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Practical effects of Earth pop sinking to 4-5B by 2100?
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:45 AM Author: Transparent Crawly Foreskin Less concerned with the question of whether it stabilizes, and ignoring for now the question of which babies are being born.
Just curious about the second and third order effects of fifty-to-eighty years of decrease. Constantly having smaller youth cohorts, smaller cohorts of beginning workers, smaller cohorts of prime-earners, lot of dead weight retirees, etc.
Seems like the bulk of wealth and political power will get jammed up in the olds, and most of the economy will revolve around how to strip them/us of what we have.
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:46 AM Author: Pungent potus theater stage Lots of decaying and abandoned buildings. Housing prices should plummet but I’m sure real estate developers will find a way to make housing expensive nonetheless. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964228) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:02 AM Author: Transparent Crawly Foreskin there are twin, opposing pressures to factor in here
1. no one wants to live in bumfuck and people have been abandoning flyover for generations for sex in the city. Entire swathes of the midwest and plains especially are just depopulating back to wildlife
2. remote work has opened an escape valve from high-priced cities
So while I think we see thousands of towns vanish, and the emergence of ghost-towns and giant abandoned counties in places like Kansas, I think an upper class of moneyed parents cluster in a number of places that are NOT NY/SF/LA etc. There will be like shadow cities in beautiful places like Montana, Idaho, etc. where the remote workers go to live.
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:54 AM Author: contagious public bath karate Really depends where the population loss takes place (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964246) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:58 AM Author: Transparent Crawly Foreskin yeah its highly complicated by race, iq, geography, etc.
but for the purpose of our popdecline 101 seminar, I just want to presume its even and global
from there the grad students can twiddle the variables |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:55 AM Author: Pink Den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964249) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:55 AM Author: Dull Garrison Boiling Water straight population numbers mask the change in age cohorts imho. things will be much worse than they appear
humanity has never faced anything even remotely like this, where old people literally outnumber young people. the unknown unknowns will be 18000000000000000 |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:07 AM Author: contagious public bath karate cr. A gradual decline would be horrible.
A black-plague style quick decline of 3B olds and sicks would be a huge boon. |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:15 AM Author: Transparent Crawly Foreskin between superbugs, antibiotic abuse, and constant travel to rub elbows with wildlife eaters (not to mention nefarious lab research), I do think its nearly inevitable that we have a REAL covid type plague in due time.
one species cannot just overpopulate and brush up against every other species and not get put back in place, one way or another. A cleansing virus will probably come and scythe the olds, who will probably be us |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:44 AM Author: Aggressive Boistinker Dingle Berry it's a race between usa and china to use AI to invent targeted bioweapons that will annihilate the other. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964402) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:33 PM Author: Marvelous red ceo resort https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1925471590709440845
Read the whole thread it's good |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:59 AM Author: orchid vibrant church building We're already experiencing some of it. Significant shift in people caring for their "pets" and outlays on vacations and dining. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964271) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:05 AM Author: Soul-stirring plaza mood none. the people whining about it are just worried about profits not increasing forever. its mostly the wsj/ft/economist crowd. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964283) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:20 AM Author: shaky range should be interesting to see what happens to south korea, since they are expected to depopulate first (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964339) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:21 AM Author: Dull Garrison Boiling Water why would you do this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964344) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 10:56 PM Author: Electric Stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48966554) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:04 PM Author: brilliant vivacious persian https://youtu.be/lmoZ_W4WjW0?si=WWOESJNuwgcIKFMF (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48966054) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:40 AM Author: Charismatic vengeful black woman boltzmann phenotypic shift (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964391) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:45 AM Author: Bateful locale i dont care how many ppl on Earth as long as zero percent are muslime (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964405) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:46 AM Author: laughsome zombie-like headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964407) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 11:44 AM Author: Transparent Crawly Foreskin the wildest story of my entire life was going from how much i agreed with this statement on 9/12/01 to how much I would substitute *another group* by 5/27/25
like, a fucking magic trick. david copperfield shit. "what would you say if I told you in 20 years I can reverse you 180 degrees?"
but jews managed it
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Date: May 27th, 2025 11:45 AM Author: Charismatic vengeful black woman boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48964750) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:51 PM Author: frisky racy hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48966019) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:32 PM Author: clear set The real question is will there be a single country that becomes the fortress for the elites or will elites remain distributed throughout the world’s societies in enclaves that they insulate from the South Africa-esque disfunction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48965991) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:35 PM Author: Godawful chapel newt Not a "demographer," but is this predicted to happen? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48965994) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:05 PM Author: Ultramarine impertinent spot The race/iq matters a huge amount here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48966060) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:22 PM Author: aquamarine big school cafeteria Jews are going to flood all the White countries with third-world scum and they will all go to shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2...id.#48966098) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:29 PM Author: metal insanely creepy brunch international law enforcement agency it's irrelevant because automation is going to have far more immediate and severe of an impact than the demographic cliff will outside of the most rapidly aging countries (sk, japan, etc). our ponzi scheme pension funding mechanism no longer being sustainable due to the population pyramid shape is a red herring if most of the population isn't working in the first place.
that's to say nothing of genetic engineering, as it's entirely possible within 30-40 years every new chinese child is a crispr chad von neumann even if we don't automate away the majority of labor. |