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Liquidate FTX assets, return ~50c/dollar, send founding team to prison for life

This is the "obviously correct" remedy. Odds it ac...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
Isn't 50% a wildly optimistic recovery rate?
Fuchsia vivacious pozpig
  11/22/22
Yes. It's laughable.
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/22/22
Yeah, totally laughable: https://cryptoslate.com/messari-...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
This scam promo for a shit tier newsletter by a retard scams...
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/22/22
Why so flippant about this? The analysis is reasonable. What...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
yfwgi
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/22/22
You're turning into a real asshole in this thread for some r...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
He doesn't include admin expenses like lawyer fees, which ge...
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/22/22
Customers are absolutely front of the line and always have b...
disrespectful ticket booth
  03/28/24
Plz respond thanks. The guy's also wrong about consumer...
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/23/22
Wtf is going on here? Are you okay? You seem to be having a ...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/23/22
I think we've been around it. Best of luck getting your mone...
avocado beady-eyed center
  11/23/22
This was Adolf Anderssen blabbering completely wrongly for s...
disrespectful ticket booth
  03/28/24
Claims currently trading at 53c on the dollar. FTX managemen...
disrespectful ticket booth
  10/27/23
Lol, they might get 5 cents if they're lucky
know-it-all deranged stage organic girlfriend
  11/22/22
I get the pessimism but this seems too low. More than 5% of ...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
Lol this is horseshit. They owe over 10b. 90% of their asset...
razzmatazz navy sanctuary pistol
  11/22/22
Claims currently trading at 53c on the dollar and management...
disrespectful ticket booth
  10/27/23
Now who's full of horseshit?
disrespectful ticket booth
  10/27/23
...
hideous drunken fanboi mediation
  11/22/22
There are assets of less than 10 cents on the dollar, if tha...
razzmatazz navy sanctuary pistol
  11/22/22
You'll get literally 0.5c on the dollar
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
https://cryptoslate.com/messari-estimates-up-to-50-of-ftx-us...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
Who is Cryptoslate and who is Messari And why do you trus...
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
Look man if you're ignorant just be ignorant, you don't have...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/22/22
lol Bahamas will make sure all of that gets spent on loc...
Comical tattoo
  11/22/22
>>>Bahamas govt currently holds $477 million of FTX...
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
Lawyers gotta get a fixed $2bn fee before account holders
Tantric confused hell
  11/22/22
Are FTX US users just as fucked as FTX international?
boyish meetinghouse
  11/22/22
Separate entity. Only the international one went bankrupt. ...
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
That’s what I thought but I’ve been fasting for ...
boyish meetinghouse
  11/22/22
West Realm Shires Services, dba FTX.US, is one of the Chapte...
Fuchsia vivacious pozpig
  11/22/22
...
hideous drunken fanboi mediation
  11/22/22
No man. US entities are completely separate from Internatio...
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
Ok you got me
Fuchsia vivacious pozpig
  11/22/22
Impossible. You're an unsecured creditor
hyperactive slimy love of her life
  11/22/22
They'll be lucky to recover 5 cents a dollar.
useless business firm lettuce
  11/22/22
People who had money there are getting literally $0
frozen out-of-control field filthpig
  11/22/22
...
Brilliant hot jew people who are hurt
  11/22/22
Madoff clients ended up getting a ridiculous amount of money...
black shivering stage
  11/22/22
counterpoint: they were jews and the recovery guys went arou...
ungodly foreskin box office
  11/22/22
...
know-it-all deranged stage organic girlfriend
  11/23/22
Everyone will be receive 100% of the fair market value of th...
Ruby Bonkers Place Of Business Rigor
  11/22/22
Took less than a year but SBF is heading to prison for decad...
disrespectful ticket booth
  11/03/23
SBF gets 25 years, and FTX claims are now trading at 98 cent...
disrespectful ticket booth
  03/28/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:27 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

This is the "obviously correct" remedy. Odds it actually occurs?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531343)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:38 PM
Author: Fuchsia vivacious pozpig

Isn't 50% a wildly optimistic recovery rate?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531418)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:41 PM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

Yes. It's laughable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531440)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:48 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Yeah, totally laughable:

https://cryptoslate.com/messari-estimates-up-to-50-of-ftx-user-funds-recoverable/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531474)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:44 PM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

This scam promo for a shit tier newsletter by a retard scamster with no relevant legal or a accounting experience and who even in his short tweet thread makes several laughable assumptions is what you are relying on?

https://twitter.com/kunalgoel/status/1592545088315731970?s=19

YES

IT

IS

FUCK

ing

L A U G H A B L E



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532329)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:08 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Why so flippant about this? The analysis is reasonable. What laughable assumptions are you referring to? That illiquid assets won't pay out at 100% of their book value? Okay, discount them then. That depositors won't be the most senior creditors? FTX's terms stated that depositors "own their own assets", which could mean that depositors aren't creditors but are seeking the return of their assets.

