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Andrew Sullivan warns: Dems are being retarded on immigration; will lose again:

libs, you're thoughts on his observations here? Andrew Su...
yellow rehab lettuce
  10/21/17
...
gaped box office macaca
  10/21/17
...
Turquoise Nubile Forum
  10/21/17
*farts cum*
tripping up-to-no-good laser beams center
  10/21/17
He just delivered a poz load in the Dems mouths
stimulating trump supporter
  10/21/17
...
Jet Fragrant Resort Feces
  10/21/17
Yep, he just delivered a poz load in the Dems mouths
Glittery Saffron Space
  10/22/17
great article
mentally impaired chrome lodge
  10/21/17
...
Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut
  10/21/17
The real danger is if Dems start saying that they "hear...
french point
  10/21/17
"retraining for the jobs of the 21st century" p...
metal roommate
  10/21/17
...
Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut
  10/22/17
they are too far down the SJW rabbit hole to even say this. ...
odious hairy legs
  10/21/17
...
Cyan range jewess
  10/22/17
true, because so much of their base has been worked into a b...
Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut
  10/22/17
you mean accepting the legitimacy of hate and white supremac...
Magical Stead
  10/22/17
...
Stirring karate whorehouse
  10/21/17
...
burgundy dashing son of senegal
  10/21/17
There’s some truth to it but it’s ironic to hear him say it....
aromatic indirect expression selfie
  10/21/17
What I think might happen is, if Catalonia succeeds in estab...
Blue Ladyboy
  10/21/17
TEXIT!
odious hairy legs
  10/21/17
What I too, think might happen is, if Catalonia succeeds in ...
Glittery Saffron Space
  10/22/17
...
beady-eyed crotch double fault
  10/22/17
At some point this whole country needs to have a come to Jes...
indecent olive boltzmann hell
  10/21/17
...
cerebral coral institution useless brakes
  10/21/17
dems almost have a supermajority from importing foreigners.....
Blue Ladyboy
  10/21/17
...
Cyan range jewess
  10/22/17
this is obvious to everyone with an IQ > 90. yet, the ent...
Pearl step-uncle's house
  10/21/17
...
Laughsome weed whacker
  10/21/17
NAFTA was death to good blue collar jobs, despite what Clint...
garnet low-t athletic conference senate
  10/21/17
You sound pretty racist
Jet Fragrant Resort Feces
  10/21/17
and think of the millions of secondary jobs lost: the waitre...
stimulating trump supporter
  10/21/17
Not sure what you're trying to say here but I'm gonna go ahe...
painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park
  10/22/17
*boomer fuming over the concept that work is not worth the e...
greedy menage
  10/21/17
...
painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park
  10/22/17
it's not just about labor anymore, it's about having a swell...
Adventurous theater digit ratio
  10/22/17
NOTHING will come between libs and wanting to exterminate th...
Diverse Church
  10/21/17
Yep NOTHING will come between libs and wanting to exterminat...
Glittery Saffron Space
  10/22/17
...
Blue Ladyboy
  10/22/17
...
beady-eyed crotch double fault
  10/22/17
...
painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park
  10/22/17
Here is Dylan Matthews, also in Vox, expressing the emerging...
Cyan range jewess
  10/22/17
when can I see these people at the guillotines? Jfc
painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park
  10/22/17
...
Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut
  10/22/17
reminder - smart conservatives should be provoking dems into...
khaki insanely creepy pocket flask tank
  10/22/17
recall the Pied Piper strategy that HRC's campaign cited for...
garnet low-t athletic conference senate
  10/22/17
cr
cerebral coral institution useless brakes
  10/22/17
...
gaped box office macaca
  10/22/17
...
Pearl step-uncle's house
  10/22/17
this is a stupid article. hillary, who was a historically b...
navy affirmative action prole
  10/22/17
Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:02 PM Author: Consuela this i...
Magical Stead
  10/22/17
i'm happy to stand behind this statement.
navy affirmative action prole
  10/22/17
sullivan has been harping on the idea for a while that certa...
khaki insanely creepy pocket flask tank
  10/22/17
it's also stupid because it mischaracterizes Obama's customs...
mildly autistic comical pit
  10/22/17
...
Charcoal trip public bath death wish
  01/12/18
...
Bateful sable becky ceo
  01/12/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 10:57 PM
Author: yellow rehab lettuce

libs, you're thoughts on his observations here?

