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Nasdaq forming a LEGIT blow off top - eerily similar to 2000

...
racy carmine garrison
  01/24/18
plz explain in laymans terms
garnet circlehead
  01/24/18
https://finance.google.com/finance?chdnp=0&chdd=0&ch...
racy carmine garrison
  01/24/18
so what, we should move to cash?
garnet circlehead
  01/24/18
idk
racy carmine garrison
  01/24/18
Also, whatever you say will be treated as binding guidance t...
hyperactive concupiscible fat ankles
  02/02/18
Aren't tech earnings crushing it?
Buck-toothed Liquid Oxygen
  01/24/18
last quarter was the last time it was old tax bill
racy carmine garrison
  01/24/18
...
fishy exhilarant spot dog poop
  01/24/18
This can't continue for much longer, can it?
opaque meetinghouse
  01/24/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
180 prognosis
Bossy Bistre Mad-dog Skullcap
  02/02/18
should I keep my cash in a savings account or is federal dep...
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
idk
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
JFC
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
having gold isn't the worst thing
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
what about a CDARS with a local community bank?
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
I doubt there are going to be bank related issues on an enor...
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
I guess 2008 was a once-in-a-century crash but I fucking hat...
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
ya man 08 was a big one This time, I remember a lot of d...
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
so prolly less chance of systemic risk this time around and ...
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
ya Could even be a paper recession / coastal recession ...
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
LJL @ boomers why not just get a HELOC? those are still p...
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
IDK This other dude I know who is DEEP into the mortgage/...
racy carmine garrison
  02/02/18
debt = cancer.
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
cr and not emphasized enough
Adulterous round eye
  02/05/18
If FDIC goes bust we'll be bashing each other with clubs. I ...
cream stag film
  02/02/18
that's true, they are too big to fail. But see: http://ww...
Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king
  02/02/18
hooray! This is why we vote republican!
insecure chad
  02/02/18
Marcus, Goldman Sach's online platform for retail, has great...
hyperventilating crotch trailer park
  02/05/18
How much of a decline? Where should I put my money?
Buck-toothed Liquid Oxygen
  02/02/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
Almost 18 years since the last one...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
So is this happening or what? I will happily get into cash a...
Bossy Bistre Mad-dog Skullcap
  02/05/18
IDK We will probably hang out here till midterms and the...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
Yeah but how will this affect OZRK???
apoplectic theatre
  02/05/18
Rates rising = good for banks especially those with low cost...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
How do you feel about PNFP, FHN, and FBNC?
apoplectic theatre
  02/05/18
PNFP looks very solid, the other 2 I'm kind of meh on - Don'...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
NIGGA
racy carmine garrison
  02/05/18
...
fishy exhilarant spot dog poop
  02/05/18
i'm earning 1.8% on savings. should i keep my money there? p...
Wonderful chartreuse lodge
  02/05/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  02/08/18
Coming back down from testing all time highs - shit could ge...
racy carmine garrison
  03/19/18
What happened in 2000
swashbuckling address codepig
  03/19/18
Nasdaq went down 82% from peak to trough after the bubble bu...
racy carmine garrison
  03/19/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  03/22/18
Are you just gonna keep bumping this till there's an actual ...
Curious bright therapy
  03/22/18
if you overlay this thread against a chart of the Nasdaq you...
racy carmine garrison
  03/22/18
I have 100 shares of AMZN, should I sell now
fishy exhilarant spot dog poop
  03/22/18
We are barely above the 2000 high of 6900... and it's been a...
Curious bright therapy
  03/22/18
Remember my friend, these things don’t repeat but they do rh...
racy carmine garrison
  03/23/18
...
racy carmine garrison
  03/28/18
so this is still going on? how far do you think we will c...
Hairraiser clear locale
  03/28/18
5900 and 4800 on the Nasdaq are key points
racy carmine garrison
  04/02/18
ty
Blue ratface place of business
  04/02/18
...
House-broken flickering goal in life market
  11/13/19
...
Angry lay
  07/01/20
Fuck was I wrong lmao!!!!
racy carmine garrison
  07/01/20


