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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:

December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan&quo...
translucent pozpig
  12/10/15
...
histrionic territorial library chad
  12/12/15
...
translucent pozpig
  01/02/17
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  01/06/16
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  01/06/16
another bump
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  06/05/16
180
dead mustard roommate stain
  03/26/16
...
vivacious sneaky criminal shrine
  01/02/17
"October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trum...
Out-of-control stirring crackhouse gaming laptop
  10/25/18
...
Olive Gas Station Knife
  12/10/15
1800000000
floppy indian lodge
  12/10/15
180
salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef
  12/10/15
Fantastic work ITT
Massive liquid oxygen
  12/10/15
...
self-absorbed cruel-hearted center quadroon
  12/15/15
FUCK | THIS | KIKE
Chestnut exhilarant stage
  12/10/15
Poasting in a historic thread.
Razzmatazz cuck
  12/10/15
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too. Not sayi...
Claret Fantasy-prone Theater Stage
  12/10/15
...
180 persian heaven
  12/11/15
Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based ...
Spruce mad cow disease
  12/12/15
Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to im...
amethyst low-t dilemma multi-billionaire
  12/16/15
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle Ye...
Aquamarine nighttime nowag
  01/04/16
...
fiercely-loyal citrine resort dog poop
  11/09/16
...
translucent pozpig
  12/11/15
...
contagious walnut lettuce laser beams
  12/11/15
180 million
Dashing prole
  12/11/15
November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority f...
180 persian heaven
  12/11/15
...
odious address
  12/12/15
Don't edit loser
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  01/25/16
...
Bateful Zippy Range Goyim
  11/10/16
...
translucent pozpig
  12/12/15
...
electric meetinghouse yarmulke
  12/12/15
lol
blue giraffe people who are hurt
  12/12/15
March 9 THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN March 1...
Judgmental ticket booth
  12/12/15
...
Fishy slap-happy mood
  12/15/15
1 fuckin' 80
vigorous azn locus
  12/21/15
...
hilarious lake faggotry degenerate
  12/12/15
lol, 180
Overrated Aromatic Tank Volcanic Crater
  12/12/15
...
Spectacular selfie tattoo
  12/12/15
...
vibrant buck-toothed brunch
  12/12/15
Well done.
violet voyeur
  12/12/15
Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke mys...
fluffy crotch
  12/12/15
OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trum...
Razzmatazz cuck
  12/15/15
And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a n...
Razzmatazz cuck
  12/16/15
190
supple insanely creepy toaster new version
  12/15/15
fuck u for making me laugh
Khaki senate
  12/15/15
I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first p...
pontificating passionate legal warrant space
  12/15/15
180
mischievous foreskin puppy
  12/15/15
February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hamps...
Sooty flirting bawdyhouse
  12/15/15
You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice b...
learning disabled private investor lodge
  12/15/15
Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10...
translucent pozpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-...
translucent pozpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-...
translucent pozpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-to...
translucent pozpig
  12/15/15
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentucky...
translucent pozpig
  12/15/15
...
avocado temple
  01/05/16
Can't wait to bump this
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  01/25/16
...
lime concupiscible piazza death wish
  12/17/16
...
Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio
  05/18/16
...
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  08/12/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-c...
translucent pozpig
  11/09/16
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  11/09/16
Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And...
Hateful slimy locale rigpig
  11/09/16
...
Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold
  10/22/20
This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing.
bisexual harsh goal in life church
  12/15/15
180
Elite institution
  12/16/15
...
Slate motley school cafeteria fat ankles
  12/16/15
Incredible
Exciting house
  12/16/15
Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/fe...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/16/15
Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeig...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/17/15
...
Cerebral white sanctuary messiness
  12/18/15
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  01/06/16
...
cobalt sound barrier sandwich
  12/18/15
Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By ...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/21/15
"Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http:/...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/21/15
1 fuckin' 80
vigorous azn locus
  12/21/15
"micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief ...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/30/15
One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concent...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  12/30/15
This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/04/16
flawless OP. uninflated 180.
Aquamarine nighttime nowag
  01/04/16
ty for all the updates itt
translucent pozpig
  01/05/16
Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  01/25/16
From Silver's Twitter: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?...
Cerebral white sanctuary messiness
  01/05/16
1800000000000
Submissive talented alpha church building
  01/05/16
...
Big theater twinkling uncleanness
  01/05/16
An historic poast
Amber kitty cat potus
  01/05/16
180 trillion
Fuchsia Filthy Ape
  01/05/16
I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys http:...
Amber kitty cat potus
  01/05/16
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  01/06/16
Bump to make sure my friends saw this
Amber kitty cat potus
  01/06/16
No bias there right? What a shitbird.
Fuchsia Filthy Ape
  01/05/16
...
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  01/06/16
...
vigorous azn locus
  01/07/16
“HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time maga...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/08/16
180 if not copy paste
aqua corn cake lay
  01/08/16
...
vigorous azn locus
  01/08/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald...
Cerebral white sanctuary messiness
  01/09/16
...
vigorous azn locus
  01/10/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-u...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/18/16
Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/19/16
looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nom...
Cerebral white sanctuary messiness
  01/21/16
...
translucent pozpig
  01/25/16
180000000000000000000000000000000000000
crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces
  01/25/16
You're a democratic, remember?
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  01/25/16
No way! 100% TRUMPMO
crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces
  02/09/16
(2-time shitbama voter)
aqua corn cake lay
  09/06/16
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  11/05/18
...
domesticated appetizing useless brakes abode
  01/29/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  02/01/16
...
green principal's office
  02/01/16
...
translucent pozpig
  02/01/16
...
translucent pozpig
  02/07/16
...
Submissive talented alpha church building
  02/09/16
...
Charismatic sexy gunner public bath
  02/09/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  02/20/16
OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predi...
Lascivious Cerise State Nibblets
  02/20/16
PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE
Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio
  02/24/16
The OP is XO at its peak brilliance.
galvanic pearly brethren main people
  02/24/16
...
irradiated pisswyrm parlour
  02/27/16
...
supple insanely creepy toaster new version
  03/09/16
...
Umber racy newt set
  03/15/16
...
salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef
  03/15/16
...
Khaki senate
  03/16/16
hosting error... LOL this is better than any snl sketch i...
house-broken place of business
  02/24/16
...
Navy marvelous becky round eye
  02/24/16
...
Khaki senate
  07/21/16
...
Haunting clown orchestra pit
  02/24/16
...
salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef
  02/27/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/02/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/04/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/09/16
yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets shou...
Submissive talented alpha church building
  03/09/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/15/16
...
Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio
  03/15/16
...
well-lubricated brindle menage mexican
  03/15/16
truly 180 thread
Bright Cruise Ship
  03/15/16
It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Del...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/16/16
March is very accurate.
Razzmatazz cuck
  03/16/16
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  03/23/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/23/16
http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh
Spectacular selfie tattoo
  03/26/16
Lol,holy Fuck
Cracking ivory black woman immigrant
  03/26/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/26/16
jesus. . .
avocado temple
  03/28/16
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  03/28/16
...
floppy indian lodge
  03/28/16
...
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  08/12/16
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  11/05/18
"What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Coul...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/28/16
"Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethi...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/29/16
lol
yapping area
  03/29/16
"One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Wo...
yapping area
  03/29/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/29/16
http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/29/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballo...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/01/16
"Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fiv...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/04/16
interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost...
yapping area
  04/15/16
...
opaque excitant step-uncle's house
  04/15/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/19/16
...
Balding field
  04/20/16
I love this thread.
orange nofapping queen of the night
  04/20/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/24/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/25/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/26/16
...
twisted trust fund fortuitous meteor
  04/26/16
...
honey-headed painfully honest location
  04/30/16
A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines
Insane hairraiser hunting ground
  05/01/16
...
Insane hairraiser hunting ground
  11/07/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/02/16
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  05/02/16
The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fi...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/03/16
holy shit
Bat-shit-crazy Site
  05/03/16
...
Pale cowardly hell windowlicker
  05/03/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/04/16
180
aqua corn cake lay
  05/04/16
Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries h...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/05/16
Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a h...
vibrant buck-toothed brunch
  05/05/16
LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opu...
translucent pozpig
  05/05/16
Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away.
Navy marvelous becky round eye
  05/05/16
This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewher...
electric meetinghouse yarmulke
  05/18/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/18/16
In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is...
Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio
  05/18/16
cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process...
electric meetinghouse yarmulke
  05/18/16
lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it...
translucent pozpig
  05/29/16
...
translucent pozpig
  06/20/16
Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning th...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  06/29/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/14/16
...
Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza
  07/15/16
...
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  07/15/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/17/16
180
aqua corn cake lay
  07/17/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-fli...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/21/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/22/16
...
razzle-dazzle hall
  07/22/16
Wow jesua
Arousing Puce Property Headpube
  07/23/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/24/16
Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too.
Sinister Stimulating University Idiot
  07/25/16
amazing how accurate this is
yapping area
  07/25/16
Wish I could profit off this gift.
translucent pozpig
  07/27/16
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  08/05/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-sh...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  08/09/16
THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up ...
translucent pozpig
  08/12/16
holy shit did u edit
aqua corn cake lay
  08/12/16
I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts.
translucent pozpig
  08/12/16
LOL if true. I believe you, bro.
Internet-worthy beady-eyed stead
  08/12/16
THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is Fa...
translucent pozpig
  08/30/16
180 i want 2 believe
aqua corn cake lay
  08/30/16
lol
aqua corn cake lay
  09/06/16
Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyei...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  09/13/16
ho lee fuk this is getting good
yapping area
  09/14/16
Wow. Nailed July, August and early September
hilarious lake faggotry degenerate
  09/14/16
September 15, 2016 "How Trump Could Win The White Ho...
thirsty trump supporter coffee pot
  09/15/16
September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don...
boyish skinny woman
  09/15/16
god this is good
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  09/15/16
XO never not on point
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
  09/15/16
...
seedy provocative office national security agency
  09/15/16
...
curious cyan jew
  09/19/16
The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver.
curious cyan jew
  09/19/16
let's not cross the swords
aqua corn cake lay
  09/27/16
...
translucent pozpig
  09/24/16
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-w...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  09/27/16
...
aqua corn cake lay
  09/27/16
This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO hi...
Razzmatazz cuck
  09/27/16
...
razzle bistre affirmative action den
  10/08/16
...
mind-boggling purple filthpig station
  07/29/24
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-...
yapping area
  09/28/16
...
hilarious lake faggotry degenerate
  09/28/16
180
aqua corn cake lay
  09/28/16
This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting...
orange nofapping queen of the night
  09/28/16
...
opaque excitant step-uncle's house
  09/28/16
...
Hyperactive Kitchen
  10/08/16
hey, this weekend wasnt in the script
aqua corn cake lay
  10/09/16
Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere
sapphire home masturbator
  10/09/16
doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago i...
aqua corn cake lay
  10/09/16
half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday
Tantric Ceo Boiling Water
  10/09/16
nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta p...
yapping area
  10/10/16
close enough.
Sinister Stimulating University Idiot
  10/30/16
Almost there
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  11/01/16
...
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
  11/01/16
...
cream point
  11/02/16
...
mischievous foreskin puppy
  11/02/16
prob the last time we can bump this
yapping area
  11/07/16
You say that but.....
lemon depressive
  11/08/16
true, the shitlibs can bump all they like
yapping area
  11/08/16
ty for your sympathy bump.
translucent pozpig
  11/08/16
ho lee fuk
yapping area
  11/08/16
...
fragrant tanning salon mother
  11/08/16
Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump LJ...
Brass Preventive Strike
  11/08/16
...
green principal's office
  11/08/16
...
curious cyan jew
  11/08/16
...
translucent pozpig
  11/08/16
...
glassy offensive deer antler community account
  11/09/16
...
thirsty trump supporter coffee pot
  11/09/16
...
Chest-beating Adventurous Nursing Home Macaca
  11/09/16
...
translucent pozpig
  11/09/16
GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
  11/09/16
...
glassy offensive deer antler community account
  11/09/16
it really deserves national attention
Sinister Stimulating University Idiot
  11/09/16
...
vibrant buck-toothed brunch
  11/09/16
...
Comical Corner
  12/03/16
...
Bateful Zippy Range Goyim
  12/07/16
...
lime concupiscible piazza death wish
  12/17/16
...
Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping
  10/11/24
...
copper hospital weed whacker
  11/09/16
Historic.
glittery mental disorder
  11/09/16
...
Thriller Cordovan School Dopamine
  11/09/16
180 The anti-Rudolph.
Wild pocket flask son of senegal
  11/09/16
...
Comical Corner
  11/09/16
...
Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm
  11/09/16
...
translucent pozpig
  11/09/16
this cannot be bumped enough.
electric meetinghouse yarmulke
  11/09/16
...
aqua corn cake lay
  11/09/16
...
Ruby diverse ladyboy stag film
  11/09/16
...
translucent pozpig
  11/09/16
...
Emerald Trailer Park Marketing Idea
  11/09/16
...
mewling famous landscape painting garrison
  11/09/16
November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the pol...
translucent pozpig
  11/09/16
you're fucking nostradamus
Massive liquid oxygen
  11/09/16
...
cobalt sound barrier sandwich
  11/10/16
Here we go...
crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces
  11/10/16
bumped
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  11/10/16
...
hyperventilating pervert theatre
  11/10/16
sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "...
translucent pozpig
  11/10/16
ROFL
yapping area
  11/10/16
...
Lascivious Cerise State Nibblets
  11/10/16
...
curious cyan jew
  11/14/16
They're all heads attached to the same (((monster)))
Sadistic market
  11/14/16
Extraordinary prescience itt
insecure at-the-ready native
  12/04/16
...
lime concupiscible piazza death wish
  12/17/16
...
Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping
  10/11/24
...
translucent pozpig
  11/25/16
...
abusive chapel
  12/03/16
GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK!
Tantric Ceo Boiling Water
  12/04/16
https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg
erotic bull headed national
  12/07/16
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  12/07/16
...
abusive chapel
  12/07/16
...
translucent pozpig
  01/02/17
October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predicto...
onyx telephone
  01/02/17
ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO.
translucent pozpig
  01/02/17
ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump also a classic
onyx telephone
  01/02/17
...
translucent pozpig
  03/03/20
truly magnificent
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  01/02/17
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  01/16/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/
onyx telephone
  01/20/17
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/20/17
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-bl...
onyx telephone
  01/23/17
TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of t...
Hyperactive Kitchen
  01/23/17
It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the ...
onyx telephone
  01/23/17
I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that...
Burgundy rehab juggernaut
  01/23/17
it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it ...
Hyperactive Kitchen
  01/23/17
The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was c...
