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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:

December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan&quo...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/10/15
...
Buck-toothed site clown
  12/12/15
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/02/17
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  01/06/16
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  01/06/16
another bump
Supple salmon box office police squad
  06/05/16
180
jet-lagged multi-billionaire masturbator
  03/26/16
...
Bateful Stain
  01/02/17
"October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trum...
Ultramarine abode sneaky criminal
  10/25/18
...
Swashbuckling irate boistinker
  12/10/15
1800000000
indigo floppy trump supporter rehab
  12/10/15
180
Provocative sanctuary
  12/10/15
Fantastic work ITT
Olive Theatre Boltzmann
  12/10/15
...
Opaque field nibblets
  12/15/15
FUCK | THIS | KIKE
domesticated kitchen
  12/10/15
Poasting in a historic thread.
razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner
  12/10/15
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too. Not sayi...
Fragrant bat-shit-crazy quadroon
  12/10/15
...
thriller rambunctious stead
  12/11/15
Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based ...
Spectacular state roast beef
  12/12/15
Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to im...
costumed dog poop
  12/16/15
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle Ye...
Frozen Casino
  01/04/16
...
up-to-no-good bawdyhouse
  11/09/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/11/15
...
Chocolate frum parlour community account
  12/11/15
180 million
Sepia hairraiser french chef
  12/11/15
November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority f...
thriller rambunctious stead
  12/11/15
...
Obsidian Stock Car Corn Cake
  12/12/15
Don't edit loser
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  01/25/16
...
Vigorous Blathering Garrison Main People
  11/10/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/12/15
...
180 Factory Reset Button Ape
  12/12/15
lol
Stimulating aqua cuckold
  12/12/15
March 9 THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN March 1...
Mauve Dilemma
  12/12/15
...
burgundy beta hell
  12/15/15
1 fuckin' 80
Bearded Cordovan Parlor
  12/21/15
...
Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage
  12/12/15
lol, 180
Haunting people who are hurt digit ratio
  12/12/15
...
odious locale
  12/12/15
...
house-broken chad
  12/12/15
Well done.
ruby philosopher-king associate
  12/12/15
Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke mys...
concupiscible infuriating half-breed
  12/12/15
OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trum...
razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner
  12/15/15
And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a n...
razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner
  12/16/15
190
Histrionic Navy National Double Fault
  12/15/15
fuck u for making me laugh
Aggressive sex offender plaza
  12/15/15
I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first p...
harsh whorehouse
  12/15/15
180
Onyx brunch elastic band
  12/15/15
February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hamps...
adventurous juggernaut
  12/15/15
You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice b...
Arousing principal's office mexican
  12/15/15
Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-to...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentucky...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  12/15/15
...
Silver theater stage
  01/05/16
Can't wait to bump this
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  01/25/16
...
grizzly senate
  12/17/16
...
sadistic range
  05/18/16
...
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  08/12/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-c...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/09/16
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  11/09/16
Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And...
Red shrine national security agency
  11/09/16
...
Glassy out-of-control pit
  10/22/20
This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing.
Medicated Cowardly Turdskin Chapel
  12/15/15
180
white point sweet tailpipe
  12/16/15
...
swollen boyish party of the first part nursing home
  12/16/15
Incredible
chartreuse hairless institution
  12/16/15
Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/fe...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/16/15
Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeig...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/17/15
...
soggy free-loading useless brakes
  12/18/15
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  01/06/16
...
tan private investor roommate
  12/18/15
Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By ...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/21/15
"Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http:/...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/21/15
1 fuckin' 80
Bearded Cordovan Parlor
  12/21/15
"micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief ...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/30/15
One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concent...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  12/30/15
This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/04/16
flawless OP. uninflated 180.
Frozen Casino
  01/04/16
ty for all the updates itt
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/05/16
Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  01/25/16
From Silver's Twitter: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?...
soggy free-loading useless brakes
  01/05/16
1800000000000
milky property
  01/05/16
...
Slimy headpube office
  01/05/16
An historic poast
Maroon mediation resort
  01/05/16
180 trillion
Crimson House Deer Antler
  01/05/16
I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys http:...
Maroon mediation resort
  01/05/16
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  01/06/16
Bump to make sure my friends saw this
Maroon mediation resort
  01/06/16
No bias there right? What a shitbird.
Crimson House Deer Antler
  01/05/16
...
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  01/06/16
...
Bearded Cordovan Parlor
  01/07/16
“HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time maga...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/08/16
180 if not copy paste
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  01/08/16
...
Bearded Cordovan Parlor
  01/08/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald...
soggy free-loading useless brakes
  01/09/16
...
Bearded Cordovan Parlor
  01/10/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-u...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/18/16
Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/19/16
looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nom...
soggy free-loading useless brakes
  01/21/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/25/16
180000000000000000000000000000000000000
pale jap piazza
  01/25/16
You're a democratic, remember?
