. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466177) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:26 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Yeah, I figured there would be something like that. I'm really shitty at that type of thinking. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466192) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:29 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Helps if you've done recursive programming or mathematical proofs by induction. If you don't need those skills then you probably don't need whatever other abstruse thought processes this question is testing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466202) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:31 PM Author: anal mahogany codepig digit ratio do we need to use induction for this (radek) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466205) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:31 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466207) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:33 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Hilariously, I'm really good at math proofs, just not induction. Knew this was where that was headed tho. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466221) |
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Date: October 8th, 2014 12:26 AM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26477477) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:27 PM Author: vibrant lodge deer antler how about *this* IQ problem julia? *points to crotch* |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:35 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot (fucklaw ranting about GBC tainting the island's genetic pool) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466237) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:39 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse I know the answer to this because a similar problem came up in a linguistics class many moons ago when I was an undergrad.
But part of the commonly accepted answer has always bugged me.
Are we discussing this or still waiting for Julia? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:40 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Just go for it, I doubt it matters much. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466269) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:42 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home You might as well answer it. Presumably, Julia read the answer before the post was edited and will be coming in here hours later with the correct answer pretending to have stumbled across this for the first time. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466286) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:48 PM Author: sinister costumed forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466333) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:48 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse This is a common knowledge problem.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_knowledge_(logic)
http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/common-knowledge/
I haven't gone back and rethought about this in depth, but the new information is supposed to be the newly introduced common knowledge that the dragons (or the people, or whoever is in the particular version of the problem problem) now know that others know.
In other words, the public declaration makes every dragon realize, "I now know that those other dragons also know that there is at least one green eyed dragon."
But I have a hard time believing that they didn't have that knowledge before the announcement. Absent the announcement, it seems the dragons still would have said, "the other dragons are intelligent, speaking, reasoning beings and, therefore, they have the same knowledge that I have."
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:49 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king That was my thought, too. Presumably these dragons interact/can tell each other apart and have noticed more than one dragon with green eyes.
I also thought maybe the new information introduced was what the color green was, but that's too easy. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:53 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker even if they just learned what green meant, it still wouldn't change anything. nothing would happen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466370) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:54 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king True. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466373) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:54 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker I hope nobody ever forgets this thread when they talk about XO conservatives versus XO shitlibs. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466374) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:55 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker I agree, because, despite your cockiness, i am getting ready to shred you (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466380) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:56 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Go for it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466388) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:58 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker is it fair to assume that the dragons don't want to be sparrows? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466400) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:59 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 12:58 PM Author: sealclubber
is it fair to assume that the dragons don't want to be sparrows?
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:00 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker look, you annoying prick, i don't blank my posts. answer the fucking question |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:02 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker What they "want" has nothing to do with this logic problem, sealclubber. The fact that you even mentioned it shows that you have no idea what's going on. Among thinking people you are like some sort of carnival attraction, or a caged animal at a zoo mimicking human movements outside but failing utterly to reproduce them in a sensible or meaningful way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466428) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:03 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker Date: October 6th, 2014 1:02 PM Author: analysis per se
What they "want" has nothing to do with this logic problem, sealclubber. The fact that you even mentioned it shows that you have no idea what's going on. Among thinking people you are like some sort of carnival attraction, or a caged animal at a zoo mimicking human movements outside but failing utterly to reproduce them in a sensible or meaningful way. wrong, bitch. they are infallibly logical. their own wants would be part of being logical. is it fair to assume they don't want to be sparrows? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:04 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yes, see, when I see a post like this, I think "Very cute, but ultimately inhumane", and I want to look away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466444) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:01 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king They seem pretty happy as dragons in the hypo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466426) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:02 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466434) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:00 PM Author: Nudist Jewess do NOT lump this faggot in w/shitlib haters man (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467336) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 9:07 PM Author: Citrine Shivering Laser Beams 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469576) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:50 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker They also would have seen the other dragons with green eyes.
The information provided doesn't come from you, it comes from the other dragons *not* turning into sparrows. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:51 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king This is correct (I've read the answer) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466357) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:54 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse "what exactly is the new information that you gave the dragons?"
Your answer would be that there is no new information? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:56 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker I'm not sure. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466386) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:01 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king I believe the new information is that now you (as a dragon) know that all the other dragons know or something along that line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466420) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:03 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Right, that's what I was saying. But if there was more than one to begin with (which there might be) you would already know that all the other dragons knows. So that can't be it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466436) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:21 PM Author: jet pervert what if they don't monitor whether other dragons turn in to sparrows, and they accept that some dragon may have turned into a sparrow and don't give a fuck? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467478) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:22 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker This would be different, yeah, but I think it would kind of make the riddle pointless, and so I figured they'd be paying attention. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467483) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:24 PM Author: jet pervert but your assumption that they'd be paying attention isn't necessarily correct based on the info given is all im saying (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467493) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:24 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Sure, I agree with that. But if they are, this is what happens. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467495) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:26 PM Author: jet pervert ok, but if theyre not, nothing happens. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467505) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:26 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker For sure (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467511) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:26 PM Author: jet pervert yny (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467514) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:35 PM Author: Stirring Stead so basically Julia answered correctly. LOL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467587) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:38 PM Author: jet pervert its not a very good question (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467612) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 8:19 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker and this paying attention aspect is clear in the blue eyes version. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469307) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:55 PM Author: Khaki multi-colored goyim So to answer the OP's question: No. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466377) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:55 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king TCR to this riddle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466382) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:57 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king Should I poast the answer? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466394) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:58 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker I think sealclubber is preparing to shred me first.
In sense the new knowledge is conditional/counterfactual, the induction base case: *if* there were only one, he would turn into a swallow on the first night. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:59 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker yeah, I am. unless I am just missing one of those you are the driver of the bus parts, I am going to shred you so wait |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 12:59 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 12:59 PM Author: sealclubber
yeah, I am. unless I am just missing one of those you are the driver of the bus parts, I am going to shred you
so wait |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:02 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot Wow, so a Julia thread doesn't even need Julia in it to become a subthread wasteland of 100 poasts (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466431) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:03 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker All you need is one idiot. Sealclubber is even dumber than Julia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466442) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:06 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot I think the real question here is why none of the dragons have put their eyes out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466454) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:16 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault That sounds really painful and would likely remove a lot of the fun of being a dragon. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466516) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:21 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot (beta sparrow) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466546) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:14 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault I'm still having a big problem with the "new information" aspect of this. I completely agree with how this would go with 1, 2, or 3 dragons, and I get that, rationally, this should be able to continue all the way to 100 dragons.
However, something seems off about this whole way of looking at the problem. In the case of only two or three dragons, the dragons DON'T automatically know that every dragon can see multiple green eyes. To look at the case of 3 dragons:
-Each dragon sees two pairs of green eyes. -However, he know's it's POSSIBLE that the other two dragons only see a single pair of green eyes, because he doesn't know his own eyes are green. -He knows a dragon that only sees one pair of green eyes would wait one night to see if the other leaves. Then, when the other pair doesn't, he realizes he has green eyes as well and both leave. -Then this entire situation fails to come to pass after two nights, each dragon realizes that all of them were seeing two pairs of green eyes the entire time and all leave.
However, this seems to break down for me once we have 100 dragons. In this case, all of them know that every other dragon can see multiple sets of green eyes. Therefore, I'm not seeing how the cascade starts, because there is no dragon who could even potentially be seeing a single pair of green eyes.
Edit: To try to express this in a more straightforward manner- If there were only three dragons, the statement "at least one of you has green eyes" COULD, from the perspective of each dragon, have been new information to one of the dragons present. At a larger number of dragons, that possibility disappears. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:26 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker to your edit, how could that be new information to any of the dragons? they all know that there are at least one of them with green eyes because they are looking at two of them with green eyes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466582) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:27 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king I believe the answer is that now they know that every other dragon knows and will thus start the logic chain. That's why this puzzle is invalidated if a single one dragon doesn't hear.
That's what gets the chain started, I believe. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:29 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker the chain can't start (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466602) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:34 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king (boom) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466635) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:32 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault In the three-dragon case, even if every dragon ACTUALLY sees two other green-eyes, the possibility exists to them that one of the dragons actually only sees one pair and could think one of them sees none.
Suppose I am Dragon A, and see that Dragons B and C have green eyes.
Now, the visitor tells us all that at least one of us has green eyes.
If I assume I don't have Green eyes, then I can put myself in the shoes of Dragon B. Dragon B would see C's green eyes, and non-green eyes for A. If that were the case this hypothetical Dragon B could imagine that C actually sees no green eyes, realizes he has them, and becomes a sparrow. When that doesn't happen for C, B realizes C can see Green eyes as well, they must be his, and he becomes a sparrow. When that doesn't happen after two nights, the entire hypo falls apart FOR DRAGON A, and he realizes that every dragon in the triad sees two pairs of green eyes, and he becomes a sparrow. Since this occurs for all three, they all change.
The problem I'm describing is that once we have FOUR different dragons, every dragon already knows with certainty that every other dragon can see multiple pairs of green eyes. Before, it was POSSIBLE that one of the other dragons could not, and now it is impossible. That's where I currently feel there may be a breaking point in the problem, pending a more in-depth explanation. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:35 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker why do you care if you have green eyes? you don't want to know if you have green eyes 3 dragons...you know each of the other two will see at least one pair of green eyes because they can look at each other. your eye color doesn't matter. and you know there is at least one pair of green eyes already |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:29 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home You build out from the 2 dragon scenario:
2 Dragons, each with green eyes, each assumes he does not have green eyes. When neither turns sparrow after Day 1, both realize they have green eyes.
