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is making trump the nominee the only way for reps to win
Poast new message in this thread
Date: August 7th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Adventurous Underhanded Ratface Menage if he goes 3rd party they lose and if they run some fat dork they lose (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503679) |
Date: August 7th, 2015 7:15 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal yes - a bland moderate pol (like mccain and romney - who were reasonable, "qualified" nice guys) will get totally slaughtered by hillary.
have to fight asymmetrically against the dems in 2016, cant do a conventional campaign where youre apologizing all the time |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: coral messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503745) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503770) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM Author: Nubile blathering fanboi stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504030) |
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Date: August 8th, 2015 12:05 PM Author: jet frum degenerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28507288) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum If Trump's name is on the ballot come the general election, the Republican ticket will lose. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503725) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Cerebral Bespoke Theatre breh, trump v. menopausal plastic-faced Benghazi-lying (buh buh the movie not al Qaeda) sterile bitch would be a bloodbath.
the only way she wins is if the sub 80 iq mud people come out en masse like they did for Obama. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Do you actually believe this?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM Author: Cerebral Bespoke Theatre poll seems legit bro.
ps fuck you.
and in any event, what is the value of doing the comparison now? he has to sink his teeth into her first. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum You know it was 5 separate polls, right? So when you used singular, you should have been saying
"these five polls from nationally recognized polling bodies, all of which are within a small margin of each other" not "poll".
Just FYI bro. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: Cerebral Bespoke Theatre one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503826) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503848) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:32 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: ....,...,.,,..,.,......
one shitlib poll or five, what difference does it make faggot? again, my underlying point remains - wait until he sinks his teeth into that plastic, lying professional politician twat. without the muds, she is a loser.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#) |
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Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM Author: Maroon galvanic box office how did you find this board? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509134) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM Author: provocative school cafeteria ceo she is sooooo fucking overrated and awful, and anyone pretending shell waltz to victory is a moron. the best thing she could do is just stay out of the spotlight until next november. When she starts doing debates, everyone in america will say "oh, yeah. that's hillary clinton." and shell be fucked. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503765) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum She's incredibly overrated. And Trump is hated by the people he needs to win the election.
No serious political analyst gives Trump a snowball's chance in hell.
Honestly if you think otherwise you should kill yourself. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: coral messiness reminder: every "serious political analyst" has wrongly predicted the demise of Trump's campaign about 20 separate times already (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503815) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:29 PM Author: Cerebral Bespoke Theatre who pays these faggot analysts? are you not seeing what is going on today? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503833) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:23 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw you're right about everything except that trump would win. doesn't even need that 'if' part you included. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503768) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM Author: Cerebral Bespoke Theatre bro who doesn't under the demographics of the Obama v Romney victory (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503787) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw i know them. i'm not saying she doesn't need minorities, but she doesn't need some miracle turnout. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503817) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:22 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal Likelihood of total defeat high, but possible chance of victory (needs something like a serious recession happening between now and then or a mass shooting by an illegal)
Having a bland pol means the margin in most cases will be closer, but the likelihood of victory is almost zero |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:24 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum There's no chance of victory whatsoever with a reality TV star that minorities despise on the Republican ticket.
None. He brings no swing voters. He repulses independents, hispanics, blacks and women. He is simply unelectable.
I'm a bit surprised that anybody could think otherwise. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal (conventional pol thinker)
if you don't see why his big tent expands and energizes the potential republican voter base you are blind
for example, i might not even vote if trump isn't on the ballot. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Walk me through how the reality TV star overcomes his absurdly terrible unfavorability numbers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503798) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html
unfavorability numbers don't mean anything
the article above was from several weeks ago, and it even said this:
"What Murray can say definitively about Trump is that he is an anomaly. In a Monmouth poll released a month ago, Trump had the worst favorability rating of any Republican candidate among Republican voters, 20 percent favorable to 55 percent unfavorable, a fact cited by many political observers in pooh-poohing his viability. In the poll out this week, Trump’s favorability has pulled nearly even at 41-40. The swing was even more dramatic among self-identified tea party voters, who went from viewing him unfavorably, 55 percent to 20 percent, to viewing him favorably 56 percent to 26 percent.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/the-mystery-of-the-trump-coalition-120269.html#ixzz3iAu1JLF2" |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Unfavorability among Republicans.
Doesn't mean shit in a general bro. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw (the type of guy who doesn't understand the difference between a 10% chance and a 0% chance) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503802) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Jeb Bush would have a pretty decent shot. Trump would have no chance whatsoever. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503810) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503816) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:28 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal might even only be a 5% chance, but #yolo, beats a certain loss (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503824) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw this. jeb is a lock for a 45-55 loss. whereas trump will likely lose 30-70, but could actually pull out a victory in some circumstances. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503795) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:26 PM Author: heady impertinent preventive strike son of senegal exactly. non-probabilistic thinkers don't get this. trump knows what he's doing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503800) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:27 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum There's no circumstance in which the reality TV star could win.
None. |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:30 PM Author: coral messiness (guy insisting there was "no circumstance" in which Trump's campaign survives the McCain comments two weeks ago) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503839) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:31 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Link? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503845) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:34 PM Author: coral messiness you know you were, faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503859) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:39 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum Link? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503891) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:43 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw lol. found one. god bless json:
http://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&mc=39&forum_id=2#28503859 |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:52 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum so, no link? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503967) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 8:07 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle forum where's that link bro? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504024) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 8:11 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw are you a retard or something? i just rick-rolled you. it's the other guy you were harassing for a link. i don't give a shit whether or not you said that before. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504046) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:36 PM Author: orange erotic stead bbw To begin with, if we had a 2008 style meltdown, anyone-but-dem would be the favorite. So there's that for anyone who ends up as a nominee.
Trump could win for the same reason you probably have said there isn't a chance he'd be the GOP front runner at this stage: it's actually not that easy to know how proles will be influenced by his bullshit. I would have laughed my ass off 20 years ago if you told me some TV station was going to turn the news into a 24-hour conservative soap opera, but proles fall for all sorts of stupid shit that XO would never understand because we are too out of touch with middle America. I mean, have you ever even seen Duck Dynasty? |
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Date: June 22nd, 2017 11:12 PM Author: cracking ruddy multi-billionaire twinkling uncleanness ? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#33622201) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:16 PM Author: provocative school cafeteria ceo if rubio toughens up on immigration he could be ok. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503727) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:25 PM Author: boyish temple yes, in 2020 when they nominate Rubio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503794) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 7:44 PM Author: Curious self-absorbed set sweet tailpipe Yes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28503924) |
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Date: August 7th, 2015 8:09 PM Author: beady-eyed space A third party run isnt even an issue. It's the only way for them to win, period. If the other candidates cant even beat Trump, they aint winning the country against Clinton. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28504035) |
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Date: August 8th, 2015 6:05 PM Author: turquoise yarmulke Trump is a smart enough guy to appreciate the game theory angle of the circumstances expressed in the OP. By making it clear he is willing to go third-party, he is forcing the GOP's hand to back him. If Trump manages to maintain his popularity for much longer, the GOP's only options will be to support Trump or lose to Hillary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509116) |
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Date: August 8th, 2015 6:07 PM Author: Chrome crawly sanctuary round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2957043&forum_id=2#28509136) |