The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Iran war had nothing to do with Iran. People that don't see that are retarded.
Poast new message in this thread
Date: June 20th, 2026 9:50 PM Author: gibberish (?) Maybe nothing is an overstatement, but it was 5% Iran and the rest Chinese and Russia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952456) |
Date: June 20th, 2026 11:10 PM Author: Riders On the Turn then why embolden them? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952642) |
 |
Date: June 21st, 2026 1:56 AM Author: gibberish (?) To flex on energy. It was the end of Chinese designs on Taiwan. They were stockpiling oil for an embargo if they hit Taiwan. That's over. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952833) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 5:37 AM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband (oppose bitchbois) Your skill lies in 3-4 hour fuck-sessions bro. Why would you expect Iran to close the straight if China attacks Taiwan? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952906) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:44 AM Author: gibberish (?) Iran was used to draw down the massive Chinese oil reserves. This was to disrupt their "Davidson Window" which is totally fucked now. Their energy stockpile was considered too large to even contemplate a plan to draw it down. Iran was like a Bill Belichck play - attack your opponents greatest strength.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window
While everyone is focused on the SoH, the US slipped through and walled off the strait that handles 80% of Chinese shipping traffic.
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-the-us-strengthened-its-hand-in-the-strait-of-malacca
China didn't like this vulnerability, hence their play in Venezuela and Nigeria. Those were eliminated first. Nigeria is really wild given their investments in the country. They spent billions in infrastructure only to have Nikki Minaj go before the UN and undercut the entire investment. Their might be Christian persecution in Nigeria but it's completely a pretext. Shes a CIA asset lol. Right before Christmas the US conducted military strikes removing the 'rebels' China had counted on to secure their investments. They laid down railroads, ports, roads and the US moved in and bought the Nigerian military. Then Nigeria was all thanks chinamen, now GTFO.
It's pretty wild and to be fair, I don't think anything China did deserved this level of attack. They're like a scapegoat to justify defense spending. None of this even addresses the US attack on the yuan.
https://x.com/RodDMartin/status/2061805049873912308?s=20 This is the most coordinated attack on an adversary in our lifetime. Russia is next.
|
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:53 AM Author: gibberish (?) And fuck sessions are my primary gig, but dhs paid for my house. Thanks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49953069) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 2:15 AM Author: getulio Genius geopolitical strategy to alienate the people oppressed by a regime that was already on the way out (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952851) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:47 AM Author: getulio The recurring theme with this administration has been "This stuff they're trying to do all would've happened naturally with time and targeted spend, but because of ill-thought action, now it may not" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49953061) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:51 AM Author: gibberish (?) Nobody gives a shit about regime change or humanitarian crap. Iran, Israel blah blah blah...it's all about China. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49953066) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:52 AM Author: getulio Being fair It's a strategic goal of the US to secure the east west poles of the middle east. Whether or not that has to come about from war or diplomacy is another question entirely and a very hotly contested one at that The administration's foreign policy ideas seem to be based on DoD orthodoxy and not a broader departmental consensus though |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:57 AM Author: gibberish (?) I'd argue it's more secure now than it's ever been. Iran showed the camel fuckers where the real power is. These infrastructure attacks Trump bandied about were heavily pushed by Arab states. The US held off, but everyone knew we fought with kid gloves. The 8th largest military in the world was reduced to basically a pirate state. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49953071) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:01 AM Author: getulio The gulf between like Turkey and the rest below is comparing modern day France or the Uk to serbia or something Iran's only real threat to the world was through 1. nuclear material 2. attacking shipping with a very limited missile supply and 3. the cost in blood and material from a Western occupation. Other than that they can't do much other than supply militias in the region. I think that it was a fairly good deal for the Americans as far as material trade goes but the long term consequences are still up in the air right now |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:06 AM Author: gibberish (?) Agreed. And I talk about this shit like it's some preordained plan but it could easily have massive unintended consequences. It all sounds too neocon project for a new American century and that went to shit fast.
Sure China didn't play nice on trade but they've been pretty benign as far as super powers go. They also have legit grievances. It's sad we couldn't team up and eg go to mars. |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:10 AM Author: getulio https://youtu.be/Co2ZVdVM26E?si=p3UKWo-keJZC1870 The Chinese are actually dangerous to American power in the way that the current sclerotic Russian state is not but if Hu leaves office without a violent Taiwan debacle they're probably just going to keep doing what they're doing by trying to bring it back into the PRC fold through soft power and an eventual referendum |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:20 AM Author: gibberish (?) Amazing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49953096) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 5:30 AM Author: Ricky https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_support_for_Iran_during_the_Iran%E2%80%93Iraq_War (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952902) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 5:38 AM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband (oppose bitchbois) Agreed. As Max Blumenthal has coined it, it should have been called "Operation Epstein Fury." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952907) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 6:18 AM Author: Long PlayroomPoon Clown Conniption ( ) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5876062&forum_id=2,5#49952948) |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 9:50 AM Author: getulio He's not wrong about the Taiwan connection but whether or not China has the capability to actually bring a landing force across the straits is another question entirely It's in the realm of Operation: Sealion type fantasies as I see it. An energy crisis would be the only time to make it happen but even then it'd be extremely difficult and not all that probable |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:00 AM Author: gibberish (?) As I understand it, the Davidson Window isn't an actual attack date like the military industrial complex wants appropriations people to think. Rather it's a goal to say the Chinese would finally be capable to do what you're saying.
Have you seen these things: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PLA_Navy_landing_barges
Fucking nuts. |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:07 AM Author: getulio These sorts of things are useless without air supremacy and/or overwhelming conventional artillery superiority and it's unclear how they'd get that considering Taiwan's defensive buildup. If the Chinese didn't immediately move to bomb airfields/radar/AA positions there'd be no hope of getting amphibious forces across and they would have to move very quickly before American resupply came. It's unclear if the Chinese would move to strike American assets such as freighters right off the bat as hitting Taiwanese material alone vs striking American ships and assets would make for a guaranteed full American entry vs a more limited engagement The Allies wouldn't have even considered D-day if the Germans had a substantial air presence and that was back in the days of propeller planes, not lightning fast jets with A2G missiles. From what I've read on the matter it doesn't seem super likely to happen any time soon and probably even less so with the recent pivot to the pacific theater by the USN |
|
Date: June 21st, 2026 10:14 AM Author: gibberish (?) A lot of this scary shit I read about is probably justified by considering domestic Chinese audiences. Like you said, invading Taiwan seems almost impossible. But we all need a shared goal even if it's a pipedream.
I actually don't read much on Taiwan because an actual attack seems so improbable. I'd ask you, why shouldn't Taiwan be part of China? That seems like a real question. Just because the US says so? |