Add Dragon 3. He assumes he does not have green eyes. He sees 2 green eyed dragons. After Day 1 no one turns sparrow. Dragon 3 knows if he has non-green eyes, both Dragon 1 and Dragon 2 will realize they are green eyed and turn sparrow after Day 2 (the 2 dragon scenario). Each of Dragon 1 and Dragon 2 have the same perspective (each knows the two dragons other than himself must turn sparrow after day 2). Day 3 comes around and all are still dragons. Dragons 1, 2, and 3 realize they have green eyes.
Repeat as the numbers get bigger. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:32 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker no, you are adding information that is illogical and more importantly, irrelevant why would any dragon assume he doesn't have green eyes? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:33 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 1:32 PM Author: sealclubber
no, you are adding information that is illogical and more importantly, irrelevant
why would any dragon assume he doesn't have green eyes? |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 9:36 PM Author: Aromatic judgmental gaming laptop You're being a monstrous faggot itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26475967) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:34 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home It was poorly worded. I should say "He doesn't know he has green eyes". (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466634) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:46 PM Author: House-broken Stubborn Orchestra Pit Sneaky Criminal BECAUSE HE SEES THE OTHER 2 AND KNOWS THAT THEY KNOW AT LEAST 1 HAS GREEN EYES AND BOTH ARE STILL FIRE BREATHING FUCKING DRAGONS AFTER MIDNIGHT SO HE KNOWS THEY BELIEVE THAT HE IS THE GREEN EYED ONE AND THAT THEY ARE NOT AND THAT THERE ARE ACTUALLY 3 GREEN EYED DRAGONS: A REALIZATION THEY ALL COME TO SIMULTANEOUSLY AND THEN LIVE OUT THE REST OF THEIR DAYS AS SPARROWS.
JESUS EVEN I GET THIS. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:47 PM Author: Crawly preventive strike (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466753) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:48 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466755) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:49 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker his eye color doesn't matter they all see at least one other dragon with green eyes, regardless of what color your own eyes are, regardless of which dragon you are. every dragon of the three has known this all along |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:50 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Date: October 6th, 2014 1:49 PM Author: sealclubber
his eye color doesn't matter
they all see at least one other dragon with green eyes, regardless of what color your own eyes are, regardless of which dragon you are. every dragon of the three has known this all along |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:02 PM Author: Nudist Jewess what (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467346) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:35 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault That all makes sense, but what I'm saying is that this logic chain becomes different as soon as you hit four, because every dragon knows that, even if his own eyes are non-green, every other dragon is still seeing two sets of green eyes. The reason the initial chain was working was because it was POSSIBLE for a situation to exist where a dragon actually thought that NOBODY had green eyes. With sufficient green-eyed dragons, that possibility is no longer present. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466648) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:36 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yes. It clearly still works but the "new information" question becomes a bit more difficult. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466658) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:52 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Yeah, but that in turn rebounds on the problem itself, and is making me suddenly doubt it.
Let's ignore people saying the dragons "assume" things, as I think that's a distraction. A better term is that they need to "make certain" of things.
When you see that the dragons need to "make certain" of their eye color, the small-number scenarios become divorced from the larger ones and so I'm not sure the whole N+1 chain works.
I'll try to explain this again, and I'm sorry that I'm kinda shitty at wording all this (it doesn't help that I haven't taken a college level class in logic or proofs):
Consider the case of 2 dragons, both green: Both know that at least one dragon has green eyes, but they do NOT know that every dragon knows that. The visitor's remark adds NEW information, making them aware that all dragons know there is a pair of green eyes. This prompts each dragon to consider the perspective of the other. If I'm Dragon A, until the visitor's remark I did not CONCLUSIVELY know that Dragon B knew there were any green eyes on the island. The first night then becomes a "test" of sorts. If Dragon B leaves, he had seen no other green eyes beforehand, deduced he was the only one, etc. When this doesn't happen, we both realize we have green eyes, blah blah you've heard all of this. The key here is that this is a problem of common knowledge. We all knew something, but we didn't know everybody else knew it.
Now, the same holds true for the 3-dragon case, as I described it above. Even if we all see two pairs of green eyes, it's possible for Dragon A to THINK that Dragon B sees only one pair, and that in his turn Dragon B would think Dragon C doesn't see any at all. Then the cascade can occur as that possibility is disproven.
But the thing is, it seems to me this can no longer happen if you have, say, 8 dragons. Even if A's eyes were brown, there's no way any other dragon can believe that another dragon ONLY sees one or zero sets of green eyes. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:56 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yeah, I'm finding this hard to verbalize. But without the visitor's chain you don't have the base case for the induction. Remember that the dragons are literally doing the same inductive proof we are. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466829) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:14 PM Author: Cerise Box Office Coffee Pot "Even if A's eyes were brown, there's no way any other dragon can believe that another dragon ONLY sees one or zero sets of green eyes."
Did you read the problem closely? Right at the beginning, it says literally every dragon has green eyes. "You visit a remote desert island inhabited by one hundred very friendly dragons, ALL OF WHOM HAVE GREEN EYES." |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:17 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker haha, I literally missed this. Not that it matters. The solution generalizes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466977) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:23 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault I'm not that retarded; I know it says every dragon has green eyes. I was writing from the perspective of Dragon A, who can think "even if I have brown eyes, it would not impede every other dragon from knowing that all dragons can see multiple sets of green eyes." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467024) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:13 PM Author: Cerise Box Office Coffee Pot the new information you gave them is that at least one has green eyes information is not always true |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:16 PM Author: Stirring Stead BOOM KILLSHOT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466974) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:18 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker That isn't new information. They already knew it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466983) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:34 PM Author: Cerise Box Office Coffee Pot yeah i actually wasn't thinking when i wrote that post (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467127) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:38 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king It gets a lot harder but the same pattern at 2 and 3 dragons still applies to 4. If it doesn't then you're right, the question is flawed.
Edit: The correct answer is all 100 dragons poof on the 100th midnight, so that's what the puzzle is based on. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:40 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home Dragon 4 sees three green-eyed dragons. Watches 3-dragon scenario play out. When no one turns dragon after day 3, all 4 dragons realize they themselves have green eyes. etc... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466688) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:00 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Actually, I think I get it now, although I actually can't really type out the reasoning easily. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466862) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:04 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Basically the dragons need to be able to do the proof by induction themselves and to be able to know that all the other dragons can do it too. You need the base case to do the proof. The guy saying this provides it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466892) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:09 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Wait, how do the dragons not currently have the "base case" though? If there were a small number of them, they'd lack it because they could imagine the possibility of one dragon THINKING another dragon couldn't see any green eyes. With enough dragons, that thought isn't possible.
Fuck, this is rough. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:11 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker The base case is x=1. They don't have that because that 1 dragon would not in that case know that at least one dragon has green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466937) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:22 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault True enough, and that's why the solution to the problem is very obvious if there are only 1, 2, or 3 dragons. But at the risk of appearing deeply retarded, it seems to me that the cascade only works if each dragon can visualize the possibility of at least one dragon among them only seeing a single other green-eyed dragon. With so many green-eyed dragons that is simply impossible.
The xkcd explanation for the Blue Eyes problem is helpful, though. I'm trying to reconsider it thinking from the perspective of "after how many days would other people have to be relying on me having blue eyes to sustain the belief they don't have blue eyes themselves." |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:36 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse It seems to me that these two propositions are true:
(1) Before the announcement, every dragon already knew that at least one dragon had green eyes. All they had to do was look around.
(2) Before the announcement, every dragon already knew that every other dragon knew that at least one other dragon had green eyes. They had this knowledge about the other dragons' knowledge because they knew that the other dragons were seeing, thinking creatures.
Are those propositions true?
If so, then what information did the announcement add? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:41 PM Author: Soul-stirring turdskin national Yeah, this is my hangup too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467644) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:20 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466538) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:20 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot wut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466545) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:28 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Julia and Sealclubber in agreement. Awesome. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466596) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:02 PM Author: Nudist Jewess lol. "I don't think anything happens, but maybe everything happens. That's my answer." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467350) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:03 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Notice how she lumped herself in with your reasoning below. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467357) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:47 PM Author: Crawly preventive strike here's a good explanation (similar hypo just without dragons)
http://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/Blue_Eyes |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 1:49 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yes. Notice that for N it's always Nth night (same thing I said in my post). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466772) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:07 PM Author: Cerise Box Office Coffee Pot This just shows how dumb io9 is. To call it the "hardest logic puzzle" is pretty fucking retarded. It's a simple mathematical induction problem. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466907) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:13 PM Author: Free-loading shaky location potus lol just lol @ sealclubber's brutal pwnage itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466951) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:16 PM Author: Stirring Stead I must be dumb because I don't get why any dragon leaves. when it notices that none of the 99 green eye dragons left the next morning it's not going to say shit because that would be rude as fuck to those green eyes dragons. every dragon will independently think this and allow their green-eyed dragon bros to go on living in ignorant bliss (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26466968) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:32 PM Author: Nudist Jewess Haven't read any comments.
Assuming that they know what the color 'green' means, here we go.
For one dragon, if you tell that dragon "at least one dragon has green eyes," the dragon is gonna go AW FUCK and turn into a sparrow. That's trivial.
