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Interesting baseball stat

When there’s a runner on first and the batter hits a s...
Ivermectin
  05/08/26
this could just mean pros are good at discriminating
icanseemyneurons
  05/08/26
I think it suggests runners should try to get to third more ...
Ivermectin
  05/08/26
They’ll get hosed if it’s a single to left. Righ...
MORTAL SCHOLAR
  05/08/26
you're assuming they are not discriminating properly
icanseemyneurons
  05/08/26
Cr, most MLBmos now are Hispanic or AZN aka some of the most...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  05/08/26
...
Ivermectin
  05/08/26
More like they know exactly when they should and shouldn&rsq...
fuck man xo
  05/08/26
Absolutely cr. All the more so because the calculation is no...
Nazca Redlines
  05/08/26
you run on a single to right, hold on a single to left or ce...
zarathustra
  05/08/26
MORTAL SCHOLARRRRRRR
MORTAL SCHOLAR
  05/08/26
https://sabr.org/journal/article/never-make-the-first-or-las...
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  05/08/26


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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:01 PM
Author: Ivermectin

When there’s a runner on first and the batter hits a single the runner makes it to third 28% of the time

HOWEVER, runners only attempt to get to third 30% of the time, but when they actually do attempt it they make it safely 98-99% of the time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875830)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:03 PM
Author: icanseemyneurons

this could just mean pros are good at discriminating

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875835)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:18 PM
Author: Ivermectin

I think it suggests runners should try to get to third more often. The risk/reward is such that a 70-80% success rate would make it worthwhile

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875862)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:19 PM
Author: MORTAL SCHOLAR

They’ll get hosed if it’s a single to left. Right fielders have the strongest arms generally because they have to make that throw.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875865)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:21 PM
Author: icanseemyneurons

you're assuming they are not discriminating properly

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875871)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:38 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

Cr, most MLBmos now are Hispanic or AZN aka some of the most racist ppl

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875923)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:55 PM
Author: Ivermectin



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49876151)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:58 PM
Author: fuck man xo

More like they know exactly when they should and shouldn’t run you stupid fuck. Stop having the dumbest fucking takes in every single fucking topic and go the fuck back to Reddit you actual retard.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49876163)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 11:11 PM
Author: Nazca Redlines

Absolutely cr. All the more so because the calculation is not only "does he make it to third." If the team fielding tries to throw him out, they risk a wild throw that allows him to go home, and the batter can get to second. Also, it removes the force out.

More generally, teams should be more aggressive baserunning and trying to manufacture offense.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49876182)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:05 PM
Author: zarathustra

you run on a single to right, hold on a single to left or center. also explains why it’s ~a third of the time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875836)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 8:16 PM
Author: MORTAL SCHOLAR

MORTAL SCHOLARRRRRRR

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49875851)



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Date: May 8th, 2026 11:24 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


https://sabr.org/journal/article/never-make-the-first-or-last-out-at-third-base-perhaps/

Never Make the First or Last Out at Third Base … Perhaps

This article was written by Ryan Gantner

This article was published in Spring 2016 Baseball Research Journal

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865156&forum_id=2...id.#49876190)