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I’ve been all-cash since March 2019, time to admit defeat and buy in?

Or should I stick it out and wait for a retracement. I h...
Violet parlor nibblets
  12/07/19
Um.....never go all in on any one strategy dumbass and
Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel
  12/07/19
Yes I realize that NOW. Question is what do I do now. When i...
Violet parlor nibblets
  12/07/19
JFC. Just divserify and hodl and stop trying to play th...
Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel
  12/07/19
All of the conventional “advice” saying you can&...
Violet parlor nibblets
  12/07/19
wtf are you talking about. you've conflated multiple things....
Pearly supple theater
  12/07/19
https://sidoxia.files.wordpress.com/2014/05/stocks-for-the-l...
Rough-skinned famous landscape painting headpube
  12/07/19
this will surely continue forever
comical shivering stock car
  12/07/19
not sure if serious, but it basically will--see CAPM
Rough-skinned famous landscape painting headpube
  12/07/19
CAPM doesn't prove that at all, bro
Pearly supple theater
  12/07/19
what do you see the world being like in 10 years, and what p...
Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder
  12/07/19
Hmm when suckers like the OP are ready to buy back in it's p...
Bisexual boltzmann
  12/07/19
they offer no signal either way.
Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder
  12/07/19
Link? Seems like when the masses think the stock market i...
Bisexual boltzmann
  12/07/19
what makes you think "the masses" believed that. a...
Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder
  12/07/19
Mark, you are the only one in this thread that has any marke...
Sickened associate
  12/07/19
Marker buy ethereum with the whole stack and you'll gain at ...
Sapphire nursing home
  12/07/19
*tezos
Pearly supple theater
  12/07/19
You should know better than to post this
Razzmatazz Address Old Irish Cottage
  12/07/19
1. Internet posters just buy VTI and give themselves pats on...
Haunting aggressive immigrant
  12/07/19
Again, the option is not all cash or all stocks. OP shou...
Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel
  12/07/19
Stocks will crash but real estate won't? Or vice versa? t...
avocado school cafeteria skinny woman
  12/07/19
It's not flame, you can hedge risk without hurting alpha sup...
Haunting aggressive immigrant
  12/07/19
Please state your credentials
Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel
  12/07/19
He is over 6`00``
Haunting aggressive immigrant
  12/07/19
buy some $325 January 2020 SPY calls on the next red day
hairless death wish place of business
  12/07/19
why 325? why not 340 bc its cheaper
Ruby talking church building
  12/16/19
...
Ruby talking church building
  12/17/19
Where's Julia when we need her?
vengeful appetizing ticket booth
  12/17/19
lol
Outnumbered school gunner
  12/17/19


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:01 PM
Author: Violet parlor nibblets

Or should I stick it out and wait for a retracement.

I have like 300k in 401ks invested in the market, but 700k cash just sitting in a ally account.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228672)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:04 PM
Author: Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel

Um.....never go all in on any one strategy dumbass and

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228685)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:09 PM
Author: Violet parlor nibblets

Yes I realize that NOW. Question is what do I do now. When is the market going to have a dip? Any dip? I need something to save face.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228704)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:13 PM
Author: Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel

JFC.

Just divserify and hodl and stop trying to play the market you fucking retaed.

This has been very very well studied. If you try to play the market you lose.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228726)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:15 PM
Author: Violet parlor nibblets

All of the conventional “advice” saying you can’t time the market are from brokers and advisors that just want to churn and earn advisory fees.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228729)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:30 PM
Author: Pearly supple theater

wtf are you talking about. you've conflated multiple things.

churning and advisory fees are two different things. asset-based advisory fees are irrespective of how much you transact. churning is something brokers are incentivized to do as they're paid per transactions--if anything, their incentive is to increase your activity.

yes, it's possible to time the market (maybe), but you're doing the opposite of what you should be doing. markets exhibit momentum, so all things equal you should be buying into strength and selling into weakness, as counterintuitive as that sounds.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228788)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:12 PM
Author: Rough-skinned famous landscape painting headpube

https://sidoxia.files.wordpress.com/2014/05/stocks-for-the-long-run.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228717)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:21 PM
Author: comical shivering stock car

this will surely continue forever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228746)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:42 PM
Author: Rough-skinned famous landscape painting headpube

not sure if serious, but it basically will--see CAPM

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230024)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM
Author: Pearly supple theater

CAPM doesn't prove that at all, bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230029)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 12:25 PM
Author: Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder

what do you see the world being like in 10 years, and what position would you like to be in?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228771)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 1:01 PM
Author: Bisexual boltzmann

Hmm when suckers like the OP are ready to buy back in it's probably time to sell.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228904)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 1:04 PM
Author: Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder

they offer no signal either way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228917)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 1:10 PM
Author: Bisexual boltzmann

Link?

Seems like when the masses think the stock market is going to crash any moment it continues to rise (see last 10 years).

Whenever they think the market is going to rise forever it crashes (2007 and dotcom bubble)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228930)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 7:03 PM
Author: Mildly Autistic Mental Disorder

what makes you think "the masses" believed that. and why does OP represent "the masses"?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230307)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 8:26 PM
Author: Sickened associate

Mark, you are the only one in this thread that has any market sense. These other MF'ers are gonna get got.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230714)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 1:46 PM
Author: Sapphire nursing home

Marker buy ethereum with the whole stack and you'll gain at least 50% immediately

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39229052)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:35 PM
Author: Pearly supple theater

*tezos

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230006)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Address Old Irish Cottage

You should know better than to post this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230026)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:46 PM
Author: Haunting aggressive immigrant

1. Internet posters just buy VTI and give themselves pats on the back, nobody knows anything

2. Buffett has like $120 billion in cash, why doesn't he use that cash to buy VTI? Is he an IDIOT? Discuss.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230040)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:48 PM
Author: Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel

Again, the option is not all cash or all stocks.

OP should have some real estate. Some cash. Some stocks. Some notes. Etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230054)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:50 PM
Author: avocado school cafeteria skinny woman

Stocks will crash but real estate won't? Or vice versa? the idea of a diversified portfolio is a 1970's trope.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230062)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM
Author: Haunting aggressive immigrant

It's not flame, you can hedge risk without hurting alpha supposedly. IRL of course you can still get fucked because your RE investments won't be diversified, they'll all be in one georgraphic area most likely.

Souce: I majored in Econ (though my passion is Film)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230065)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM
Author: Irradiated transparent dingle berry chapel

Please state your credentials

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230068)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:54 PM
Author: Haunting aggressive immigrant

He is over 6`00``

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230073)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM
Author: hairless death wish place of business

buy some $325 January 2020 SPY calls on the next red day

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230067)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 16th, 2019 9:41 PM
Author: Ruby talking church building

why 325? why not 340 bc its cheaper

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39275407)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2019 12:14 PM
Author: Ruby talking church building



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278088)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2019 12:16 PM
Author: vengeful appetizing ticket booth

Where's Julia when we need her?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278108)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 17th, 2019 12:17 PM
Author: Outnumbered school gunner

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278115)