For two dragons, if you tell that dragon "at least one dragon has green eyes," and they look at each other like FAGGOTS, D1 is gonna be like "lol this bitch has green eyes, and is going to turn into a sparrow tonight." D2 is gonna think the same thing. Night comes, nothing happens. They look at each other and they're like "aw shit, u faggot, I guess I have green eyes too if you were sure that someone else had green eyes" and then they turn into sparrows.
And then I'm pretty sure it works the same way up to 100, and in fact it's made more, not less, obv. If some faggot dragon looks around and sees a sea of 99 green eyes looking back at him, he's gonna think to himself "lol i'm in the clear, fuck these faggots." Every stupid ass dragon is going to think this. Then night is going to come and nothing is going to happen. Then every dragon is going to go "oh FML" and turn into a faggot ass sparrow.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:33 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker But you're forgetting about the incentives (Sealclubber) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467119) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:35 PM Author: Nudist Jewess am i right about this? i missed 2 questions in logic games man (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467138) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:37 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Yes, you are 100% right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467157) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:38 PM Author: Nudist Jewess i really can't wait to read the comments on this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467167) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:35 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467132) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:39 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse What information did the announcement add? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467176) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:42 PM Author: Stirring Stead why would every dragon think FML? the other dragons only leave if they realize they have green eyes. he could just wake up and think phew, glad those idiots didn't realize it so i still have friends (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467203) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:53 PM Author: Nudist Jewess i mean i get the confusion, i actually think this is going to take a fuckload of days. i am not a math guy but i assume it's going to take 99 or 100 days. twist?
like, they're all gonna sit around looking at each other's faggot asses for 99 days and be like "lol okay. it's like this. there are 100 of us faggots. we like to cum on dey face; we don't talk about eye color. that's not our thing. but we are all logical as FUARK. so what about this: what if we all wait around for as many days as there are dragons (or maybe 1 less i guess, since 2 dragons can figure this out in 1 day). if i literally sit here and wait for 99 days, i know that every other dragon is doing the same thing. waiting for 99 days. during those 99 days he's thinking, "i am aware that everyone else has green eyes. so each day, a counter ticks. each day every dragon is thinking to himself, 'YOLO i'm not a sparrow yet', because every dragon has concluded that there are 99 green eyes looking out there at him. but not me. it's not gonna be me. every day each fucking faggot dragon is ticking off another dragon from his list of, like, 'dragon 2, today, could have concluded that it wouldn't have been him because dragon 37 has green eyes, so THAT's why he's still around; not because *I* have green eyes.' so i know that by the 99th day, these guys are going to conclude, like me, that they have all of the information they need: either literally EVERYONE ELSE BUT ME has green eyes, or EVERYONE ELSE AND ME has green eyes."
this is actually kind of hard to explain verbally but do you kind of follow? it's like, idk, if i'm dragon A and I see dragon B has green eyes, figuring that shit out takes one night.
if i'm dragon A and i see dragon B and C have green eyes, i have to wait 2 nights. because on night 1, dragon B could have been like "well i know that dragon C has green eyes so i'm str8." but after 2 nights dragon B is still around, and still hasn't concluded that he has green eyes, so dragon A is like "oh FML"
does this make sense |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:54 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker For X green-eyed dragons it takes X days (or in sealclubber-think, X+1). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467296) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:56 PM Author: Nudist Jewess tyft i am innumerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467309) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:03 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard I dont think any dragon expects anyone to disappear until N-1 night when they expect everyone else to disappear. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467353) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:03 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467359) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:05 PM Author: Nudist Jewess yeah i'm aware, what i'm saying is that over the course of those 99 days, each dragon is ticking off why every other dragon can still reason why no one is a sparrow; if i'm dragon 1 on day 37, i think that dragon 2 has concluded that he doesn't have green eyes because both he and i know that dragons 3-39 do. etc.
so yeah nothing happens until every goes full sparrow |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:07 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse But what information did the announcement add? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467385) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:12 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard good question... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467413) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:13 PM Author: Nudist Jewess yeah i don't really follow that. i think it's possible that they didn't know what 'greenness' was, but if upon being told 'at least 1 of u faggots has green eyes', and then they look around to see that everyone else's eye color is the same, they can conclude that every other dragon's eye color might be green, but in any event they are now going to rule-follow making an assumption that applies to every other dragon but you. and the question for any given dragon is: does the assumption apply to me, too? and the rule-following procedure simply takes time to discover that.
i think this works just as well by introducing as "new" the sparrow thing. i'm not sure the relevance of newness in this context. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:14 PM Author: Stirring Stead there is no new information added but merely posing the question catalyzes the dragons' self-awareness and triggers a chain reaction of logical deductions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467428) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:47 PM Author: Soul-stirring turdskin national But if we are assuming they are impeccably logical, why wouldn't they have already taken these actions (since they already know that there is at least one dragon with green eyes and every other dragon knows this)? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467702) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:54 PM Author: Stirring Stead yeah my post was flame. this part doesn't make sense to me at all (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467757) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:55 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard Let's take the three dragon hypo.
There are three green eyed dragons and no visitor. They each see two other green eyes and they each know that every dragon sees at least one set of green eyes.
Dragon A thinks he has brown eyes and sees Dragons B and C with green eyes.
The cascade only starts if Dragon B wonders why Dragon C hasn't disappeared since Dragon C see would otherwise see Dragon B's brown eyes (and Dragon A's). Thus Dragon B and C must disappear.
But without at AT LEAST prompting, there is no problem with a hypothetical Dragon C not disappearing because he sees brown eyes on Dragon A and B.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:58 PM Author: Stirring Stead no one is seeing any brown eyes, bro. they all see only green eyes. this was stated as one of the assumptions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467795) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:15 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard right its about them imagining what would happen if one dragon did not see green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467899) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:15 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker It provides the base case for the induction.
This might not sound important but remember that most of this is about the dragons imagining each others' thought processes. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:17 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard is that necessary? wouldn't knowing the rule that you transform if you know your color, and knowing that everyone else knew the rule - be enough? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467446) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:19 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker I don't see why it would be.
Without the announcement you don't have the base case of if there is 1 dragon with green eyes he'll know it and transform. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:25 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse "It provides the base case for the induction."
Why didn't they already know it?
See my post here http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467152 |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:30 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker They didn't already know it because it wasn't already true without that statement being made. In the X=1 case the guy would just figure nobody had green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467539) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:32 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse Which of my two propositions do you think is false? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467562) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:33 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Neither. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467566) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:40 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse Then before the announcement its seems that every dragon knew what you're calling your base case. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467637) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:44 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker No, they didn't.
The base case is that if you don't see any green-eyed dragons, you have green eyes.
This wasn't true before the announcement. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:52 PM Author: Stirring Stead the question implies that every dragon knows what green eyes are (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467745) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 12:16 PM Author: Khaki multi-colored goyim No, it doesn't. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472487) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:57 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse I don't mean to be dense, but I don't think I understand your argument.
Describe to me the actual, *new* thought that popped into each dragon's head upon the announcement.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:05 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault I don't think that really matters at all. That base case, as far as I can tell, only matters *if* it's possible for a dragon to think it POSSIBLE for another dragon to believe it can't see any greens. So, in the 3-dragon case, it's possible for A to think B MIGHT believe that C doens't see any green eyes. I think this even works pretty well with 4 dragons, but I don't see how it works with 10, 20, or 100 dragons. It just seems impossible to me in those cases that any dragon could be unaware that all dragons know every other dragon sees at least 2 sets of green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467837) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:11 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard if it works for 3, it works for 100. 3 is the trick...
basically does the fact that they all see at least one other defeat the hypo? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:05 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault The fact they can all see one doesn't. The fact they all know that every other dragon can see multiple eyes is more problematic. I feel like the "correct" response assumes we can keep reducing these dragons to smaller and smaller subgroups, but you really can't. We're starting with a group of 100, and it's very obvious to all of them that tons of dragons have green eyes. I can't see a way any dragon could think that another dragon may be unaware of this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468119) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:49 PM Author: Soul-stirring turdskin national What? Each dragon could see multiple sets of green eyes, and that every other dragon could as well. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467716) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:58 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard but without the announcement you would never imagine a hypothetical dragon realizing he has green eyes because the other guy did not transform.
Which is weird because there isn't new information. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:08 PM Author: Stirring Stead it does make sense when you go through that thought process in your head but still really difficult to process verbally. there was a similar logic problem about 100 sheep someone brought up at a dinner table once, maybe the reverse of this one, that could only be explained by math. it literally could not be explained with the English language (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467392) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:09 PM Author: Nudist Jewess i think this is probably explicable with language, it's just that we're all fucking bad at it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467396) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 2:59 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard SO for each increasing number of dragons, we think of it as the previous number of dragons, plus a brown eyed observer dragon who fails to see the expected result.
SO to carry this to 4 dragons.
It's been explained well in this thread that if there were 3 dragons with all green eyes, they would all disappear on the third night because they each expect the other two to disappear after the second, which fails to happen.
The fourth dragon, knowing that this will happen to a group of three green eyed dragons, who see his brown eyes, expects all three to disappear the third night, when that doesn't happen he realizes he is pwned and disappears the next night.
This happens for each N+1 - they think they are observing the problem and expect all of them to disappear on night N.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:16 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard Subject: Re. New Information So if we have three or more dragons - why does the announcement set off the transformation? each dragon knows that he can see two other dragons with green eyes and he already knows that each dragon knows that there is at least one other dragon with green eyes.