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  01/25/16
No way! 100% TRUMPMO
pale jap piazza
  02/09/16
(2-time shitbama voter)
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  09/06/16
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  11/05/18
...
Rebellious ceo set
  01/29/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  02/01/16
...
orchid tripping den fat ankles
  02/01/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  02/01/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  02/07/16
...
milky property
  02/09/16
...
drab comical hominid
  02/09/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  02/20/16
OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predi...
orange school cafeteria
  02/20/16
PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE
sadistic range
  02/24/16
The OP is XO at its peak brilliance.
Fiercely-loyal Locus
  02/24/16
...
talented crystalline lay
  02/27/16
...
Histrionic Navy National Double Fault
  03/09/16
...
Greedy razzle-dazzle forum
  03/15/16
...
Provocative sanctuary
  03/15/16
...
Aggressive sex offender plaza
  03/16/16
hosting error... LOL this is better than any snl sketch i...
bisexual beady-eyed jew
  02/24/16
...
sinister slate stag film boiling water
  02/24/16
...
Aggressive sex offender plaza
  07/21/16
...
Cracking Queen Of The Night
  02/24/16
...
Provocative sanctuary
  02/27/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/02/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/04/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/09/16
yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets shou...
milky property
  03/09/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/15/16
...
sadistic range
  03/15/16
...
Chrome hideous mother
  03/15/16
truly 180 thread
Impressive thirsty pozpig rigpig
  03/15/16
It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Del...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/16/16
March is very accurate.
razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner
  03/16/16
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  03/23/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/23/16
http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh
odious locale
  03/26/16
Lol,holy Fuck
Poppy Soul-stirring Trailer Park Mad Cow Disease
  03/26/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/26/16
jesus. . .
Silver theater stage
  03/28/16
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  03/28/16
...
indigo floppy trump supporter rehab
  03/28/16
...
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  08/12/16
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  11/05/18
"What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Coul...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/28/16
"Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethi...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/29/16
lol
charismatic codepig center
  03/29/16
"One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Wo...
charismatic codepig center
  03/29/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/29/16
http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/29/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballo...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/01/16
"Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fiv...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/04/16
interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost...
charismatic codepig center
  04/15/16
...
Contagious macaca
  04/15/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/19/16
...
metal yarmulke giraffe
  04/20/16
I love this thread.
autistic laughsome cruise ship
  04/20/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/24/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/25/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/26/16
...
Multi-colored University Newt
  04/26/16
...
amber idiotic foreskin wagecucks
  04/30/16
A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines
Cerebral Meetinghouse
  05/01/16
...
Cerebral Meetinghouse
  11/07/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/02/16
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  05/02/16
The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fi...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/03/16
holy shit
alcoholic massive dingle berry
  05/03/16
...
vermilion heaven
  05/03/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/04/16
180
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  05/04/16
Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries h...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/05/16
Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a h...
house-broken chad
  05/05/16
LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opu...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  05/05/16
Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away.
sinister slate stag film boiling water
  05/05/16
This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewher...
180 Factory Reset Button Ape
  05/18/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/18/16
In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is...
sadistic range
  05/18/16
cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process...
180 Factory Reset Button Ape
  05/18/16
lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  05/29/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  06/20/16
Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning th...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  06/29/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/14/16
...
Deranged big church becky
  07/15/16
...
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  07/15/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/17/16
180
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  07/17/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-fli...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/21/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/22/16
...
violent garnet home
  07/22/16
Wow jesua
Flatulent gas station antidepressant drug
  07/23/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/24/16
Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too.
Copper Kitty Cat Tank
  07/25/16
amazing how accurate this is
charismatic codepig center
  07/25/16
Wish I could profit off this gift.
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  07/27/16
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  08/05/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-sh...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  08/09/16
THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up ...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  08/12/16
holy shit did u edit
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  08/12/16
I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts.
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  08/12/16
LOL if true. I believe you, bro.
Emerald corner toilet seat
  08/12/16
THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is Fa...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  08/30/16
180 i want 2 believe
