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A Warning on Crypto Markets

I appreciate the current enthusiasm in crypto markets and th...
Vibrant fluffy base
  08/11/17
fuuuuuck
tripping cuckoldry lodge
  08/11/17
this is why i instantly convert to USDT after a BTC moon or ...
magenta marvelous partner
  08/11/17
thanks very much for this. if you can relay any hints to you...
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  08/11/17
also any thoughts on quantum or neo? youve mentioned you lik...
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  08/11/17
Good post OP. The resumption of massive crypto mania post-B...
big-titted cruise ship
  08/11/17
soooo cr but yet its sooooo cr
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  08/11/17
...
Elite slap-happy doctorate
  08/11/17
OP, how do you reconcile this poast with the one you made he...
zombie-like opaque meetinghouse candlestick maker
  08/12/17
Both are flame
grizzly antidepressant drug
  08/12/17
I don't think any of this will happen, this is just more bul...
Chrome Crackhouse
  08/12/17
(Stockbroker in 1929)
Sadistic giraffe associate
  08/12/17
...
Laughsome filthpig
  08/12/17
17th century dutch tulip farmer, actually.
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  08/12/17
...
talking 180 native
  08/22/17
...
Pungent fanboi famous landscape painting
  12/07/17
...
Ebony violent knife kitty
  11/15/18
...
Indecent Crimson Mad Cow Disease Box Office
  11/15/18
...
big-titted cruise ship
  08/21/17
This is a good, substantive post. I don't have enough to car...
Chest-beating crotch jap
  08/21/17
...
Burgundy histrionic liquid oxygen
  08/21/17
jfc why can't there just be something to invest in that just...
iridescent voyeur
  08/21/17
Not for nothing, but I think the odds are higher China makes...
zombie-like opaque meetinghouse candlestick maker
  08/21/17
Jfc
iridescent voyeur
  08/21/17
lol
Smoky Alcoholic Locus Mental Disorder
  08/22/17
...
bright excitant pistol sanctuary
  08/22/17
SNES Classic Edition was a risk-free several hundred dollars...
motley pink senate internal respiration
  08/22/17
...
big-titted cruise ship
  08/22/17
A regulation panic crash will be a huge buying opportunity u...
amber flickering preventive strike
  08/22/17
ICOs have disrupted the cost of capital for startups. VCs pr...
glittery peach persian
  08/22/17
ty
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  08/22/17
180
amber flickering preventive strike
  08/22/17
They didn't disrupt anything. They just let nonaccredited Re...
Tantric location sweet tailpipe
  08/22/17
they'll regulate ICOs and some exchanges maybe and it will b...
Elite slap-happy doctorate
  08/22/17
i took a cursory look at the possibility of the People's Ban...
nudist irradiated center trust fund
  08/22/17
180 ty
Elite slap-happy doctorate
  08/22/17
In 2013 they clamped down on the exchanges. The Chinese gove...
Tantric location sweet tailpipe
  08/22/17
isn't South Korea's regulatory authority a bigger risk than ...
Soul-stirring haunted graveyard resort
  08/22/17
...
Vibrant fluffy base
  09/04/17
Well done
rambunctious big scourge upon the earth azn
  09/04/17
?
Exciting Sable Theater
  11/24/17
...
Crusty Multi-billionaire
  09/04/17
...
beady-eyed plum stage son of senegal
  09/04/17
I sold everything based on your blank bump assurances.
Smoky Alcoholic Locus Mental Disorder
  09/04/17
lol fgt
Slate bawdyhouse
  09/04/17
HE TRIED TO WARN US
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  09/04/17
...
Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison
  11/24/17
...
Elite slap-happy doctorate
  09/04/17
...
bright excitant pistol sanctuary
  09/04/17
...
bisexual racy principal's office affirmative action
  11/24/17
...
Exciting Sable Theater
  12/07/17
...
Sooty Address
  12/07/17


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:36 PM
Author: Vibrant fluffy base

I appreciate the current enthusiasm in crypto markets and the resilience it has shown with the crash a few weeks back.