Shouldn't the transformation happen by itself assuming all dragons know the rules about transforming and know that all other dragons know the rule?
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:17 PM Author: Nudist Jewess The announcement sets off the transformation if they didn't know what anyone's eye color was before. They can clearly see, now, that either everyone else has green eyes (because the color is the same) and I do, too, or everyone else has green eyes but I don't. They have to rule-follow to find that out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467445) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:19 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard of course they do, they can see N-1 dragons with green eyes. Every single one of them know there is at least one dragon with green eyes. They should all expect everyone ELSE to transform on N-1 days after everyone appeared on the island knowing the rules... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467459) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:22 PM Author: Nudist Jewess Perhaps they didn't know what 'green' was. If they learn what 'green' is now, they now know enough to run the rules, by virtue of the fact that everyone's eye color happens fortuitously to be the same (otherwise, if the dragons had a lot of different eye colors, the process would be far more complex / potentially unable to run). Before, they didn't. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467484) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:26 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Oh, I get it now.
Yes, I think the new information is what color "green" is. That's what makes this clever. I missed this originally because I didn't realize that the riddle said all dragons had green eyes. This is actually essential for the second question. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:27 PM Author: Nudist Jewess *styles on u, cake batter style* (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467518) |
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Date: November 26th, 2014 9:59 PM Author: Nudist Jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26807545) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:59 PM Author: Iridescent lettuce Isn't there a third possibility here? Everyone else has non-green eyes and I am the only one with green eyes? And doesn't this prevent the introduction of the new info being "what is green" from starting the cascade? And then aren't we back to the problem of why hasn't the cascade happened on its own?
When I don't turn sparrow the first night can I assume that the third possibility is not correct? There seems to be a lack of certainty with this scenario, though, where I'm assuming "if scenario three is true then I'll turn." (i.e. when I don't turn on the first night I can think that I'm not the only one with green eyes and that's why I didn't turn, or I can think that I didn't know, for sure whether I was the only one with green eyes and that's why I didn't turn)
The second part of this riddle is really bugging me. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:18 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Nope. Why would it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467457) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:20 PM Author: Nudist Jewess Wait, why wouldn't it have already happened that? If they all already knew the rules, and each dragon knew that every other dragon had green eyes as soon as the rules were implemented, and the lady arrives 101 days later, why isn't she arriving to sparrow island?
Or if the lady arrives 51 days after they know this, and says 'at least one of you has green eyes', why aren't the dragons being like "look faggot lady we know that, we're working it out."
It's unclear to me why what she says can ever be what they already know. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:21 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home Or if the lady arrives 51 days after they know this, and says 'at least one of you has green eyes', why aren't the dragons being like "look faggot lady we know that, we're working it out."
180 |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:23 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Without the new knowledge, there's no base case for the induction, so the dragons would have been unable to do the proof that we did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467489) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:25 PM Author: Nudist Jewess What is the new knowledge? Earl's point is that if all dragons can see each other, they already know that at least one dragon's eyes are green. Nothing was added, right?
My point is: maybe they didn't have a concept of 'green eyes', but knew what would happen if they ever did. And the lady informed them that at least one of them has green eyes; by virtue of the fact that they ALL have green eyes, the induction process demonstrated here is pretty simple rather than wildly complex (some have green, some have blue, some have brown, etc.). |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:27 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker See above. I think the "what green is" is right.
That said, the same pattern holds whether or not they knew what green was originally. That still stands in need of explanation and the only explanation is that they're provided the base case for the induction. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:31 PM Author: Nudist Jewess ofs the same pattern still holds, it's just that it would have started running. some faggot smart dragon would have woken up one day and been like "OH MY FUCK I'M GONNA BE A SPARROW OR NOT IN 100 DAYS" and he would have told all of his faggot dragon friends and they probably would have had wild + woolly buttsex for a while before forswearing XO women as their last act before becoming a bird (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467552) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:32 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard if you look at the blue and green and brown eye hypo here
http://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/Blue_Eyes
it assumes knowledge by the people of the different colors, otherwise the statement would not have any impact on the blue or brown eyed group. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:34 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker cr. That's why I'm saying that the "what green is" answer is clearly intended here but isn't actually the full story. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467579) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:38 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard I still dont see how knowing the color is relevant. Let's say the dragons already know what green is and that everyone else has green eyes.
The original question should be the same. Either the knowledge, which everyone knows, sets of the cascade, or it was already going to happen.
I can see why that statement is necessary in a two dragon scenario - which starts the cascade, but in a 100 dragon scenario, they all already know that statement to be true. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:38 PM Author: Nudist Jewess yeah i agree that it's just the N=1 case, all anyone was saying (i think) is that dragons can imagine N=1 before some faggot ladies comes and tells them to. it isn't at all important what the trigger was. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467615) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:42 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard right, but imagining knowing that information before hand doesn't trigger imagining the two dragon hypo which starts the cascade.
That's the part I am having a hard time with. I know that this information is necessary with two dragons to get things started, but they obviously have the information already. But knowing there are LOTS of green eyed dragons does not cause the hypo they way knowing there are AT LEAST ONE. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:46 PM Author: Nudist Jewess lots, therefore at least one. if you know there's a lot of something, you know there is at least one of something.
i think that the chain is already underway or they didn't know something (greenness of eyes) which allowed them to begin from an N=1 case. i don't think there is some "kooky" third option. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:03 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard How would the chain be underway? Let's say you have three dragons. All dragons see two green sets and all dragons know that each dragon sees at least one other set (assuming they are brown themselves).
Dragon three needs to imagine a situation where dragon two sees no green eyes and then is pwned. this requires the AT LEAST knowledge. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:29 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard it relies on there being a two dragon scenario that triggers the cascade in the minds of the dragons.
Why I dont quite get is if there being numerous dragons does not affect the cascade, then why wouldn't it happen on its own.
I know its important for the base case to start, but how can adding no new information start it? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:32 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker The new information is counterfactual in nature. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467563) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:25 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard How does telling a group something they already know start an inductive chain?
I understand it goes back to there being two dragons both assuming they do not have green eyes.
But in a group of three, we rely on imagining that this green eyed dragon comes to the realization when he sees other dragons but they dont disappear. Why wont the inductive chain start on its own? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:27 PM Author: Nudist Jewess I'm telling you man, this really does work if the new knowledge is that they literally didn't know what color "green eyes" were before the lady came. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467515) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:30 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot For some reason people were shouting at me that this was incorrect a while ago.... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467537) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:30 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker I, at least, misread the riddle. That said, the "what green is" answer is clever but actually doesn't get to the heart of what the "new information" is (it doesn't generalize in the same way the induction does). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467548) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:34 PM Author: at-the-ready cerebral point idiot oh yeah, for sure. I always prefer cleverness to logic puzzles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467582) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:30 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard that makes it into a trick question I think. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467544) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:36 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:37 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker :( (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467603) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:39 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard that's not right.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:37 PM Author: Stirring Stead the question implies that every dragon knows what green eyes are (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467607) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:21 PM Author: cocky opaque faggot firefighter hold on
*retrieves glove and turns it inside out*
ok, back (juli |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:30 PM Author: underhanded parlor stain Not going to read all the answers, but my thinking is that the dragons must not know what green is since they ALL have green eyes. Each one will see that every single other dragon has all the same eye color, and will assume that he himself is the different, and therefore green, one. All the dragons transform that night.
Yes? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:38 PM Author: Stirring Stead the question implies that every dragon knows what green eyes are (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467619) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:43 PM Author: underhanded parlor stain I don't think it does. It is told from the perspective of you the visitor. YOU know they have green eyes.
That being said, as someone else noted below they are very friendly dragons. They may not want to declare anyone else to have green eyes. They may stay silent as they realize everyone else has green eyes, but assume perhaps they are an outlier who does not. So in this case none would change.
So if they DO know what green is, they are too nice to note it (and never speak of it), so no one changes.