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  08/30/16
lol
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  09/06/16
Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyei...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  09/13/16
ho lee fuk this is getting good
charismatic codepig center
  09/14/16
Wow. Nailed July, August and early September
Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage
  09/14/16
September 15, 2016 "How Trump Could Win The White Ho...
Vivacious Mad-dog Skullcap Library
  09/15/16
September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don...
Dashing Azure Pervert Business Firm
  09/15/16
god this is good
Supple salmon box office police squad
  09/15/16
XO never not on point
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  09/15/16
...
Galvanic ticket booth
  09/15/16
...
black internet-worthy market
  09/19/16
The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver.
black internet-worthy market
  09/19/16
let's not cross the swords
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  09/27/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  09/24/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-w...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  09/27/16
...
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  09/27/16
This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO hi...
razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner
  09/27/16
...
alcoholic brass legend athletic conference
  10/08/16
...
aphrodisiac awkward location
  07/29/24
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-...
charismatic codepig center
  09/28/16
...
Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage
  09/28/16
180
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  09/28/16
This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting...
autistic laughsome cruise ship
  09/28/16
...
Contagious macaca
  09/28/16
...
glittery indian lodge genital piercing
  10/08/16
hey, this weekend wasnt in the script
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  10/09/16
Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere
vibrant public bath
  10/09/16
doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago i...
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  10/09/16
half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday
Dull station prole
  10/09/16
nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta p...
charismatic codepig center
  10/10/16
close enough.
Copper Kitty Cat Tank
  10/30/16
Almost there
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  11/01/16
...
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  11/01/16
...
Umber slap-happy temple
  11/02/16
...
Onyx brunch elastic band
  11/02/16
prob the last time we can bump this
charismatic codepig center
  11/07/16
You say that but.....
cocky canary cuck
  11/08/16
true, the shitlibs can bump all they like
charismatic codepig center
  11/08/16
ty for your sympathy bump.
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/08/16
ho lee fuk
charismatic codepig center
  11/08/16
...
Impertinent stirring stage
  11/08/16
Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump LJ...
amethyst lodge background story
  11/08/16
...
orchid tripping den fat ankles
  11/08/16
...
black internet-worthy market
  11/08/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/08/16
...
mentally impaired personal credit line base
  11/09/16
...
Vivacious Mad-dog Skullcap Library
  11/09/16
...
well-lubricated selfie step-uncle's house
  11/09/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/09/16
GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  11/09/16
...
mentally impaired personal credit line base
  11/09/16
it really deserves national attention
Copper Kitty Cat Tank
  11/09/16
...
house-broken chad
  11/09/16
...
violet motley native dragon
  12/03/16
...
Vigorous Blathering Garrison Main People
  12/07/16
...
grizzly senate
  12/17/16
...
marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib
  10/11/24
...
Magenta Space Gaping
  11/09/16
Historic.
turquoise excitant love of her life
  11/09/16
...
Racy nighttime potus
  11/09/16
180 The anti-Rudolph.
Fantasy-prone narrow-minded menage
  11/09/16
...
violet motley native dragon
  11/09/16
...
curious apoplectic orchestra pit
  11/09/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/09/16
this cannot be bumped enough.
180 Factory Reset Button Ape
  11/09/16
...
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  11/09/16
...
disgusting faggot firefighter
  11/09/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/09/16
...
Pink School
  11/09/16
...
lime razzle gay wizard
  11/09/16
November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the pol...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/09/16
you're fucking nostradamus
Olive Theatre Boltzmann
  11/09/16
...
tan private investor roommate
  11/10/16
Here we go...
pale jap piazza
  11/10/16
bumped
Supple salmon box office police squad
  11/10/16
...
appetizing pistol
  11/10/16
sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/10/16
ROFL
charismatic codepig center
  11/10/16
...
orange school cafeteria
  11/10/16
...
black internet-worthy market
  11/14/16
They're all heads attached to the same (((monster)))
hyperventilating church building jewess
  11/14/16
Extraordinary prescience itt
Exciting Lettuce
  12/04/16
...
grizzly senate
  12/17/16
...
marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib
  10/11/24
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/25/16
...
Embarrassed to the bone crackhouse
  12/03/16
GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK!
Dull station prole
  12/04/16
https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg
translucent pocket flask
  12/07/16
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  12/07/16
...
Embarrassed to the bone crackhouse
  12/07/16
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/02/17
October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predicto...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/02/17
ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO.
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/02/17
ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump also a classic
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/02/17
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  03/03/20
truly magnificent
Supple salmon box office police squad
  01/02/17
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  01/16/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/20/17
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/20/17
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-bl...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/23/17
TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of t...
glittery indian lodge genital piercing
  01/23/17
It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the ...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/23/17
I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that...
Mind-boggling puppy
  01/23/17
it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it ...
glittery indian lodge genital piercing
  01/23/17
