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Nate Silver: Trump making huge gains on home stretch

...
smoky indirect expression principal's office
  09/27/20
He tweeted this yesterday: Nate Silver @NateSilver538 &...
Internet-worthy patrolman
  09/27/20
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
galvanic legal warrant
  09/27/20
...
smoky indirect expression principal's office
  09/27/20
"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast o...
Pearl hell puppy
  09/27/20
...
smoky indirect expression principal's office
  09/27/20
...
Emerald School Telephone
  09/27/20
So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? ...
Internet-worthy patrolman
  09/27/20
LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll a...
soggy really tough guy
  09/27/20
lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.
Razzle-dazzle spruce ape
  09/27/20
What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn...
bistre senate messiness
  09/27/20
...
smoky indirect expression principal's office
  09/27/20
at least he has options
Adulterous Lascivious Indian Lodge Foreskin
  09/27/20
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opaque gaped becky kitty
  09/27/20
How can Biden even have a shot at winning?
insanely creepy aqua site
  09/27/20
? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president
territorial hot pit
  09/27/20
Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: :.;;.;...;; ?...
Azure Comical Knife
  09/27/20
same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?
Brindle theater
  09/27/20
Clinton got the most votes by a lot
territorial hot pit
  09/27/20
Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.
Offensive cowardly prole idea he suggested
  09/27/20
Wrong. As always.
Learning disabled state
  09/27/20
Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you....
Irradiated carnelian cruise ship
  09/27/20
He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasio...
Exhilarant Rose Hairy Legs
  09/27/20
sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong...
Brindle theater
  09/27/20
it comes down to the same three states that swung the electi...
Razzle-dazzle spruce ape
  09/27/20


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:52 AM
Author: smoky indirect expression principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994723)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:54 AM
Author: Internet-worthy patrolman

He tweeted this yesterday:

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

·

15h

Overall, there's plenty of good news in here for Biden. But his lead slipping quite a bit in Florida, and also by a point or two in Pennsylvania, makes his path more treacherous than it otherwise would be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994729)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:18 AM
Author: galvanic legal warrant

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994808)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:40 AM
Author: smoky indirect expression principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994875)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:06 PM
Author: Pearl hell puppy

"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast of the year. Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model." (Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, 2016)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/09/the-wrongest-media-predictions-about-donald-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995438)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 2:01 PM
Author: smoky indirect expression principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995709)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:45 AM
Author: Emerald School Telephone



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994895)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 12:35 PM
Author: Internet-worthy patrolman

So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? And that he in fact predicted a systemic polling problem could mean Trump would narrowly win the swing states?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995318)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:24 PM
Author: soggy really tough guy

LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll aggregator websites and this time they don’t have LA Times polls up anymore?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995516)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle spruce ape

lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995515)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:20 AM
Author: bistre senate messiness

What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn Station half empty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994814)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: smoky indirect expression principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994958)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:04 AM
Author: Adulterous Lascivious Indian Lodge Foreskin

at least he has options

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994960)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:41 AM
Author: opaque gaped becky kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994883)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: insanely creepy aqua site

How can Biden even have a shot at winning?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994957)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM
Author: territorial hot pit

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:16 PM
Author: Azure Comical Knife

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM

Author: :.;;.;...;;

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995476)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:17 PM
Author: Brindle theater

same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995482)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:19 PM
Author: territorial hot pit

Clinton got the most votes by a lot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995493)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:21 PM
Author: Offensive cowardly prole idea he suggested

Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995497)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:29 PM
Author: Learning disabled state

Wrong. As always.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995533)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:30 PM
Author: Irradiated carnelian cruise ship

Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you. He must really mean business!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995542)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: Exhilarant Rose Hairy Legs

He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasionally. Will Trump win again this year? It’s a bigger challenge but sure. He’s an underdog again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995512)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: Brindle theater

sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995525)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle spruce ape

it comes down to the same three states that swung the election towards Trump. MI, WI, and PA. Trump just needs one, while Biden needs to flip MI & WI or PA.

One big difference between now and 2016 is that Biden much more likable than Hilary and he's from PA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995522)