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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Boyish seedy hunting ground
  10/05/26
...
hideous cobalt famous landscape painting kitchen
  10/05/26
...
impressive buff dilemma idiot
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
Sinister Frum Nibblets
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
dark racy skinny woman
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
...
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
bonkers abode
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Boyish seedy hunting ground
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Boyish seedy hunting ground
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Opaque love of her life
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
Dashing carmine hairy legs
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
odious therapy friendly grandma
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Opaque love of her life
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
vibrant halford crotch
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
Flesh gaming laptop striped hyena
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Boyish seedy hunting ground

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: hideous cobalt famous landscape painting kitchen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: impressive buff dilemma idiot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: Sinister Frum Nibblets

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: bonkers abode

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: dark racy skinny woman

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: bonkers abode

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: bonkers abode



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: bonkers abode

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: bonkers abode

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: bonkers abode

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Boyish seedy hunting ground

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Boyish seedy hunting ground

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Opaque love of her life

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: Dashing carmine hairy legs

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: odious therapy friendly grandma

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Opaque love of her life

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: vibrant halford crotch

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: Flesh gaming laptop striped hyena

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)