Trump is going to win.
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Date: April 9th, 2024 3:51 PM Author: black indirect expression
AZ will have a ballot initiative on abortion. So will FL along with weed legalization, and Trump will still win FL, but it will cost a lot more time and resources. Probably also Nevada and Nebraska. Immigration will matter in the Midwest swing states and Trump will likely have an advantage, but it’s a far less combative and extremist sentiment from that electorate, eg https://www.propublica.org/article/wisconsin-immigration-driving-licenses-dairy-farms-politics
The race is a toss up, was in 2020 and is likely to stay that way until Nov.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568395)
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Date: April 9th, 2024 2:23 PM Author: Boyish Crimson Locale
we are sleepwalking into a massive fucking historical episode
it will become apparent to 100% of americans that trump would win a clean election, but was forcibly prevented from winning.
I dont mean weird 2AM vote drops, or odd outlier numbers.
I mean he will be jailed or removed from ballots or "disqualified" or something.
It will be some 1860 shit where a large part of the country says, without irony or cuteness, "that's not my federal government anymore".
What happens from there, I dont know. Sporadic violence? Military AWOLs? Terrorism? Tax revolt? Full on secession?
But we will look back to 2024 as some sleepwalking towards the scythe time
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568137) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 2:30 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
Nothing major will ever happen again in America (which btw will also never break up or dissolve as a political entity), and Ashkenazi Jews will just endlessly rule an increasingly brown planet as white goys slowly and pathetically die out without putting up any sort of meaningful fight whatsoever.
Trust me, I've spoken at length with a bunch of REALLY smart scholars (they just happen to be Jewish themselves but that's totally irrelevant) who poast as "Punctuation Monickers" an internet 1.0 webforum, and they have ALL PROVIDED ME WITH THEIR ASSURANCES -- I know these things.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568167) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 2:49 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
*Norm voice*
"You are correct!"
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568229) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 2:50 PM Author: Sable Diverse Puppy University
To be fair,
When was the last time anything big happened, World War 2? Nothing has happened in the lifetimes of any of us. Covid was the closest we ever came to anything happening, but that ended up being pretty lame.
Nothing is going to happen in the next 50 years, either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568230) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 2:51 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
No matter how you cut it, Trump's shocking win in 2016 was "big."
If you seriously doubt that (you're a bad faith little sniveling kike so you'll just sneering deny it out of hand without actually engaging in any sort of real introspection and call me a "retard" or whatever), you can easily compare the state of mainstream American politics -- especially on the right -- in 1994 vs. 2014, and then in 2014 vs. 2024, and see that the Overton Window has shifted tremendously on a bunch of major issues in the last decade in a way that simply didn't happen during the 20 years prior. To say nothing of the fact that the current GOP is increasingly an overtly populist party being led by the base, while the GOP of Dubya et al was a highly elitist top-down affair.
HTH, kike.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568233) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
"Trump was largely ineffective"
It's amazing how unironically stupid so many of you kikes are considering you all claim to be 160-IQ Chessmasters or whatever.
Protip: Trump could have been the shittiest and least effective POTUS in history, and the mere fact that he occupied the White House for four years would STILL be a HUGELY CONSEQUENTIAL DEAL for the evolution of American politics simply because of the insane "mask off" reaction that his presence in the building inspired pretty much across the entire spectrum of (((The Establishment))). Tens of millions of normies who were deeply asleep before Trump was elected are now wide awake, and there's no way to undo that. That will 100% has consequences for the future of America -- anyone who seriously denies that is a braindead retard or a bad faith kike. The only question upon which reasonable people can still disagree if what kind of consequences and how / when they will manifest.
HTFH.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568586) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 5:57 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
"Actually, I'm a straight white conservative based white goy man who just happens to think antisemitism sucks and enjoy poasting as a Pumo on AutoAdmit, as usual you're just a paranoid lunatic who sees 'Jews' everywhere."
Oh wow OK thanks for clarifying this
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568671) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 3:11 PM Author: Boyish Crimson Locale
At least two things happened in our lifetimes
1. 9/11 happened. Its not edgy to admit this anymore, but 9/11 was a bfd. The empire, in its de facto capitol, was attacked and disfigured in a manner that was entirely new to western consciousness.
