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If ossoff wins, bad sign for GOP in 2018, right?
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Date: June 15th, 2017 6:57 PM Author: Misanthropic exhilarant hospital juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567633) |
Date: June 15th, 2017 6:58 PM Author: floppy flickering potus no because it will trigger things going in the other direction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567639) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:12 PM Author: Bipolar nibblets spot libs will certainly try and forcememe it but the reality is it's one seat against someone who is hated down there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567734) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:14 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall if Dems come close they will spin it. but the reality is they need to get a win for fucking once.
that said, if they win this district, then yes it's a very bad sign for the GOP. Reps can make some gains in the rustbelt, but that won't offset losses in well to do or educated suburbs. |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:24 PM Author: mind-boggling stag film To your second point...dat gerrymandering bro...there aren't that manny competitive surban seats thanks to legislatures elected in 2010 gerrymandering the census redistricting. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567822) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:30 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall there are a bunch on the two coasts. there's a few in the DC area, a few in NY, a few in NJ, a few in PA... a lot in California.
The Dems should just plant themselves in CA. |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:16 PM Author: High-end vermilion sweet tailpipe cruise ship no one will remember this "win" by 2018, but libs will bray about it for at least another year. HTH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567758) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:18 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall libs will talk it up even if they just come close. they need to win though.
it's not that it will be newsworthy in a year, it's that it's telling because it's a near in upper class suburban district... these are the types of districts that are trending away from Republicans as the GOP targets lower income populists. There is nothing uniquely amazing about Osoff so if he wins this then it's a bad sign of things to come for the GOP. |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:26 PM Author: High-end vermilion sweet tailpipe cruise ship doesn't help the GOP that Ossoff is getting INSANE money and celebrity support from out of state (like the most money ever spent on a congressional election or something), and Handel is a pretty weak candidate (not even sure she graduated college). Add in the riled up libs going out to vote in droves who otherwise wouldn't lift a finger in a worthless not-even-midterm-election. If I'm GOP I want to look out for this sort of thing of course, but the odds are actually stacked against them right now in this election IMO.
Jews all over town have Ossoff signs in their front yard, even outside of the district hes running in. My parents neighborhood (like 90% Jewish, not in Ossoff district) is full of them. |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:29 PM Author: mind-boggling stag film Also I always get the idea that ATL wants to feel like a hip, cutting edge city and a film maker fag plays into that mindset really well. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567871) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 9:20 PM Author: High-end vermilion sweet tailpipe cruise ship Not even sure it's that. He's definitely a sharper, better looking candidate than Handel. Not campaigning super shitlib either. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568785) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:31 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall there are lots of Jews in GA? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567879) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 9:20 PM Author: High-end vermilion sweet tailpipe cruise ship Yes. Atlanta has tons. Pockets in Columbus. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568787) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:35 PM Author: Misanthropic exhilarant hospital juggernaut It's not really about remembering the win as a canary in the coal mine, right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567896) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:52 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall right. not sure why poasters here are confused. you said "sign" not "talking point" or "news story" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33568031) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:22 PM Author: mind-boggling stag film Kind of.
If Dems want to win back the House they NEED to win every single race like this. So Ossof winning means they have a shot. But it doesn't mean its certain (of course (((they))) will act like it is). |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:30 PM Author: irradiated chad market Trump won the district by like 1.5%. The district was always a tossup so I think it's ok if it goes either way. At those margins it comes down to how individuals connect with the voters It's not all about party affiliation. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567873) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:32 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall yeah except Trump lost or tied in A LOT of suburban districts. So the GOP needs to outperform him in suburban districts or offset losses by winning in midwestern districts where he outperformed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567884) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:34 PM Author: irradiated chad market My point is at those narrow margins it comes down to the individual candidates. It tells us nothing about the overall trends in how people vote. But let me amend that to add that this is only true of Ossoff wins by a narrow margin. If he wins by 5%+ I think that is a somewhat bad sign. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648905&forum_id=2#33567892) |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:45 PM Author: Bossy vengeful hall Even if that's true, the GOP is still fucked because they will have to win close calls in a ton of districts. There are lots more suburban districts than rural ones. Yes, most of them could go either way, but if you are defending 50 districts like that then chances are you are going to lose a lot of ground.
Plus, I don't think this District is particularly bad for the GOP compared to many they are defending. As an example, look at Barbara Comstock's district outside of Washington, DC. If Ossoff basically ties in this one then I doubt she can hold on. |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 7:42 PM Author: Cyan incel Doesn't matter if Karen is assassinated
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=3648907&mc=3&forum_id=2 |
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Date: June 15th, 2017 8:58 PM Author: maroon 180 azn The amount of money they've spent in the district makes it seems like a bad indicator for future races.
Certainly good news for dems if they win, but not the earth shattering referendum the (((media))) will make it out to be |