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So can Trumpos now just admit that Trump isn't going to be President?
| Curious misunderstood mad-dog skullcap | 02/02/16 |
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| greedy stage national security agency | 02/02/16 |
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: February 2nd, 2016 11:37 AM Author: Curious misunderstood mad-dog skullcap If he couldn't win decisively in a 9 candidate field, he surely isn't going to win as candidates start dropping out, right? Seems pretty obvious. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736666) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:14 PM Author: Electric Jade Hall Pisswyrm He could win NH, but after last night it's hard to see this as a "movement". You need to hope that it is a movement and the 100k hick Iowans who voted aren't representative of the field. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736926) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:15 PM Author: Territorial mildly autistic mexican library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736933) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 4:51 PM Author: Smoky Bipolar Institution Subject: http://i.imgur.com/VmRo4qt.jpg http://i.imgur.com/VmRo4qt.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29745674) |
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Date: October 29th, 2016 7:53 PM Author: Cordovan vigorous field (Masterman where 16 = 9) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#31755222) |
Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:15 PM Author: big theater stage he is still going to win (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736942) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:17 PM Author: Filthy French Stead Correct. President Santorum is giving a speech on this topic later today; anti-trumpmos should tune in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736953) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:23 PM Author: burgundy razzle-dazzle selfie President Huckabee also spoke earlier. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736995) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:13 PM Author: exciting stag film newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737613) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:40 PM Author: Curious misunderstood mad-dog skullcap I'm definitely not saying Cruz is a lock, but Trump surely needed to do better than this in Iowa given almost everyone hates him other than the people who voted for him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737104) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:42 PM Author: Vermilion Space Cruz? Are you an idiot? It's Trump or Rubio. Cruz will win two states max. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737433) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:13 PM Author: exciting stag film newt youre fucking retarded. he did great considering the electorate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737614) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 9:35 PM Author: titillating police squad THis (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29740494) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:18 PM Author: frisky yarmulke If he can get the nomination, he can possibly beat HRC or BS.
The real challenge will be to pick up the support of the drop-outs in for the big March 1 primary. Its now a two man race with him and Rubio and its likely Rubio will take the bulk of the drop-out support |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:19 PM Author: Territorial mildly autistic mexican library If he can't beat Cruz, how the fuck is he gonna beat an actual American citizen? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736970) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:21 PM Author: frisky yarmulke Cruz was a one-hit wonder who blew his entire wad on Iowan evangelicals. His arrogance will keep him in after March 1, but he will get annihilated in NH, NV, and SC, and by March 1 the writing will be on the wall.
The problem for Trump (who will likely win 2 of NH NV and SC) is that the drop-outs after these three primaries will throw their 25% to Rubio and the bleed-offs from Cruz will maybe split Trump/Rubio.
Itll be Rubio 60+%, Trump 20+%, Cruz in the low teens. |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:40 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency Subject: Disagree Supporters of Carson, Huckabee, etc are much more likely to back Trump or Cruz than Rubio. Rubio needs Jeb, Christie and Kasich to gtfo fast to have any chance in hell. If not, the GOP establishment will feel the BTC (or less likely the BCC) full throttle, no lube. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737423) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:45 PM Author: frisky yarmulke
The choices up till now for primary voters have been 1. Trump 2. Alternative to Trump 3. Establishment
2 and 3 will clump together |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:51 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency I presume Cruz represents group 2, there is no way those voters are going for Rubio. At best it's a 50/50 split between establishment and Trump if Cruz drops, but I suspect the Donald will get the lion's share.
More importantly, establishment lane is too crowded with morons like Jeb and Christie. Rubio should be paying them/offering cabinet slots if he wins, to get out now, before NH. |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:18 PM Author: aqua underhanded senate Last night was a big hit. Basically halved Trumps chances. The fat lady hasn't sung yet thougb (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736965) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 12:24 PM Author: Hyperactive center i've been predicting rubio to win the nomination for some time. it will be a long slog though. trump, cruz, rubio, are gonna stick through until the bitter end. the gop primary/caucus is very stretched out this year, with very few true winner take all states. after NH and SC, lot of people will drop out, and this will benefit rubio more than it does trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29736999) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Vermilion Space Because he barely lost fraud Iowa?? LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737426) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:44 PM Author: Ocher regret rubio lost too, in case you didn't notice (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737443) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:46 PM Author: frisky yarmulke no, he didnt
He just needed to beat everyone under position 3 -- all of whom control ~25%, in addition to the 21% he got for himself. That bottom 25% will not go Trump or Cruz. Its easiest to go with a front-runner and that bottom 25% adamantly did not |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:56 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency Subject: Incorrect 40% ie (10 of 25) of that bottom 25% is Carson. Many of the doc's supporters want an outsider, they are unlikely to go for Rubio.
It's dumb to assume the bottom quarter will just fall to Marco Polo. |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:20 PM Author: Excitant carmine orchestra pit dingle berry Carson was never a real outsider candidate that's media flame. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737682) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:45 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency A doctor whose never held or ran for political office in his life is not an outsider? Are you on drugs? You can argue that for Fiorina given her past runs and general political involvement, but no way Carson, he even talks like an outsider.