Andrew Sullivan: The Issue That Could Lose the Next Election for Democrats

I don’t believe it’s disputable at this point that the most potent issue behind the rise of the far right in America and Europe is mass immigration. It’s a core reason that Trump is now president; it’s why the AfD is now the third-biggest party in the German, yes, German, parliament; it’s why Austria’s new chancellor won by co-opting much of the far right’s agenda on immigration; it’s why Britain is attempting (and currently failing) to leave the EU; it’s why Marine Le Pen won a record number of votes for her party in France this spring.

A critical moment, in retrospect, came with Angela Merkel’s 2015 decision to import over a million Syrian refugees into the heart of Europe. I’ve no doubt her heart was in the right place, but the political naïveté was stunning. How distant from the lives and views of most people does an elite have to be to see nothing to worry about from such drastic social and cultural change? Michael Brendan Dougherty elegantly explains here the dynamic that followed. There are now new borders and fences going up all over Europe, as a response to Merkel’s blithe misjudgment.

You would think that parties of the center-left would grapple with this existential threat to their political viability. And some have. One reason Britain’s Labour Party has done well in the last couple of years is that it has recognized the legitimacy of the issue. During the Brexit referendum, their leader, Jeremy Corbyn, expressed ambivalence toward remaining in the EU, careful not to lose his working-class base to the Europhobic right, recognizing the fears so many of his own supporters had about the impact of mass immigration on their lives, jobs, and culture.

Even someone as leftist as Corbyn chose to be a pragmatist, trying to gain power, rather than a purist who might otherwise condemn his own voters as deplorable. And this is one reason why I have dwindling hopes that the Democratic Party will be able to defeat Trump in 2020. Instead of adjusting to this new reality, and listening to the electorate, the Dems have moved ever farther to the left, and are controlled by ever-radicalizing activists. There’s a nuanced, smart — and shockingly honest — piece in Vox by Dara Lind about this. Money quote:

.....

"For Democrats, it’s been a simple calculus. Democrats’ attempts at “tough love” centrism didn’t win them any credit across the aisle, while an increasingly empowered immigrant-rights movement started calling them to task for the adverse consequences of enforcement policies. Democrats learned to ignore the critics on the right they couldn’t please, and embrace the critics on the left who they could."

.....

Lind is right about the perverse politics of Obama’s centrism. He ramped up enforcement on the border and deportations … only to get nothing from the GOP in return. The right dismissed his toughness, while the left resented it. But it’s also true that Obama never truly bragged about his tough-on-illegal-immigrants stance, or campaigned on it, or emphasized it, when addressing the country as a whole. He couldn’t bring himself to boast about deportations, which is to his credit. But it’s hard to use tougher enforcement as leverage for a pathway to citizenship for those already here when you keep silent about it.

The activist reaction — a rejection of most immigration enforcement or, with sanctuary cities, an open defiance of it — just makes this worse and renders a sane immigration compromise even more remote. Sure, the Latino activists are not the most to blame. The GOP base spent the last few years resisting any measure that could balance tougher border security and law enforcement with a path to citizenship. But when a glimmer of hope emerged recently with a potential Schumer-Pelosi-Trump deal on DACA, the Dreamer activists united with Stephen Miller to kill it. Lind spells out the state of play:

.....

"Democrats in 2017, in general, tend to criticize the use of immigration enforcement, and tend to side with those accused of violating immigration law, as a broad matter of principle beyond opposing the particular actions of the administration … Democrats are no longer as willing to attack “illegal immigration” as a fundamental problem anymore."

.....

This is, to be blunt, political suicide. The Democrats’ current position seems to be that the Dreamer parents who broke the law are near heroes, indistinguishable from the children they brought with them; and their rhetoric is very hard to distinguish, certainly for most swing voters, from a belief in open borders. In fact, the Democrats increasingly seem to suggest that any kind of distinction between citizens and noncitizens is somehow racist. You could see this at the last convention, when an entire evening was dedicated to Latinos, illegal and legal, as if the rule of law were largely irrelevant. Hence the euphemism “undocumented” rather than “illegal.” So the stage was built, lit, and set for Trump.

