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AI starting to see diminishing returns

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that th...
soul-stirring elastic band
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD - that seems like a big jump.
Tripping corn cake institution
  06/06/25
It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. ...
soul-stirring elastic band
  06/06/25
Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge im...
Tripping corn cake institution
  06/06/25
...
pearl rambunctious field
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD tp
tan affirmative action ticket booth
  06/07/25
It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still in...
Coiffed University
  06/06/25
...
carnelian talented locale death wish
  06/06/25
...
Tripping corn cake institution
  06/06/25
...
lascivious glassy indian lodge trust fund
  06/06/25
talk to them about weed or whatever tp
Histrionic cream trailer park pozpig
  06/06/25
...
Honey-headed Alcoholic Set Community Account
  06/07/25
...
Histrionic cream trailer park pozpig
  06/27/25
AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea ...
dashing seedy stage blood rage
  06/06/25
Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell...
glittery jew
  06/06/25
UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. w...
Swollen Space Sandwich
  06/07/25
...
vigorous fear-inspiring principal's office
  06/06/25
...
Comical sadistic house
  06/07/25
...
Contagious wild double fault
  06/07/25
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Stubborn Silver Giraffe Laser Beams
  06/07/25
oh god, oh
Swollen Space Sandwich
  06/07/25
My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed stra...
disturbing nursing home
  06/07/25
...
splenetic grizzly tattoo dragon
  06/07/25
...
Racy Twinkling Site
  06/27/25
...
maroon medicated private investor kitty
  06/27/25


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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM
Author: soul-stirring elastic band

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that the improvements are marginal. We all witnessed the jump from retarded (GPT 2) to not retarded (GPT 3/4) so it seemed like scaling would always give you huge improvements. Turns out that’s not the case. Now when you double your GPU cluster you just go from college graduate to PhD, which is good but not revolutionary.

If the 400,000-GPU mega datacenter OpenAI is building only delivers marginal improvement to their models then companies like Nvidia will shit the bed since their current valuation is based on the assumption that there will be huge demand for every unit they have the capacity to produce for at least the next 4-5 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992590)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:50 PM
Author: Tripping corn cake institution

college graduate to PhD

- that seems like a big jump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992604)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: soul-stirring elastic band

It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. Its improvement, but not the same margin of improvement, and not as valuable to the market. GPT 4-level is good enough for most companies to use and derive huge benefits from. They’re not going to pay extra to have a PhD-level LLM run their call center or customer service chats.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992614)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:18 PM
Author: Tripping corn cake institution

Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge improvement. Also, a lot more use cases for AI besides commercial grunt work…for high level decision making that jump and upcoming jumps will make a big difference.

More excited about that use case than taking the jobs of some min wage workers at T-Mobile

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992706)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: pearl rambunctious field



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992615)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 10:24 AM
Author: tan affirmative action ticket booth

college graduate to PhD tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994445)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:13 PM
Author: Coiffed University

It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still internet pre smart phone

Wait till the dumbest poorest pieces of shit wrap it around their lives.

It will wake them, order their Mountain Dew breakfast, talk to them about weed or whatever, play little shows and videos for them all day, schedule their welfare etc

Right now it’s Facebook with ivy only edus

It’s gonna be huge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992691)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:16 PM
Author: carnelian talented locale death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992697)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 6th, 2025 3:19 PM
Author: Tripping corn cake institution



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992708)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:21 PM
Author: lascivious glassy indian lodge trust fund



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992713)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:43 PM
Author: Histrionic cream trailer park pozpig

talk to them about weed or whatever tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992766)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:53 AM
Author: Honey-headed Alcoholic Set Community Account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994284)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:08 PM
Author: Histrionic cream trailer park pozpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054723)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:47 PM
Author: dashing seedy stage blood rage

AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea what's coming and what it means both for themselves (awesome) and society (uh oh, many more long lived people). If I were a serious investor I'd be looking at healthcare start ups focused on AI.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992778)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:04 PM
Author: glittery jew

Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell to have the AI do this for them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992835)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:56 AM
Author: Swollen Space Sandwich

UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. we are the supreme leeches of american society

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994289)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:45 PM
Author: vigorous fear-inspiring principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992912)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:26 AM
Author: Comical sadistic house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48993963)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:27 AM
Author: Contagious wild double fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48993965)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:52 AM
Author: Stubborn Silver Giraffe Laser Beams



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994283)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:55 AM
Author: Swollen Space Sandwich

oh god, oh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994287)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: disturbing nursing home

My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed strains.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994298)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:08 AM
Author: splenetic grizzly tattoo dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994312)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:04 PM
Author: Racy Twinkling Site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054715)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:06 PM
Author: maroon medicated private investor kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054718)