If they DON'T know what green is, they do all self-report and all change. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:57 PM Author: Stirring Stead first of all, I already posted the friendly dragon response above and it went ignored. secondly, the question says you tell them something "they already know" they couldn't possibly know at least 1 dragon has green eyes unless they know what green eyes are. otherwise they're being told something brand new, which is the opposite of the question's statement (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467784) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:58 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault The people writing the column explicitly say it's not a lateral thinking puzzle and that "they don't know what green is" is not the intended answer. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467788) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:31 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:35 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker Julia... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467588) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:35 PM Author: Nudist Jewess no cascade happens at all. you have this like, exactly backward (which is pretty impressive TBH, given the exactness of how backward this is) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467591) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:38 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467616) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:36 PM Author: wonderful jap none of the answers factor in the information that the dragons are FRIENDLY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467599) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:40 PM Author: Pontificating state roast beef OR that midnight STARTS a day, not ENDS it (Sealclubber) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467635) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:42 PM Author: flesh hunting ground useless brakes tl;dr:
1. twist sets out a trap with a big ole hunk of julia bait in it
2. sealclubber, who lacks the capacity to distinguish between julia bait and a delicious well-done porterhouse slathered in heinz 57, jumps right on in and gets mangled beyond recognition
3. julia arrives late to the party, looks down to see sealclubber's grotesquely maimed body, and decides it would be a good idea to stick her fingers in the contraption
all in all a peak experience for everybody involved |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:44 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467676) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:46 PM Author: Nudist Jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467697) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 3:48 PM Author: Cracking university dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26467710) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:59 PM Author: fragrant aggressive office audibly lol'd (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468474) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:04 PM Author: Dashing theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468496) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:04 PM Author: turquoise adventurous ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468840) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:31 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker the blue eyes version has additional facts that aren't in this version: Everyone can see everyone else at all times and keeps a count of the number of people they see with each eye color (excluding themselves), but they cannot otherwise communicate. this forces them to partake in inductive reasoning once they have the claim. the dragon version does not. in fact, since they are infallibly logical, the dragons will keep out of each other's sight during the pivotal days. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:35 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469063) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 9:49 PM Author: bronze reading party *is an infallibly logical dragon*
*plucks own eyes out* |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:57 PM Author: Aromatic judgmental gaming laptop 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26474310) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:12 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena ASSUMING they all know that everyone else's eyes are "green", then the new information doesn't change anything. Dragon A still does not know whether his eyes are the same as everyone else's. That's the key missing information--am I the only one without green eyes? Being told that someone has green eyes simply confirms what they already know--that everyone else's eyes are green.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:04 PM Author: Pontificating state roast beef Until day 2 when no one else turns into a sparrow... Dragon 1 must ALSO have green eyes. He will realize that and poof, sparrow time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468114) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:11 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena but the reason no one sparrows on day 2 is because each dragon still does not know for sure whether its eyes are green. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468161) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:13 PM Author: Pontificating state roast beef Yes they do. Please see reasoning in multiple posts above.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:29 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena plz link TYIA, I am lazy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468284) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 4:22 PM Author: Stirring Stead I think you guys need to step back and consider this from the POV of 1 dragon (D1). We can assume from the question that D1: 1) believes he has non-green eyes, or he would've sparrowed out long ago 2) believes the other 99 dragons ALL have green eyes, because he knows what green eyes are 3) based on 1 and 2, he realizes that ALL of the other dragons with green eyes are EACH individually unaware that he himself actually has green eyes. 4) D1 is told that at least 1 dragon has green eyes. he already KNOWS this
therefore, the next morning, when nothing changes, none of D1's information has changed and none of his assumptions have changed either. unless D1 is a dick, he's not going to tell any other dragon they have green eyes. And why would he now? He could've done that ages ago. None of this will change as each day passes
TWIST: every single dragon is D1. therefore, nothing will ever change. HTFH |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:00 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig Bingo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468104) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:28 PM Author: Dashing theater some form of this question has appeared in textbooks for ages. this is not the right answer. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468273) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:50 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard I think its because the statement leads to more than just the knowledge that there is one dragon with green eyes, which everyone knows.
It also means that after 99 days, there are at least 99 green dragons, which our dragon knows, but he also knows also that EVERY OTHER DRAGON also knows that there are 99 green dragons.
Before the statement, he was under the knowledge that only he knew that there were 99 green dragons and everyone else thought there were 98. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:40 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker julia... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468709) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:56 PM Author: Nighttime Windowlicker 1) is not true. 2) and 3) are. I think the inductiveness chain makes 1) become a fact, though. I am getting why i was wrong on this, but the blue eye version with explanations is a little different (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468460) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 5:21 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard So it seems like "At least one person has blue eyes" is already COMMON KNOWLEDGE.
The problem is that that statement after 99 days turns into "at least 99 people have blue eyes" and when those people don't disappear on the 99th day, then everyone goes the 100th day.
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:18 PM Author: odious wild kitty cat with these sorts of riddles, i can actually witness my iq topping out. i can proceed along an inquisitive path but then don't really know how to process the information that I receive in return.
for bros that are legit dumb, like sealclubber, this must occur every single day. for him this riddle is not extraordinarily difficult or easy--its just somewhere above his paygrade. akin to a riddle like "Three guys run into a bar, the fourth man ducks. Why does he duck?"
its insolvable. its premises must be tested. anyone who can answer it must be bluffing or bloviating.
oh and by the way, he is like one of the top 5 DUI attorneys in el paso, which gives him some grounding |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:37 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468693) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:57 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard Nice. I feel better think that my brain is getting stuck on the downhill portion of this problem rather than right out of the gate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468801) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:10 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473001) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:08 PM Author: flesh hunting ground useless brakes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468859) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:08 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468862) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 10:51 PM Author: wonderful jap yeah i had no idea how to begin solving this or even how to break it down to an easier to imagine scenario, e.g. with two then three dragons (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26470320) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 9:08 AM Author: Light Haunted Graveyard Heaven I spent half an hour last night reading through explanations of the Monty Hall problem on Wikipedia. I still don't get it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136912) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 6:57 PM Author: motley chad (viral marketer for Imagine Dragons) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26468796) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:18 PM Author: histrionic school nowag How about doing it the other way around?
Pick one dragon, call him Dragon 1. Dragon 1 sees 99 green eyed dragons. Therefore he knows (at least from his POV) that there are either 99 or 100 green eyed dragons on the island. He also knows that no dragon has sparrowed to date.
Dragon 1 therefore has to assume there are 99 and not 100 green eyed dragons and that he is the sole non-green (lets call it red) eyed dragon otherwise he would have sparrowed long ago. He also has to assume that despite him being the only true red eyed dragon all 99 other green eyed dragons must (wrongly) not be convinced that they have green eyes otherwise they would have sparrowed.
What are the consequences of Dragon 1's necessary adoption of the beliefs that (1) he has red eyes and (2) that all the other dragons are mistakenly not convinced they have green eyes in terms of what that means he must believe about what other dragons believe?
Dragon 1 picks out another random dragon, call him Dragon 2, and tries to imagine what Dragon 2 must believe in order for Dragon 1's belief that he is red eyed to be true.
Dragon 1 must believe that when Dragon 2 looks at him he sees he has red eyes otherwise there would be 100 green eyed dragons. So Dragon 1 must believe that Dragon 2 has concluded that there are either 98 or 99 red eyed dragons on the island, and since Dragon 2 has not sparrowed Dragon 2 must also believe he himself has red eyes and that despite him and Dragon 1 being the only true red eyed dragons all 98 other green eyed dragons must (wrongly) not be convinced that they have green eyes otherwise they would have sparrowed.
Dragon 1 now picks out a second random dragon, call him Dragon 3 and tries to imagine what Dragon 2 must believe about what Dragon 3 believes in order for Dragon 2's belief about himself and therefore Dragon 1's belief about himself (ie that they each have red eyes) to both be true.
In order for Dragon 1's belief that he has red eyes to be true then Dragon 2 must also believe he has red eyes, so when Dragon 2 puts himself in the position of Dragon 3, Dragon 2 must believe that Dragon 3 sees two red eyed dragons (Dragon 1 and himself) and thus Dragon 3 must believe that there are either 98 or 97 green eyed dragons on the island. Since Dragon 3 has not sparrowed then Dragon 3 must also necessarily believe he has red eyes and that there are 3 red eyed dragons on the island and 97 green eyed dragons who mistakenly believe that they may have red eyes.
Continuing this on creates a chain of beliefs about what Dragon 1 must believe each succeeding dragon in the chain must believe about the next dragon's belief, such that Dragon 1 must believe Dragon N-1 in the chain must believe Dragon N believes there are (100-N) green eyed dragons on the island so ultimately the chain concludes with a Dragon 99 who must believe there is a Dragon 100 who believes there are no green eyed dragons on the island.
The visitor's statement that there is at least one green eyed dragon on the island means that Dragon 100's belief that there are no green eyed dragons cannot be true, therefore Dragon 99 cannot believe that Dragon 100 believes that there are no green eyed dragons, Dragon 98 cannot believe that Dragon 99 believes Dragon 100 believes there are no green eyed dragons etc etc and the whole logical chain comes crashing down, to Dragon 1's knowledge, and since Dragon 1's belief that there are 99 and not 100 green eyed dragons on the island depends on the validity of this chain of belief then Dragon 1 must conclude there are 100 green eyed dragons and sparrows.
Since the dragons are all equally clever they have all worked out that these chains of belief must exist starting from them and going to each possible Dragon 100 and thus they all realise at the same time there are 100 green eyed dragons on the island.
The new knowledge that the visitor imparted was the destruction of each dragon's belief that there must be dragon on the island who mistakenly believed that there were no green eyed dragons on the island. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:24 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard Isn't this a paradox because every dragon knows that every other dragon thinks there are 98 green eyed dragons?
How can dragon 100 think there are no green eyed dragons when we all know he sees at least 98 (and in reality he sees 99)? |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:33 PM Author: histrionic school nowag I wondered about that. All we know is that each dragon sees 99 green eyed dragons. Since the dragons don't talk amongst themselves about eye colour do we know that each dragon knows that each other dragon actually sees 99 green eyed dragons?
The way I approached it doesn't assume each dragon knows each other dragon sees 99 green eyed dragons, it just proceeds on the basis of what each dragon must necessarily believe each other dragon believes in order for the first dragon's beliefs about itself to be true.
I agree that if we assume each dragon knows every other dragon sees 99 green eyed dragons, and that therefore every dragon knows no dragon can hold the belief that there are 98 or less green eyed dragons then this doesn't work. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 7:51 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena I dont think the second paragraph is correct. he doesnt have to assume he has red eyes--he just doesnt know. you only sparrow if you know you have green eyes. but i think you are close. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469176) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 8:21 PM Author: histrionic school nowag I agree that dragons have to sparrow only if they know for certain they have green eyes so there may be some looseness in my approach if the difference between a dragon believing it must have red eyes and a dragon not being convinced it has green eyes is relevant to any of the steps.