onyx telephone
  01/23/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-a...
onyx telephone
  01/25/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misl...
onyx telephone
  01/26/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-supe...
onyx telephone
  02/06/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-di...
onyx telephone
  02/13/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always...
onyx telephone
  02/27/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probab...
onyx telephone
  05/03/17
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/03/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probabi...
onyx telephone
  09/21/17
this seriously needs mainstream coverage
salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef
  01/23/17
One of the greatest things made on this great bort
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
  02/27/17
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  03/22/17
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  04/17/17
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/08/17
...
translucent pozpig
  06/20/17
What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? http...
translucent pozpig
  08/10/17
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump...
translucent pozpig
  10/15/17
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  10/15/17
...
really tough guy
  10/15/17
...
translucent pozpig
  11/06/17
credit where it's massively due
maniacal spot police squad
  11/06/17
...
anal genital piercing
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...
gay faggot firefighter
  11/08/17
...
bearded ratface
  11/13/17
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  12/18/17
Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not...
aqua corn cake lay
  12/18/17
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  12/18/17
...
translucent pozpig
  01/30/18
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  06/01/18
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-be...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/18/18
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  07/19/18
...
seedy provocative office national security agency
  09/20/18
The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  09/25/18
It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true
floppy indian lodge
  10/06/18
lol 180
translucent pozpig
  10/06/18
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  10/25/18
Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular.
boyish skinny woman
  10/25/18
...
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  11/05/18
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  11/05/18
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  11/05/18
...
bronze autistic scourge upon the earth
  11/05/18
What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivet...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  01/08/19
...
Wine Internal Respiration
  02/23/19
Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main ...
translucent pozpig
  03/13/19
There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. ...
swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker
  06/24/19
...
Brilliant Box Office
  06/24/19
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
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...
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
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Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
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translucent pozpig
  03/24/20
...
henna parlor halford
  03/24/20
...
Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza
  04/04/20
...
translucent pozpig
  04/26/20
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-o...
translucent pozpig
  05/13/20
...
Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza
  06/05/20
...
dragon
  06/05/20
...
Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza
  09/09/20
...
Poppy Pit Gay Wizard
  09/09/20
Lmao never forget
Olive Gas Station Knife
  09/09/20
...
ungodly costumed
  09/12/20
...
Ruddy
  09/24/20
...
Brilliant Box Office
  10/09/20
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  10/10/20
...
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  10/22/20
...
Comical Corner
  10/22/20
...
Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold
  10/22/20
https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui
Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold
  10/22/20
...
lavender cuckoldry
  03/23/22
...
translucent pozpig
  10/27/20
...
Titillating Mauve Casino Karate
  10/27/20
...
Brilliant Box Office
  10/30/20
...
azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency
  11/03/20
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/22/22
...
garnet wagecucks
  03/23/22
...
Nudist hot
  03/23/22
180 and prescient
grizzly
  03/23/22
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  07/25/22
A classic
Olive Gas Station Knife
  07/25/22
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  10/23/22
Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection htt...
translucent pozpig
  11/16/22
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168
translucent pozpig
  04/25/23
why was disney employing this guy anyways
electric meetinghouse yarmulke
  04/25/23
...
Ruddy
  04/29/23
FOCK! This still hurts to read
mind-boggling purple filthpig station
  05/28/23
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  02/22/24
...
Ruddy
  02/23/24
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  05/23/24
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  08/26/24
...
Ruddy
  09/13/24
One of the GOAT threads of all time
Olive Gas Station Knife
  09/13/24
...
Ruddy
  10/18/24
...
Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping
  10/11/24
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  11/06/24
538 is being shut down. This post is now complete.
vibrant buck-toothed brunch
  03/04/25
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46
vibrant buck-toothed brunch
  03/04/25
Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn *fa...
seedy provocative office national security agency
  03/04/25
The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peace...
Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping
  03/04/25
He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare...
Shimmering Disgusting Jap
  03/04/25
...
chocolate legend
  03/05/25
...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/07/25
538 is now 404
old irish cottage
  03/07/25
"How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost...
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/08/25
Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how muc...
sienna
  03/08/25
Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything.
Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault
  03/08/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan"