The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was c...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/23/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-a...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/25/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misl...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  01/26/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-supe...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  02/06/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-di...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  02/13/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  02/27/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probab...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  05/03/17
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/03/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probabi...
mischievous splenetic friendly grandma
  09/21/17
this seriously needs mainstream coverage
Provocative sanctuary
  01/23/17
One of the greatest things made on this great bort
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  02/27/17
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  03/22/17
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  04/17/17
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/08/17
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  06/20/17
What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? http...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  08/10/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  10/15/17
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  10/15/17
...
Electric Angry Twinkling Uncleanness
  10/15/17
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/06/17
credit where it's massively due
gaped area brethren
  11/06/17
...
heady ungodly alpha immigrant
  11/08/17
...
carnelian psychic
  11/08/17
...
Unholy
  11/13/17
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  12/18/17
Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not...
irradiated coffee pot black woman
  12/18/17
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  12/18/17
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  01/30/18
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  06/01/18
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-be...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/18/18
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  07/19/18
...
Galvanic ticket booth
  09/20/18
The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  09/25/18
It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true
indigo floppy trump supporter rehab
  10/06/18
lol 180
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  10/06/18
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  10/25/18
Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular.
Dashing Azure Pervert Business Firm
  10/25/18
...
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  11/05/18
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  11/05/18
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  11/05/18
...
Supple salmon box office police squad
  11/05/18
What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivet...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  01/08/19
...
Wine candlestick maker water buffalo
  02/23/19
Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main ...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  03/13/19
There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. ...
Rusted Lascivious Hospital
  06/24/19
...
maize travel guidebook
  06/24/19
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  11/18/19
...
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  02/12/20
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  02/12/20
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  03/24/20
...
Frisky
  03/24/20
...
Deranged big church becky
  04/04/20
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  04/26/20
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-o...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  05/13/20
...
Deranged big church becky
  06/05/20
...
wonderful
  06/05/20
...
Deranged big church becky
  09/09/20
...
coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested
  09/09/20
Lmao never forget
Swashbuckling irate boistinker
  09/09/20
...
titillating old irish cottage
  09/12/20
...
pea-brained tattoo
  09/24/20
...
maize travel guidebook
  10/09/20
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  10/10/20
...
self-absorbed affirmative action
  10/22/20
...
violet motley native dragon
  10/22/20
...
Glassy out-of-control pit
  10/22/20
https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui
Glassy out-of-control pit
  10/22/20
...
buff exhilarant
  03/23/22
...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  10/27/20
...
Passionate anal laser beams address
  10/27/20
...
maize travel guidebook
  10/30/20
...
outnumbered sick sandwich
  11/03/20
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/22/22
...
balding windowlicker
  03/23/22
...
aromatic insecure cuckoldry
  03/23/22
180 and prescient
Wild dysfunction
  03/23/22
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  07/25/22
A classic
Swashbuckling irate boistinker
  07/25/22
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  10/23/22
Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection htt...
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  11/16/22
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168
Diverse purple hall filthpig
  04/25/23
why was disney employing this guy anyways
180 Factory Reset Button Ape
  04/25/23
...
pea-brained tattoo
  04/29/23
FOCK! This still hurts to read
aphrodisiac awkward location
  05/28/23
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  02/22/24
...
pea-brained tattoo
  02/23/24
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  05/23/24
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  08/26/24
...
pea-brained tattoo
  09/13/24
One of the GOAT threads of all time
Swashbuckling irate boistinker
  09/13/24
...
pea-brained tattoo
  10/18/24
...
marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib
  10/11/24
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  11/06/24
538 is being shut down. This post is now complete.
house-broken chad
  03/04/25
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46
house-broken chad
  03/04/25
Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn *fa...
Galvanic ticket booth
  03/04/25
The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peace...
marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib
  03/04/25
He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare...
Cream degenerate
  03/04/25
...
ivory round eye
  03/05/25
...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/07/25
538 is now 404
aquamarine
  03/07/25
"How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost...
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/08/25
Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how muc...
sickened
  03/08/25
Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything.
trip judgmental spot rigor
  03/08/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan"