Carson's support has a much bigger overlap with Trump and Cruz than with Rubio. HTH. |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 9:42 PM Author: Excitant carmine orchestra pit dingle berry That makes no difference. He's a generic religious conservative like all the other clowns. Evangelicals have been co-opted by the GOPe for decades at this point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29740573) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 8:06 AM Author: greedy stage national security agency Hence his supporters are more likely to go to Trump or Cruz who are both strong w bible thumpers. Rubio, not so much. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742550) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 12:49 PM Author: spruce hell community account Dude, Carson is pretty much saying Cruz cheated to win Iowa. No f ing way Carson supporters go to Cruz after a claim like that, the Trump is going to grab them easy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29744060) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:44 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency To be fair, this was not in the news when I made my comment. Point taken, Trump is more likely to inherit Carson supporters, (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29744786) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:19 AM Author: Claret giraffe forum is rubio really an insider tho? he hasn't even served a full fucking term of anything in DC (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742071) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:11 PM Author: Ocher regret the idea that you can just assume that everybody else's supporters will simply go to rubio is absurd, as his has been this entire cycle. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737601) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:48 PM Author: Sticky market lettuce He outperformed polls by 6-7 points. That's going to throw all the Bush/Christie money behind him.
That's a win for a Catholic LatIno in a state where 70% is evangelical and 100%!are white |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:52 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency Did you fail to notice that Latino Rafeal Eduardo Cruz finished first? Clearly, Iowa GOP doesn't have an issue with spics. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737485) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:10 AM Author: jet juggernaut ape LOL. Ted Cruz has a hispanic last name, but that's about it.
"Culturally, Tom Cruise is more Latino than Ted Cruz.
That's an exaggeration, but not much. In 2012, he refused to debate an opponent in Spanish because he admitted he can't speak it at all. When he runs Spanish language ads, he is not speaking in them. This is in sharp contrast to both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, both bilingual.
Not that it matters, since Cruz has never had Latino support in his "home" state. He lost the Latino vote by an incredible 20 points, when GW Bush carried it. He's popular almost exclusively among hard right conservative whites, and won't win many Latino votes outside of right wing Cubans." - https://www.quora.com/Does-Ted-Cruz-speak-Spanish |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 8:05 AM Author: greedy stage national security agency Subject: So what A self hating spic is still a spic. Hth. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742545) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 1:51 PM Author: Dashing lilac lay sex offender never. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737480) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:13 PM Author: exciting stag film newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29737618) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:01 AM Author: bearded impressive point macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742028) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 4:54 PM Author: exciting stag film newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29745699) |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 2:21 PM Author: infuriating obsidian step-uncle's house fat ankles Good showing in NH and then kicking ass in my home state of SC and he'll be right back in business.
Iowa is filled with faggots anyways |
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Date: February 2nd, 2016 9:38 PM Author: Peach clown Aren't you that guy that talks about doing gay (sex even) stuff all the time? No offense, you're not exactly the target demo. Not that that's bad. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29740517) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:15 AM Author: chest-beating yellow volcanic crater its not him
that was a different moniker i think |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:16 AM Author: chest-beating yellow volcanic crater yes
he was a long shot even if he was the nominee against hillary
now i think he is a long shot even for the GOP nomination
not impossible though
he has around 10% chance of becoming POTUS |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:20 AM Author: Motley Location Indirect Expression we have a 95% chance of getting a TRUMPified POTUS. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742074) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:19 AM Author: Talented degenerate he can win. he just needs to turn people off to rubio. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742073) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 8:29 AM Author: Dead thirsty piazza rigor This. Trump needs to rehabilitate Jeb and demolish Rubio. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29742657) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 12:40 PM Author: spruce hell community account Subject: Iowa doesn't matter President Huckabee and President Santorum can tell you all about it.
Besides, Donald had a strong showing in Iowa, second is solid if you don't have any ground game in a caucus. Trumpster will also get Carson and Rand Paul supporters soon. He is strongly positioned to get the nomination. |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 12:42 PM Author: embarrassed to the bone fragrant hissy fit queen of the night Its fucking iowa and he is down one delega5e. Bitch please. Trump IS NUMBER ONE in all the ways that count. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29743992) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 2:44 PM Author: greedy stage national security agency This. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29744791) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 12:48 PM Author: Multi-colored Area Genital Piercing No. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29744050) |
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Date: February 25th, 2016 4:51 PM Author: free-loading pocket flask chapel lol at OP (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29914794) |
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Date: February 25th, 2016 4:51 PM Author: fantasy-prone heaven CHOO CHOOOOOO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29914800) |
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Date: February 25th, 2016 7:30 PM Author: chest-beating yellow volcanic crater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#29915838) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:13 PM Author: free-loading pocket flask chapel OP = moron (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#30017927) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:09 PM Author: Apoplectic boiling water well, guys? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#30353289) |
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Date: December 5th, 2016 9:56 PM Author: Vermilion Space Well? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#32064917) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:13 PM Author: Stirring Sapphire Church People Who Are Hurt :_(
OP still stands |
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Date: June 23rd, 2017 8:26 PM Author: emerald nubile telephone nursing home ? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#33628495) |
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Date: October 29th, 2016 7:33 PM Author: Apoplectic boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#31755097) |
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Date: December 5th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: appetizing multi-billionaire OP's scenario is becoming less and less likely (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#32064911) |
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Date: June 29th, 2017 9:35 PM Author: Cobalt Psychic Lol cot damn libs are dumb (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3116296&forum_id=2#33672584) |