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How large of a portfolio is needed to spend $200k annually indefinitely?

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beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
10mm
Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky
  07/07/25
fuck my ass.
irradiated double fault home
  07/07/25
This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annu...
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. ...
motley scourge upon the earth senate
  07/07/25
its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines,...
Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky
  07/07/25
To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or eve...
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spen...
beta boltzmann location
  07/07/25
you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on ...
High-end Plaza
  07/07/25
Paying taxes is the law
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deduc...
High-end Plaza
  07/08/25
You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/08/25
$6m
mind-boggling sanctuary volcanic crater
  07/07/25
$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question
scarlet shaky den
  07/07/25
...
house-broken exciting tank gaping
  07/07/25
...
Odious kitty
  07/07/25
...
yapping gunner range
  07/07/25
Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you...
motley scourge upon the earth senate
  07/07/25
I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and d...
motley scourge upon the earth senate
  07/07/25
what the fuck are you buying every year?
Haunting elite masturbator parlour
  07/07/25
I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, c...
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
you can do that for far less even in blue states.
Haunting elite masturbator parlour
  07/07/25
Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20...
Soul-stirring temple people who are hurt
  07/07/25
answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages b...
Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky
  07/07/25
This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way...
vermilion mischievous abode multi-billionaire
  07/07/25
And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is th...
Soul-stirring temple people who are hurt
  07/07/25
Lmao
Cerise charismatic degenerate azn
  07/07/25
you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you...
Haunting elite masturbator parlour
  07/07/25
I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The...
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200...
Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky
  07/07/25
You wanna try that again
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
he clearly meant "shouldn't"
Haunting elite masturbator parlour
  07/07/25
Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behi...
Emerald friendly grandma lodge
  07/07/25
Leave behind for what
beady-eyed godawful theater background story
  07/07/25
whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.
Emerald friendly grandma lodge
  07/07/25
fuck jews
yapping gunner range
  07/07/25
"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you'...
motley scourge upon the earth senate
  07/07/25
why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high ...
irradiated double fault home
  07/07/25
generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.
Emerald friendly grandma lodge
  07/07/25
withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’...
irradiated double fault home
  07/07/25


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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:03 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079518)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:04 PM
Author: Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky

10mm

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079524)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:09 PM
Author: irradiated double fault home

fuck my ass.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079549)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annually under the 3% rule, and assume 1/3 tax rate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079556)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: motley scourge upon the earth senate

There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. There is no version of the Trinity Study which supports this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079558)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:12 PM
Author: Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky

its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines, taxes, etc gobble up all of your supposed "earnings". the economy isnt really growing faster than that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079572)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or even 2% rule is probably more appropriate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:07 PM
Author: beta boltzmann location

3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spend and not run out of $. If you can get 5% then you can do $4.2M and never have your balance drop.

edit: factor 2% inflation to the $200K spend - you'd run out of $ in 45 years with $5M

edit v2: I guess if you pay 25% taxes you'd run out of $ in 30 years vs. 44 and change, assuming you pay taxes on the $ you withdraw/spend

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079801)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:30 PM
Author: High-end Plaza

you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on 300k in investment income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080104)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 6:20 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

Paying taxes is the law

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080286)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 6:02 AM
Author: High-end Plaza

Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deductions whatsoever, and every penny of income is STCG or dividends, the effective tax rate is still less than 25%. Additional medicare tax and NIIT pushes it to a bit over 26%. Even in the basic worst case scenario you don't pay 33%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49081696)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 11:01 AM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49082266)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:07 PM
Author: mind-boggling sanctuary volcanic crater

$6m

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079539)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:08 PM
Author: scarlet shaky den

$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079545)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: house-broken exciting tank gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079562)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:44 PM
Author: Odious kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079697)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: yapping gunner range



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079950)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: motley scourge upon the earth senate

Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you want to be. That's to get $200k pre-tax (increasing annually for inflation); you'd need to adjust upward if you want a post-tax figure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079563)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079588)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:27 PM
Author: motley scourge upon the earth senate

Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and desired level of conservatism.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079633)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:53 PM
Author: Haunting elite masturbator parlour

what the fuck are you buying every year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079741)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:58 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, clothes to wear, and so on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079756)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:14 PM
Author: Haunting elite masturbator parlour

you can do that for far less even in blue states.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080051)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:36 PM
Author: Soul-stirring temple people who are hurt

Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20 (2% management fee on the principal, plus 20% of that year's return as a performance fee). So think of yourself as the manager of your personal "fund".

If you assume you're getting an 5% rate of return on your invested capital on average (pretty conservative), then you'd need $6,666,667. This would give a management fee of $133,333 plus a performance fee of $66,667 (6,666,667 * .05 * .20), which adds up to $200k. If you assume a 10% rate of return (maybe too aggressive) then you'd only need $5 million.

I am ignoring taxes here, you'd need a higher amount if you want $200k post tax.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079668)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:41 PM
Author: Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky

answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages but no reference to the fact that a guy who has 6.7mm in 2025 america shouldnt be thinking about "hedge funds" at all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079685)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:50 PM
Author: vermilion mischievous abode multi-billionaire

This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079724)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:27 PM
Author: Soul-stirring temple people who are hurt

And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is the same as everyone else is saying. It's a reasonable rule of thumb that still lets the principal grow.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079896)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Cerise charismatic degenerate azn

Lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079760)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:52 PM
Author: Haunting elite masturbator parlour

you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you are reasonable with it. e.g., take out less during down market years, take out more when the market is up/stable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079738)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 3:56 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The Wall in a couple years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079751)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Rambunctious Mustard Center Becky

the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200k or even 100k unless youre puting a kid through college or something.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079762)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:01 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

You wanna try that again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079775)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 5:15 PM
Author: Haunting elite masturbator parlour

he clearly meant "shouldn't"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080054)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 4:00 PM
Author: Emerald friendly grandma lodge

Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behind? Assuming all or most of it, and a 4-6% withdrawal rate and 35% estimated taxes you'd need between 5-7.5m.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079773)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: beady-eyed godawful theater background story

Leave behind for what

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079779)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: Emerald friendly grandma lodge

whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079783)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: yapping gunner range

fuck jews

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079946)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 5:36 PM
Author: motley scourge upon the earth senate

"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you're talking truly generational wealth, which the OP isn't. It's another shit boomer concept, i.e., it's cool to be shitty egoists all your life because you'll leave son Johnny and daughter Lisa $4.1m when you die at 93 which will somehow absolve your sins.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080120)



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Date: July 7th, 2025 4:22 PM
Author: irradiated double fault home

why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high blended rate for that level of income in the first place, and i wouldn’t think it would be too hard to structure most of the income as LTCG. this admittedly leaves aside the issue of taxes remaining close their current rates indefinitely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079865)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:46 PM
Author: Emerald friendly grandma lodge

generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49079978)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 8:34 PM
Author: irradiated double fault home

withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’t think someone with $5-10M in cash/stocks/bonds has most of that in a 401(k).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2...id.#49080738)