December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?"

December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem"

January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most"

January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out"

January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One"

January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem"

February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory"

February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire"

February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."

February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"

February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow"

February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination"

February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma"

February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast"

March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever"

March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump"

April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party"

April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?"

May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade"

May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like"

June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention"

July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan"

August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting"

August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984"

August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why."

September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"

September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton"

September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom"

October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"

October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think"

October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority"

November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won"

November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey

January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351701)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: Buck-toothed site clown



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad

another bump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM
Author: jet-lagged multi-billionaire masturbator

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM
Author: Bateful Stain



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM
Author: Ultramarine abode sneaky criminal

"October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM
Author: Swashbuckling irate boistinker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM
Author: indigo floppy trump supporter rehab

1800000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM
Author: Provocative sanctuary

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM
Author: Olive Theatre Boltzmann

Fantastic work ITT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM
Author: Opaque field nibblets



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM
Author: domesticated kitchen

FUCK | THIS | KIKE

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM
Author: razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner

Poasting in a historic thread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM
Author: Fragrant bat-shit-crazy quadroon

Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.

Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM
Author: thriller rambunctious stead



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM
Author: Spectacular state roast beef

Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM
Author: costumed dog poop

Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM
Author: Frozen Casino

Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM

Author: TannerBoyle

Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.

Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519054)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM
Author: up-to-no-good bawdyhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM
Author: Chocolate frum parlour community account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM
Author: Sepia hairraiser french chef

180 million

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM
Author: thriller rambunctious stead

November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM
Author: Obsidian Stock Car Corn Cake



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital

Don't edit loser

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM
Author: Vigorous Blathering Garrison Main People



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM
Author: 180 Factory Reset Button Ape



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM
Author: Stimulating aqua cuckold

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM
Author: Mauve Dilemma

March 9

THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN

March 10

THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN

March 11

THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP

March 12

THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE

March 13

THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS

March 14

THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON

March 18

BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL

He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers

March 19

BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS

March 20

NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS

March 21

THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU

March 22

HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364829)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM
Author: burgundy beta hell



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM
Author: Bearded Cordovan Parlor

1 fuckin' 80

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM
Author: Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM
Author: Haunting people who are hurt digit ratio

lol, 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM
Author: odious locale



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM
Author: house-broken chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM
Author: ruby philosopher-king associate

Well done.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM
Author: concupiscible infuriating half-breed

Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM
Author: razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner

OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM
Author: razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner

And today's:

"The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29391511)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM
Author: Histrionic Navy National Double Fault

190

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM
Author: Aggressive sex offender plaza

fuck u for making me laugh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM
Author: harsh whorehouse

I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM
Author: Onyx brunch elastic band

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM
Author: adventurous juggernaut

February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."

February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384191)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM
Author: Arousing principal's office mexican

You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

Trump odds, August 2015:

Silver: 2%

Miller: 0%

Enten: -10%

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384225)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM
Author: Silver theater stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital

Can't wait to bump this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM
Author: grizzly senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246)



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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM
Author: sadistic range



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262)



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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325)



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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM
Author: Red shrine national security agency

Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851781)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM
Author: Glassy out-of-control pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: Medicated Cowardly Turdskin Chapel

This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM
Author: white point sweet tailpipe

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM
Author: swollen boyish party of the first part nursing home



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM
Author: chartreuse hairless institution

Incredible

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Trump Boom or Trump Bubble?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29396453)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29398191)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM
Author: soggy free-loading useless brakes



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM
Author: tan private investor roommate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342)



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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29428691)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"Trump has some weird chinks in his armor"

http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429040)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM
Author: Bearded Cordovan Parlor

1 fuckin' 80

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29485187)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.

But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29485191)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29518987)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM
Author: Frozen Casino

flawless OP. uninflated 180.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

ty for all the updates itt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital

Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM
Author: soggy free-loading useless brakes

From Silver's Twitter:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531428)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM
Author: milky property

1800000000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM
Author: Slimy headpube office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM
Author: Maroon mediation resort

An historic poast

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM
Author: Crimson House Deer Antler

180 trillion

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM
Author: Maroon mediation resort

I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys

http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531509)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843)



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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM
Author: Maroon mediation resort

Bump to make sure my friends saw this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM
Author: Crimson House Deer Antler

No bias there right? What a shitbird.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM
Author: Bearded Cordovan Parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163)



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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

“HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.

Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.