December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?"

December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem"

January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most"

January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out"

January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One"

January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem"

February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory"

February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire"

February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."

February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"

February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow"

February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination"

February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma"

February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast"

March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever"

March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump"

April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party"

April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?"

May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade"

May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like"

June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention"

July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan"

August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting"

August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984"

August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why."

September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"

September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton"

September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom"

October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"

October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think"

October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority"

November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won"

November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey

January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351701)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: histrionic territorial library chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth

another bump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM
Author: dead mustard roommate stain

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM
Author: vivacious sneaky criminal shrine



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM
Author: Out-of-control stirring crackhouse gaming laptop

"October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM
Author: Olive Gas Station Knife



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM
Author: floppy indian lodge

1800000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM
Author: salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM
Author: Massive liquid oxygen

Fantastic work ITT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM
Author: self-absorbed cruel-hearted center quadroon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM
Author: Chestnut exhilarant stage

FUCK | THIS | KIKE

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM
Author: Razzmatazz cuck

Poasting in a historic thread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM
Author: Claret Fantasy-prone Theater Stage

Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.

Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM
Author: 180 persian heaven



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM
Author: Spruce mad cow disease

Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM
Author: amethyst low-t dilemma multi-billionaire

Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM
Author: Aquamarine nighttime nowag

Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM

Author: TannerBoyle

Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.

Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519054)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM
Author: fiercely-loyal citrine resort dog poop



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM
Author: contagious walnut lettuce laser beams



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM
Author: Dashing prole

180 million

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM
Author: 180 persian heaven

November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM
Author: odious address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker

Don't edit loser

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM
Author: Bateful Zippy Range Goyim



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM
Author: electric meetinghouse yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM
Author: blue giraffe people who are hurt

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM
Author: Judgmental ticket booth

March 9

THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN

March 10

THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN

March 11

THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP

March 12

THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE

March 13

THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS

March 14

THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON

March 18

BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL

He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers

March 19

BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS

March 20

NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS

March 21

THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU

March 22

HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364829)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM
Author: Fishy slap-happy mood



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM
Author: vigorous azn locus

1 fuckin' 80

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM
Author: hilarious lake faggotry degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM
Author: Overrated Aromatic Tank Volcanic Crater

lol, 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM
Author: Spectacular selfie tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM
Author: vibrant buck-toothed brunch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM
Author: violet voyeur

Well done.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM
Author: fluffy crotch

Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM
Author: Razzmatazz cuck

OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM
Author: Razzmatazz cuck

And today's:

"The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29391511)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM
Author: supple insanely creepy toaster new version

190

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM
Author: Khaki senate

fuck u for making me laugh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM
Author: pontificating passionate legal warrant space

I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM
Author: mischievous foreskin puppy

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM
Author: Sooty flirting bawdyhouse

February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."

February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384191)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM
Author: learning disabled private investor lodge

You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

Trump odds, August 2015:

Silver: 2%

Miller: 0%

Enten: -10%

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384225)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM
Author: avocado temple



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662)



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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker

Can't wait to bump this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869)



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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM
Author: lime concupiscible piazza death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246)



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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM
Author: Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262)



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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544)



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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270)



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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325)



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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM
Author: Hateful slimy locale rigpig

Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851781)



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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM
Author: Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037)



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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM
Author: bisexual harsh goal in life church

This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232)



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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM
Author: Elite institution

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396)



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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM
Author: Slate motley school cafeteria fat ankles



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414)



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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM
Author: Exciting house

Incredible

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427)



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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Trump Boom or Trump Bubble?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29396453)



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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29398191)



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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM
Author: Cerebral white sanctuary messiness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300)



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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836)



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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM
Author: cobalt sound barrier sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342)



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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29428691)



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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"Trump has some weird chinks in his armor"

http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429040)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM
Author: vigorous azn locus

1 fuckin' 80

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29485187)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.

But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29485191)



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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29518987)



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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM
Author: Aquamarine nighttime nowag

flawless OP. uninflated 180.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

ty for all the updates itt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598)



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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker

Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM
Author: Cerebral white sanctuary messiness

From Silver's Twitter:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531428)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM
Author: Submissive talented alpha church building

1800000000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM
Author: Big theater twinkling uncleanness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM
Author: Amber kitty cat potus

An historic poast

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM
Author: Fuchsia Filthy Ape

180 trillion

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM
Author: Amber kitty cat potus

I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys

http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531509)



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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843)



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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM
Author: Amber kitty cat potus

Bump to make sure my friends saw this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993)



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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM
Author: Fuchsia Filthy Ape

No bias there right? What a shitbird.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557)



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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829)



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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM
Author: vigorous azn locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163)



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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

“HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.

Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.

These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551251)



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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

180 if not copy paste

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314)



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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM
Author: vigorous azn locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010)



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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM
Author: Cerebral white sanctuary messiness

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692)



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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM
Author: vigorous azn locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112)



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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950)



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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29632610)



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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM
Author: Cerebral white sanctuary messiness

looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/

In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:

His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there.

There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states.

Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1

But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.

I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.

But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:

The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated.

Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better.

Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president.

