GOP performing terribly in elections today
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Date: April 24th, 2018 11:30 PM Author: fuchsia spectacular step-uncle's house
Republican Debbie Lesko won the House special election in Arizona Tuesday night, holding off a closer-than-expected Democratic challenge in a district that President Donald Trump won by 21 points in 2016.
Lesko had 53 percent of the vote when The Associated Press called the race an hour after the polls closed, with over 155,000 early votes tallied. Democrat Hiral Tipirneni had 47 percent of the vote.
But Lesko’s single-digit margin is the latest evidence that Republicans face a punishing midterm environment, even in Trump-friendly territory. Lesko’s victory comes on the heels of losses for Republicans in southwestern Pennsylvania, where Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb beat Republican Rick Saccone in a district that backed Trump by nearly 20 points in 2016, and in Alabama, where Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican Roy Moore last year.
“Republicans shouldn't be hitting the alarm, they should be slamming it," said Mike Noble, a GOP pollster based in Arizona. He added: "This district isn't supposed to be competitive, and so to see this margin, especially with the Republicans pouring in resources here -- again, it's a tough year."
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35913704) |
Date: April 24th, 2018 11:41 PM Author: Swashbuckling corner
Was this chick in Arizona another actual moderate democrats that supports gun rights etc?
This happens when one party starts running more moderate candidates in response to losing in the last elections
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35913746) |
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Date: April 24th, 2018 11:50 PM Author: ocher death wish
Nope liberal indian immigrant who supported higher taxes, universal health care and gun control.
Did 16 points better than the Trump numbers.
Flake's seat=gone.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35913780) |
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Date: April 25th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: Maize supple state
no she was a liberal, the republican made that the center of her campaign focus.
the republican was kind of a run of the mill state politician, not a superstar but not scandal plagued like Roy Moore.
this is about the 80th most republican congressional district in the country, so about 2/3s of Republican Congressmen are in less Republican districts.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914128) |
Date: April 25th, 2018 1:34 AM Author: Hideous Concupiscible Coldplay Fan
yes, the expectation at this point is for dems to take the house & then go full-on batshit crazy, much worse than currently
trump didn't build the wall, got assfucked on the omnibus, hasn't benefited main street so there's a big enthusiasm gap
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914252) |
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Date: April 25th, 2018 1:50 AM Author: Hideous Concupiscible Coldplay Fan
as things stand today i think you are right, but nothing is a 0% chance
Date: April 25th, 2018 1:48 AM
Author: ...,.........,......,...,....,....
as you know, there is a zero percent chance I am wrong about Dems retaking the house. the only question is how big the margin is. I still think they will only net about 40 seats due to gerrymandering and the fact that rural areas are overrepresented even in the house because suburban and urban democratic districts have grown since the last census. it doesn't matter though, democrats will clearly pick up the 23 seats they need and subsequently Trump will be impeached in the house.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914310)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914325) |
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Date: April 25th, 2018 1:53 AM Author: Swollen hell
I am glad you admitted I am right.
What you also need to recognize is that your party will lose a lot of state seats and governorships. Which means you won't be in a good redistricting position for 2020. Additionally, democratic areas around big cities have grown substantially in population while republican areas have shrunk. This means you guys likely won't control the house for decades barring some massive realignment.
Date: April 25th, 2018 1:50 AM
Author: Consuela
as things stand today i think you are right, but nothing is a 0% chance
Date: April 25th, 2018 1:48 AM
Author: ...,.........,......,...,....,....
as you know, there is a zero percent chance I am wrong about Dems retaking the house. the only question is how big the margin is. I still think they will only net about 40 seats due to gerrymandering and the fact that rural areas are overrepresented even in the house because suburban and urban democratic districts have grown since the last census. it doesn't matter though, democrats will clearly pick up the 23 seats they need and subsequently Trump will be impeached in the house.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914310)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914325)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35914346) |
Date: April 25th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: bateful blue legal warrant gas station
I don't know. I don't doubt that Dems will do well in the fall, but I must be really out of touch if it's going to be a "tsunami." I think most Republicans think he is doing pretty well. Even the Dems that I work with have begrudingly admitted that they like some aspects of his administration.
I want to chalk up some of these results to the insane Libs turning out 100 percent in these special elections, unless there are a bunch of people that actually care more about him saying "pussy" than him actually being a pretty good president...
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3959080&forum_id=2#35915688) |
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