He still tragically owns that stage. What Merkel did for the AfD, the Democrats are in danger of doing for the Trump wing of the GOP. The most powerful thing Trump said in the campaign, I’d argue, was: “If you don’t have borders, you don’t have a country.” And the Democrats had no answer, something that millions of Americans immediately saw. They still formally favor enforcement of immigration laws, but rhetorically, they keep signaling the opposite.

Here is Dylan Matthews, also in Vox, expressing the emerging liberal consensus: “Personally, I think any center-left party worth its salt has to be deeply committed to egalitarianism, not just for people born in the U.S. but for everyone … It means treating people born outside the U.S. as equals … And it means a strong presumption in favor of open immigration.” Here’s Zack Beauchamp, a liberal friend of mine: “What if I told you that immigration restrictionism is and always has been racist?” Borders themselves are racist? Seriously?

The entire concept of a nation whose citizens solely determine its future — the core foundation for any viable democracy at all — is now deemed by many left-liberals to be a function of bigotry. This is the kind of madness that could keep them from power indefinitely.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/10/the-issue-that-could-lose-the-next-election-for-democrats.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498722)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:01 PM
Author: gaped box office macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498768)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:11 PM
Author: Turquoise Nubile Forum



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498856)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:14 PM
Author: tripping up-to-no-good laser beams center

*farts cum*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498889)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:15 PM
Author: stimulating trump supporter

He just delivered a poz load in the Dems mouths

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498911)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:29 PM
Author: Jet Fragrant Resort Feces



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499028)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:02 AM
Author: Glittery Saffron Space

Yep, he just delivered a poz load in the Dems mouths

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499779)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:15 PM
Author: mentally impaired chrome lodge

great article

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498914)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:19 PM
Author: Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34498946)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:26 PM
Author: french point

The real danger is if Dems start saying that they "hear the concerns about immigration," and they "understand the economic hardship a lot of people are facing."

They don't actually intend to limit immigration (that is not an option), but they might try to feign sympathy, and then make up some garbage about "retraining for the jobs of the 21st century" and pull off an election here and there.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499011)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:29 PM
Author: metal roommate

"retraining for the jobs of the 21st century"

people would not fall for that line.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499023)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 5:27 AM
Author: Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500326)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:45 PM
Author: odious hairy legs

they are too far down the SJW rabbit hole to even say this. That's a 90's Dem line.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499146)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 2:48 AM
Author: Cyan range jewess



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500140)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 5:28 AM
Author: Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut

true, because so much of their base has been worked into a bloodlust frenzy by media/academia propaganda--that base would never accept even such a small concession

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500327)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:51 PM
Author: Magical Stead

you mean accepting the legitimacy of hate and white supremacy? you're damn right those proud WOC and genderqueers will not stand for FUCKING NAZIS IN THE WHITE HOUSE AAAAIEEEE

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504682)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:28 PM
Author: Stirring karate whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499016)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:51 PM
Author: burgundy dashing son of senegal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499225)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:37 PM
Author: aromatic indirect expression selfie

There’s some truth to it but it’s ironic to hear him say it. Maybe he should deport himself first.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499077)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:38 PM
Author: Blue Ladyboy

What I think might happen is, if Catalonia succeeds in establishing itself independent from Spain, you will see a push for predominantly white areas of the U.S. to secede from the diverse, lib infested parts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499083)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:45 PM
Author: odious hairy legs

TEXIT!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499153)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:04 AM
Author: Glittery Saffron Space

What I too, think might happen is, if Catalonia succeeds in establishing itself independent from Spain, you will see a push for predominantly white areas of the U.S. to secede from the diverse, lib infested parts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499795)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:21 AM
Author: beady-eyed crotch double fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499920)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:39 PM
Author: indecent olive boltzmann hell

At some point this whole country needs to have a come to Jesus moment that labor is increasingly less valuable, so importing more people (especially low skilled ones) is suicide.

Immigration made sense when hard work was needed to build this country. It doesn't make sense in a world where there are literally 2,000 billionaires (with a B). A country's wealth does not come from hard work, it comes from capital.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499098)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:41 PM
Author: cerebral coral institution useless brakes



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499120)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:43 PM
Author: Blue Ladyboy

dems almost have a supermajority from importing foreigners...they are so close why would they stop NOW?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499134)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 2:48 AM
Author: Cyan range jewess



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500141)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:43 PM
Author: Pearl step-uncle's house

this is obvious to everyone with an IQ > 90. yet, the entire (((political mainstream))) insists on open borders. odd case

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499136)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:45 PM
Author: Laughsome weed whacker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499150)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:45 PM
Author: garnet low-t athletic conference senate

NAFTA was death to good blue collar jobs, despite what Clinton and Gore promised.