FTX bankruptcy filing says FTX has a cash balance of $1.24 billion. They have $300mm of real estate. They own fully solvent subsidiaries in various countries operating under various trade names that are operational and have selloff value. They own minority stakes in other startups that have value. There are more assets here than "tulip coins" and "goodwill".

If Alameda and FTX principals paid themselves billions over the last 1-3 years will they just be allowed to keep those assets? Won't they have to make restitution?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532445)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:12 PM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

yfwgi

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532450)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:23 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

You're turning into a real asshole in this thread for some reason. Are you angry and resentful towards FTX customers or something? Why don't you articulate the multiple "laughable assumptions" you mentioned? "Kunal"'s analysis didn't even include the $1.24 billion of cash, that's another 15%+ to depositors. Do you know much about crypto at all or about how FTX operated or are you just flippantly dismissive because it makes you feel smart and superior? You don't have to post in every thread, you know.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532509)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:31 PM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

He doesn't include admin expenses like lawyer fees, which get super priority & are likely to be substantial.

He makes laughable assumptions like being able to recover most of the current value of various shitcoins, years down the line, with minimal slippage.

He apparently thinks that customers are going to be first in line.

He doesn't assess comparables or give any basis for his numbers, just pulls them from his ass ("it's 50/50 robinhood gets included" etc.)

He has no apparent expertise in valuation or knowledge of the bankruptcy process.

Etc.etc. I'm not going to sign up for this guy's dumb report just to tell you how bad it is.

I'm sorry if you lost money in this scam, but smoking copium won't help.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532560)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2024 12:52 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Customers are absolutely front of the line and always have been. They are projected to get back much more than the dollar value of their assets at bankruptcy. SBF is going away for 25 and was not safehoused in China as you predicted. You had like reverse-copium or something, you ignored reality to try to make the situation look much worse than it was in a completely absurd way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#47534861)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 23rd, 2022 6:45 AM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

Plz respond thanks.

The guy's also wrong about consumers being top of the line.

[since you bitched I found another person saying this tho it's obvious if you know secured transactions and the Butner rule]:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ftx-bankruptcy-funds-returned-sam-bankman-fried/

>>>FTX's creditors will be first in line to receive whatever assets a bankruptcy judge deems appropriate to distribute as the company seeks to restructure as part of its Chapter 11 filing. Investors in the Bahamas-based company, which had raised some $2 billion in venture capital, will be second in line. That leaves FTX account holders who used the platform to trade bitcoin, solana and other digital currencies at the back of the queue, a bankruptcy expert told CBS MoneyWatch.

China (the CCP) uses / encourages / participates in / winks at frauds like this, with nonextradition. See https://twitter.com/matthew_pines/status/1592703088166506496

https://twitter.com/kadhim/status/1595089053254295553

https://twitter.com/txmctrades/status/1593229207081209857

(Gary Wang is an FTX and Alameda co-founder: https://news.yahoo.com/gary-wang-mysterious-co-founder-150344305.html )

We've lost billions to scamsters who do stuff like reverse mergers and the like. See generally https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_21st-century_Chinese_reverse_mergers#Fraud

Lots of cases, like Lonngtop https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2011/2011-241.htm

https://geoinvesting.com/china-stock-fraud-shocker-banks-were-complicit-in-longtop-fraud/ (noting China banks complicit, helped Longtop fake balance to dupe investors), Shengda, China Marine, etc. etc,

https://acquirersmultiple.com/2019/09/how-astute-investors-discovered-the-chinese-reverse-merger-frauds/



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45533860)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 23rd, 2022 11:48 AM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Wtf is going on here? Are you okay? You seem to be having a mental breakdown. Your first link doesn't talk at all about customers being "front of the line" or otherwise, it talks about identifying and valuing FTX crypto assets.

What other creditors do you imagine FTX to have besides their customers? Are you under the impression they had a billion dollar bond offering or something? Who would FTX owe significant money to that isn't a customer? Their financing was equity financing.

If anything the creditor-debtor relationship is the other way around. FTX has a loan to SBF on their books for $1 billion and 9-figure loans to other officers. Don't you think they will try to recoup these loans? Why wouldn't they be at least partially successful? Why wouldn't 100% of SBF's personal Robin Hood shares and other visible investments be recovered?

What are you talking about with CCP links? Are you alright? We're talking about FTX assets, not individuals fleeing to HK. SBF is in the Bahamas, facing extradition to the US. The company left Hong Kong in a huff over a year ago, which indicates they didn't and don't have any particular protections there.