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:56 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225522)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 10:56 AM
Author: garnet circlehead

plz explain in laymans terms

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225524)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:05 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

https://finance.google.com/finance?chdnp=0&chdd=0&chds=0&chdv=1&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1516827600000&chddm=4024563&chls=IntervalBasedLine&q=INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC&ntsp=0&ei=mq5oWsCfNNG22Aagw4nYCQ

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225595)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:07 AM
Author: garnet circlehead

so what, we should move to cash?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225615)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:09 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

idk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225635)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: hyperactive concupiscible fat ankles

Also, whatever you say will be treated as binding guidance that I will actionably rely upon with effects on my and my family's finances. Please advise.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304496)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:07 AM
Author: Buck-toothed Liquid Oxygen

Aren't tech earnings crushing it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225617)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:09 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

last quarter was the last time it was old tax bill

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225633)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:10 AM
Author: fishy exhilarant spot dog poop



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225641)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2018 11:10 AM
Author: opaque meetinghouse

This can't continue for much longer, can it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35225645)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:02 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303748)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:34 AM
Author: Bossy Bistre Mad-dog Skullcap

180 prognosis

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304523)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:04 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

should I keep my cash in a savings account or is federal deposit insurance going to go bust?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303760)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:05 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

idk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303778)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:07 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

JFC

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303790)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:08 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

having gold isn't the worst thing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303809)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:18 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

what about a CDARS with a local community bank?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303893)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:27 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

I doubt there are going to be bank related issues on an enormous scale - I'd see that issues coming more from overvalued assets across equity markets.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303969)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:28 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

I guess 2008 was a once-in-a-century crash but I fucking hate having to keep my shit in fraudlies bank$ after coming of age during that

and also see that article I poasted below. savers will get fucked again if there's a bank run

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303984)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:32 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

ya man 08 was a big one

This time, I remember a lot of dudes doing the debt shit like CDO's and securitizations and what not - they all shifted their schemes to equity markets in low rate periods.

So you had dudes issuing equity or preferreds or units that are really bad investments and then they're getting rich off of it.

Bag holders this time are people who are in indexes or ETFs I think - also the coastal areas and the coastal banks. Pension funds as well.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304013)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:35 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

so prolly less chance of systemic risk this time around and just a lot of fraudlies 401(k) havers getting pwned like any good old fashioned recession?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304032)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:40 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

ya

Could even be a paper recession / coastal recession

If you really think about it - a lot of the heartland is being helped by legislation and deregulation.

A lot of the coastal areas are getting hurt from tax policies.

For example in California I spoke to a boomer friend of mine saying that if he needs to ReFi his house to get more money out of it now (A TON of boomers do this), because of the rate increase its gonna cost him another $1,200 a month - which is a pretty big hit versus two years ago.

This kind of stuff is where you see rate increases creep in - suddenly cash flow on property becomes more important. For most areas in the center of the US this has always been the case.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304077)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:59 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

LJL @ boomers

why not just get a HELOC? those are still pretty low rates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304230)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:01 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

IDK

This other dude I know who is DEEP into the mortgage/MBS game especially non-conforming stuff said that in the West coast it is all about monthly payments when it comes to housing prices.

Very interesting to see what will happen in a few years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304239)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:15 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

debt = cancer.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304335)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:42 AM
Author: Adulterous round eye

cr and not emphasized enough

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328828)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:14 AM
Author: cream stag film

If FDIC goes bust we'll be bashing each other with clubs. I keep my savings in Goldman Sachs (Marcus) and Barclay's online accounts. Very good rates (1.5% for Barclays) plus both are pillars of global finance and too big to fail.

If I lose my money in those banks then NK will have nuked us or something and we'll have bigger problems.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303852)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 10:24 AM
Author: Light Drunken Plaza Philosopher-king

that's true, they are too big to fail.