An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.)

You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.

Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?

I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.

Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.

Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.

But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:

Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand.

Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race.

If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire.

Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3

So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.

These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.

Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29649247)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM
Author: crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces

180000000000000000000000000000000000000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863)



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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker

You're a democratic, remember?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913)



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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM
Author: crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces

No way! 100% TRUMPMO

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

(2-time shitbama voter)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM
Author: domesticated appetizing useless brakes abode



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM
Author: green principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197)



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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM
Author: Submissive talented alpha church building



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM
Author: Charismatic sexy gunner public bath



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406)



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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM
Author: Lascivious Cerise State Nibblets

OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434)



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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM
Author: Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio

PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM
Author: galvanic pearly brethren main people

The OP is XO at its peak brilliance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM
Author: irradiated pisswyrm parlour



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652)



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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM
Author: supple insanely creepy toaster new version



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM
Author: Umber racy newt set



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM
Author: salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681)



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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM
Author: Khaki senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592)



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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM
Author: house-broken place of business

hosting error... LOL

this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903628)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM
Author: Navy marvelous becky round eye



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083)



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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM
Author: Khaki senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707)



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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM
Author: Haunting clown orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074)



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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM
Author: salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM
Author: Submissive talented alpha church building

yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM
Author: Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970)



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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM
Author: well-lubricated brindle menage mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM
Author: Bright Cruise Ship

truly 180 thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070566)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM
Author: Razzmatazz cuck

March is very accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM
Author: Spectacular selfie tattoo

http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM
Author: Cracking ivory black woman immigrant

Lol,holy Fuck

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: avocado temple

jesus. . .

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM
Author: floppy indian lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-two-front-war-to-deny-trump-the-nomination-could-look-like/

"Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151872)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160651)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM
Author: yapping area

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM
Author: yapping area

"One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161569)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30201806)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM
Author: yapping area

interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:

http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686

Articles by Karl Rove

Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing

April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.

Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.

The Not-Trump GOP Rises

April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.

The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.

An Ugly General Election Takes Shape

March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.

Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.

Don’t Coddle Donald Trump

March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.

A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.

How Trump Can Raise His Game

March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.

A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.

The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won

March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.

He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.

A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners

March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.

Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’

The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet

February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.

There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate.

James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’

Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War

February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.

There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims

GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump

February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.

The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.

How Trump Blew an Easy Win

February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.

He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.

Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity

January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.

The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?

Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk

January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.

Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.

The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans

January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.

At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.

My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions

January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.

Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach

December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.

Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.

Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee

December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.

He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.

The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails

December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.

A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279040)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM
Author: opaque excitant step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM
Author: Balding field



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM
Author: orange nofapping queen of the night

I love this thread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM
Author: twisted trust fund fortuitous meteor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM
Author: honey-headed painfully honest location



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM
Author: Insane hairraiser hunting ground
Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines

JUN 16, 2015

Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

JUL 16, 2015

Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously

JUL 29, 2015

Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates

AUG 7, 2015

Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News

AUG 7, 2015

Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.

AUG 11, 2015

Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination

AUG 14, 2015

Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record

AUG 31, 2015

A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump

SEP 2, 2015

Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’

SEP 8, 2015

If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too

SEP 17, 2015

We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate

SEP 24, 2015

Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?

OCT 20, 2015

Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible

OCT 26, 2015

Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?

NOV 4, 2015

The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump

NOV 23, 2015

Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls

DEC 1, 2015

The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate

DEC 2, 2015

Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!

DEC 4, 2015

Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention

DEC 15, 2015

Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?

DEC 17, 2015

Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing

JAN 18, 2016

Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters

JAN 19, 2016

Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz

JAN 19, 2016

Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0

JAN 21, 2016

One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump

JAN 26, 2016

Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?

JAN 27, 2016

Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate

JAN 31, 2016

Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep

FEB 2, 2016

Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan

FEB 3, 2016

Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much

FEB 4, 2016

Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild

FEB 5, 2016

Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google

FEB 9, 2016

Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire

FEB 10, 2016

John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump

FEB 17, 2016

Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?

FEB 18, 2016

The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump

FEB 21, 2016

Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War

FEB 22, 2016

Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith

FEB 23, 2016

Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout

FEB 24, 2016

Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz

FEB 24, 2016

Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump

FEB 26, 2016

Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump

MAR 1, 2016

Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump

MAR 2, 2016

Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?

MAR 2, 2016

Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination

MAR 3, 2016

Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices

MAR 4, 2016

Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination

MAR 7, 2016

Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules

MAR 7, 2016

Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump

MAR 8, 2016

Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?

MAR 10, 2016

Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump

MAR 11, 2016

Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable

MAR 15, 2016

Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late

MAR 16, 2016

It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates

MAR 16, 2016

Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates

MAR 21, 2016

Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?

MAR 22, 2016

The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates

MAR 23, 2016

Why Donald Trump?

