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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| marvelous nudist party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| wine library hominid | 09/19/18 |
| marvelous nudist party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| Zippy electric area brethren | 09/19/18 |
| marvelous nudist party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| Cheese-eating step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| marvelous nudist party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| Cheese-eating step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth | 09/19/18 |
| Cheese-eating step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth | 09/19/18 |
| Cheese-eating step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth | 09/19/18 |
| Cheese-eating step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth | 09/19/18 |
| buff irradiated senate bbw | 09/19/18 |
| sick base national security agency | 09/19/18 |
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| buff irradiated senate bbw | 09/20/18 |
| Jade Histrionic Cuck | 09/19/18 |
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| buff irradiated senate bbw | 09/19/18 |
| sick base national security agency | 09/19/18 |
| Aphrodisiac blathering scourge upon the earth pervert | 09/20/18 |
| Boyish thirsty knife address | 09/20/18 |
| Boyish thirsty knife address | 09/20/18 |
| cruel-hearted honey-headed kitty cat | 09/19/18 |
| marvelous nudist party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| Anal locus | 09/20/18 |
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| Anal locus | 09/20/18 |
| Saffron exciting stag film striped hyena | 09/20/18 |
| Boyish thirsty knife address | 09/20/18 |
| Boyish thirsty knife address | 09/20/18 |
| Anal locus | 09/20/18 |
| Lilac Nursing Home Patrolman | 09/19/18 |
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| French razzle halford | 09/20/18 |
| Anal locus | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: marvelous nudist party of the first part https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: wine library hominid This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: marvelous nudist party of the first part Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: Zippy electric area brethren LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: marvelous nudist party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Cheese-eating step-uncle's house data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: marvelous nudist party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: Cheese-eating step-uncle's house What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Cheese-eating step-uncle's house (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: Cheese-eating step-uncle's house Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Cheese-eating step-uncle's house I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Jet-lagged preventive strike ticket booth Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: buff irradiated senate bbw Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: sick base national security agency Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Slippery psychic karate Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: buff irradiated senate bbw (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Jade Histrionic Cuck any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: know-it-all alcoholic temple 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: frisky forum lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Boyish thirsty knife address "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: buff irradiated senate bbw (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: sick base national security agency "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: Aphrodisiac blathering scourge upon the earth pervert can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Boyish thirsty knife address Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Boyish thirsty knife address Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: cruel-hearted honey-headed kitty cat He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: marvelous nudist party of the first part Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: Anal locus Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: Saffron exciting stag film striped hyena Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: Anal locus Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: Saffron exciting stag film striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: Boyish thirsty knife address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: Boyish thirsty knife address His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: Anal locus Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: Lilac Nursing Home Patrolman days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: Lime feces church Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: French razzle halford What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: Anal locus This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |