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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM Author: Cerebral azure space messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544) |
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Drab internal respiration abode 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Boyish station cuckold Reply Favorite
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)
0%
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: drunken university mexican http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2
Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM Author: ...,.........,.........,....
I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported. Gillum is doing too well in central florida.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM Author: trip chocolate toaster I would be shocked if they don't.
1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.
2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.
3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.
4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.
5. Democratic base is far more energized.
6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM Author: dashing menage http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: Wild school cafeteria jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM Author: glittery genital piercing 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM Author: insecure cruise ship them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM Author: Rebellious talented garrison They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM Author: lavender wrinkle 65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: contagious indecent tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM Author: trip chocolate toaster Correct. It's 90%+. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Crystalline Crusty Rigor Stock Car You need to get a life outside xo bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: chrome vibrant tank mother 45% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Ocher School Blood Rage 75% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM Author: Cream doobsian stead Every single day the same thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM Author: Awkward white principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Crystalline Crusty Rigor Stock Car 80% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986) |