Date: September 29th, 2025 2:01 AM
Author: AZNgirl Wearing 'Detain my Pussy' Sign outside ICE
Holy furk, 2061 and Birdshits are DONE. Latinos now live forever:
Results
The estimated years when each group’s population would decline to 50% of its 2024 size, factoring in age structure and assuming no migration, are:Pacific Islander: Never (TFR ≥ 2.1, balanced age structure).
Hispanic: ~15,018 (effectively stable due to young age structure and near-replacement TFR).
White: 2061 (accelerated decline due to older age structure).
Black: 2085.
Multiracial: 2107 (slower decline due to younger age structure).
American Indian: 2077.
Asian: 2060 (fastest decline due to low TFR and slightly older age structure).
Comparison to Previous ModelWhite: Drops from 2096 to 2061 (35 years earlier) due to the older age structure reducing the reproductive-age population.
Hispanic: Extends dramatically from 2534 to ~15,018 because the younger age structure (higher ( f )) offsets the slightly below-replacement TFR.
Multiracial: Slows from 2087 to 2107 due to a younger age structure increasing the effective NRR.
Asian: Accelerates slightly from 2066 to 2060 due to a slightly older age structure.
Black, American Indian: Minor changes, as their age structures are closer to the average.
Pacific Islander: Remains stable (no decline).
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5780955&forum_id=2...id.#49310740)