Body count wasnt massive or something. But this wasn't "hawaii" and it was, for most americans, out of the fucking blue.
The US still hasnt regained its self-confidence. And the daring claim of the enemy ("you still won't stop us from immigrating there and demolishing your institutions") was in fact proven true, and muslims see this plain as day, as does the global south. The US still will not turn them away.
2. Trump happened. Most people would call this Covid, and some others the Racial Reckoning of Ferguson-to-Floyd, etc, but it really was all about Trump. An outsider somehow caught them sleeping and got in the office, which required a global response to get his ass.
Having said all that, I agree that most people only get a couple of happenings a lifetime, and we may not get three. But I don't know that the Trump happening is over yet, and what happens in response to the 2024 election can likely best be understood as all a part of our second "thing".
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568303)
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Date: April 9th, 2024 4:59 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
Lmao, Jews online smugly explaining to you that 9/11 (which changed the course of American foreign policy for decades and set us on an interventionist Neocon path which embroiled us in multiple foreign wars and cost us trillions of dollars) and the election of Donald Trump in 2016 (which literally woke tens of millions of normie Americans out of a long slumber and turned the GOP from a top-down Neocon party into a base-led populist party in under a decade) "really aren't big deals."
Oh wow, well I mean if you guys say so! ;)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568588) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 5:29 PM Author: lake toaster
(Guy who thinks 9/11 created American interventionist policy)
Hmm Korean War, Vietnamese war, whole host of other bullshit, desert storm, Kosovo and on and on, but definitely, yeah, 9/11 is what really what brought the “neocons” to power (btw, it was the New York fucking Times that made that term a pejorative and built the narrative against it, which is Lol since it’s now been co-opted by retards like you)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568610) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 5:54 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
Are we really going to pretend that 9/11 didn't represent a fundamental acceleration of Jewish interventionist policy (which, you are correct, had been around in various forms since the immediate aftermath of WWII HMMMMMMM WONDER WHY THAT WAS) -- ESPECIALLY in the Middle East (HMMMM I WONDER WHY JEWS WOULD WANT THAT AREA IN PARTICULAR TO BE TARGETED), and ESPECIALLY after the disaster of Vietnam had soured Middle America on largescale and prolonged interventionist wars?
Moishe, no one is buying this crap from you people anymore. Just give it a rest.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568663) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 8:29 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
Haha yeah, it definitely wasn't the cabal of Straussian Jewish Neocons pulling the strings -- it was all, uh... Dubya.
Haha, yeah, haha.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47569171) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 3:21 PM Author: Boyish Crimson Locale
Im not going to litigate the 2020 election fraud claims with you, but I will point out some things that are objectively true, that should provide a reasonable person of the left the ability to understand the right's beliefs.
1. In the post ww2 era there were 19 bellwethers that predicted the ultimate winner in every single election. Trump won 18 of them in 2020.
2. Biden's win required Biden to outperform the first black potus among black voters. Official results say he did.
3. Mail-in voting created the least trustworthy vote counting process in the post ww2 era
4. Trump led the election until people went to sleep
5. None of these anomalies have been accorded any serious study
None of the above should prove any malfeasance, but if they do not explain suspicion on the part of Trump voters, youre not engaging in good faith.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568325) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 6:24 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
"LOL you fucking retard!"
*Smugly disappears without exactly explaining why anything that was said here is substantively "retarded"... but just trust me, I'm a brilliant Jewish Pumo I know these things, and I can assure you that this is all completely retarded, OK?*
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568737) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 8:30 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
So... still no rebuttal?
This is really compelling stuff, Morty.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47569183) |
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Date: April 10th, 2024 8:01 PM Author: Medicated Contagious Crackhouse
To be fair,
"You're a retard and I could easily crush your stupid 'arguments' like a fly in my hand, but why would I bother?"
Oh wow you seem really smart, geez
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47572140) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 7:29 PM Author: cobalt roast beef
1. So what? This isn't evidence of fraud.
2. It was a high turnout election and black voters hated Trump back then, backed up by polling. I think he's more popular now.
