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The best part about Dems retaking the Senate (if that happens)
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:16 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456696) |
Date: February 21st, 2018 9:18 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office So you are imagining trump wins reelection in 2020? Cuz there is no way dems take the senate this year given the seats that are up (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456720) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:21 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456757) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:23 PM Author: Fragrant Brunch GOP losing 3-4 seats is totally possible if things go bad. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456778) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:25 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office And gop picking up zero? Seems extremely unlikely (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456804) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM Author: Fragrant Brunch Why not? Heitkamp, Tester, and McCaskill have all won before. Heitkamp and Tester are pretty popular too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456816) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:29 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office Manchin? Donnelley? Just seems unlikely every one of these dudes holds on (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456839) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:31 PM Author: Fragrant Brunch If Republicans are getting killed it's perfectly plausible. And again, most of them are popular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456852) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:32 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office Yeah but trump is popular in those places too and if it looks like dems are going to elect the resist senate, I find it hard to think that won't be considered (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456868) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 7:49 AM Author: Diverse locale Trump isn’t popular anywhere and he’s intensely reviled most places (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459220) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:11 AM Author: Provocative sepia black woman https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Pretty consistently mid 40's. And the disapprove probably includes some far righters who don't think he's being hardline enough. |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:44 AM Author: Snowy fat ankles office ?
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/371364-poll-trumps-approval-rating-highest-in-west-virginia-lowest-in |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456817) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:30 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office W was the worst president in history, different situation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456848) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:33 PM Author: Dashing senate up to that point. Trump makes W look like FDR. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456873) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:34 PM Author: motley tanning salon lol, bush was significantly WORSE than trump by any reasonable measure. the iraq war alone condemns bush to the lowest ranks of the office. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456881) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456885) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:45 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456975) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM Author: motley tanning salon disagrees with what? argumentum ad populum is a real retarded thing to try and pull here. bush demonstrably wasted trillions and got hundreds of thousands of people killed with his cockamamie wars. and that's just the beginning of his incompetence. if people find that to be "better" than what trump has done thus far, they are idiotic and their opinions should be summarily discarded. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456989) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM Author: heady point weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457075) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 10:00 PM Author: ocher partner Good thing the senate seats that are coming up aren't decided by popular vote. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457142) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 10:05 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457186) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM Author: Dashing senate I agree that the Iraq war is worse policy wise than anything that trump has ever done but people liked W. People despise Trump. Even moderate people. Not just the far left like W. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456984) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM Author: Boyish parlor mediation Double Bush voter acknowledging this truth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456985) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:47 PM Author: spruce base cuckoldry Reminder: libs are highly emotional, even the ones that poa (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456987) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:48 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457002) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:53 PM Author: spruce base cuckoldry Non-responsive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457049) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457080) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:54 PM Author: Bronze High-end French Chef "Clinton +5 in latest poll..." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457074) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:56 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457114) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM Author: Snowy fat ankles office Also which 4 would they lose? Nevada, Arizona, then? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456818) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:30 PM Author: Fragrant Brunch Texas and Tennessee. Admittedly Tennessee is VERY fringe. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456846) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:33 PM Author: motley tanning salon libs always have pretensions of "turning texas blue," and they always fail spectacularly, due to the fact that mexicans are apathetic and never vote. unless they have solved that issue (and i doubt they have), it will be the same until the early-2030's or so. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456869) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM Author: Abnormal insanely creepy ticket booth Have you seen this goy O'Rourke? He's the next Kennedy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457016) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:51 PM Author: motley tanning salon yeah, and wendy davis is the next ann richards. we've seen this script before. