Trump probably will win
| Sinister adulterous senate | 07/17/20 | | Date: July 17th, 2020 9:12 PM
Author: .,,....,,,,,,,,......... |
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Date: July 17th, 2020 9:12 PM Author: Sinister adulterous senate
Reason: the outrage from the Floyd riots is gone and now we are at the negotiation and purging stage.
The Left will be increasingly strident all this summer and fall. Bari Weiss and Andrew Sullivan were purged. You will see more Democrats doing the defund police thing.
Democrats have seen themselves targeted like Amy Cooper was. Libs have been buying guns because of crime concerns.
If Biden weren't a corpse and we're 20 years younger he might have the energy to do it right. But his VP will run the show.
Look at the media and they are pushing Kamala Harris hard.
She sucks and is a horrendous human being. She is worse than Hillary Clinton in every single manner.
Biden picks Kamala and he loses.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40624693) |
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Date: July 17th, 2020 9:13 PM Author: naked parlor
Date: July 17th, 2020 9:12 PM
Author: .,,....,,,,,,,,................
Reason: the outrage from the Floyd riots is gone and now we are at the negotiation and purging stage.
The Left will be increasingly strident all this summer and fall. Bari Weiss and Andrew Sullivan were purged. You will see more Democrats doing the defund police thing.
Democrats have seen themselves targeted like Amy Cooper was. Libs have been buying guns because of crime concerns.
If Biden weren't a corpse and we're 20 years younger he might have the energy to do it right. But his VP will run the show.
Look at the media and they are pushing Kamala Harris hard.
She sucks and is a horrendous human being. She is worse than Hillary Clinton in every single manner.
Biden picks Kamala and he loses.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40624702)
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Date: July 17th, 2020 9:26 PM Author: Sinister adulterous senate
It will be a high and low turnout election.
High in blue bastions.
Low everywhere else.
If Trump wins it will be an even more extreme electoral college victory
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40624750) |
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Date: July 17th, 2020 9:50 PM Author: Coral quadroon
This is a weird election. I can think of strong reasons for both why Trump will win and why he will lose. I go back and forth each day.
The polling is indeed nasty. Biden's RCP average lead is higher and more durable than Hillary's. And the lockdown and riots have been devastating to Trump's central argument on the economy. However, there are several data points that are underreported. First, the enthusiasm gap between Trump and Biden is even higher than it was in 2016. Second, Trump had crazy primary numbers for an incumbent while Biden failed to crack 70% in a number of key states even after everyone else dropped out. Third, Trump's favorables-unfavorables are better now than on election day 2016. Fourth, voters still trust Trump more than Biden on the economy.
I think the election may well hinge upon how voters feel about the progress relative to when the virus began. Usually incumbents are judged by whether the country is better off now than it was when they were first elected, but this is not a normal election.
In terms of specific states, I feel pretty good about Trump winning TX, GA, FL, NC, OH, IA, ME 02, and to a lesser extent WI. The 3 states that most worry me are PA, AZ, MI. If his Latino numbers hold up, NV will be in play.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40624883) |
Date: July 17th, 2020 9:29 PM Author: cerebral idiotic masturbator
i dunno. kamala is not as bad as you think imho. if anything, she's biden's best option as he has painted himself in a corner. it has to be a woman. and now it has to be a woman of color. that leaves kamala standing. she's not a retard and will be able to present well in public and in a debate with pence will not be rattled.
for many people, the vp is really where its at since no one thinks much of biden. to biden's credit, he's not hated. so...there's that?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40624773) |
Date: July 18th, 2020 7:28 AM Author: claret national striped hyena
He might. The last two months of this campaign may be surreal in the craziness of it all.
One thing to remember is that even now, Trump is within a small margin of error in *every* state he needs except two - Florida and Wisconsin. Florida is more puzzling and more worrying. It was supposed to be mostly in the bag for Trump. Covid may have fucked him for good there.
In Wisco, the polls showed Trump down 6-10 pts in 2016 so I'm not as worried.
But we better see some FL tightening soon or it may be over.
I think there is also a significant, maybe 35% chance of a relative Biden landslide, with him winning GA, AZ and TX.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40626283)
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Date: July 18th, 2020 8:07 AM Author: claret national striped hyena
Trump needs to hope for
(1) Covid getting better, basically praying for it
(2) stemming from 1, FOOTBALL being played this fall, hopefully on both weekend days, but at least on Sunday
(3) bad hurricane hitting Florida to change the subject and allow him to show leadership
(4) news hinting at an imminent vaccine
None of that guarantees him anything but all together give him a decent shot
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40626332) |
Date: July 18th, 2020 8:02 AM Author: trip dog poop
lol at thinking that "BAri Weiss" or "Andrew Sullivan" are going to have any affect on this election whatsoever
not flame CharlesXII getting fired will have more effect on the election - by an order of magnitude - than Bari Weiss getting fired
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4587158&forum_id=2#40626321) |
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