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Climate Change hoax suffered mortal blow. (RCP 8.5 is a fantasy, libs admit.)
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Date: May 26th, 2026 11:52 AM Author: Carmine 180 whorehouse It hasn't filtered down to the MSM and low-info libs yet, but the Climate Change Hoax recently suffered a deadly blow when the infamous projection RCP 8.5 -- the basis of thousands of scientific papers and tens of thousands of MSM scary stories -- was officially junked as being a fantasy that will never happen. of course, rational people have been saying that for over a decade but they have been canceled and "debunked."
when even Vox admits it, the reality is finally seeping into the minds of libtards.
that author says:
Those numbers shaped a decade and a half of climate journalism, including a lot of my own when I covered climate change at Time magazine. I didn’t always know — and didn’t always communicate — that the scenario behind the most apocalyptic, attention-getting findings was largely an attempt to imagine how bad things could get, not a true forecast. But I wasn’t alone. RCP 8.5 was a frequent background presence in climate journalism.
=== for a taste of how RCP 8.5 shaped narratives, consider the infamous article, The Uninhabitable Earth, by David Wallace-Wells:
It is, I promise, worse than you think. If your anxiety about global warming is dominated by fears of sea-level rise, you are barely scratching the surface of what terrors are possible, even within the lifetime of a teenager today. And yet the swelling seas — and the cities they will drown — have so dominated the picture of global warming, and so overwhelmed our capacity for climate panic, that they have occluded our perception of other threats, many much closer at hand. Rising oceans are bad, in fact very bad; but fleeing the coastline will not be enough. Indeed, absent a significant adjustment to how billions of humans conduct their lives, parts of the Earth will likely become close to uninhabitable, and other parts horrifically inhospitable, as soon as the end of this century.
=== as usual, Pielke offers a summary you can trust:
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/rcp85-is-officially-dead
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Date: May 26th, 2026 12:32 PM Author: Filthy goal in life gas station Ty. This is important and I knew nothing about it. Please post more on this as you come across it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902068) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 12:34 PM Author: Honey-headed Sexy Generalized Bond lol you hate Science (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902079) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 12:41 PM Author: smoky hell incel This is retarded because it's based on a recommendation from the IPCC itself that the highest-end scenario (of a number of projected severity levels) is no longer likely. If you didn't believe the IPCC in the first place what does any of this matter?
The only real "news" here is that "journalists were retarded and based 'coverage' based on the worst scenario instead of the median", which is hardly news to anyone |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 12:50 PM Author: Filthy goal in life gas station https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PS-3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e35d845-287b-4f1e-8ed5-ffbe3afc9c74_3264x2830.png (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902121) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 12:57 PM Author: smoky hell incel Let's take an actual look at how "NCA5" references RCP8.5:
https://nca5.climate.us/#overview-section-3
"For example, mass fish die-offs from extreme summertime heat are projected to double by midcentury in northern temperate lakes under a very high scenario (RCP8.5)."
It's purely retarded journalism that portrayed this as "OMG IT'S GOING TO HAPPEN". Projections come with scenarios specifically to show people how things could change with different parameters. And again, why does any of this even matter if you think the IPCC is a fraud to begin with, which has always been the position of the "climate change is a hoax" crowd? |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:01 PM Author: Cyan Trailer Park Telephone you are brown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902151) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:23 PM Author: Carmine 180 whorehouse "If you didn't believe the IPCC in the first place what does any of this matter?" it matters massively, obviously. it demonstrates that the IPCC policy recommendations, the MSM, the libtard narrative, and the policies adopted by a lot of nations and NGOs (see the link above) were as false as the sane people claimed. it therefore fundamentally impeaches the IPCC process and narrative -- even by their own account.
RCP 8.5 wasn't some throw-away musing. it became hard policy and even the grounds for censorship. its death by its own proponents matters massively.
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:26 PM Author: Filthy goal in life gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902222) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:42 PM Author: smoky hell incel " it became hard policy and even the grounds for censorship"
Source? A scenario isn't itself a "policy". And based on what I saw above the justification of it being used directly as "policy" is laughably thin.
This smells of "LOOK AT THE OZONE HOLE FRAUD" level of "analysis". The reason the ozone hole no longer exists is because of policy targeting CFCs. It's not exactly a shock that in a world with lower than expected fertility rates compared to 20 years ago and declining usage of coal worldwide (even if it's up in China) the highest projection is no longer relevant. What do you think would've happened if we embarked on a major project to build a ton of coal plans? |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:51 PM Author: Carmine 180 whorehouse now you're just swinging wildly.
and for the record i've never denied the Ozone Hole or the appropriateness of the policies designed to fit it. that issue stands or falls on its own merits regardless of the merits of climate change alarmism. but it's telling that you choose to link and lump disparate issues into partisan categories like that. |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:54 PM Author: smoky hell incel It's not a "disparate issue", it's an example of where implementation of recommended policy eventually resulted in a group of people (the same group of people who generally claim climate change is a hoax) claiming that fretting about the ozone hole was a hoax. It's a very relevant comparison
The highest scenario is no longer relevant because a) birth rates changed, and b) countries have largely followed recommendations (whether purposefully or not) to start reducing reliance on fossil fuels and coal specifically instead of expanding their usage relative to renewables/nuclear. |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 2:35 PM Author: Carmine 180 whorehouse such an obvious fallacy. then by your own reasoning if i can show you any one issue distinct from climate change where cons were right and libs were resistant or wrong then you would be logically forced to abandon your climate change beliefs.
if the issues aren't linked, then they rise or fall on their own merits. obviously. |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 2:40 PM Author: french stage national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902396) |
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Date: May 26th, 2026 1:16 PM Author: stimulating high-end kitchen Liberalism is a result of low iq and/or mental illness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#49902192) |
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Date: August 17th, 2026 2:37 PM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Bjorn Lomborg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9yizR2fab8 Where Have All the Climate Alarmists Gone?
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Date: August 17th, 2026 2:38 PM Author: titus chicken Doesn’t it seem like temperatures are trending up? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#50073708) |
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Date: August 17th, 2026 2:42 PM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, yeah, since 1979 they went up a tad, plateaued, and may be going up a tad again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869179&forum_id=2/#50073713) |