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LOL at prediction markets. on Kalshi there are 2.9 losers for every winner

On Polymarket, 0.1% of users take home 67% of the money LOL
oomox
  05/06/26
What makes the 1% so special? Insider trading?
gorgeous chinese evs
  05/06/26
Yes, mostly insider trading. Also I got it wrong originally,...
oomox
  05/06/26
180 I have never Polymarketed. The only thing I bet on is...
gorgeous chinese evs
  05/06/26
Depressing but fair
oomox
  05/06/26


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Date: May 6th, 2026 1:29 AM
Author: oomox

On Polymarket, 0.1% of users take home 67% of the money LOL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864174&forum_id=2...#49868786)



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Date: May 6th, 2026 1:42 AM
Author: gorgeous chinese evs

What makes the 1% so special? Insider trading?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864174&forum_id=2...#49868794)



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Date: May 6th, 2026 1:44 AM
Author: oomox

Yes, mostly insider trading. Also I got it wrong originally, it's 0.1% not 1%. These numbers are from https://youtu.be/LBMA8u4Qhqo?t=59s btw (lol Saagar)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864174&forum_id=2...#49868797)



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Date: May 6th, 2026 1:47 AM
Author: gorgeous chinese evs

180

I have never Polymarketed. The only thing I bet on is that AI is going to replace white collar workers and make S&P 500 companies more profitable over time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864174&forum_id=2...#49868800)



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Date: May 6th, 2026 3:51 AM
Author: oomox

Depressing but fair

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864174&forum_id=2...#49868915)