Poll by Sinking Poll, Trump Inches Toward Impeachment
| Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | saffron crackhouse | 03/29/19 | | sticky school ladyboy | 05/15/19 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | marvelous poppy senate black woman | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | spectacular insecure menage pozpig | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | awkward lodge | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | Federal stage ceo | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Federal stage ceo | 09/03/18 | | Startled stage | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Racy navy native gunner | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Startled stage | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Startled stage | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | fragrant corner death wish | 09/03/18 | | Ruby Supple Candlestick Maker Giraffe | 03/28/19 | | Medicated hall shitlib | 09/03/18 | | Cream charismatic school cafeteria | 09/06/18 | | Startled stage | 03/28/19 | | Startled stage | 05/15/19 | | Dashing Newt | 12/05/19 | | Dashing Newt | 03/31/20 | | chestnut contagious roast beef | 09/03/18 | | Carnelian plaza | 09/03/18 | | jet house-broken meetinghouse | 09/03/18 | | fuchsia angry piazza | 09/03/18 | | chestnut contagious roast beef | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Ultramarine appetizing private investor | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 09/03/18 | | alcoholic casino | 05/15/19 | | Medicated hall shitlib | 09/03/18 | | soul-stirring salmon prole | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | soul-stirring salmon prole | 09/04/18 | | Elite fluffy house | 09/03/18 | | Aggressive sanctuary trust fund | 09/03/18 | | coral national antidepressant drug | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Stubborn judgmental base | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | Stubborn judgmental base | 09/03/18 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Flirting honey-headed dragon | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Blathering Aromatic Pit | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Flirting honey-headed dragon | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 09/03/18 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 03/28/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 03/28/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 05/15/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 07/24/19 | | coral national antidepressant drug | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Grizzly offensive parlour associate | 09/03/18 | | irradiated police squad locale | 09/03/18 | | impressive corn cake | 09/03/18 | | Grizzly offensive parlour associate | 09/03/18 | | Cerebral mexican | 09/03/18 | | titillating sable gas station boltzmann | 09/03/18 | | Swashbuckling spruce coffee pot | 09/06/18 | | Galvanic iridescent hunting ground | 03/28/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 03/28/19 | | Galvanic iridescent hunting ground | 03/28/19 | | Big kitchen | 03/28/19 | | Startled stage | 03/29/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 04/21/19 | | Gold Kitty Cat | 04/21/19 | | Startled stage | 04/21/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 04/22/19 | | alcoholic casino | 05/09/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 05/15/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 05/09/19 | | alcoholic casino | 05/09/19 | | Arousing lavender church building therapy | 05/28/19 | | Flushed Selfie Lay | 03/31/20 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 3rd, 2018 11:17 AM Author: Cerebral mexican
By Megan McArdle
Columnist
August 31
By any metric, Trump is in trouble.
A poll out from The Post and ABC on Friday shows that 60 percent of voters disapprove of the job he’s doing as president, a new low. But that’s just one poll; the polling average at statistician Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight shows Trump with a mere 53.4 percent disapproval rating, which is better than its 56.8 percent peak last December.
But a presidency is not in good shape when the best spin on the new poll is “It’s an outlier! Only 53 percent of the country thinks the president is terrible.” The poll is especially ugly for Republicans with midterms looming in two months.
FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the midterms puts the likelihood of Democrats taking the House at more than 70 percent. Their chances of taking the Senate are lower, but Republicans are hardly a lock despite a very favorable map for them. And if Democrats manage to eke out a majority in both houses of Congress, here is the poll’s really bad news for Trump: Half the country wants him impeached.
To put that in perspective: In January 1974, well into the Watergate scandal, Richard Nixon’s poll numbers on impeachment were better than President Trump’s are now. Earlier, less disastrous polls for Trump still showed him veering dangerously close to what we might call “the Nixon ceiling.”
Most worrying for Trump is that three-quarters of Democrats say they want Congress to impeach him. If Democrats gain control, they will be under immense pressure from their base to deliver.
That doesn’t mean they’ll do it. It takes a two-thirds supermajority in the Senate to actually remove a president from office. The best that Democrats can possibly manage in 2018 is a narrow majority; they would need more than a handful of Republican senators to support removal. The leaders of a Democrat-controlled House might well decide they’d rather not force their Senate brethren to take a hard and futile vote.
