The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Is the crypto crash a prelude to the sock market crash?
Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:47 AM Author: Charismatic stage STOCK MARKET, not "sock" market. Lol at the typo in the title, though, and I welcome any insults accordingly.
It seems that deflation in one asset class (even if a niche, speculative one like crypto) can affect investor sentiment negatively and engender a crash in other assets, too. There's an argument to be made (even if I don't necessarily agree) that the Dow could be the next victim. Investors will wake up from their euphoric market stupor.
|
 |
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:48 AM Author: Shivering wine generalized bond I think people currently view this as an amusing sideshow to the “real economy” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174857) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:51 AM Author: beta laughsome incel Cr. It's a spec of dust that's getting smaller. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174897) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 12:06 PM Author: twisted fat ankles (nocoiner) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175646) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:10 AM Author: primrose rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175085) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 12:06 PM Author: twisted fat ankles every financial expert ive heard says that one of the reasons crypto is such a valuable thing to buy is that it is completely uncorrelated with traditional asset classes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175642) |
|
Date: February 2nd, 2018 5:11 PM Author: Multi-colored meetinghouse the problem with that stupid sentiment is that traditional asset classes correlate with reality (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35308050) |
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:47 AM Author: motley church (:D) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174844) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:49 AM Author: navy casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174864) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:50 AM Author: Peach location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174870) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:50 AM Author: disturbing ladyboy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174876) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:50 AM Author: cheese-eating keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174877) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:51 AM Author: Ungodly box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174887) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:52 AM Author: adventurous chest-beating hairy legs parlour Ran here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174915) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:55 AM Author: glittery costumed cuck temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174951) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:57 AM Author: Irradiated flirting range stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174963) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:58 AM Author: greedy ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174979) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:00 AM Author: big new version lolling HARD at the image of a masturbating basementer keeping complicated financial tabs on the international and domestic sock markets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174989) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:00 AM Author: khaki spot halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174994) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 12:05 PM Author: twisted fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175634) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:50 AM Author: Ungodly box office Can I buy your socks? I'll pay in ETH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174875) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:51 AM Author: cracking pisswyrm coldplay fan You can see the Nasdaq charts in the Crypto charts. The BTC/ETH chart is kind of like the entire Nasdaq or so just compressed in time.
I think it is reasonable to expect a coastal recession due to the tax bill and a few other factors.
My biggest fear is that the people shoving their money into the same 5~10 FANG/Tech stocks PLUS the fund managers putting all their inflows into the same stocks will cause a big issue. |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:53 AM Author: Zippy sanctuary macaca Well, there's bound to be a stock market crash some day, who knows when. But there isn't a risk that the stock market will go to zero, which is a real possibility with some/all cryptocurrencies. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174918) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:53 AM Author: Shivering wine generalized bond (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174922) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:55 AM Author: Charismatic stage Of course, and of course not. The question is merely whether this will serve as a catalyst for the next downturn. I was gonna draw a parallel with the CDS market in 2008, but CDS was firmly entrenched in the real economy. Still, part of the analogy holds - at least the part affecting investor sentiment. Everybody knows we're in a market bubble, and we just need a good excuse to sell. |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:56 AM Author: Zippy sanctuary macaca If everybody knew we were in a market bubble, then the prices of stocks would be lower than they are. Unless everybody knows more than the subset of people who are invested. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174957) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:58 AM Author: Charismatic stage It's called euphoria or a "melt up". This is not some academic discussion about the EMH. It's about actual human behavior during speculative bubbles - observable, empiric actions. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174969) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:53 AM Author: Vengeful corner place of business lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174926) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:58 AM Author: 180 dull stage Stock market is founded on real companies with real assets. Apple isn't going to stop holding $0.75T in cash and isn't going to stop selling millions of iphones/ipads anytime soon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174974) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:59 AM Author: greedy ratface just found out my beanie baby collection is worthless, does this portend a microsoft bankruptcy? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174981) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 12:05 PM Author: Peach location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175625) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 10:59 AM Author: Cobalt genital piercing Lol you should write a 500 word clickbait thinkpiece on this super cool topic. You might even earn $10 for your efforts (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174984) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:02 AM Author: Charismatic stage Why would I do that, when I make six figures talking about personal finance on TV and radio? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175004) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:01 AM Author: Excitant sick base http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35174999) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:02 AM Author: 180 dull stage This is a good reason to think that the market is overvalued, but has 0 to do with crypto (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175006) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:04 AM Author: Charismatic stage The Shiller PE ratio has a few obvious drawbacks, but I tend to agree with its overall premise.
I read this yesterday and chuckled at first, but on closer inspection, realized the underlying analysis wasn't actually bad. He's probably in the ballpark regarding the chain of events that will lead to the next downturn and its very approximate timing: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4118869-stock-market-will-peak-may-10-2019-4-00-p-m-est |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:07 AM Author: 180 dull stage I agree with his fundamentals, but the idea that you can time future events is silly. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175052) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:11 AM Author: Charismatic stage Of course it's silly, but the guy is still fundamentally right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175089) |
|
Date: January 17th, 2018 11:09 AM Author: titillating bull headed mediation earnings have been very strong. a sock market crash probably won't happen until they start to roll over. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35175074) |
|
Date: February 2nd, 2018 1:30 PM Author: Charismatic stage Maybe I was right about this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35305699) |
|
Date: February 2nd, 2018 4:56 PM Author: beady-eyed azure orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35307942) |
|
Date: February 5th, 2018 3:22 PM Author: Charismatic stage I called it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35330757) |
|
Date: February 5th, 2018 4:58 PM Author: racy really tough guy set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35331673) |
|
Date: February 5th, 2018 5:04 PM Author: bearded cuckoldry LJL at this flame. This is fortune teller shit, in that you're vague that you're right no matter what. In your own OP you say, "There's an argument to be made (even if I don't necessarily agree) that the Dow could be the next victim. Investors will wake up from their euphoric market stupor."
So you're not even committing to this position. But even if you did, then of course you can just wait until the next market crash (there always is one) and say you "called" it because the crypto crash was a prelude. Predictions like this aren't predictions. To be a meaningful prediction, it has to be objectively right or wrong based on objective criteria. "The DOW will be below 25,000 by market close on February 5 or sooner" is a prediction." Stating a vague argument that you don't necessarily agree with is not a prediction.
Or, if it is: Is this stock market crash a prelude to an increase in the price of oil? It could be. I don't necessarily agree, but please bump this when the price of oil inevitably increases and I'll be just as right as you are. TYIA. |
|
Date: February 5th, 2018 5:39 PM Author: heady theatre french chef she was literally talking about the market for socks. she just edited her op later to talk about stocks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35332069) |
|
Date: February 5th, 2018 5:10 PM Author: racy really tough guy set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35331794) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2018 10:24 AM Author: Odious hyperactive business firm You have got to be fucking kidding me with this roulette style bullshit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35345793) |
|
Date: February 16th, 2018 12:13 PM Author: marvelous police squad alpha proles are dumb, news at 11 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35417098) |
|
Date: February 16th, 2018 12:14 PM Author: Maroon gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35417102) |
|
Date: February 26th, 2018 11:16 AM Author: Excitant sick base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3862517&forum_id=2#35490148) |