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Consensus position: Russia will run out of ammo within 6 months

barring some massive influx from China and others. how ...
swashbuckling circlehead parlor
  06/29/22
ByNatalia Drozdiak February 16, 2023 at 12:01 AM ESTUpdated...
supple degenerate
  02/16/23
"Neither side is at risk of totally depleting its inven...
Balding razzle headpube
  02/16/23
where are we on this?
boyish carmine gaping
  04/27/24
To be fair, No one ever actually claimed this, Putintard....
Olive Business Firm Quadroon
  04/27/24
solid bump
supple degenerate
  04/27/24


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Date: June 29th, 2022 11:50 AM
Author: swashbuckling circlehead parlor

barring some massive influx from China and others.

how the fuck is Russia "winning" Russiacucks?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#44765645)



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Date: February 16th, 2023 4:10 PM
Author: supple degenerate

ByNatalia Drozdiak

February 16, 2023 at 12:01 AM ESTUpdated onFebruary 16, 2023 at 11:24 AM EST

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RHM

RHEINMETALL AG

247.70EUR+7.00+2.91%

0835639D

BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK

Private Company

On an average day in Ukraine, the opposing armies lob as many as 30,000 shells at one another. That’s more than 200,000 a week, almost 1 million a month—without including the bullets, land mines, hand grenades and other munitions being deployed as Vladimir Putin’s invasion enters its second year.

While Russian troops typically fire about twice as many rounds as Ukrainian forces do, stockpiles on both sides are shrinking. Ukraine’s ammunition use is “many times higher” than the current rate of production of its allies, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg told reporters in Brussels on Feb. 13.

That’s set up a scramble to get more ammunition and weaponry to the front, making the war as much a battle of factories as of troops. Neither side is at risk of totally depleting its inventory, but dwindling supplies restrict an army’s options, says Mark Cancian, a former US Marine colonel who’s now an adviser at the Center for Strategic & International Studies in Washington. “At some point, that becomes a problem,” he says. “If it becomes too constrained, you can’t shoot at really good targets.”

US Security Assistance Committed to Ukraine

Source: Congressional Research Service

Items listed are assistance committed from 2022 through Jan. 23, 2023

Some analysts say the conflict is showing uncomfortable parallels with World War I, when the combatants settled into entrenched positions and fired countless shells, hoping to break the stalemate. As the conflict dragged on, both sides suffered a shortage of artillery shells, and in 1915 Britain’s government was driven from office after it failed to deliver enough ammunition in what became known as the “shell crisis.”

Ukraine has managed to keep up because the more precise weaponry it’s gotten from NATO countries allows it to use its ammunition more effectively than Russia does, according to officials from the alliance. And it can rely on factories in Europe, the US and Canada that have far greater potential capacity than that of Russia, which faces sanctions and has had to turn to North Korea and Iran for supplies. The US Army says that by this spring its production of 155mm shells, a NATO standard for artillery, will rise from 14,000 to 20,000 per month. In January, the Army said it would invest $2 billion in several of its ammunition plants across the US, as it aims to reach monthly production capacity of 90,000 shells as soon as next year.

US Security Assistance Committed to Ukraine

Cumulative presidential drawdowns*

Source: Congressional Research Service

*The Presidential Drawdown Authority allows for the speedy delivery to foreign countries of weapons and services from Defense Department stocks.

Germany’s Rheinmetall AG is investing more than €10 million ($10.7 million) in a new production line near Hamburg to make ammunition for the Gepard antiaircraft guns Berlin has supplied Ukraine. ZVS Holding in Slovakia says it will quintuple its annual production of 155mm shells, to 100,000, by next year. France and Australia are teaming up to produce unspecified quantities of 155mm shells. And Ukraine says it’s agreed with NATO members to produce various types of munitions in factories outside the country.

While Russia’s stockpiles are also under pressure, its capacity is multiple times that of Europe’s, with its industry in a position to annually manufacture 1.7 million 152mm artillery shells before the war, according to Estonia’s Ministry of Defense. No doubt the Kremlin remains focused on defense production, even if public information on Russia’s efforts to shore up its ammunition supplies remains limited. The country’s military expenditure is estimated as the third largest globally behind the US and China, according to The Military Balance report by International Institute for Strategic Studies. Government officials meet regularly with representatives of the industry to coordinate plans, and state television says armaments factories continued to work full tilt through the New Year holidays even as much of the rest of Russia took 10 days off. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has said that the military roughly doubled ammunition purchases in 2022 and that spending on weapons systems will increase 50% this year. “We have no funding restrictions,” Putin told Ministry of Defense staff in December. “The country, the government will provide whatever the army asks for. Anything.”

relates to The World’s War Machine Is Running Low on Ammunition

Featured in Bloomberg Businessweek, Feb. 20, 2023. Subscribe now.Photographer: Lenka Klicperova

In February the state news agency reported increased output of Krasnopol guided artillery shells. The Center for the Analysis of Strategy and Technology in Moscow estimates production of combat aircraft jumped by half last year, though it was still 70% below the 2014 level. Uraltransmash, which makes self-propelled howitzers, has announced a big hiring push. And Uralvagonzavod, the primary manufacturer of Russian battle tanks, says it’s operating 24 hours a day. “We have to modernize and produce thousands more tanks,” former President Dmitry Medvedev, who now oversees weapons procurement, said during a visit to an armaments factory in the Siberian city of Omsk on Feb. 9.

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Western Europe, by contrast, has been slow to ramp up output, says Tomas Kopecny, the Czech government’s envoy for Ukraine, who until recently led industrial cooperation as deputy defense minister. Defense ministers from more than a dozen NATO countries met last summer to discuss the problem, but many governments haven’t yet decided where or how to invest. “If we let the Russian economy turn fully into war production mode and we don’t start these projects,” Kopecny says, “they’ll be producing more ammo than whoever is delivering to Ukraine.”

European governments are boosting defense outlays, but that follows years of limited investment. The bureaucracy needed to direct spending has atrophied, so as money starts to pour in, there aren’t enough staffers to vet contracts, says Lucie Béraud-Sudreau, who tracks arms production at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. “Companies know that money is coming,” she says. “But they still lack contracts, and they want to make sure there is a return on investment.”

Defense Spending by NATO Members

Estimates for 2022

Source: NATO

One of the biggest impediments to higher production is a reflex among some NATO states to procure weapons and munitions on their own for homegrown systems rather than working with other nations, according to a senior European diplomat who asked not to be identified discussing sensitive matters. Bundling orders could speed up production while keeping a lid on costs, the diplomat says, and using the same type of ammunition would help ensure everyone gets what they need.

Until supply concerns ease, both sides will probably have to limit their use of ammunition, says Rob Bauer, NATO’s top military officer. And that, the Dutch admiral says, offers lessons for the alliance in any broader conflict it might become involved in. “War is about stocks,” he says, “about your ability to continue the fight as long as it takes.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#45943376)



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Date: February 16th, 2023 4:29 PM
Author: Balding razzle headpube

"Neither side is at risk of totally depleting its inventory..."

Now they tell us!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#45943439)



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Date: April 27th, 2024 2:57 PM
Author: boyish carmine gaping

where are we on this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#47613584)



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Date: April 27th, 2024 3:00 PM
Author: Olive Business Firm Quadroon

To be fair,

No one ever actually claimed this, Putintard. You people just pretended that Western MSM Outlets made these claims, but it never happened.

https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5294580&mc=234&forum_id=2

Trust me, I know these things! SLAVA!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#47613592)



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Date: April 27th, 2024 3:03 PM
Author: supple degenerate

solid bump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5142546&forum_id=2#47613598)