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AI starting to see diminishing returns

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that th...
Soggy cheese-eating lay
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD - that seems like a big jump.
Rose filthy puppy
  06/06/25
It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. ...
Soggy cheese-eating lay
  06/06/25
Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge im...
Rose filthy puppy
  06/06/25
...
Excitant Wild Church Voyeur
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD tp
provocative karate
  06/07/25
It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still in...
Doobsian slate sanctuary
  06/06/25
...
comical sable market
  06/06/25
...
Rose filthy puppy
  06/06/25
...
mauve yarmulke
  06/06/25
talk to them about weed or whatever tp
irradiated orchid parlor dingle berry
  06/06/25
...
domesticated indigo fanboi
  06/07/25
...
irradiated orchid parlor dingle berry
  06/27/25
AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea ...
beady-eyed address
  06/06/25
Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell...
henna parlour regret
  06/06/25
UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. w...
soul-stirring gunner party of the first part
  06/07/25
...
Hairraiser Useless Brakes Pisswyrm
  06/06/25
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Hairless principal's office
  06/07/25
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cracking circlehead
  06/07/25
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Bateful Stead Private Investor
  06/07/25
oh god, oh
soul-stirring gunner party of the first part
  06/07/25
My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed stra...
Slap-happy office
  06/07/25
...
impertinent chapel
  06/07/25
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arousing emerald boistinker
  06/27/25
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Free-loading racy double fault
  06/27/25


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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM
Author: Soggy cheese-eating lay

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that the improvements are marginal. We all witnessed the jump from retarded (GPT 2) to not retarded (GPT 3/4) so it seemed like scaling would always give you huge improvements. Turns out that’s not the case. Now when you double your GPU cluster you just go from college graduate to PhD, which is good but not revolutionary.

If the 400,000-GPU mega datacenter OpenAI is building only delivers marginal improvement to their models then companies like Nvidia will shit the bed since their current valuation is based on the assumption that there will be huge demand for every unit they have the capacity to produce for at least the next 4-5 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992590)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:50 PM
Author: Rose filthy puppy

college graduate to PhD

- that seems like a big jump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992604)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: Soggy cheese-eating lay

It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. Its improvement, but not the same margin of improvement, and not as valuable to the market. GPT 4-level is good enough for most companies to use and derive huge benefits from. They’re not going to pay extra to have a PhD-level LLM run their call center or customer service chats.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992614)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:18 PM
Author: Rose filthy puppy

Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge improvement. Also, a lot more use cases for AI besides commercial grunt work…for high level decision making that jump and upcoming jumps will make a big difference.

More excited about that use case than taking the jobs of some min wage workers at T-Mobile

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992706)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: Excitant Wild Church Voyeur



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992615)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 10:24 AM
Author: provocative karate

college graduate to PhD tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994445)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:13 PM
Author: Doobsian slate sanctuary

It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still internet pre smart phone

Wait till the dumbest poorest pieces of shit wrap it around their lives.

It will wake them, order their Mountain Dew breakfast, talk to them about weed or whatever, play little shows and videos for them all day, schedule their welfare etc

Right now it’s Facebook with ivy only edus

It’s gonna be huge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992691)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:16 PM
Author: comical sable market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992697)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 6th, 2025 3:19 PM
Author: Rose filthy puppy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992708)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:21 PM
Author: mauve yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992713)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:43 PM
Author: irradiated orchid parlor dingle berry

talk to them about weed or whatever tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992766)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:53 AM
Author: domesticated indigo fanboi



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994284)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 27th, 2025 5:08 PM
Author: irradiated orchid parlor dingle berry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#49054723)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 6th, 2025 3:47 PM
Author: beady-eyed address

AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea what's coming and what it means both for themselves (awesome) and society (uh oh, many more long lived people). If I were a serious investor I'd be looking at healthcare start ups focused on AI.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992778)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:04 PM
Author: henna parlour regret

Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell to have the AI do this for them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992835)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:56 AM
Author: soul-stirring gunner party of the first part

UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. we are the supreme leeches of american society

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994289)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:45 PM
Author: Hairraiser Useless Brakes Pisswyrm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48992912)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:26 AM
Author: Hairless principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48993963)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:27 AM
Author: cracking circlehead



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48993965)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:52 AM
Author: Bateful Stead Private Investor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994283)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:55 AM
Author: soul-stirring gunner party of the first part

oh god, oh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994287)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: Slap-happy office

My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed strains.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994298)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:08 AM
Author: impertinent chapel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#48994312)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:04 PM
Author: arousing emerald boistinker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#49054715)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:06 PM
Author: Free-loading racy double fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2E#49054718)