But as Republicans found in the 1990s, these things have a way of taking on unexpected momentum. A former Republican congressional staffer who was close to that process tells me that the day after the bruising 1998 midterms, Newt Gingrich — who would shortly step down as House speaker — said, “impeachment is over, that’s one thing the election clearly meant.” Five weeks later, with Gingrich out of the way, House Republicans impeached Bill Clinton. Then he was acquitted by the Republican-controlled Senate.
“The activist base of the party was committed to the idea, and that made it impossible for the elected officials to change course,” the former staffer says, “even though they knew impeachment wasn’t what the broader public wanted.”
It’s all too easy to imagine a similar scenario for Democrats intent on impeaching Trump as they come up short looking for Republicans to help them make it across the finish line. But it’s not entirely impossible to picture a few Republicans going along. If Democrats do manage to start impeachment hearings, it would be because — unlike Republicans in 1998 — they’d be coming off a huge midterm win. Public support for impeaching Trump, even taking into account his more favorable polls, would be higher than it ever was for impeaching Clinton.
Trump is in a very unusual situation for an American president. Members of his die-hard base are loyal, but at his peak they were barely a plurality of the party. The rest of his support is purely expedient, interested in getting judges appointed and keeping Democrats out of power. Republicans in Congress are loyal, for now, but only because they’re afraid of his voters.
But by the time Trump faced a Senate trial, that would mean the political calculus had shifted radically. He would have cost them the Congress; there would be no hope of more judges; the 2020 election would seem already lost. And he’d have no reservoir of goodwill in the party, for at every turn he has made a point of attacking and humiliating any Republican he deemed insufficiently obsequious. Just how long will the Coalition of the Unwilling stand by a president who was never really their man?
But even if Republicans hold the party line, what Trump faces in this scenario is bad enough: a public trial that he can’t avoid by firing the investigators, nor distract from with more Twitter blasts. One senses that public humiliation, especially at the hands of an establishment that has always looked down on him, is the thing that Trump fears most. Though far from certain, that humiliation is growing more likely.
Yes, the president is clearly in trouble. But does Trump, hunkered down with deferential staffers and screens blaring Fox News, realize it? Or might he learn it only when Congress calls him to account — and he finds no one standing behind him?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36736779) |
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 12:09 PM Author: fragrant corner death wish
Say it’s a “typical” construction loan with standard western (English) bank forms, along with the typical communications about applying for the loan and standard due dilligence shared by trump org for the loan, standard collateral/guarantor stuff, etc.
No communications from the bank telling him to run for POTUS “or else”
Illegal?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737008) |
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 12:50 PM Author: fragrant corner death wish
Literally impossible to answer without access to documents and communications.
That said, if trump org indeed had a loan with that bank, perhaps they had the meeting to discuss taking trump off the guarantees and collateral ? Or other details regarding continuing payment of said loan so as to not interfere with his new job?
I highly doubt they had a meeting to receive “instructions from Putin”
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737140) |
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 12:12 PM Author: Stubborn judgmental base
and then you will have your residence pence.
Good luck.
Goodbye abortion.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737021) |
Date: September 3rd, 2018 12:35 PM Author: Arousing lavender church building therapy
WTF do poll numbers have to do with impeachment?
P.S. you’re a drunk nigger who literally megaposted from your grandpappy’s funeral
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737085) |
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 2:56 PM Author: Blathering Aromatic Pit
If you are talking about the article I am thinking of, they acknowledged the state level polls were SPS, and the polls in almost all of the states that were viewed as key battleground states for Clinton incorrectly projected a Clinton victory when Trump won those states.
If it were just a matter of accuracy, it wouldn't have resulted in projections uniformly being wrong in the same direction. That points to systemic problems or intentional skewing to favor the preferred candidate.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737642) |
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 2:47 PM Author: Blathering Aromatic Pit
Are you running retard schtick, bro?
Their accuracy, especially as determined retrospectively, has no relevance to my point as long as other politicians rely upon them when making strategic decisions.
The more GOP politicians believe Trump is popular with the public (especially the GOP electorate), the more costly it is to them to be viewed as opposing Trump, with converse also being true.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737613)
|
Date: September 3rd, 2018 2:04 PM Author: coral national antidepressant drug
Trump will be impeached for saying “pussy” in 2006 and for beating Her when it was Her turn (Her turn to rake in $$$$ from her globalist friends).
Libs should try it. They won’t like how it turns out for them.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#36737431) |
Date: March 28th, 2019 10:22 AM Author: Big kitchen
Lmao WLMAS
I wonder if he killed self after this
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4068059&forum_id=2#38004130) |
|
|