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is making trump the nominee the only way for reps to win

if he goes 3rd party they lose and if they run some fat dork...
irradiated misunderstood messiness stage
  08/07/15
yes - a bland moderate pol (like mccain and romney - who wer...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
...
rusted step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
ty
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
...
trip dysfunction
  08/07/15
...
Razzle-dazzle keepsake machete voyeur
  08/08/15
If Trump's name is on the ballot come the general election, ...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
breh, trump v. menopausal plastic-faced Benghazi-lying (buh ...
drunken elite school associate
  08/07/15
Do you actually believe this? http://www.realclearpoliti...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
poll seems legit bro. ps fuck you. and in any event, w...
drunken elite school associate
  08/07/15
You know it was 5 separate polls, right? So when you used si...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggo...
drunken elite school associate
  08/07/15
.
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: ....,...,.,,..,.,......
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
how did you find this board?
Rose mildly autistic digit ratio school cafeteria
  08/08/15
she is sooooo fucking overrated and awful, and anyone preten...
indigo state rigpig
  08/07/15
She's incredibly overrated. And Trump is hated by the people...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
reminder: every "serious political analyst" has wr...
rusted step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
who pays these faggot analysts? are you not seeing what is g...
drunken elite school associate
  08/07/15
you're right about everything except that trump would win. d...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
bro who doesn't under the demographics of the Obama v Romney...
drunken elite school associate
  08/07/15
i know them. i'm not saying she doesn't need minorities, but...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
Likelihood of total defeat high, but possible chance of vict...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
There's no chance of victory whatsoever with a reality TV st...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
(conventional pol thinker) if you don't see why his big t...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
Walk me through how the reality TV star overcomes his absurd...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-tru...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
Unfavorability among Republicans. Doesn't mean shit in a...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
(the type of guy who doesn't understand the difference betwe...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
Jeb Bush would have a pretty decent shot. Trump would have n...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
ty
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
might even only be a 5% chance, but #yolo, beats a certain l...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
this. jeb is a lock for a 45-55 loss. whereas trump will lik...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
exactly. non-probabilistic thinkers don't get this. trump kn...
Costumed Fragrant Depressive
  08/07/15
There's no circumstance in which the reality TV star could w...
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
(guy insisting there was "no circumstance" in whic...
rusted step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
Link?
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
you know you were, faggot
rusted step-uncle's house
  08/07/15
Link?
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
lol. found one. god bless json: http://xoxohth.com/thread...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
so, no link?
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
where's that link bro?
scarlet coiffed stage
  08/07/15
are you a retard or something? i just rick-rolled you. it's ...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
To begin with, if we had a 2008 style meltdown, anyone-but-d...
Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy
  08/07/15
?
shivering mad cow disease candlestick maker
  06/22/17
if rubio toughens up on immigration he could be ok.
indigo state rigpig
  08/07/15
yes, in 2020 when they nominate Rubio
Rambunctious tan set
  08/07/15
Yes
Awkward histrionic goal in life
  08/07/15
A third party run isnt even an issue. It's the only way for ...
Brindle Personal Credit Line
  08/07/15
Trump is a smart enough guy to appreciate the game theory an...
jade son of senegal
  08/08/15
...
territorial theater stage
  08/08/15


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:10 PM
Author: irradiated misunderstood messiness stage

if he goes 3rd party they lose and if they run some fat dork they lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503679)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:15 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

yes - a bland moderate pol (like mccain and romney - who were reasonable, "qualified" nice guys) will get totally slaughtered by hillary.

have to fight asymmetrically against the dems in 2016, cant do a conventional campaign where youre apologizing all the time

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503715)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:20 PM
Author: rusted step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503745)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503770)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM
Author: trip dysfunction



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504030)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 12:05 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle keepsake machete voyeur



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28507288)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

If Trump's name is on the ballot come the general election, the Republican ticket will lose.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503725)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:21 PM
Author: drunken elite school associate

breh, trump v. menopausal plastic-faced Benghazi-lying (buh buh the movie not al Qaeda) sterile bitch would be a bloodbath.

the only way she wins is if the sub 80 iq mud people come out en masse like they did for Obama.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503750)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Do you actually believe this?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503760)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: drunken elite school associate

poll seems legit bro.

ps fuck you.

and in any event, what is the value of doing the comparison now? he has to sink his teeth into her first.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503767)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

You know it was 5 separate polls, right? So when you used singular, you should have been saying

"these five polls from nationally recognized polling bodies, all of which are within a small margin of each other" not "poll".

Just FYI bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503784)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: drunken elite school associate

one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503826)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503848)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:32 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM

Author: ....,...,.,,..,.,......

one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503850)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM
Author: Rose mildly autistic digit ratio school cafeteria

how did you find this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509134)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: indigo state rigpig

she is sooooo fucking overrated and awful, and anyone pretending shell waltz to victory is a moron. the best thing she could do is just stay out of the spotlight until next november. When she starts doing debates, everyone in america will say "oh, yeah. that's hillary clinton." and shell be fucked.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503765)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

She's incredibly overrated. And Trump is hated by the people he needs to win the election.

