Are Redfin/Zillow "Zestimates" totally made up BS?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 29th, 2025 11:10 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,.,,,,,,,........;.,.,.; ( )
An appraisal from somebody not willing to buy from you at the price they appraise it for is just an opinion. The price somebody is willing to pay you is a fact. If you care what your house is worth, have opendoor give you an offer, which they'll do for free. Your house is worth at least that much, but not more until you get a better offer.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970590) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:14 AM Author: rape laserdisc (gunneratttt)
this is retarded.
fair market appraisals are conducted for all sorts of assets. of course it's an opinion of what the market price will be. but getting an actual offer from ALL CASH scam doesn't give you a good idea of what your house is actually worth, it just gives you the floor price from a scam company at firesale prices.
i offer you $10 for your house right now. there, your house is worth at least that much, but not more until you get a better offer.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970601) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:20 AM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970623) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:17 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,.,,,,,,,........;.,.,.; ( )
Sounds like you have a bright future at opendoor
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970614) |
Date: May 29th, 2025 11:25 AM Author: Senior Ethics Official
High prices drive traffic.
When zillow tried buying property based on their 'zestimates' they got owned and loss hundred million+
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970649) |
Date: May 29th, 2025 11:26 AM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
the Zestimate jumps to whatever the house is listed for. e.g. it can be 400k for 2 years, then the house is listed for 500k, the Zestimate will immediately show a spike up to 499k.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970652) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:30 AM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
one weird trick
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970662) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:33 AM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
https://imgur.com/a/WzhzHxO
first house I looked at was almost exactly my example
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970675) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:37 AM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
yup. ive poasted about this for years.
the trick is they're stealing the number that is from a valuation presumably performed by a somewhat rational listing agent who is attempting to get somewhat close to the home's market value. they know their model is absolute dogshit and that the listing agent's target price on average will be way the fuck closer.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970685) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 11:45 AM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
BEEP BEEP BEEP. it's not literal theft. the point is that these models are total dogshit, and simply programming the model replace its default dogshit calculation with the listing price +/- $5k whenever a house gets listed doesn't make the model anything more than dogshit
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970707) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:02 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
jfc, BEEP BEEP BEEP. a normie doesnt have a clue that the model is so retarded that it shoots up 100-200k to the listing price when a house gets listed.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970753) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:08 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
jfc we're not talking about recent listings and sales. we're talking about the listing of the very home in question.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970771) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:13 PM Author: rape laserdisc (gunneratttt)
again, "no shit."
if i valued a stock going public at $50 and the offeree listed it at $75 i would adjust my estimate.
all the zestimate is doing is automating the appraisal process. just like an appraisal it considers recent sales and adjusts them to that house. but when the house is actually sold that appraisal is outdated because the market price has been determined. of course an automated system would include the listing price heavily in particular to the *specific* asset being sold, just like in my IPO example above.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970786) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:16 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
and it does a pretty fucking shitty job at automating the appraisal process .... unless the house is literally listed for sale and it can steal the listing price and use that
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970799) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:15 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
yes. this apspie is missing the point
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970795) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:54 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
OH WHAT A DATA DRIVEN PREDICTIVE MODEL THAT CAN'T FORECAST ANYTHING BETTER THAN AN AVERAGE
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970919) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 1:07 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
the point you are not understanding is that nobody is saying that the listing information should be discarded. nobody is saying that.
what we are saying is that the "zestimate" itself is completely useless given the fact that it cannot even accurately predict the list price.
i have a bs/ms in math. i don't understand how you are saying nobody understands statistics.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970959) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:17 PM Author: rape laserdisc (gunneratttt)
because it does a great job of predicting the listing price in areas where there is more data. i've had appraisers come in significantly off the market price too even when i prodded them to adjust it based on relevant data, only to be proven right when the market price is reached.