But see: http://www.signatureassociations.com/blog/2017/8/11/fdic-solvency-and-association-reserves-are-your-communitys-funds-at-risk-1

tl;dr:

1) FDIC has enough cash to cover 1.18% of all insurable deposits nationwide

2) if banks go bust and get bailed out, current regulations after the last bail-out have a "bail-in" mechanism whereby the bank cannibalizes your FDIC-insured cash and your status is converted to that of an unsecured creditor, which renders the FDIC insurance worthless

3) the largest banks in the world are filled to the brim with off-balance sheet exotic products again, and those products have statutory superpriority in a reorganization. you, dear former saver and current unsecured creditor, are the LOWEST priority.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35303946)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:08 AM
Author: insecure chad

hooray! This is why we vote republican!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304291)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 12:06 PM
Author: hyperventilating crotch trailer park

Marcus, Goldman Sach's online platform for retail, has great rates on savings accounts (1.5%) and CDs. That's where I keep my savings

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35329003)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: Buck-toothed Liquid Oxygen

How much of a decline? Where should I put my money?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35304491)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:38 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328813)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:53 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Almost 18 years since the last one...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328919)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:54 AM
Author: Bossy Bistre Mad-dog Skullcap

So is this happening or what? I will happily get into cash and cheer the decline since it’ll soften the kremlin stooge for impeachment

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328926)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 12:02 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

IDK

We will probably hang out here till midterms and then there could be some insane shit going on

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328972)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:54 AM
Author: apoplectic theatre

Yeah but how will this affect OZRK???

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328924)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:55 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Rates rising = good for banks especially those with low costs deposits - it takes a few quarters to see the advantage manifest but it does

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328928)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 11:57 AM
Author: apoplectic theatre

How do you feel about PNFP, FHN, and FBNC?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328943)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 12:00 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

PNFP looks very solid, the other 2 I'm kind of meh on - Don't really know these names super well however.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35328962)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 7:21 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35332804)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 9:47 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

NIGGA

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35334043)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 10:01 PM
Author: fishy exhilarant spot dog poop



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35334174)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2018 9:57 PM
Author: Wonderful chartreuse lodge

i'm earning 1.8% on savings. should i keep my money there? pls respond

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35334132)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 8th, 2018 5:35 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35357729)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 12:15 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Coming back down from testing all time highs - shit could get crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35637488)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 12:28 PM
Author: swashbuckling address codepig

What happened in 2000

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35637556)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 12:42 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Nasdaq went down 82% from peak to trough after the bubble burst

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35637669)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2018 11:17 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35666447)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2018 11:18 PM
Author: Curious bright therapy

Are you just gonna keep bumping this till there's an actual crash?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35666463)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2018 11:22 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

if you overlay this thread against a chart of the Nasdaq you will see that I'm actually liveblogging it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35666501)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2018 11:23 PM
Author: fishy exhilarant spot dog poop

I have 100 shares of AMZN, should I sell now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35666518)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 22nd, 2018 11:29 PM
Author: Curious bright therapy

We are barely above the 2000 high of 6900... and it's been almost 20 years.

This is nothing like that. Nasdaq went from 1900 in 1997 and more than tripled in 3 years. Today, it's about 40% higher than 3 years ago.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35666594)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 3:06 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Remember my friend, these things don’t repeat but they do rhyme.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35671525)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2018 11:18 AM
Author: racy carmine garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35708590)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2018 11:23 AM
Author: Hairraiser clear locale

so this is still going on?

how far do you think we will crash

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35708621)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2018 3:06 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

5900 and 4800 on the Nasdaq are key points

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35745312)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2018 3:07 PM
Author: Blue ratface place of business

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#35745314)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 13th, 2019 11:30 PM
Author: House-broken flickering goal in life market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#39115565)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 1st, 2020 12:05 PM
Author: Angry lay



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#40527993)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 1st, 2020 12:12 PM
Author: racy carmine garrison

Fuck was I wrong lmao!!!!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3869423&forum_id=2#40528045)