However this is my warning that there is a high chance of a black swan that will upend things.

Specifically in terms of regulation & exchanges. The SEC has sent a warning shot but it seems to have been brushed off by everyone in short order. But what's happening now with Bitfinex goes beyond the surface. I suspect a major US exchange is likely to have major problems shortly.

And the biggest risk of all is not actually the SEC -- but the PBoC. The Chinese government has yet to take enforcement action on ICOs and it remains fairly easy for Chinese to purchase crypto. However new ICOs are being launched in China at a crazier pace currently than even in the west at the moment (most of which you haven't heard about). The PBoC are well-aware aware and will do something soon - I suspect again it may involve the more "retail" exchanges which will put an enormous damper on sentiment.

They have even more incentive given they've cracked down on just about all other major sources of capital outflows. And the ramification will be enormous - let me tell you, when the Chinese (or Koreans) panic & dump a speculative asset, there's quite nothing like it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967822)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:37 PM
Author: tripping cuckoldry lodge

fuuuuuck

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967835)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:41 PM
Author: magenta marvelous partner

this is why i instantly convert to USDT after a BTC moon or ATH

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967872)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:43 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

thanks very much for this. if you can relay any hints to your zozo friends about what you hear about anything that may be in the works we would owe you are lives.

also, jfc is omg gonna keep mooning like this???

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967885)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:44 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

also any thoughts on quantum or neo? youve mentioned you like 0x and were on point with calling d0x and the other good icos going to market. anything else you like? tyty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967904)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:45 PM
Author: big-titted cruise ship

Good post OP. The resumption of massive crypto mania post-BTC fork is scary to behold.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967918)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 8:46 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

soooo cr but yet its sooooo cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33967921)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 11th, 2017 9:38 PM
Author: Elite slap-happy doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33968249)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 2:49 PM
Author: zombie-like opaque meetinghouse candlestick maker

OP, how do you reconcile this poast with the one you made here?

http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698769&forum_id=2#33969858

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971414)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 2:55 PM
Author: grizzly antidepressant drug

Both are flame

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971460)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 2:56 PM
Author: Chrome Crackhouse

I don't think any of this will happen, this is just more bull fuel to crush the bears

crypto is here to stay you can't stop it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971461)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 2:57 PM
Author: Sadistic giraffe associate

(Stockbroker in 1929)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971471)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 3:00 PM
Author: Laughsome filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971494)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 12th, 2017 3:04 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

17th century dutch tulip farmer, actually.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#33971521)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 2:32 PM
Author: talking 180 native



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34045961)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2017 1:04 PM
Author: Pungent fanboi famous landscape painting



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34861151)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2018 6:03 PM
Author: Ebony violent knife kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#37240690)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2018 6:05 PM
Author: Indecent Crimson Mad Cow Disease Box Office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#37240709)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:22 PM
Author: big-titted cruise ship



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34039971)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:25 PM
Author: Chest-beating crotch jap

This is a good, substantive post. I don't have enough to care but it's good to see some voice of reason in the the sea of optimism.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34039993)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:32 PM
Author: Burgundy histrionic liquid oxygen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34040047)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:32 PM
Author: iridescent voyeur

jfc why can't there just be something to invest in that just moons like crazy without any of these fucking insane risks. If ETH gets to 500 I am out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34040046)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:35 PM
Author: zombie-like opaque meetinghouse candlestick maker

Not for nothing, but I think the odds are higher China makes its move before ETH hits $500.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34040058)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 21st, 2017 6:56 PM
Author: iridescent voyeur

Jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34040216)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 2:10 PM
Author: Smoky Alcoholic Locus Mental Disorder

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34045742)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 5:58 PM
Author: bright excitant pistol sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047682)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 2:14 PM
Author: motley pink senate internal respiration

SNES Classic Edition was a risk-free several hundred dollars in pure profit dude. I pre-ordered five of them using my Python magic and shoe leather hying to GameStop right in the nick of time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34045777)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 1:57 PM
Author: big-titted cruise ship