No serious political analyst gives Trump a snowball's chance in hell.

Honestly if you think otherwise you should kill yourself.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503792)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: rusted step-uncle's house

reminder: every "serious political analyst" has wrongly predicted the demise of Trump's campaign about 20 separate times already

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503815)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:29 PM
Author: drunken elite school associate

who pays these faggot analysts? are you not seeing what is going on today?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503833)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

you're right about everything except that trump would win. doesn't even need that 'if' part you included.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503768)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: drunken elite school associate

bro who doesn't under the demographics of the Obama v Romney victory

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503787)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

i know them. i'm not saying she doesn't need minorities, but she doesn't need some miracle turnout.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503817)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

Likelihood of total defeat high, but possible chance of victory (needs something like a serious recession happening between now and then or a mass shooting by an illegal)

Having a bland pol means the margin in most cases will be closer, but the likelihood of victory is almost zero

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503762)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:24 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

There's no chance of victory whatsoever with a reality TV star that minorities despise on the Republican ticket.

None. He brings no swing voters. He repulses independents, hispanics, blacks and women. He is simply unelectable.

I'm a bit surprised that anybody could think otherwise.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503778)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

(conventional pol thinker)

if you don't see why his big tent expands and energizes the potential republican voter base you are blind

for example, i might not even vote if trump isn't on the ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503788)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Walk me through how the reality TV star overcomes his absurdly terrible unfavorability numbers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503798)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html

unfavorability numbers don't mean anything

the article above was from several weeks ago, and it even said this:

"What Murray can say definitively about Trump is that he is an anomaly. In a Monmouth poll released a month ago, Trump had the worst favorability rating of any Republican candidate among Republican voters, 20 percent favorable to 55 percent unfavorable, a fact cited by many political observers in pooh-poohing his viability. In the poll out this week, Trump’s favorability has pulled nearly even at 41-40. The swing was even more dramatic among self-identified tea party voters, who went from viewing him unfavorably, 55 percent to 20 percent, to viewing him favorably 56 percent to 26 percent.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html#ixzz3iAu1JLF2"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503813)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Unfavorability among Republicans.

Doesn't mean shit in a general bro.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503844)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

(the type of guy who doesn't understand the difference between a 10% chance and a 0% chance)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503802)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Jeb Bush would have a pretty decent shot. Trump would have no chance whatsoever.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503810)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503816)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

might even only be a 5% chance, but #yolo, beats a certain loss

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503824)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

this. jeb is a lock for a 45-55 loss. whereas trump will likely lose 30-70, but could actually pull out a victory in some circumstances.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503795)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM
Author: Costumed Fragrant Depressive

exactly. non-probabilistic thinkers don't get this. trump knows what he's doing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503800)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

There's no circumstance in which the reality TV star could win.

None.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503804)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:30 PM
Author: rusted step-uncle's house

(guy insisting there was "no circumstance" in which Trump's campaign survives the McCain comments two weeks ago)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503839)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503845)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:34 PM
Author: rusted step-uncle's house

you know you were, faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503859)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:39 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503891)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:43 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

lol. found one. god bless json:

http://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&mc=39&forum_id=2#28503859

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503923)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:52 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

so, no link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503967)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM
Author: scarlet coiffed stage

where's that link bro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504024)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:11 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

are you a retard or something? i just rick-rolled you. it's the other guy you were harassing for a link. i don't give a shit whether or not you said that before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504046)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:36 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Vengeful Ladyboy

To begin with, if we had a 2008 style meltdown, anyone-but-dem would be the favorite. So there's that for anyone who ends up as a nominee.

Trump could win for the same reason you probably have said there isn't a chance he'd be the GOP front runner at this stage: it's actually not that easy to know how proles will be influenced by his bullshit. I would have laughed my ass off 20 years ago if you told me some TV station was going to turn the news into a 24-hour conservative soap opera, but proles fall for all sorts of stupid shit that XO would never understand because we are too out of touch with middle America. I mean, have you ever even seen Duck Dynasty?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503877)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 22nd, 2017 11:12 PM
Author: shivering mad cow disease candlestick maker

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#33622201)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM
Author: indigo state rigpig

if rubio toughens up on immigration he could be ok.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503727)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM
Author: Rambunctious tan set

yes, in 2020 when they nominate Rubio

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503794)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 7:44 PM
Author: Awkward histrionic goal in life

Yes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503924)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 7th, 2015 8:09 PM
Author: Brindle Personal Credit Line

A third party run isnt even an issue. It's the only way for them to win, period. If the other candidates cant even beat Trump, they aint winning the country against Clinton.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504035)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:05 PM
Author: jade son of senegal

Trump is a smart enough guy to appreciate the game theory angle of the circumstances expressed in the OP. By making it clear he is willing to go third-party, he is forcing the GOP's hand to back him. If Trump manages to maintain his popularity for much longer, the GOP's only options will be to support Trump or lose to Hillary.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509116)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM
Author: territorial theater stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509136)