These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551251)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

180 if not copy paste

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM
Author: Bearded Cordovan Parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM
Author: soggy free-loading useless brakes

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM
Author: Bearded Cordovan Parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112)



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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29632610)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM
Author: soggy free-loading useless brakes

looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/

In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:

His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there.

There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states.

Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1

But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.

I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.

But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:

The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated.

Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better.

Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president.

An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.)

You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.

Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?

I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.

Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.

Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.

But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:

Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand.

Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race.

If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire.

Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3

So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.

These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.

Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29649247)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM
Author: pale jap piazza

180000000000000000000000000000000000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital

You're a democratic, remember?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM
Author: pale jap piazza

No way! 100% TRUMPMO

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

(2-time shitbama voter)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM
Author: Rebellious ceo set



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124)



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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM
Author: orchid tripping den fat ankles



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM
Author: milky property



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735)



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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM
Author: drab comical hominid



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM
Author: orange school cafeteria

OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM
Author: sadistic range

PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM
Author: Fiercely-loyal Locus

The OP is XO at its peak brilliance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM
Author: talented crystalline lay



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM
Author: Histrionic Navy National Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM
Author: Greedy razzle-dazzle forum



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM
Author: Provocative sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM
Author: Aggressive sex offender plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM
Author: bisexual beady-eyed jew

hosting error... LOL

this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903628)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM
Author: sinister slate stag film boiling water



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM
Author: Aggressive sex offender plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM
Author: Cracking Queen Of The Night



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM
Author: Provocative sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM
Author: milky property

yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM
Author: sadistic range



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM
Author: Chrome hideous mother



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM
Author: Impressive thirsty pozpig rigpig

truly 180 thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070566)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM
Author: razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner

March is very accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM
Author: odious locale

http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM
Author: Poppy Soul-stirring Trailer Park Mad Cow Disease

Lol,holy Fuck

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: Silver theater stage

jesus. . .

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM
Author: indigo floppy trump supporter rehab



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-two-front-war-to-deny-trump-the-nomination-could-look-like/

"Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151872)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160651)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM
Author: charismatic codepig center

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM
Author: charismatic codepig center

"One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161569)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30201806)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:

http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686

Articles by Karl Rove

Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing

April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.

Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.

The Not-Trump GOP Rises

April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.

The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.

An Ugly General Election Takes Shape

March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.

Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.

Don’t Coddle Donald Trump

March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.

A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.

How Trump Can Raise His Game

March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.

A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.

The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won

March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.

He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.

A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners

March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.

Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’

The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet

February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.

There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate.

James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’

Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War

February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.

There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims

GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump

February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.

The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.

How Trump Blew an Easy Win

February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.

He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.

Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity

January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.

The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?

Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk

January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.

Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.

The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans

January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.

At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.

My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions

January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.

Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach

December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.

Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.

Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee

December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.

He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.

The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails

December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.

A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279040)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM
Author: Contagious macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM
Author: metal yarmulke giraffe



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM
Author: autistic laughsome cruise ship

I love this thread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM
Author: Multi-colored University Newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM
Author: amber idiotic foreskin wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM
Author: Cerebral Meetinghouse
Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines

JUN 16, 2015

Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

JUL 16, 2015

Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously

JUL 29, 2015

Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates

AUG 7, 2015

Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News

AUG 7, 2015

Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.

AUG 11, 2015

Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination

AUG 14, 2015

Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record

AUG 31, 2015

A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump

SEP 2, 2015

Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’

SEP 8, 2015

If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too

SEP 17, 2015

We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate

SEP 24, 2015

Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?

OCT 20, 2015

Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible

OCT 26, 2015

Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?

NOV 4, 2015

The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump

NOV 23, 2015

Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls

DEC 1, 2015

The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate

DEC 2, 2015

Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!

DEC 4, 2015

Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention

DEC 15, 2015

Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?

DEC 17, 2015

Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing

JAN 18, 2016

Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters

JAN 19, 2016

Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz

JAN 19, 2016

Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0

JAN 21, 2016

One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump

JAN 26, 2016

Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?

JAN 27, 2016

Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate

JAN 31, 2016

Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep

FEB 2, 2016

Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan

FEB 3, 2016

Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much

FEB 4, 2016

Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild

FEB 5, 2016

Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google

FEB 9, 2016

Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire

FEB 10, 2016

John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump

FEB 17, 2016

Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?

