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Sports Gambling MFEs: Why Points Line Bets Way More Common Than Odds To Win ?
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Date: January 15th, 2026 11:02 AM Author: mustard public bath patrolman a huge problem with sports betting corruption seems to be the focus on spread line betting.
how did it come to be that so bunch sports betting is based on the spread as opposed to a straight up bet on who wins the game with odds on each team?
is nobody interested in betting on a game with a heavy favorite where the odds about be 90/10? is it more exiting to watch a game and see if some team covers a big spread?
it just seems way more open to fraud if people are betting on meaningless spreads that dont affect the outcome of the game. it's much harder to rig games if you actually have to lose. |
Date: January 15th, 2026 12:01 PM Author: Erotic Cheese-eating International Law Enforcement Agency Mad Cow Disease It was invented by the mafia to encourage more gambling and counter hometown fan homerism. One of the problems with regular win-loss odds was that homer fans in a particular city would place way too many bets for a team that was undeserving of it, which could place the bookie in a bad liquidity position because there wouldn't be enough bets on the other side. They would "lay-off" the bets in other cities to help counter this.
But point-spread betting is the best solution. It encourages people to gamble on lopsided games without taking on too much risk. It counters the homerism problem because now fans of the team could still bet that the hometown team won't cover without betting that they would lose (something they're emotionally unable to do, which fucks up the odds). It makes it a lot more efficient for the bookie. |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:17 PM Author: mustard public bath patrolman i dont get why bookies cant simply adjust the win-loss odds to account for hometown fans.
nowadays, where betting is done online, how is this homerism thing even a relevant issue |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:22 PM Author: vengeful associate 1) see below re: gamblers wanting to double their bet at least. also it's easier for dumb mafios to understand paying even money on point spreads than calculating percentages.
2) it is relevant because the history of how it's the historu of how it became the standard. many things remain the standard even after their original purpose is obviated. that's why booze is still measured by proof. |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:24 PM Author: Erotic Cheese-eating International Law Enforcement Agency Mad Cow Disease It's obviously not an issue anymore as far as being able to administratively handle the business. However, the part about encouraging people to wager is definitely still true. It encourages people to wager on lopsided games and against their own team without having to wager that their team will lose. Are these irrational psychological barriers for the gambler? Sure. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591736) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:27 PM Author: mustard public bath patrolman all this makes sense. i get that psychological appeal of spread bets in theory, but i dont personally get it. i cant imagine watching a lopsided game and giving a fuck whether my team wins by 20 vs 22. i guess you have to be a degenerate gambler to get excited about some meaningless 4th quarter field goal in a 3-touchdown game. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591742) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:26 PM Author: odious flesh mexican and then in comes a whale bet and fucks everything up ideally a bookie does not care who wins. they want even money on both sides and then they take their guaranteed cut. the easiest way to get even money on both sides is to have point spreads |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:10 PM Author: vengeful associate people are interested which is why those bets are offered at every sportsbook. they're just less popular because when people gamble with the risk of 100% loss they want at least 100% gain. most people don't treat gambling like investing. although some do, which is why some people make those bets, they're just not as popular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591683) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:18 PM Author: mustard public bath patrolman so nobody wants to put down $1000 on a heavy favorite only to win $100?
i guess that doesnt make the game exciting either. |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:26 PM Author: vengeful associate basically. although many people do, just way fewer, thats how they can make a market in the first place.
picking up pennies in front of a steamroller doesnt satiate the gamblers impulse. and when you lose it's even more devastating. imagine how this guy felt:
https://x.com/i/status/1615470545503494151 |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:28 PM Author: mustard public bath patrolman holy shit what a bet (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591748) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:33 PM Author: claret gaped round eye despite my initial instinct, i refuse to feel sorry for this person. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591762) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 3:59 PM Author: razzmatazz peach party of the first part church building if anybody dropping a cool million on a halftime bet of a random football game is worth less than 100M dollars he should be shot in the face anyway (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49592181) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 4:25 PM Author: Fishy big field codepig Wouldn't be surprised if (a) this is completely fake and made up or (b) this is some accounting trick where Draft Kings Holdings VI LLC takes a position in the market on paper to keep it balanced or something. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49592251) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:40 PM Author: impertinent station Because people don't want to risk $1,000 for an 85 percent chance to make $100. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49591784) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 1:42 PM Author: vengeful associate (betting payout mfe)
didnt you claim to be an expert on this? |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 3:56 PM Author: Spectacular Splenetic Orchestra Pit Fellas why do people like to win more money instead of less money? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49592169) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 4:24 PM Author: mustard public bath patrolman low iq schtick? you can win multiples by betting on a dog in a bet-to-win bet (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49592248) |
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Date: January 15th, 2026 3:58 PM Author: Hairless Useless Brakes Prediction markets let you bet on the outcomes off the game. Honestly thinking of trying out Polymarket bc of this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5822417&forum_id=2...id.#49592177) |