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Hypo: Anti US Saudi Prince launches Coup
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:38 PM Author: amethyst diverse mediation Forces loyal to a Saudi Prince (Backed by Russia) surround the capital Riyadh and forces the abdication of his uncle. Deports US diplomats. Describe US reaction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200672) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:40 PM Author: amethyst diverse mediation Cuts oil production in 1/2 raising prices to $150 per barrel. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200700) |
Date: January 27th, 2015 10:38 PM Author: hyperventilating pistol Are Reptile cums buckets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200679) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:25 PM Author: Transparent Crotch Business Firm Wont even deny it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201038) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:39 PM Author: umber charismatic dragon we torpedo one of our own ships in saudi controlled waters a la the gulf of tonkin then install someone more friendly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200694) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:46 PM Author: Odious boltzmann this presupposes the existence of a saudi prince who isn't dedicated body and soul to a decadent western lifestyle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200768) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:06 PM Author: Nofapping exciting masturbator kitty there are so many that its guaranteed that there is a saudi prince available to fit almost any possible preferred list of attributes and inclinations. remember, osama bin laden was basically a saudi prince, in terms of how much sense it made for him to choose the life he did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200953) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:46 PM Author: olive church He gets got. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200776) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:47 PM Author: Odious boltzmann yeah this was covered in 'Syriana' (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200781) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 10:48 PM Author: heady temple The entire western world is closed off to Saudis. They'd last 2-3 years. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200789) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:02 PM Author: Nofapping exciting masturbator kitty its hard to say this would be our response, since its pretty close to a necessary but unstated precondition, but the US and Iran dramatically thaw relations.
a russia/saudi tie up (even if its a coup) requires either a russia/iranian split OR some sort of bizarre iranian/saudi rapprochement. both of these are pretty unlikely, but the rapprochement sounds almost impossible.
so if there is/was a split, the immediate opportunity is for us to improve iranian ties --iranian moderate politicians can use the russia/saudi tie up as evidence that their hand is forced and they need to butter up to the west again, and I suspect over the longer term (20 yr) tiemframe its ultimately a better fit, since the average resident of tehran is far more western in their tastes/politics than the average resident of riyadh.
but israel is M A F
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:14 PM Author: hyperventilating pistol Seems scholarly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200998) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:16 PM Author: Nofapping exciting masturbator kitty shrewd analysis. the "f" in my name stands for fake (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201006) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:17 PM Author: hyperventilating pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201009) |
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Date: January 28th, 2015 1:47 PM Author: Lake Crackhouse What if the Saudi prince who led the coup is a Shiite? He then forms an alliance with Russia/Iran as well as Assad in Syria, all of whom unite against Israel. That would be a foreign policy disaster for the U.S. on the same order of magnitude as the Iranian Islamic Revolution. It seems unlikely that a Shiite could successfully seize and hold power in Saudi Arabia, though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27203565) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:09 PM Author: Unhinged spectacular school cafeteria liquid oxygen When the British princed the most princy looking camel fucker in the desert it was on the condition that they can unprince him at any time. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27200974) |
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Date: January 28th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: trip tanning salon alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27203727) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:18 PM Author: mildly autistic bateful depressive doctorate 10 years ago this would have meant WWIII. Israel would attack Saudis with a US approval, Muslims would attack Israel in response, US and Russia would have a proxy war in the Middle East.
Now oil would spike but the US would just frack our way out of it. |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:26 PM Author: Transparent Crotch Business Firm Shale can never win a price war especially now that all the cheap money is gone. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201046) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:27 PM Author: mildly autistic bateful depressive doctorate But the economy can support $5 a gallon gas and at $5 a gallon the U.S. and Canada could supply the entire world with oil. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201049) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:29 PM Author: Transparent Crotch Business Firm Lol, no. Even now the US is an importer. Yankees only have 30 years of reserves at present levels of production. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27201058) |
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Date: January 27th, 2015 11:45 PM Author: Nofapping exciting masturbator kitty 30 years is plenty of time bro. some crazy oil shock that gets us to 2 or 3 hundred a barrel would
A. be speculatively constrained by the existence of fracking but
B. just result in the right accepting aggressively pursuing alt fuels as Correct.
solar projects are already very compelling on a $/kwh basis. solar production is maybe 2 or 3x conventional fuel sources right now, and the price can only go down, so there's never going to be an oil shock to the extent there was in the 70s (where it was like a 10x price change AND everybody thought it might go on forever) |
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Date: January 28th, 2015 2:24 PM Author: yapping histrionic field About two-thirds of our imported oil comes from Canada, Mexico, and Venezuela.
http://inblackandweitz.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/451fe37cd8237daa4874d4e0c10b99990e37e59f.png
While a sharp decline in Saudi production would raise prices for the USA, a Saudi embargo would not. |
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Date: January 28th, 2015 2:17 PM Author: trip tanning salon alpha The entire state apparatus is Sunni and super-loyal to the ruling family. There would just be a counter-coup with aid by US and friendly Middle-Eastern forces (Israel and Jordan). The dude would not last more than 90 days. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2793626&forum_id=2#27203747) |