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luis how do you feel about all of this
| "'''""""'"' | 06/19/25 |
| tehran | 06/19/25 |
| "'''""""'"' | 06/19/25 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: June 19th, 2025 2:59 PM Author: "'''""""'"' and what's the deal with this pahlavi guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5740528&forum_id=2...id.#49032547) |
Date: June 19th, 2025 3:40 PM Author: tehran (luis) Said it in another thread but I think Pahlavi is irrelevant because he hasn’t been in iran for nearly 50 years. If there were ever regime change in our lifetime I don’t think anyone takes him seriously outside of a very small minority of Iranians, so he’s not coming back. There’s just no chance Iranians want to go back to a monarchy imo when the revolution was fueled by people’s discontent with that system.
I’m very skeptical of the idea that this war will end in regime change, but I’m just sitting back and seeing what unfolds at this point |
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Date: June 19th, 2025 3:48 PM Author: "'''""""'"' that's my view right now as well. i don't think the monarchy has had real general pull there in decades. i think he wants to come back as a sort of power-broker in a projected democratic regime, but actual accounts on political options from iranians living in iran are understandably hard to find and there's a lot of propaganda floating around in that field. i think regime change is possible not due to western intervention per se but because that seemed to be the trend there for the couple of decades after saddam's regime in iraq fell. the mullahs have been losing steam without a sunni/nominally secular/western backed regime to point to and frighten the iranian population with. i am pretty skeptical about how it might come about though and had more faith in western intelligence quietly giving resources to organic opposition groups on the ground than a bombing campaign starting an uprising. iran's much more educated/Westernized/secularization-friendly than its neighbors in the region and i think they want change, but with a military intervention it could go either way. nobody likes being bombed by a foreign power |