For the extra bit of information the visitor imparts (i.e. at least one dragon has green eyes) to be meaningful and cause a mass sparrowing (which seems to be the end point the puzzle is headed towards) it seemed to me that new fact must somehow directly contradict a belief or assumption in the existing structure of knowledge and beliefs between the dragons so as to cause that structure to collapse.
That's why I think it must be an element of the existing structure that there is at least a necessary belief that one dragon believes (mistakenly) that there are no green eyed dragons on the island and this was the only way I could think of to get to that position.
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:54 PM Author: shimmering church building didn't read this til now, this is exactly right.
I guess 29's pretty smart after all. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:57 PM Author: histrionic school nowag Thankyou for the compliment.
I should screenshot it for posterity, heh. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 8:08 PM Author: Clear beady-eyed skinny woman They all become sparrows, and the new information that you gave to each individual dragon is that *they* have green eyes (which is something they could not have possible known before, since there are no reflective surfaces for them to see themselves in on the island and they never talk about eye color among themselves) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469247) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 8:46 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena trick answer: they are perfectly logical and the dont want to sparrow. therefore they decide to not think about it the second the announcement is made. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469471) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 9:07 PM Author: Citrine Shivering Laser Beams XO has the HIGHEST IQ of any CHATBOARD on the internet!!!! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469573) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 9:28 PM Author: Comical Yapping Volcanic Crater Rehab The new information that you provide is not only that at least one dragon has green eyes, but that each dragon knows that the next one knows it as well, on down the line.
Consider 3 dragons before your statement. A knows that B has green eyes bc he can see them. A knows that B knows that C has green eyes bc he can see that B can see C. However, A does not know that B knows that C knows there is at least one dragon with green eyes. A assumes that it does not. Therefore if A thinks that B also thinks it does not then A would not know what B thought C thought. Since A thinks it does not have green eyes and that B thinks it does not have green eyes, A could think that B could think that C sees two non-green eyed dragons. When you say at least 1 dragon has green eyes, A now knows that B knows that C knows at least 1 dragon has green eyes. |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 9:50 PM Author: sadistic swashbuckling striped hyena winner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469849) |
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Date: October 6th, 2014 9:59 PM Author: Citrine Shivering Laser Beams What about the incentives structure (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26469900) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:49 AM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo this was good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471582) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:57 AM Author: bronze reading party Sealclubber was genuinely hilarious.
"yeah, and midnight starts a day, doesn't end it"
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:58 AM Author: jet-lagged glittery boiling water haven't read this yet, don't want to get sucked in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471593) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:00 AM Author: bronze reading party Second half of the thread is just boring parsing and niggling questions over phrasing of the question, or someone walking through their thought process. First 60-70 posts are pretty funny. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471598) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:15 AM Author: galvanic mustard home does earl have a "thought process" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471618) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:28 AM Author: bronze reading party I skipped his posts. I'm sure he ended up more or less figuring it out but the explanation was unreadable. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471624) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:02 AM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo how many days does it take the dragons to figure it out (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471603) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:04 AM Author: bronze reading party Zero, didn't you read Julia's posts? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471607) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:13 AM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo lol i can't start my day with that. for three dragons B and C would see green eyes and not change at the first midnight and if both B and C didn't assume it's each other and change on the second midnight then A would know he has green eyes and change on the third midnight. so how do you do this for 100 edit never mind it's 100 |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:07 AM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse http://www.physics.harvard.edu/uploads/files/undergrad/probweek/sol2.pdf (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471612) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:15 AM Author: galvanic mustard home thanks. makes sense now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471617) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:33 AM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo lol. they didn't discuss all the dragons turning on the second right because each thought he was colorblind (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471630) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:42 AM Author: bronze reading party Annoyed by lack of discussion of incentives. Obvious shitlib indoctrination. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471634) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:43 AM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26471635) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:13 AM Author: Concupiscible main people Nothing happens at midnight. But when the dragons notice that no other dragons have turned into sparrows, each dragon individually realizes that he himself must have green eyes as well (because each dragon would have been able to avoid knowledge of their own eye color by seeing the other dragons, after you revealed at least one of them has green eyes) So at midnight of the second day, they all turn to sparrows Edit: my logic was on track but I didn't think it out enough to realize it would be the 100th midnight |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 9:21 AM Author: black roommate Lol this is easy. They still don't know what green is but they know everyone else has same eye color. So when no one else morphs a dragon will believe it is the odd one out w green eyes and will morph. When other dragons realize what happens they will all morph.
I have a 200 iq so this is the correct answer. Hth |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:25 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo "Then you decide to tell them something that they all already know (for each can see the colors of the eyes of the other dragons). You tell them all that at least one of them has green eyes." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472799) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:28 PM Author: black roommate They don't know what green is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472823) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:37 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo then how do they already know at least one of them has green eyes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472857) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:44 PM Author: black roommate Oh lol missed that. This q is faggot. Clearly no new info is introduced (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473193) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:55 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard the new info that is introduced is the expectation and failure to see dragons transform. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473245) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:56 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo yeah the visitor doesn't tell them anything new. the new information is that they all know each other heard it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473249) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 11:57 AM Author: shimmering church building This is the best way to explain it:
Before the announcement:
If there are 2 dragons, then Dragon A thinks that Dragon B thinks that there are no green eyes.
If there are 3 dragons, then Dragon A thinks that Dragon B thinks that Dragon C thinks that there are no green eyes.
If there are 4 dragons, then Dragon A thinks that Dragon B thinks that Dragon C thinks that Dragon D thinks that there are no green eyes.
...
The announcement negates those chains by adding new information.
I find it incredibly hard to visualize/conceptualize anything above the 3 dragon scenario, but it's logically sound. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 12:16 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard Once you get to 4 dragons, how can Dragon A think that any Dragon B thinks that Dragon C thinks that Dragon D thinks there are no green eyes?
Dragon A knows that Dragon B knows that Dragon C knows that Dragon D can see at least 2 green eyes. Each of those dragons can see 2 green eyes so how do we mentally attribute the incorrect though to any dragon even through another dragon's imagination?
It stops being clear after 3, though I get the process. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 12:36 PM Author: shimmering church building It's the same problem with the 3 dragon scenario:
Dragon A know that everyone sees at least 1 green eye. But Dragon A does NOT know that Dragon B/C knows that everyone sees at least 1 green eye. In fact, Dragon A thinks that Dragon B thinks that Dragon C sees no green eyes. The intermediary is the key.
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Date: October 7th, 2014 12:42 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard So basically the mistaken impressions stack up, which is why it takes 99 days to settle up.
I guess it seems like in the 4 dragon scenario, C would think that D could see at least B, but B cant think that (though A's mind) or he would be transformed. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:30 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault But that doesn't work once we have 100 dragons. No dragon could even possibly be construed to believe that another dragon doesn't know everybody sees green eyes. It works with the set of 4 but I don't see how it possibly works with 100 dragons. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473111) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:38 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard No dragon can be construed to believe there are no green eyes by any dragon - but remember for our dragon A, at each step he is assuming the mistaken belief of the next dragon that such dragon does not have green eyes.
Our dragon A believes that there are 99 green eyes. (first tier)
Our dragon A believes that every other dragon thinks there are 98 eyes. (second tier)
If every other dragon at the second tier thinks there are 98 green eyes, it follows that those dragons (being imagined by A) imagine every other dragon to think that there are 97 green eyes. (third tier)
Even through IRL, the second tier dragons know that the third tier dragons know that dragon A in fact has green eyes, dragon A cannot possibly know or believe this. In dragon A's mind, the second tier dragons are idiots, believing that the third tier dragons are idiots. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:43 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Sure, but there is no rational way for them to extend this "presumed idiocy" all the way down to the necessary point of a super-idiot thinking he's the only dragon with green eyes. The chain falls apart.
Edit: I think I'm getting a better grasp on why I find this problematic. The supposed issue is that we can make all these nested beliefs descending all the way down, so that Dragon A can think Dragon YYY might think Dragon ZZZ only sees one pair of green eyes. But that doesn't work, because all dragons are thinking simultaneously. Dragon A is somebody else's Dragon B, who is somebody else's Dragon C, etc. We're basically counting on all of them to be having some collective delusion at the same time and I don't think that logically follows. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:54 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard no one dragon is applying it to more than one other dragon. It's just necessary that each dragon, thinking about another dragon, apply another level of idiocy.
Using 4 is the best way to think about it I think, because with 4, Dragon A knows that each dragon can see at least 2 other green eyes.
Dragon A imagines, what B must think. B must think there are two dragons with green eyes, since B cant think he has green eyes, and A believes he himself does not have green eyes.
Dragon A, also thinks that Dragon C, must think there are two dragons with green eyes. However when Dragon A imagines Dragon B's thought process about Dragon C, he thinks that stupid Dragon B must think that Stupid Dragon C only thinks one dragon (Dragon D) has green eyes.
And so forth, A thinks, B thinks, C thinks that D, being the only dragon with green eyes (in C mind) (in B's mind) (in A's mind) thinks that there must be no dragons with green eyes. The information from the bitch makes D's belief (in C mind) (in B's mind) (in A's mind) impossible. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:22 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo it's not presumed idiocy they just can't see their own eyes. a dragon doesn't change until he says oh shit now i know for fact i have green eyes. the only way they can do this is by following the responses of everyone else. that's why they all change at the same time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473410) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:36 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault That much is obvious. I know that in the 4-dragon situation they all change at the same time, after three nights pass.