FEB 18, 2016

The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump

FEB 21, 2016

Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War

FEB 22, 2016

Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith

FEB 23, 2016

Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout

FEB 24, 2016

Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz

FEB 24, 2016

Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump

FEB 26, 2016

Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump

MAR 1, 2016

Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump

MAR 2, 2016

Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?

MAR 2, 2016

Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination

MAR 3, 2016

Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices

MAR 4, 2016

Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination

MAR 7, 2016

Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules

MAR 7, 2016

Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump

MAR 8, 2016

Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?

MAR 10, 2016

Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump

MAR 11, 2016

Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable

MAR 15, 2016

Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late

MAR 16, 2016

It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates

MAR 16, 2016

Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates

MAR 21, 2016

Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?

MAR 22, 2016

The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates

MAR 23, 2016

Why Donald Trump?

MAR 23, 2016

How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump

MAR 25, 2016

Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November

MAR 25, 2016

What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like

MAR 29, 2016

Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan

MAR 29, 2016

One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women

MAR 30, 2016

How Trump Hacked The Media

MAR 31, 2016

Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump

APR 1, 2016

It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention

APR 5, 2016

The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump

APR 7, 2016

Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote

APR 8, 2016

Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling

APR 11, 2016

Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era

APR 11, 2016

Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado

APR 11, 2016

Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?

APR 14, 2016

Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him

APR 18, 2016

New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates

APR 23, 2016

Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working

APR 25, 2016

Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast

APR 25, 2016

Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?

APR 27, 2016

It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30385550)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM
Author: Cerebral Meetinghouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398673)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM
Author: alcoholic massive dingle berry

holy shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM
Author: vermilion heaven



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412509)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM
Author: house-broken chad

Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM
Author: sinister slate stag film boiling water

Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: 180 Factory Reset Button Ape

This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: sadistic range

In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM
Author: 180 Factory Reset Button Ape

cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.

FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office.

“Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”

Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.

Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.

“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”

“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.

Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.

“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30817368)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM
Author: Deranged big church becky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM
Author: violent garnet home



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM
Author: Flatulent gas station antidepressant drug

Wow jesua

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM
Author: Copper Kitty Cat Tank

Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM
Author: charismatic codepig center

amazing how accurate this is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

Wish I could profit off this gift.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/

Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31146587)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984"

NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like"

"That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however."

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172533)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

holy shit did u edit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM
Author: Emerald corner toilet seat

LOL if true. I believe you, bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why."

NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31298094)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

180

i want 2 believe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31298330)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31399652)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

ho lee fuk this is getting good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM
Author: Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage

Wow. Nailed July, August and early September

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM
Author: Vivacious Mad-dog Skullcap Library

September 15, 2016

"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-trump-could-win-the-white-house-while-losing-the-popular-vote/

RUH ROH LIBS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31412268)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM
Author: Dashing Azure Pervert Business Firm

September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"

Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:

Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless

http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413892)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad

god this is good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested

XO never not on point

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM
Author: Galvanic ticket booth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM
Author: black internet-worthy market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM
Author: black internet-worthy market

The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

let's not cross the swords

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: razzmatazz scourge upon the earth gunner

This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM
Author: alcoholic brass legend athletic conference



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM
Author: aphrodisiac awkward location



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/

vs

September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511634)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM
Author: Yellow bat shit crazy depressive stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM
Author: autistic laughsome cruise ship

This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM
Author: Contagious macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM
Author: glittery indian lodge genital piercing



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

hey, this weekend wasnt in the script

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM
Author: vibrant public bath

Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM
Author: Dull station prole

half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:

It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.

These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/

meanwhile:

Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate

As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31606849)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM
Author: Copper Kitty Cat Tank

close enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit

Almost there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM
Author: Umber slap-happy temple



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM
Author: Onyx brunch elastic band



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM
Author: charismatic codepig center

prob the last time we can bump this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM
Author: cocky canary cuck

You say that but.....

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

true, the shitlibs can bump all they like

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

ty for your sympathy bump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM
Author: charismatic codepig center

ho lee fuk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM
Author: Impertinent stirring stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM
Author: amethyst lodge background story

Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump

LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842921)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM
Author: orchid tripping den fat ankles



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM
Author: black internet-worthy market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM
Author: mentally impaired personal credit line base



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM
Author: Vivacious Mad-dog Skullcap Library



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM
Author: well-lubricated selfie step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested

GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM
Author: mentally impaired personal credit line base



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM
Author: Copper Kitty Cat Tank

it really deserves national attention

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM
Author: house-broken chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM
Author: violet motley native dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM
Author: Vigorous Blathering Garrison Main People



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM
Author: grizzly senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM
Author: marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM
Author: Magenta Space Gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM
Author: turquoise excitant love of her life

Historic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM
Author: Racy nighttime potus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM
Author: Fantasy-prone narrow-minded menage

180

The anti-Rudolph.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849573)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM
Author: violet motley native dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM
Author: curious apoplectic orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM
Author: 180 Factory Reset Button Ape

this cannot be bumped enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM
Author: disgusting faggot firefighter



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM
Author: Pink School



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM
Author: lime razzle gay wizard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame."

