Taking bets on whether the Iranian government will collapse in the next year
| Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | lime roast beef | 01/08/26 | | Frum hissy fit box office | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | lime roast beef | 01/08/26 | | racy cuckoldry | 01/08/26 | | misunderstood meetinghouse | 01/09/26 | | yellow haunted graveyard philosopher-king | 01/09/26 | | misunderstood meetinghouse | 01/09/26 | | yellow haunted graveyard philosopher-king | 01/08/26 | | thriller at-the-ready double fault | 01/10/26 | | yellow haunted graveyard philosopher-king | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | wonderful sable dopamine | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | wonderful sable dopamine | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | wonderful sable dopamine | 01/08/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/08/26 | | misunderstood meetinghouse | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | soul-stirring flesh den | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | concupiscible slate nursing home | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | concupiscible slate nursing home | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | concupiscible slate nursing home | 01/09/26 | | yellow haunted graveyard philosopher-king | 01/09/26 | | concupiscible slate nursing home | 01/09/26 | | yellow haunted graveyard philosopher-king | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Stimulating Church Building Skinny Woman | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Stimulating Church Building Skinny Woman | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | concupiscible slate nursing home | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Stimulating Church Building Skinny Woman | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Stimulating Church Building Skinny Woman | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | Stimulating Church Building Skinny Woman | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/09/26 | | wonderful sable dopamine | 01/09/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | motley boltzmann address | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | motley boltzmann address | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | contagious buff market | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/10/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/11/26 | | Twinkling Tank | 01/21/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 8th, 2026 5:10 PM Author: Twinkling Tank
In order to the my bet you must say "I'll that that bet." You may not add/modify/delete any words.
I bet it won't.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2...id.#49573349) |
Date: January 8th, 2026 6:58 PM Author: Twinkling Tank
No change to US military posture in the Middle East in response to Tehran protests
https://x.com/i/status/2009400809562284230
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2...id.#49573697) |
Date: January 9th, 2026 7:18 PM Author: Twinkling Tank
Saving this before monikers get scrambled. He goes by "As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)" right now
https://i.imgur.com/GoBDzzb.jpeg
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2...id.#49577252) |
Date: January 9th, 2026 8:36 PM Author: Twinkling Tank
Witness report from Tehran:
"Tehran, January 9, 2026—they killed many tonight, many...
I spoke with a few of my friends. In our alley in Sohrawardi, Tehran, right in front of my mother’s eyes, they shot a boy from behind and he was killed. My mother is in very bad shape, and I have completely lost my mind over it.
My friends also said that in Dowlat, Pasdaran, Sohrawardi, Shariati, and Andarzgoo, they [security forces] were firing many direct shots."
https://x.com/i/status/2009780516783042595
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2...id.#49577441) |
Date: January 10th, 2026 2:12 PM Author: Twinkling Tank
🇮🇷 If you’re wondering why I think the regime won’t survive these protests, my answer is is simple: Starlink
The regime has shut off access to the internet during previous massive protests in 2019 and 2022.
This makes it harder for protesters to coordinate, and makes it easier for the regime to conceal their violent crackdown.
Starlink changes the calculus. Protesters now have an alternative, and that could become the deciding factor on whether they succeed in toppling the regime.
https://x.com/i/status/2010027211177500718
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2...id.#49578909) |
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