However, I don't see how this happens with eight dragons because I don't see how they ever conclude for a fact they have green eyes. When I talk about the chain of idiots, I'm talking about the assumptions each dragon has to make about the next succeeding dragon.
Dragon A presumes he has brown eyes. He then imagines he is Dragon B, believing that A and B both have brown eyes, who then imagines Dragon C believing A B and C all have brown eyes, who then imagines Dragon D assuming Dragons A B C and D all have brown eyes. But Dragon A already KNOWS this is impossible, because D would be able to look back and see B's brown eyes. The chain breaks down, without A having to realize he himself has green eyes. The same realization can play out with every dragon, with each being able to rely on the green-ness of other dragon's eyes without having to realize the greenness of their own. And this realization happens well before the cascade can begin.
Fuck, that description is hard to follow even for me.
Edit: To add on, I guess the biggest issue is that when we're descending down the cascade we're "cutting out" earlier dragons as if they don't exist. But they do, they continue to exist throughout and can constantly be mucking up the process. Every dragon knows that all other dragons are making the same calculations, and if I'm Dragon A I know that every other dragons calculations can be fucked up without including myself...and every dragon can reach the exact same conclusion.
People try to "simplify" things by asking us to work from the base case, but that's the exact problem I'm having. We're NOT working up from the easy case of two dragons. We're working DOWN from 100 when EVERY dragon automatically knows that every other dragon can see at least 1, 50, 95 pairs of green eyes. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:56 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo it's not about believing you have brown eyes it's about being able to point to a dragon with green eyes and say here's at least one. condition satisfied. they don't change until they know they have green eyes. the dragons don't consider themselves until the 99th day when they are like wtf why didn't all these green dudes change oh shit i have green eyes. each day there is one dude who you expected to change, but he didn't so you have to say ok which green eyes was he relying upon to satisfy the at least one since he didn't assume it had to be him (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473602) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:32 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard difference between knowing what other dragons see and knowing what others think, what others think, what others think... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473781) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:34 PM Author: Fighting garrison double fault Sure, but in what universe is it possible to imagine that any dragon thinks another dragon might not see any other green eyes? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473789) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:34 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard once you imagine that, you are imagining dragon B on the second tier (who obviously sees 98 eyes) and you are no longer imagining dragon E through the lens of D, C, and B. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26474194) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:55 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker you should be going forward from a base case not backwards towards idiots. non sequitur's explanation above was correct (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473243) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:03 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard That's the easiest way to explain how the cascade works and the timing. It's correct.
However my going backwards explanation is also correct (I think) and instead of dealing with the mechanics of the cascade, deals with the state of mind of the dragons who are each waiting to see what happens to the group per NS's explanation.
I think you need to think of it backwards towards idiots (he thinks, he thinks, he thinks) to understand why the visitor's information which is already universal knowledge, is not common knowledge. The status quo was the everyone thinking the chain of idiocy, notwithstanding having the knowledge themselves. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:50 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo it's the same with 100. you're only worried about the pov of A. before the announcement A and everyone else knew that there were 99 green pairs of eyes so they already knew there was at least one with green eyes. after the announcement A knows that the other 99 all know there is at least one with green eyes and if none of them change at midnight eventually A will know he's the only one left to rely on to believe theirs don't have to be green (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472903) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:55 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard It's not what A knows the 99 know, it's what A thinks that B thinks that C thinks. It's counter intuitive because A knows that all of them know there are 99, but when you do what each thinks that the next thinks, they each must necessarily exclude themselves. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472940) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:01 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo A is any dragon. it just falls back on A at some point when none of them change (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472959) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:05 PM Author: Disturbing pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472978) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:12 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker no :( (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473009) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:14 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard All of them have the realization at the same time once the woman opens her fucking mouth. They immediately all have the realization and it takes 99 days to determine if they have green eyes themselves, no? So for 99 days they expect the other 99 to all transform and when they dont, they all say FML and transform on the 100th day... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473019) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:25 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse "they all say FML and transform on the 100th day..."
This anti-sparrowism is NOT OKAY. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:15 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo it's not a simultaneous realization it's just a fact that they all know each other heard it. with three dragons A sees that B and C would see green eyes and not change at the first midnight and if both B and C didn't each realize it's himself and change on the second midnight then A would realize he has green eyes and change on the third midnight. each of the 3 dragons is thinking this through in the A perspective, so on the third midnight all 3 change (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473025) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:17 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse With logic problems, I like to use counterexamples.
For instance:
(1) If it rains, the sidewalk will be wet.
(2) The sidewalk is wet, therefore it must have rained.
2 doesn't follow from 1. And an intuitive way to show that is to say that it's possible that the sidewalk in 2 could have gotten wet from a firehose, a pissing dog, or a bursting dam.
What's the intuitive logical possibility that existed before the dragon announcement?
I imagine it would take the form of "Dragon X was still permitted to believe Y" or "we could not be sure what Dragon X knew about Y."
Of course, those sorts of explanations tend to get harder as the problem gets more complex, and I can't come up with a good one in this case. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 1:52 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker this is not right at all (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26472918) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:14 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard explain...
The internet answers seem to point to the recursive he thinks that he thinks that he thinks... etc. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:18 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker "no green eyes" is wrong because there are a lot of green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473041) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:22 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard But A believes that B has the mistaken belief that C has the mistaken belief that there are no green eyes, notwithstanding that A, B and C all know themselves there are 2 other green eyes.
Since none of the dragons have disappeared they must believe, through A's imagination chain, that they themselves dont have green eyes. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:23 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker That's only if there's *exactly* one dragon with green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473078) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:33 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo the rule is at least one with green eyes. no one is saying there are no green eyes. they are just looking to someone else and saying ok here's one with green eyes so i don't have to question my eye color. they do this until they've gone through each dragon and everyone realizes he is the "at least one" guy to someone else. then they all change (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473137) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:39 PM Author: ungodly trailer park gay wizard For them not to all change, they have to imagine someone imagining, someone thinking that there are no green eyes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473176) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 2:43 PM Author: shimmering church building Imagine Dragons (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473188) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:00 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473273) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:00 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo they don't even consider it. they can't see their own eyes. they just see someone else with green eyes and that's the end of it. it isn't until everyone else hasn't changed on the 100th day that they consider their own eyes and in that case they know they're green and they all change at midnight (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473270) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 6:10 PM Author: histrionic school nowag I agree with this and I also found it hard to visualise the chains going up from 3 dragons so I tried doing it around the other way around from 100 down.
I think the keys to approaching this problem are:
1. the fact that no dragon has sparrowed to date is very important, because if we assume dragons don't want to be sparrows, it means that each dragon has, notwithstanding the fact that it can see every other dragon has green eyes, managed to construct an entirely logical scenario where it could nonetheless still have red eyes and each dragon is relying on that same scenario in order not to sparrow
2. the extra fact that the visitor introduces must somehow contradict this existing mass dragon state of belief because the puzzle would be boring if the fact didn't cause anything to happen, and since every dragon is identical there is no reason the new fact would cause only one or some dragons to sparrow, it must cause a mass sparrowing
3. the new fact only directly contradicts a belief that no dragon has green eyes but how could any dragon itself believe this when it can see 99 dragons with green eyes?
4. that leads to the conclusion that the relevant belief can only be something one dragon believes another dragon (mistakenly) believes, which leads you to the chains of belief idea that culminates in the "idiot dragon" who sees no green eyed dragons but in whose existence every other dragon must believe |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 6:22 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse It would please me much if future discussions of this problem included the orthodox approach and alternative, specifically named "Idiot Dragon" approach.
http://i.imgur.com/Sieuemd.jpg |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 3:04 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king In retrospect I should have changed one minor detail in this and flamed the fuck out of everyone. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26473293) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 4:44 PM Author: Contagious obsidian site could someone explain to me like i'm an idiot (which I clearly am) why the transformation takes place with 3 dragons?
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:07 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo they know there only has to be one with green eyes to satisfy at least one. they have to know they have green eyes to change. dragon A looks to B and C and says ok no worries both green. midnight 1 comes and nothing happens. dragon A says ok they were just looking to each other and now both B and C will realize the other saw green in him and they'll both change. midnight 2 comes and nothing happens. it's on day 3 that dragon A says oh shit one of these guys had to think i was the at least one with green eyes. each dragon is having this same realization on day 3 midnight 3 comes and all of them change |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:13 PM Author: Contagious obsidian site thakns. Can you explain why this can't be the case:
A sees that B and C both have green eyes --> A satisfied there's >=1 dragon with green eyes
A assumes B thinks that C has green eyes and A has brown eyes --> B satisfied there's >=1 dragon with green eyes
A assumes C thinks that B has green eyes and A has brown eyes --> C satisfied there's >=1 dragon with green eyes
So, since we know that all dragons actually have green eyes, then any dragon can be A, B, or C.
So none of them knows that they, themselves, have green eyes. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:21 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home If A assumes B sees C's green eyes and A's "brown" eyes, then B will expect C to change from a dragon on the first night. When C fails to change to a sparrow on night 1, then on day 2 B will know that he must have green eyes too, and B will turn to a sparrow on Night 2. When this doesn't happen on night 2, A knows that he has green eyes, not brown. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26474131) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:26 PM Author: Contagious obsidian site I can't follow your reasoning on this for some reason.
Why is the below wrong:
A assumes B sees C's green eyes and A's brown eyes. Therefore B can't conclude that he (B) has green eyes because he sees someone else with green eyes.
A assumes C sees B's green eyes and A's brown eyes, therefore C can't conclude that he (C) has green eyes because he sees someone else with green eyes.