MAR 23, 2016

How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump

MAR 25, 2016

Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November

MAR 25, 2016

What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like

MAR 29, 2016

Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan

MAR 29, 2016

One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women

MAR 30, 2016

How Trump Hacked The Media

MAR 31, 2016

Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump

APR 1, 2016

It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention

APR 5, 2016

The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump

APR 7, 2016

Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote

APR 8, 2016

Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling

APR 11, 2016

Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era

APR 11, 2016

Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado

APR 11, 2016

Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?

APR 14, 2016

Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him

APR 18, 2016

New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates

APR 23, 2016

Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working

APR 25, 2016

Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast

APR 25, 2016

Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?

APR 27, 2016

It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30385550)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM
Author: Insane hairraiser hunting ground



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398673)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy Site

holy shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM
Author: Pale cowardly hell windowlicker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412509)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM
Author: vibrant buck-toothed brunch

Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM
Author: Navy marvelous becky round eye

Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: electric meetinghouse yarmulke

This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM
Author: Clear heady organic girlfriend digit ratio

In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM
Author: electric meetinghouse yarmulke

cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.

FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office.

“Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”

Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.

Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.

“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”

“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.

Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.

“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30817368)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM
Author: Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle hall



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM
Author: Arousing Puce Property Headpube

Wow jesua

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM
Author: Sinister Stimulating University Idiot

Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM
Author: yapping area

amazing how accurate this is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

Wish I could profit off this gift.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/

Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31146587)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984"

NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like"

"That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however."

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172533)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

holy shit did u edit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM
Author: Internet-worthy beady-eyed stead

LOL if true. I believe you, bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why."

NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31298094)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

180

i want 2 believe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31298330)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31399652)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM
Author: yapping area

ho lee fuk this is getting good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM
Author: hilarious lake faggotry degenerate

Wow. Nailed July, August and early September

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM
Author: thirsty trump supporter coffee pot

September 15, 2016

"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-trump-could-win-the-white-house-while-losing-the-popular-vote/

RUH ROH LIBS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31412268)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM
Author: boyish skinny woman

September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"

Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:

Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless

http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413892)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth

god this is good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard

XO never not on point

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM
Author: seedy provocative office national security agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM
Author: curious cyan jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM
Author: curious cyan jew

The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

let's not cross the swords

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM
Author: Razzmatazz cuck

This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM
Author: razzle bistre affirmative action den



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM
Author: mind-boggling purple filthpig station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM
Author: yapping area

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/

vs

September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511634)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM
Author: hilarious lake faggotry degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM
Author: orange nofapping queen of the night

This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM
Author: opaque excitant step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM
Author: Hyperactive Kitchen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

hey, this weekend wasnt in the script

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM
Author: sapphire home masturbator

Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM
Author: Tantric Ceo Boiling Water

half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM
Author: yapping area

nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:

It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.

These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/

meanwhile:

Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate

As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31606849)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM
Author: Sinister Stimulating University Idiot

close enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm

Almost there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM
Author: cream point



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM
Author: mischievous foreskin puppy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM
Author: yapping area

prob the last time we can bump this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM
Author: lemon depressive

You say that but.....

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM
Author: yapping area

true, the shitlibs can bump all they like

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

ty for your sympathy bump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM
Author: yapping area

ho lee fuk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM
Author: fragrant tanning salon mother



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM
Author: Brass Preventive Strike

Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump

LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842921)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM
Author: green principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM
Author: curious cyan jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM
Author: glassy offensive deer antler community account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM
Author: thirsty trump supporter coffee pot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM
Author: Chest-beating Adventurous Nursing Home Macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard

GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM
Author: glassy offensive deer antler community account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM
Author: Sinister Stimulating University Idiot

it really deserves national attention

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM
Author: vibrant buck-toothed brunch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM
Author: Comical Corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM
Author: Bateful Zippy Range Goyim



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM
Author: lime concupiscible piazza death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM
Author: Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM
Author: copper hospital weed whacker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM
Author: glittery mental disorder

Historic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM
Author: Thriller Cordovan School Dopamine



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM
Author: Wild pocket flask son of senegal

180

The anti-Rudolph.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849573)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM
Author: Comical Corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM
Author: Multi-colored self-centered dysfunction business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM
Author: electric meetinghouse yarmulke

this cannot be bumped enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM
Author: Ruby diverse ladyboy stag film



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM
Author:  Emerald Trailer Park Marketing Idea



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM
Author: mewling famous landscape painting garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame."