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863273)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM
Author: Olive Theatre Boltzmann

you're fucking nostradamus

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM
Author: tan private investor roommate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM
Author: pale jap piazza

Here we go...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad

bumped

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM
Author: appetizing pistol



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months"

http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868225)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM
Author: charismatic codepig center

ROFL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM
Author: orange school cafeteria



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM
Author: black internet-worthy market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM
Author: hyperventilating church building jewess

They're all heads attached to the same (((monster)))

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM
Author: Exciting Lettuce

Extraordinary prescience itt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM
Author: grizzly senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM
Author: marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone crackhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM
Author: Dull station prole

GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM
Author: translucent pocket flask

https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone crackhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/

OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM

Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284625)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump

also a classic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284647)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad

truly magnificent

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441205)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM
Author: glittery indian lodge genital piercing

TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM
Author: Mind-boggling puppy

I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).

What are those assholes at Princeton up to?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441255)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM
Author: glittery indian lodge genital piercing

it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping

it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)

it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441302)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM
Author: mischievous splenetic friendly grandma

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM
Author: Provocative sanctuary

this seriously needs mainstream coverage

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested

One of the greatest things made on this great bort

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33958232)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM
Author: Electric Angry Twinkling Uncleanness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM
Author: gaped area brethren

credit where it's massively due

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM
Author: heady ungodly alpha immigrant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM
Author: carnelian psychic



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM
Author: Unholy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM
Author: irradiated coffee pot black woman

Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM
Author: Galvanic ticket booth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/

SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" "

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36889953)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM
Author: indigo floppy trump supporter rehab

It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

lol 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM
Author: Dashing Azure Pervert Business Firm

Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM
Author: Supple salmon box office police squad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM
Author: Wine candlestick maker water buffalo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case.

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170

Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls."

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37923789)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM
Author: Rusted Lascivious Hospital

There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM
Author: maize travel guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM
Author: Frisky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM
Author: Deranged big church becky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/

In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40199746)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM
Author: Deranged big church becky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM
Author: wonderful



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM
Author: Deranged big church becky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM
Author: coiffed tanning salon idea he suggested



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM
Author: Swashbuckling irate boistinker

Lmao never forget

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM
Author: titillating old irish cottage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM
Author: pea-brained tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM
Author: maize travel guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM
Author: self-absorbed affirmative action



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM
Author: violet motley native dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM
Author: Glassy out-of-control pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM
Author: Glassy out-of-control pit

https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM
Author: buff exhilarant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM
Author: Passionate anal laser beams address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM
Author: maize travel guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM
Author: outnumbered sick sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM
Author: balding windowlicker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM
Author: aromatic insecure cuckoldry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM
Author: Wild dysfunction

180 and prescient

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM
Author: Swashbuckling irate boistinker

A classic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45500653)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM
Author: Diverse purple hall filthpig

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM
Author: 180 Factory Reset Button Ape

why was disney employing this guy anyways

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM
Author: pea-brained tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM
Author: aphrodisiac awkward location

FOCK!

This still hurts to read

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46365046)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM
Author: pea-brained tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope

As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”

I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.

Wait, wait—why?

Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47686778)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM
Author: pea-brained tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM
Author: Swashbuckling irate boistinker

One of the GOAT threads of all time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224)



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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM
Author: pea-brained tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967)



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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM
Author: marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302)



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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48296972)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM
Author: house-broken chad

538 is being shut down. This post is now complete.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715841)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM
Author: house-broken chad

https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715847)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM
Author: Galvanic ticket booth

Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn

*facts cum*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715850)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM
Author: marvelous rough-skinned theater shitlib

The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715863)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM
Author: Cream degenerate

He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715869)



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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM
Author: ivory round eye



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48716330)



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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724299)



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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM
Author: aquamarine

538 is now 404

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724306)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

"How Trump Killed 538"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727160)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM
Author: sickened

Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727216)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM
Author: trip judgmental spot rigor

Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727802)