Let's keep it simple: FTX owes $8 billion, there are easily $2-3 billion within plain sight which is within shooting distance of 50% recovery, *without* recovering any funds from the founders and other insiders. The fact that depositors are vigorously pursuing recovery in bankruptcy court indicates they don't feel the prospects of a reasonable recovery are anywhere close to hopeless.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45534949)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM
Author: avocado beady-eyed center

I think we've been around it. Best of luck getting your money back.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45534996)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2024 12:15 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

This was Adolf Anderssen blabbering completely wrongly for some reason

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#47534767)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 27th, 2023 10:12 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Claims currently trading at 53c on the dollar. FTX management has recovered around 80% of customers' money and has stated they intend to return 90% of that to customers by Q2 2024 with the remainder to come later. SBF trial going terribly for him and he faces decades in prison. Why does XO have to be wrong about everything?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#46991972)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:42 PM
Author: know-it-all deranged stage organic girlfriend

Lol, they might get 5 cents if they're lucky

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531443)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:45 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

I get the pessimism but this seems too low. More than 5% of the owed funds are currently parked with the Bahamas government alone. They have several fully solvent subsidiaries, minority ownership stakes in a number of solvent crypto businesses, real estate, cash, crypto holdings and they may be able to claw back hundreds of millions or more from the personal wealth of insiders.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531466)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:03 PM
Author: razzmatazz navy sanctuary pistol

Lol this is horseshit. They owe over 10b. 90% of their assets are made up horseshit like FTX-coins that only have value if FTX is operating. 5% of their assets were stolen in the mess two weeks ago. The scam investments they made were done just to keep the crypto ecosystem/bubble going. There are plenty of articles on this. The hard assets remaining are less than 1bb, probably less. And those assets will be stolen by the Bahamians eventually. Nowhere near anything reasonable like 50%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532143)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 27th, 2023 10:13 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Claims currently trading at 53c on the dollar and management intends to return about 70c on the dollar by Q2 2024.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#46991974)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 27th, 2023 10:32 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Now who's full of horseshit?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#46992032)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 5:24 PM
Author: hideous drunken fanboi mediation



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531631)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:42 PM
Author: razzmatazz navy sanctuary pistol

There are assets of less than 10 cents on the dollar, if that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531446)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:49 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

You'll get literally 0.5c on the dollar

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531475)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 4:50 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

https://cryptoslate.com/messari-estimates-up-to-50-of-ftx-user-funds-recoverable/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531478)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 5:21 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

Who is Cryptoslate and who is Messari

And why do you trust the same fraud peddlers to be accurate now?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531620)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 5:33 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Look man if you're ignorant just be ignorant, you don't have to weigh in on everything. Bahamas govt currently holds $477 million of FTX assets vs. $8 billion owed, that's already 10x your estimation, you didn't know that, you're uninformed etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531666)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 5:38 PM
Author: Comical tattoo

lol

Bahamas will make sure all of that gets spent on local lawyers and accounants, consultants, etc.

Bahamas gotta eat too bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531692)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 6:47 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

>>>Bahamas govt currently holds $477 million of FTX assets

These assets are cash and easily convertible cash equivalents, right? And not just claims on digital tulips?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532053)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 5:24 PM
Author: Tantric confused hell

Lawyers gotta get a fixed $2bn fee before account holders

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531629)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 6:32 PM
Author: boyish meetinghouse

Are FTX US users just as fucked as FTX international?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45531985)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 6:48 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

Separate entity. Only the international one went bankrupt. You can trust the kike tulip fraudster for keeping things separate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532060)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 6:54 PM
Author: boyish meetinghouse

That’s what I thought but I’ve been fasting for seven days and only just now catching up on news

Thanks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532086)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:58 PM
Author: Fuchsia vivacious pozpig

West Realm Shires Services, dba FTX.US, is one of the Chapter 11 debtors.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532386)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:59 PM
Author: hideous drunken fanboi mediation



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532395)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:59 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

No man. US entities are completely separate from International ones. The dotted lines at the border ensure a financial liability firewall

Just ask our crypto expert TBF

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532396)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:00 PM
Author: Fuchsia vivacious pozpig

Ok you got me

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532399)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 6:48 PM
Author: hyperactive slimy love of her life

Impossible. You're an unsecured creditor

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532059)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:05 PM
Author: useless business firm lettuce

They'll be lucky to recover 5 cents a dollar.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532165)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:06 PM
Author: frozen out-of-control field filthpig

People who had money there are getting literally $0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532169)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 7:44 PM
Author: Brilliant hot jew people who are hurt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532333)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:01 PM
Author: black shivering stage

Madoff clients ended up getting a ridiculous amount of money back, like close to 70 cents on the dollar, which seems criminal because a lot of them should have known what was up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532404)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:26 PM
Author: ungodly foreskin box office

counterpoint: they were jews and the recovery guys went around cracking the knees of goyim for it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532528)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 23rd, 2022 9:40 AM
Author: know-it-all deranged stage organic girlfriend



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45534385)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 22nd, 2022 8:04 PM
Author: Ruby Bonkers Place Of Business Rigor

Everyone will be receive 100% of the fair market value of their assets as of November 2, 2022. However, the payment will be made in dragonchain

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#45532420)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 3rd, 2023 11:59 AM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

Took less than a year but SBF is heading to prison for decades and his parents probably are as well, and claims are going to be repaid at ~70c next year with more to come thereafter

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#47015739)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 28th, 2024 12:17 PM
Author: disrespectful ticket booth

SBF gets 25 years, and FTX claims are now trading at 98 cents on the dollar because eventual repayment is expected to be 120-140% on the dollar and possibly even higher if the CFTC turns over its claim to customers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5240273&forum_id=2#47534774)