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34045643)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 5:47 PM
Author: amber flickering preventive strike

A regulation panic crash will be a huge buying opportunity unless you concede that these assets will not stand up to regulatory scrutiny. That being the case, they're exactly the type of asset that should be regulated. These scamcoin icos have complete joke valuations untethered from reality when compared to what the projects would raise on registered securities markets or through private venture funding.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047607)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 5:57 PM
Author: glittery peach persian

ICOs have disrupted the cost of capital for startups. VCs previously had a monopoly on funding startups and insisted on onerous terms (i.e., a high cost of capital) because they were investing large sums of money on behalf of demanding clients. With ICOs, the average investment is much smaller and the investors are less demanding. The huge overhead imposed by VCs have been abolished. So yes, startups are getting more money than they would from VCs (suggesting "higher valuations"), but that is because the VC leaches are no longer holding value back by lining their pockets. In other words, the total value is the same, it's just that without VCs taking their ridiculous cuts, it seems shockingly bigger.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047678)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 6:08 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047763)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 6:43 PM
Author: amber flickering preventive strike

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34048002)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 11:33 PM
Author: Tantric location sweet tailpipe

They didn't disrupt anything. They just let nonaccredited Reddit investors invest AND trade the securities of highly speculative start-ups from the comfort of their basement. You now have 100's of illegitimate operations raising tens of millions of dollars with no diligence and no product. More than 90 percent of these are going to flame out and leave the holders with nothing. It's totally illegal, and illegality is not disruption.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34049959)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 6:08 PM
Author: Elite slap-happy doctorate

they'll regulate ICOs and some exchanges maybe and it will be good long term.

HODL niggers

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047753)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 6:24 PM
Author: nudist irradiated center trust fund

i took a cursory look at the possibility of the People's Bank of China (PBoC) banning / negative action on crypto...

in 2014 the governor of the PBoC said explicitly they would not ban bitcoin: https://www.coindesk.com/chinas-central-bank-governor-pboc-wont-ban-bitcoin/

in February 2016 the governor spoke about how the PBoC is developing its own cryptocurrency - he seems to think paper / coin fiat will go away

here's an article about a crypto job ad PBoC posted: https://qz.com/838589/chinas-central-bank-is-hiring-blockchain-experts-to-help-it-kill-off-cash/

I suppose the Chinese could shock us all and issue catastrophic regulations but that seems unlikely for now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34047877)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 9:03 PM
Author: Elite slap-happy doctorate

180 ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34048855)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 11:35 PM
Author: Tantric location sweet tailpipe

In 2013 they clamped down on the exchanges. The Chinese government doesn't want its citizens using Bitcoin to evade currency controls that limit how much capital leaves the country.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34049989)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 22nd, 2017 11:25 PM
Author: Soul-stirring haunted graveyard resort

isn't South Korea's regulatory authority a bigger risk than China's?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34049893)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:52 AM
Author: Vibrant fluffy base



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134115)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:53 AM
Author: rambunctious big scourge upon the earth azn

Well done

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134119)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 12:18 PM
Author: Exciting Sable Theater

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34761917)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:53 AM
Author: Crusty Multi-billionaire



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134120)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:56 AM
Author: beady-eyed plum stage son of senegal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134130)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:59 AM
Author: Smoky Alcoholic Locus Mental Disorder

I sold everything based on your blank bump assurances.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134135)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:55 AM
Author: Slate bawdyhouse

lol fgt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134128)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 11:31 AM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison

HE TRIED TO WARN US

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 12:20 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle disgusting dopamine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34761935)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 11:31 AM
Author: Elite slap-happy doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34134457)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 4th, 2017 9:59 PM
Author: bright excitant pistol sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34138179)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 12:17 PM
Author: bisexual racy principal's office affirmative action



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34761911)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2017 1:02 PM
Author: Exciting Sable Theater



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34861139)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2017 1:05 PM
Author: Sooty Address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3698615&forum_id=2#34861155)