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457027) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM Author: Dashing senate Texas is almost impossible but Mississippi is not if Wicker gets defeated in a primary by a truly crazy right winger and black turn out is maxed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457015) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:21 AM Author: indigo soul-stirring locus hominid It’s sounds crazy but Mississippi is a far better dem pick up opportunity then Alabama was at least on paper. Higher percentage of blacks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459886) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:27 AM Author: Dashing senate cr but obviously the caveat is that they need to have a candidate almost as bad as Roy Moore (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459935) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 11:31 AM Author: indigo soul-stirring locus hominid Right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460412) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:35 AM Author: bespoke translucent corn cake chapel CR. Texas going blue is like 10:1. Texas only happens in a huge wave where it would be seat #51 or 52. But it is amazing that someone like Manchin, who should be utterly done here based on 2016 when Trump beat Hillary by 40+, now has a very good chance to hang on. The worst fact for the GOP in the senate is how few of the flip-able seats they are not making competitive. It's basically a question of how many pickups the Dems can make, and there are at least a couple that look very likely if Trump has a sub-40 approval rating in November like he had for most of last year. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460002) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:24 PM Author: concupiscible orchestra pit Dems will find a way to fuck it up. They're just a poorly run incompetent party. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456793) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:26 PM Author: racy sapphire place of business business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456815) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:44 PM Author: Adventurous chad meetinghouse Almost no chance this happens in 2018. Best case is Dems take the House and hold serve in the senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35456967) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:50 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal beady-eyed spot doctorate Predictit says 33% chance of it happening:
https://www.predictit.org/Market/2703/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2018-midterms |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:51 PM Author: saffron maniacal shrine alpha prole tell: thinking predictit is right about anything (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457037) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:56 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal beady-eyed spot doctorate I give it more credence than some XO poaster spouting off. It's people putting their money where their mouth is. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457108) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 7:35 AM Author: Fragrant Brunch If you think they're full of shit, then bet otherwise. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459192) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:19 AM Author: indigo soul-stirring locus hominid 33 percent seems about right to me. The dems are probably slight favorites in Nevada and Arizona. As for the the seats they are defending, they should be favored in all but MO. Manchin, Tester, and Heitkamp are very popular. If the dems win in Nevada and arizona and lose in MO it’s 50/50, thanks to Steve Bannon’s shenanigans in Alabama. The dems also have an outside shot of winning in Tenneseee and Texas (I think Bresden has a better chance than O’Rourke). Put it all together and 33 percent seems right, at least for now. A lot could change in 9 months of course. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459867) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:53 PM Author: Know-it-all histrionic nibblets pit Why would they do that and let judicial vacancy emergencies continue? Don't they care about access to expedient justice?
Dems don't win when they play the judge brinksmanship game. |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:55 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal beady-eyed spot doctorate They will 100% do it after like May 2020. And they will slow walk confirmations beforehand. Just like the Republicans did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35457098) |
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Date: February 21st, 2018 9:57 PM Author: Know-it-all histrionic nibblets pit Will there still even be vacancies in 2022 that Trump hasn't filled?
Obama was slow as fuck in his COA/d.ct. noms because they were scouring the ranks for minorities that would get decent ABA ratings. |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 12:24 AM Author: Impressive stage macaca cq. Thomas should retire right now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35458303) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:24 AM Author: ivory house Did you mean that the republicans required cloture for every single Obama judicial nominee, as shitlibs are doing to every Trump nominee right now? Do you shitlibs ever care about the truth or just what you remember as true? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459910) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:14 AM Author: Citrine crusty parlour This politics inside baseball bullshit is 100% faggot but Trump is really fucking up on district court nominations. He needs to start getting people through -- too many empty seats, and he can't dick around appointing political cronies who don't know what the fuck they're doing. I understand that CoA appointments are going to be somewhat political, but politicizing district courts is a disaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459846) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:23 AM Author: indigo soul-stirring locus hominid It would be better if the ABA or some other nonpartisan group just nominated district court judges. The senate could still veto them if they were super partisan but at least the politics would be taken out of tre first step. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459900) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:35 AM Author: Citrine crusty parlour ABA stopped being nonpartisan long ago. The D Cts shouldn't be difficult. Everybody knows who the good lawyers were in a certain city, just pick one. All I want is somebody to rule on my fucking motions. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460008) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:46 AM Author: bespoke translucent corn cake chapel It should be like a pool of well-qualified applicants and a board of local lawyers elected by local lawyers holds hearings where people who know the candidate can speak for or against. Fuck the senate having anything to do with it. We need opportunities to remove many functional aspects of government as possible from the effects of the filibuster and toward a basic competence review or they will fall apart in this era of politics. End result might be fewer D.Ct. make it to appellate, which is a small price to pay for a working judiciary branch. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460083) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:41 AM Author: bespoke translucent corn cake chapel CR this should be discussed more often. There's a built in moderate/centrist Republican pitch related to competence and waste, because it's a trial court, so you need to actually know shit about how it works to not fuck up or you're wasting taxpayer money. Appellate fags can just tag along with the smartest person on their side and hire clerks to tell them what to say if they want to slack. If libs were smart they would've been pushing this for years. This is the kind of issue that Clinton would've pushed but the Obama Dems are too low IQ to connect the dots. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35460052) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:15 AM Author: lascivious free-loading volcanic crater If if if if if if if if if if if if if if if if... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459854) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2018 10:22 AM Author: Bearded arousing principal's office boltzmann It was very very retarded to not appoint that ND lady senator to a cabinet spot. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3899970&forum_id=2#35459896) |