if you have a bs/ms in math then you'd also realize how stupid it is when people are like "polls got it wrong, what flame!" and you look at the data and it's a small sample amongst a population that doesn't reflect the electorate.
algorithms are tools like anything else. zestimate does a great job looking at housing sales, listings and comparing them to location and attributes like lot and housing size and spitting out a number. but just like any algorithm it's fallible, especially in ways that are hard to reflect in the data. for example it's very hard to estimate the quality of the house. i've seen flips in my neighborhood sell for 50%+ more in a few months, and for the information zillow considers it's the same house.
you wouldn't call quantitative security analysis flame just because it cannot account for soft factors like growth potential because of an upcoming product launch. it's a valuable tool despite it's limitations. same thing with zestimate. fucking humans with decades of expertise are often significantly off in predicting a market price, so is everything flame because perfection is unachievable?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971224) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:24 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
do you work for zillow or something wtf
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971245) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:28 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971262) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:54 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971364) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:15 PM Author: rape laserdisc (gunneratttt)
no, i get what he's saying. what i'm saying is that that doesn't make it flame.
houses usually sell around the listing price. the zestimate also will considers houses around the house being listed, which is why the zestimate isnt set *exactly* to the listing price.
if there were a bunch of fake listings being generated that corrupted the data it might be flame, but that's not the case. of course the listing price of an asset is going to be relative in an algorithm estimating what it's value is.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970796) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:20 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
the complaint is that the model is total fucking dogshit and is usually off by 100-200k
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970816) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:22 PM Author: Content Creator
The "complaint" is that they're fucking fraud, lol. "Zillow" is not providing any kind of value add. They just make shit up in order to sell ads
The actual "service" provided by Zillow is essentially house porn that allows bored women and husbandjaks to endlessly scroll and browse through a bunch of houses and waste their time and/or cause them anxiety and/or confuse them about the housing market
As others pointed out in this thread, when they tried to actually buy and sell in the housing market, they got raped and lost money. They suck. They're fart app, ad-selling flame, just like everything else in the fake and gay (((digital economy)))
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970824) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 12:25 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970835) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 1:08 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970963) |
Date: May 29th, 2025 11:39 AM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
whether they're somewhat fraud to total fraud depends largely on how much properties in that area are interchangeable commodities. for a condo building or a tract house neighborhood were all the houses are the same and of the same condition, it's somewhat fraud. in a neighborhood, where all the houses are totally different and may be in totally different conditions, it's total horseshit.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48970689) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 1:57 PM
Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;..,
the complaint is exactly that these models are such pure shit that they shouldnt publish them, and the only reason they publish them is bc the company is a scam
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971149) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:06 PM
Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971183) |
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Date: May 29th, 2025 2:23 PM Author: Content Creator
You just keep insisting that Zillow estimates have useful and accurate predictive power. They do not. You just keep asserting this, over and over, even though it's completely wrong
We literally have empirical proof of this. We don't have to guess. Zillow tried to buy and sell houses themselves, based on their own best estimates, with their own money on the line, and lost money. Their estimates are objectively bad. They are bad at estimating house prices. No one should be paying any attention to their house price estimates. It could not be any clearer
Insane performance from you in this thread
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48971240) |
Date: May 29th, 2025 8:43 PM Author: Content Creator
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/ar-AA1FHCtC
And even long after the sale has gone through, all kinds of information about the home remain a click away. It’s the digital equivalent of rifling through the medicine cabinet.
“I have friends who are single who, before they go over to a new boyfriend or girlfriend’s house, they will Google the house to see it, in the same way that they do the social media snoop,” says Linsell. “It’s almost like part of the vetting process now.”
For many, though, a real house hunt couldn’t be further from reach. So instead, they turn to these online listings as a calorie-free substitute. “Homeownership has become much more difficult,” says Linsell. “And this has become a place where you go and look at the things that you can’t have.”
Total Zillow Death
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5731018&forum_id=2E#48972292) |
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