3. "Untrustworthy" meaning what? Local and state officials, including many Republicans, oversaw the election and signed off on the results. Many, many audits found no evidence of fraud. This seems like a broadside designed to hide the fact that you have no evidence at all.
4. Mail-in ballots are counted last in many states.
5. What makes you say that? The bellweather county piece, for example, has a bunch of articles on it I found quite quickly. Mail-in ballots being counted last was common knowledge preceding the election. Maybe you're just not finding these things on OANN or whatever rag you rely on for "news"?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568942) |
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Date: April 10th, 2024 11:53 AM Author: Boyish Crimson Locale
youre being purposefully obstinate. someone above posted incredulity that Trump voters would be skeptical of the legitimacy of the election.
without wasting time trying to convince him to share the skepticism, I listed objectively true things that someone, in good faith, could view and conclude, "I still believe in the legitimacy, but I understand how the confluence of these rare facts might cause suspicion."
I would above all hope a partisan democrat might have the capacity to understand, given how easily and massively swayed they were by much more tenuous claims that Trump's 2016 election was "stolen" by Russian interference. Partisan democrats brayed about these concerns for YEARS, and the record is now clear the concerns were meritless.
The mistake Im making, of course, is to presume any good faith.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47570660) |
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Date: April 10th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: cobalt roast beef
No, I pointed out several things you posted are quite easily explainable or wrong, and I again rightly pointed out you’ve presented no evidence of fraud. And again, alllllllll the audits found fuck all.
So yes, low IQ trumpenprole can feel suspicious but it doesn’t mean there is any credibility to their claims or absurd theories.
I view you as equivalent to Mueller Time piss tape libs. It sounds like you actually agree with this assessment as well?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47570820) |
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Date: April 10th, 2024 12:37 PM Author: Vibrant azn native
1. bellwethers link already fell apart in 2016 and was already beginning to fall apart by the 2000's. The bellwethers are largely rural and exurban counties whose demographics have trended away from the overall voter demographic. Also correlation =/ causation. You can find a billion different long-term relationships when looking at the data, but they're not necessarily meaningful and they can fall apart immediately. Nate Silver had a good piece on the bellwether argument.
https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
2. He didn't outperform Obama's numbers in 2008 and '12. He actually did about 1 point worse than 2016 Clinton with the black vote and 2 points worse than the overall 2018 mid-term vote. See link below. His performance is in line with recent votes.
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/
https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/how-groups-voted-2012
3. No evidence of that. Voting procedures are overseen on a bipartisan fashion. Every case dismissed. GOP sec of state and governors saying it was fair. Even in NYC, the board of elections has 50/50 inspectors.
4. Mail-ins counted last. They said this before the election.
5. More accurately, there's no coherent argument to be made.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47570836) |
Date: April 9th, 2024 4:02 PM Author: marvelous haunting plaza dingle berry
all the traditional signs for 2020 and 2022 promised a huge red wave. but instead team blue set all time records.
the harvesting has utterly changed things. and there is probably a lot of other cheating going on.
the social contract is broken.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568456) |
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Date: April 9th, 2024 5:40 PM Author: Boyish Crimson Locale
*Goes to retirement home of 500 olds zonked out on 45 meds each*
"Just trust me to fill in these forms after speaking individually with each person."
*Logs into pumo*
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47568634) |
Date: April 10th, 2024 7:39 AM Author: Aquamarine whorehouse
There are two big factors that haven’t been mentioned.
1. The ballot harversting gap will close as Republicans catch on to some extent. Of course it won’t match the DNC’s shamelessly massive operation, but it can be enough save Trump’s leads.
2. The DNC had social media platforms in the tank across the board, but now they don’t control Twitter. The Hunter Biden laptop story alone would’ve torpedoed Biden, but Twitter managed to suppress it long enough. Biden doesn’t have nearly the level of protection he had in 2020, and they can’t black out election night shenanigans like they did then.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47570195) |
Date: April 10th, 2024 11:58 AM Author: Concupiscible bat-shit-crazy station
they will never let him win
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5515320&forum_id=2#47570678)
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