A KNOWS that both B and C are mistaken and that they actually do have green eyes, but this doesn't matter since they won't know this for certain unless someone tells them or they look in a mirror, and A can continue to assume that he has brown eyes for the same reason. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:38 PM Author: azure vengeful nursing home This is A's perspective, which is based on the fact that he doesn't know his eyes are green:
B and C each see one brown eyed dragon (A) and one green eyed (the other of B/C) dragon. If A in fact has brown eyes, then B is expecting that C would have turned to a sparrow at 12am on night 1 (because B thinks that C would have been looking at 2 brown eyed dragons). So, B finds out on Day 2 that he must also have green eyes. Same thing with C. If A has brown eyes, then C is expecting B to turn into a sparrow at 12 am of the first night, or else it means C must also have green eyes.
A knows both B and C have green eyes. He knows neither will turn into a sparrow on night 1 because both see at least 1 green eyed dragon. But, if A himself had brown eyes, both B and C would have realized they were green eyed on Day 2, after the other failed to turn into a sparrow. So A expects both B and C to turn into sparrows on night 2. When they don't, A knows he must also have green eyes. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:42 PM Author: shimmering church building It's not wrong, but it's incomplete.
A assumes B sees 1 green (C) and 1 brown (A),
but A also assumes that B assumes that C sees 2 brown eyes (A and B). This is because A knows that B thinks that B himself has brown eyes, and that A himself thinks he has brown eyes.
Therefore, A thinks that B thinks C will turn into sparrow on first night (after C realizes he must have the 1 green eye).
When this fails to happen, A thinks that B will know that B himself must also have green eyes along with C, and that on the second night, B and C will both turn into sparrows.
On this also fails to happen ton the second night, A will know that something is wrong, and that they all have green eyes. On the third night, they all turn into sparrows.
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Date: October 7th, 2014 5:38 PM Author: Deep Electric Native Ceo leave brown out of it. they only have to see one set of green eyes. your example is right. this is their pov for day 1. |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 8:24 PM Author: Arousing chapel people who are hurt Considering the 4-dragon case:
Dragon A knows that dragons B, C, and D each see at least 2 other green eyed dragons.
Dragon A also knows that dragon B knows that dragon C sees at least 1 green eyed dragon. Similarly, A knows that B knows that D sees at least 1 green eyed dragon. Yes, A knows that C sees at least two green eyed dragons, but A doesn't know that B knows that C sees at least two green eyed dragons because A knows that B doesn't know his own status. So, A only knows that B knows that C sees at least 1--even though B in fact knows that C sees at least 2. Stated slightly differently, A figures that he could be brown eyed and that B could assume he's brown eyed, so B could think that C could see only 1 green eyed dragon.
What if we go one more level deep? What does A think about B's knowledge of C's knowledge of D? A could actually think that B could think that C could think that D sees no green eyed dragons, even though A knows that everyone sees at least 2 other green eyed dragons. So, the announcement requires A to revise this assessment--within A's knowledge of B's knowledge, it is no longer possible for C to think that D sees no green eyed dragons.
I think. Does this level of meta knowledge even matter, considering that we already know that every dragon must know that every other dragon can see at least one green-eyed dragon?
Edit: yep, that's it, and the meta meta meta knowledge does matter--the change in this meta meta meta possibility means that under one set of knowledge assumptions dragon D would leave the first night, but since no dragon leaves then we have to move up the chain for the next night |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 11:29 PM Author: Arousing chapel people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26476954) |
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Date: October 7th, 2014 9:14 PM Author: aquamarine idiotic yarmulke philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26475804) |
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Date: October 9th, 2014 11:12 AM Author: balding institution nibblets Subject: Finally got around to reading this The faggotry and stupidity throughout this thread is an embarrassment to a self-proclaimed intelligent discussion board. Even after links to the proof were posted, people still seem unsure of the analysis/conclusion.
The following explanation goes into more detail than necessary for a neat proof, but it might help you fuckheads understand the reasoning.
The 1 dragon, 2 dragon and 3 dragon cases have been adequately explained in numerous posts above. People seem to have a problem going from 3 dragons to 4 dragons and beyond using elegant inductive reasoning, so let's consider the 4 dragon case (dragons D1, D2, D3 and D4) in greater detail. Please focus on the word POSSIBLE in the below description.
*PRIOR TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT*: D1 does not know whether it has green eyes, so it therefore knows that there are either 3 or 4 dragons with green eyes on the island ("DWGEs"<- BOLD). D1 then considers what D2 must think. *If* D1 has green eyes, then D2 would also think that there are either 3 or 4 DWGEs. However, *if* D1 does NOT have green eyes, then D2 would think that there are either 2 or 3 DWGEs (i.e. D3, D4 and maybe D2, but not D1). Put another way: D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that there are 2 or 3 DWGEs. D1 then considers what D2 thinks that D3 must think. From above, since D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that there are only 2 DWGEs, it follows that D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that D3 thinks that there are either 1 or 2 DWGEs (i.e. D4 and maybe D3, but not D1 or D2). *IMPORTANT NOTE*: if you have lost the reasoning already, then your IQ is insufficient to go on. Please instead killself. D1 then considers what D2 thinks that D3 thinks that D4 must think. From above, since D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that D3 thinks that it is possible that there is only 1 DWGE, then it follows that D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that D3 thinks that it is possible that D4 thinks that there are either 0 or 1 DWGEs (i.e. *maybe* D4, but not D1, D2 or D3). It follows that no dragon no cause to sparrow.
*AFTER THE ANNOUNCEMENT* The new information (or perhaps better described as the "revelation") is that it is IMPOSSIBLE for a dragon to think that there are 0 DWGEs on the island. In other words, the final conclusion stated above ("... possible that D4 thinks that there are either 0 or 1 DWGEs ...") is rendered false. Now, let's again consider what D1 thinks that D2 thinks that D3 must think. As concluded above: D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that D3 thinks that it is possible that there is only 1 DWGE (being D4, which (in this hypothetical thought chain) will not see any other green eyes and will therefore (having now been disabused of the notion that there could be 0 or 1 DWGEs) conclude that it is the one with green eyes and, accordingly, will sparrow at midnight following the announcement). However, we know that in fact D4 will not automatically conclude that it is the only one with green eyes as a result of the announcement, because it can see 3 other sets of green eyes. Accordingly, when D4 DOES NOT sparrow at midnight following the announcement, it becomes IMPOSSIBLE for D3 to think that there are any fewer than 2 DWGEs. (Please do remember that all dragons are undertaking the same thought process simultaneously and are identical with each other and arbitrarily numbered.) Now, let's consider what D1 thinks that D2 thinks on the day after the announcement. As concluded above: D1 thinks that it is possible that D2 thinks that it is possible that there are only 2 DWGEs (being D3 and D4, which (in this hypothetical thought chain) will only see one other set of green eyes and will therefore conclude that they are the two with green eyes and, accordingly, will sparrow at the second midnight following the announcement). However, we know that in fact D3 and D4 will not automatically conclude that they are the only two with green eyes on the day following the announcement, because each of them can see 3 other sets of green eyes. Accordingly, when D3 and D4 do not sparrow at the second midnight following the announcement, it becomes IMPOSSIBLE for D2 to think that there are any fewer than 3 DWGEs. Now, let's consider what D1 thinks on the second day after announcement. D1 still thinks that it is possible that there are only 3 DWGEs (being D2, D3 and D4, which (in this hypothetical thought chain) will only see two other sets of green eyes and will therefore conclude that they are the three with green eyes and, accordingly, will sparrow at the third midnight following the announcement). However, we know that in fact D2, D3 and D4 will not automatically conclude that they are the only three with green eyes on the second day following the announcement, because each of them can see 3 other sets of green eyes. Accordingly, when D2, D3 and D4 do not sparrow at the third midnight following the announcement, it becomes IMPOSSIBLE for D1 to think that there are any fewer than 4 DWGEs. All 4 dragons will therefore sparrow at the fourth midnight following the announcement.
It is trivial to go from "4" in the description above to "n". |
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Date: November 24th, 2014 4:19 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26787228) |
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Date: November 26th, 2014 9:56 PM Author: Maroon tantric boistinker bump for sharklasers (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#26807520) |
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Date: December 12th, 2016 3:09 PM Author: sick high-end spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32121090) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:37 AM Author: hot frisky legal warrant whoa holy shit. you bumped this two days ago? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136759) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:46 AM Author: sick high-end spot why is that surprising? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136800) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:48 AM Author: hot frisky legal warrant it hadn't been bumped in two years and i just thought of it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136813) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:51 AM Author: sick high-end spot Julia showed up briefly 2 days ago claiming intellectual superiority about something and so a penumbra of Julia threads were bumped with much shade and froid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136832) |
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Date: December 14th, 2016 8:52 AM Author: hot frisky legal warrant ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#32136839) |
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Date: August 9th, 2019 5:26 PM Author: Thirsty trump supporter bawdyhouse 🐲 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#38663018) |
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Date: August 9th, 2019 5:28 PM Author: hyperactive ticket booth uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#38663023) |
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Date: August 9th, 2019 6:03 PM Author: exciting flatulent sanctuary immigrant As someone else pointed out above, this problem was much easier for me to solve working backwards from what the last dragon sees (i.e., the 99th dragon did not see 98 pairs of brown eyes). The problem with this approach is that it makes it more difficult to ascertain exactly how the recursive nature of the system will play out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2693243&forum_id=2#38663171) |