what is going to happen in the next 25 years? slow or sudden shift to a liberal techno fascism or right-wing ethnofascism? surely "freedom" whatever that is is out of the question when you're under constant surveillance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34456885)

Crazy prediction: One or more nations will develop tech to create +20SD superbabies. Those kids will achieve POWER ABSOLUTE through targeted killings, toppling the current power structure as we know it. They usher in an ANCAP society of the sort described in David Friedman's works.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34456913)

if not that's cool bro just make sure you work > 60 hours / week and clear $300k / year to raise a family.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457020)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457892)

finally

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457962)

a nuke goes off in a major city, likely nyc or washington dc (low probability)

marriage rates plummet as dudes sink into video-gamed fuel stupor and increasingly large % of women with degrees refuse to settle, leading to plummeting birth rates among the most educated

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457969)

pakistan is a shithole with nukes and lots of muslims. it's a disastrous combo.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457985)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34457989)

Demographic collapse in many of today's most advanced societies.

Total decimation of oil prices due to more efficient solar/better batteries and shift to electric vehicles. Middle East experiencse total societal collapse, 100% capital flight from the region and the whole Middle East-Africa area starts to look like a version of Mad Max.

African and Middle Eastern immigrants overwhelm Europe completely.

Genetic engineering of enhanced humans and quantum computing + hyper-advanced AI are the biggest wildcards along with a real alternative to fossil fuels. Some think QC + AI will enable us to finally crack fusion power. Whatever happens, the shift to renewable energy from oil is inevitable. All oil and gas based economies (Russia, Middle East) are screwed.

There is a real chance our children are the last non-enhanced generation. Asian societies have no qualms about modifying their population and we will be faced with a choice between following suit or being a dying, poor society that can't defend ourselves.

Extreme instability: cyber attacks of unthinkable damage, major natural disasters on a yearly basis, a WMD totally destroying a major city, genetically-engineer super virus kills millions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458108)

Having children becomes so expensive the birthrate declines.

A cheap viable alternative to college emerges. The vast majority of colleges go out of business.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458188)

We find out that 10 billion is actually the maximum number our planet can sustain without overpopulation chaos.

Global warming increases intensity of flooding and storms with each 5 years more intense than the last 5 before it. Parts of Africa become uninhabitable due to extreme heat and 300 million refugees overwhelm south/north African and Southern Europe. We see a large scale starvation event likely in Africa.

Violent anti social acts become routine and executed by small cadre of society's losers. Tech apps and social media drive further egomania and collective insanity.

Medical advances and ownership of capital solidify stratification of US and European society.

World wide rejection of democracy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458235)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458248)

senolytics are a near term treatment for aging that boomers are likely to benefit from, unfortunately. at least in mice they extend mean lifespan by 20-25%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458444)

this doesn't mean it's all fanciful. senescent cell clearance is absolutely a near term technology. it works in mice and there are a variety of candidate drugs that might be suitable for humans. FOXO4-DRI is just one example.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458500)

regulatory hurdles are an obvious obstacle in the United States, but i would be willing to bet there will be overseas clinics offering effective senolytic treatments in the next decade.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458809)

what would you require for a demonstration of efficacy? studies showing an increase in mean or maximum lifespan will likely take many years to become available. would a demonstration of improved cardiac function be sufficient?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458888)

rise of Poland as the regional superpower in Europe; India and China on the brink of war; Iran is far more secular but still nominally an Islamic Republic and is major powerbroker between US/Russia/China due to control of oil; both Koreas have the bomb; Israel-Palestinian tensions are at their friendliest

us demographic predictions:

~65% white

~ same % of religious but more evangelicals and muslims; roughly same % of catholics and jews, mainline prots wiped out,

-birth rate is at 1.7

- avg salary is lower than today when adjusted for inflation

- the free money thing libs talk about has been passed at a minimum

- single payer has just passed or is about to

- stricter immigration policies than today

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34458956)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3766007&forum_id=2#34461067)