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863273)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM
Author: Massive liquid oxygen

you're fucking nostradamus

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM
Author: cobalt sound barrier sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM
Author: crusty chartreuse wrinkle feces

Here we go...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth

bumped

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM
Author: hyperventilating pervert theatre



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months"

http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868225)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM
Author: yapping area

ROFL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM
Author: Lascivious Cerise State Nibblets



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM
Author: curious cyan jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM
Author: Sadistic market

They're all heads attached to the same (((monster)))

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM
Author: insecure at-the-ready native

Extraordinary prescience itt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM
Author: lime concupiscible piazza death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM
Author: Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM
Author:  abusive chapel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM
Author: Tantric Ceo Boiling Water

GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM
Author: erotic bull headed national

https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM
Author:  abusive chapel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM
Author: onyx telephone

October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think"

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/

OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM

Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284625)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM
Author: onyx telephone

ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump

also a classic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284647)



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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962)



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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth

truly magnificent

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649)



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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095)



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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323)



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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM
Author: onyx telephone

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441205)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM
Author: Hyperactive Kitchen

TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM
Author: onyx telephone

It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM
Author: Burgundy rehab juggernaut

I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).

What are those assholes at Princeton up to?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441255)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM
Author: Hyperactive Kitchen

it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping

it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)

it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441302)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM
Author: onyx telephone

The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319)



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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110)



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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804)



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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776)



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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572)



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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310)



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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553)



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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883)



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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM
Author: onyx telephone

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967)



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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM
Author: salmon aphrodisiac base roast beef

this seriously needs mainstream coverage

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221)



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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard

One of the greatest things made on this great bort

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399)



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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711)



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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887)



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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991)



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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191)



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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33958232)



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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074)



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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102)



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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM
Author:  really tough guy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138)



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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930)



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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM
Author: maniacal spot police squad

credit where it's massively due

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959)



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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM
Author:  anal genital piercing



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123)



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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM
Author:  gay faggot firefighter



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459)



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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM
Author: bearded ratface



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088)



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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560)



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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM
Author: aqua corn cake lay

Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572)



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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581)



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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621)



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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381)



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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135)



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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM
Author: seedy provocative office national security agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087)



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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/

SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" "

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36889953)



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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM
Author: floppy indian lodge

It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680)



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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

lol 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690)



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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167)



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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM
Author: boyish skinny woman

Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191)



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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974)



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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955)



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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045)



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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM
Author: bronze autistic scourge upon the earth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335)



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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376)



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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM
Author: Wine Internal Respiration



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345)



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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case.

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170

Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls."

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37923789)



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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM
Author: swashbuckling awkward candlestick maker

There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500)



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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM
Author: Brilliant Box Office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431)



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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638)



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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415)



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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854)



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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM
Author: henna parlor halford



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877)



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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM
Author: Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878)



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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972)



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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/

In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40199746)



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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM
Author: Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730)



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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM
Author:  dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911)



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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM
Author: Wonderful sepia factory reset button plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459)



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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM
Author: Poppy Pit Gay Wizard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523)



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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM
Author: Olive Gas Station Knife

Lmao never forget

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526)



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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM
Author: ungodly costumed



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695)



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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM
Author: Ruddy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795)



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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM
Author: Brilliant Box Office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968)



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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157)



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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM
Author:  crimson boistinker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967)



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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM
Author: Comical Corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990)



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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM
Author: Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039)



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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM
Author: Bat Shit Crazy Forum Cuckold

https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053)



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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM
Author: lavender cuckoldry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011)



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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM
Author: translucent pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021)



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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM
Author: Titillating Mauve Casino Karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581)



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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM
Author: Brilliant Box Office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868)



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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM
Author: azure laughsome reading party international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120)



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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611)



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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM
Author: garnet wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968)



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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM
Author: Nudist hot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984)



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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM
Author: grizzly

180 and prescient

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017)



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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM
Author: Olive Gas Station Knife

A classic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008)



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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM
Author: translucent pozpig

Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45500653)



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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM
Author: translucent pozpig

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455)



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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM
Author: electric meetinghouse yarmulke

why was disney employing this guy anyways

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460)



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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM
Author: Ruddy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623)



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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM
Author: mind-boggling purple filthpig station

FOCK!

This still hurts to read

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46365046)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670)



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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM
Author: Ruddy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198)



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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope

As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”

I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.

Wait, wait—why?

Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47686778)



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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724)



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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM
Author: Ruddy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201)



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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM
Author: Olive Gas Station Knife

One of the GOAT threads of all time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224)



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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM
Author: Ruddy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967)



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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM
Author: Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302)



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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48296972)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM
Author: vibrant buck-toothed brunch

538 is being shut down. This post is now complete.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715841)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM
Author: vibrant buck-toothed brunch

https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715847)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM
Author: seedy provocative office national security agency

Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn

*facts cum*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715850)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM
Author: Soul-stirring unholy whorehouse gaping

The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715863)



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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM
Author: Shimmering Disgusting Jap

He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715869)



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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM
Author: chocolate legend



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48716330)



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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724299)



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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM
Author:  old irish cottage

538 is now 404

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724306)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

"How Trump Killed 538"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727160)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM
Author:  sienna

Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727216)



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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM
Author: Flickering Trip Stage Double Fault

Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727802)