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AI starting to see diminishing returns

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that th...
Slippery Hairraiser Pit Idiot
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD - that seems like a big jump.
electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman
  06/06/25
It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. ...
Slippery Hairraiser Pit Idiot
  06/06/25
Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge im...
electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman
  06/06/25
...
crystalline hot principal's office nibblets
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD tp
Splenetic locale
  06/07/25
It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still in...
Exciting codepig
  06/06/25
...
Doobsian Tank
  06/06/25
...
electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman
  06/06/25
...
slate hell
  06/06/25
talk to them about weed or whatever tp
Histrionic hospital
  06/06/25
...
Awkward meetinghouse hairy legs
  06/07/25
...
Histrionic hospital
  06/27/25
AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea ...
Passionate institution
  06/06/25
Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell...
bronze irate crackhouse
  06/06/25
UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. w...
salmon ladyboy famous landscape painting
  06/07/25
...
Transparent set
  06/06/25
...
silver yarmulke
  06/07/25
...
blue water buffalo
  06/07/25
...
azure mexican
  06/07/25
oh god, oh
salmon ladyboy famous landscape painting
  06/07/25
My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed stra...
Translucent Cracking Plaza Multi-billionaire
  06/07/25
...
Soggy chestnut generalized bond
  06/07/25
...
peach partner community account
  06/27/25
...
topaz exhilarant corner
  06/27/25


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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM
Author: Slippery Hairraiser Pit Idiot

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that the improvements are marginal. We all witnessed the jump from retarded (GPT 2) to not retarded (GPT 3/4) so it seemed like scaling would always give you huge improvements. Turns out that’s not the case. Now when you double your GPU cluster you just go from college graduate to PhD, which is good but not revolutionary.

If the 400,000-GPU mega datacenter OpenAI is building only delivers marginal improvement to their models then companies like Nvidia will shit the bed since their current valuation is based on the assumption that there will be huge demand for every unit they have the capacity to produce for at least the next 4-5 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992590)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:50 PM
Author: electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman

college graduate to PhD

- that seems like a big jump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992604)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: Slippery Hairraiser Pit Idiot

It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. Its improvement, but not the same margin of improvement, and not as valuable to the market. GPT 4-level is good enough for most companies to use and derive huge benefits from. They’re not going to pay extra to have a PhD-level LLM run their call center or customer service chats.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992614)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:18 PM
Author: electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman

Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge improvement. Also, a lot more use cases for AI besides commercial grunt work…for high level decision making that jump and upcoming jumps will make a big difference.

More excited about that use case than taking the jobs of some min wage workers at T-Mobile

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992706)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: crystalline hot principal's office nibblets



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992615)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 10:24 AM
Author: Splenetic locale

college graduate to PhD tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994445)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:13 PM
Author: Exciting codepig

It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still internet pre smart phone

Wait till the dumbest poorest pieces of shit wrap it around their lives.

It will wake them, order their Mountain Dew breakfast, talk to them about weed or whatever, play little shows and videos for them all day, schedule their welfare etc

Right now it’s Facebook with ivy only edus

It’s gonna be huge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992691)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:16 PM
Author: Doobsian Tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992697)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:19 PM
Author: electric obsidian factory reset button patrolman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992708)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:21 PM
Author: slate hell



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992713)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:43 PM
Author: Histrionic hospital

talk to them about weed or whatever tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992766)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:53 AM
Author: Awkward meetinghouse hairy legs



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994284)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:08 PM
Author: Histrionic hospital



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#49054723)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:47 PM
Author: Passionate institution

AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea what's coming and what it means both for themselves (awesome) and society (uh oh, many more long lived people). If I were a serious investor I'd be looking at healthcare start ups focused on AI.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992778)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:04 PM
Author: bronze irate crackhouse

Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell to have the AI do this for them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992835)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:56 AM
Author: salmon ladyboy famous landscape painting

UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. we are the supreme leeches of american society

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994289)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:45 PM
Author: Transparent set



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48992912)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:26 AM
Author: silver yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48993963)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:27 AM
Author: blue water buffalo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48993965)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:52 AM
Author: azure mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994283)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:55 AM
Author: salmon ladyboy famous landscape painting

oh god, oh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994287)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: Translucent Cracking Plaza Multi-billionaire

My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed strains.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994298)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:08 AM
Author: Soggy chestnut generalized bond



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#48994312)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:04 PM
Author: peach partner community account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#49054715)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:06 PM
Author: topaz exhilarant corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2...id.#49054718)