Within ten years, and probably sooner, the number one blue collar job for men -- truck driving -- will be done by self-driving vehicles.

Why are we importing millions of unskilled people?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499155)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:46 PM
Author: Jet Fragrant Resort Feces

You sound pretty racist

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499166)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:52 PM
Author: stimulating trump supporter

and think of the millions of secondary jobs lost: the waitresses at the diners, the lot lizards

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499234)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:30 AM
Author: painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park

Not sure what you're trying to say here but I'm gonna go ahead and guess you're a bigot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499987)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:47 PM
Author: greedy menage

*boomer fuming over the concept that work is not worth the effort*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499179)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:29 AM
Author: painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499979)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:49 PM
Author: Adventurous theater digit ratio

it's not just about labor anymore, it's about having a swelling base of consumers to lap up all the garbage media and technotoys in order to prop up are ponziconomy. if we don't have population growth, how can we expect faceberg and apple to keep posting quarterly gains?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504661)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 21st, 2017 11:48 PM
Author: Diverse Church

NOTHING will come between libs and wanting to exterminate the white race from the north american continent

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499186)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:05 AM
Author: Glittery Saffron Space

Yep NOTHING will come between libs and wanting to exterminate the white race from the north american continent

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499809)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:06 AM
Author: Blue Ladyboy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499812)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:20 AM
Author: beady-eyed crotch double fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499916)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 1:30 AM
Author: painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34499990)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 2:47 AM
Author: Cyan range jewess

Here is Dylan Matthews, also in Vox, expressing the emerging liberal consensus: “Personally, I think any center-left party worth its salt has to be deeply committed to egalitarianism, not just for people born in the U.S. but for everyone … It means treating people born outside the U.S. as equals … And it means a strong presumption in favor of open immigration.” Here’s Zack Beauchamp, a liberal friend of mine: “What if I told you that immigration restrictionism is and always has been racist?” Borders themselves are racist? Seriously?

Just LOL at these literal maniacs

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500138)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 2:51 AM
Author: painfully honest naked patrolman trailer park

when can I see these people at the guillotines? Jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500145)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:00 AM
Author: Rebellious concupiscible base juggernaut



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34500358)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 4:31 PM
Author: khaki insanely creepy pocket flask tank

reminder - smart conservatives should be provoking dems into taking more and more extreme stands on immigration. this is a popular vote LOSER for them - make them eat their own ideology.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34503590)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 4:33 PM
Author: garnet low-t athletic conference senate

recall the Pied Piper strategy that HRC's campaign cited for destroying the Republicans by promoting the candidacy of Donald J. Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34503607)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:00 PM
Author: cerebral coral institution useless brakes

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504287)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 4:34 PM
Author: gaped box office macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34503608)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 4:39 PM
Author: Pearl step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34503648)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:02 PM
Author: navy affirmative action prole

this is a stupid article. hillary, who was a historically bad candidate, won the popular vote. democrats won't forget to campaign in or advertise in the rust belt next time. democrats will win every national election moving forward unless trump does something radical on immigration, which he has shown no signs of doing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504316)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:52 PM
Author: Magical Stead

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:02 PM

Author: Consuela

this is a stupid article. hillary, who was a historically bad candidate, won the popular vote. democrats won't forget to campaign in or advertise in the rust belt next time. democrats will win every national election moving forward unless trump does something radical on immigration, which he has shown no signs of doing.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504691)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:55 PM
Author: navy affirmative action prole

i'm happy to stand behind this statement.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504720)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM
Author: khaki insanely creepy pocket flask tank

sullivan has been harping on the idea for a while that certain issues can "radicalize" american whites into voting more en bloc for the GOP, and immigration is one such issue.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504766)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2017 6:54 PM
Author: mildly autistic comical pit

it's also stupid because it mischaracterizes Obama's customs dept turning people away at the border as "deportation." we know what the most vanilla deportation of felonious illegals by ICE actually looks like now under Trump, and we never saw anything like that under Obama.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#34504703)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 1:59 PM
Author: Charcoal trip public bath death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#35140915)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 8:37 PM
Author: Bateful sable becky ceo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3771085&forum_id=2#35143916)