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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| cyan hot codepig | 12/10/15 |
| Judgmental Kitty Cat | 12/12/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/02/17 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 01/06/16 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 01/06/16 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 06/05/16 |
| amber soul-stirring gas station mexican | 03/26/16 |
| sickened wonderful cuck | 01/02/17 |
| Irate stirring dilemma | 10/25/18 |
| Self-centered smoky parlour | 12/10/15 |
| Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt | 12/10/15 |
| Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot | 12/10/15 |
| bistre floppy voyeur fortuitous meteor | 12/10/15 |
| Cocky Mediation | 12/15/15 |
| Titillating Hairy Legs National | 12/10/15 |
| Comical Plaza Quadroon | 12/10/15 |
| Vivacious abusive azn | 12/10/15 |
| excitant nursing home | 12/11/15 |
| Provocative puppy community account | 12/12/15 |
| galvanic alcoholic striped hyena | 12/16/15 |
| sable national security agency | 01/04/16 |
| magenta big chad native | 11/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/11/15 |
| Concupiscible Impertinent Lay | 12/11/15 |
| bat-shit-crazy awkward brethren | 12/11/15 |
| excitant nursing home | 12/11/15 |
| chestnut seedy new version jap | 12/12/15 |
| buff wrinkle | 01/25/16 |
| heady costumed associate | 11/10/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/12/15 |
| razzle library | 12/12/15 |
| Brilliant frozen skinny woman knife | 12/12/15 |
| lime principal's office | 12/12/15 |
| stimulating ceo | 12/15/15 |
| exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested | 12/21/15 |
| Tan beady-eyed casino fat ankles | 12/12/15 |
| Flatulent Startled Mood Main People | 12/12/15 |
| angry cumskin | 12/12/15 |
| tripping background story base | 12/12/15 |
| multi-colored coldplay fan mother | 12/12/15 |
| aromatic confused feces | 12/12/15 |
| Comical Plaza Quadroon | 12/15/15 |
| Comical Plaza Quadroon | 12/16/15 |
| Racy rehab | 12/15/15 |
| slippery toilet seat | 12/15/15 |
| Ebony address tattoo | 12/15/15 |
| boyish area electric furnace | 12/15/15 |
| brindle messiness | 12/15/15 |
| ocher big-titted alpha | 12/15/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/15/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/15/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/15/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/15/15 |
| cyan hot codepig | 12/15/15 |
| fluffy stain queen of the night | 01/05/16 |
| buff wrinkle | 01/25/16 |
| aggressive crawly sweet tailpipe | 12/17/16 |
| Apoplectic prole institution | 05/18/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 08/12/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/09/16 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 11/09/16 |
| Cerebral field toaster | 11/09/16 |
| Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| Bateful bbw | 12/15/15 |
| Spectacular Friendly Grandma | 12/16/15 |
| Orchid swashbuckling public bath | 12/16/15 |
| Lilac thriller set selfie | 12/16/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/16/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/17/15 |
| dead onyx whorehouse reading party | 12/18/15 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 01/06/16 |
| brass misunderstood half-breed | 12/18/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/21/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/21/15 |
| exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested | 12/21/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/30/15 |
| Adventurous church | 12/30/15 |
| Adventurous church | 01/04/16 |
| sable national security agency | 01/04/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/05/16 |
| buff wrinkle | 01/25/16 |
| dead onyx whorehouse reading party | 01/05/16 |
| plum boiling water step-uncle's house | 01/05/16 |
| Alcoholic stock car kitchen | 01/05/16 |
| Fighting internal respiration depressive | 01/05/16 |
| Crusty state rigor | 01/05/16 |
| Fighting internal respiration depressive | 01/05/16 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 01/06/16 |
| Fighting internal respiration depressive | 01/06/16 |
| Crusty state rigor | 01/05/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 01/06/16 |
| exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested | 01/07/16 |
| Adventurous church | 01/08/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 01/08/16 |
| exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested | 01/08/16 |
| dead onyx whorehouse reading party | 01/09/16 |
| exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested | 01/10/16 |
| Adventurous church | 01/18/16 |
| Adventurous church | 01/19/16 |
| dead onyx whorehouse reading party | 01/21/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/25/16 |
| vigorous cruise ship partner | 01/25/16 |
| buff wrinkle | 01/25/16 |
| vigorous cruise ship partner | 02/09/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 09/06/16 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 11/05/18 |
| Cruel-hearted point gaping | 01/29/16 |
| Adventurous church | 02/01/16 |
| Motley Flushed Meetinghouse | 02/01/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 02/01/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 02/07/16 |
| plum boiling water step-uncle's house | 02/09/16 |
| Talking supple office | 02/09/16 |
| Adventurous church | 02/20/16 |
| twinkling gaming laptop | 02/20/16 |
| Apoplectic prole institution | 02/24/16 |
| lascivious nudist telephone | 02/24/16 |
| Filthy naked windowlicker | 02/27/16 |
| Racy rehab | 03/09/16 |
| abnormal stead | 03/15/16 |
| Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot | 03/15/16 |
| slippery toilet seat | 03/16/16 |
| magical milky school cafeteria | 02/24/16 |
| Indecent hairraiser rigpig regret | 02/24/16 |
| slippery toilet seat | 07/21/16 |
| Poppy Pistol Business Firm | 02/24/16 |
| Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot | 02/27/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/02/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/04/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/09/16 |
| plum boiling water step-uncle's house | 03/09/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/15/16 |
| Apoplectic prole institution | 03/15/16 |
| spruce narrow-minded location | 03/15/16 |
| dull submissive orchestra pit fanboi | 03/15/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/16/16 |
| Comical Plaza Quadroon | 03/16/16 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 03/23/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/23/16 |
| angry cumskin | 03/26/16 |
| Odious generalized bond | 03/26/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/26/16 |
| fluffy stain queen of the night | 03/28/16 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 03/28/16 |
| Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt | 03/28/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 08/12/16 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 11/05/18 |
| Adventurous church | 03/28/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/29/16 |
| federal potus | 03/29/16 |
| federal potus | 03/29/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/29/16 |
| Adventurous church | 03/29/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/01/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/04/16 |
| federal potus | 04/15/16 |
| passionate kitty | 04/15/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/19/16 |
| Carmine House Pisswyrm | 04/20/16 |
| Charismatic bossy theatre | 04/20/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/24/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/25/16 |
| Adventurous church | 04/26/16 |
| Out-of-control White Sandwich | 04/26/16 |
| Canary double fault preventive strike | 04/30/16 |
| diverse halford | 05/01/16 |
| diverse halford | 11/07/16 |
| Adventurous church | 05/02/16 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 05/02/16 |
| Adventurous church | 05/03/16 |
| claret godawful crotch turdskin | 05/03/16 |
| Dashing gaped factory reset button elastic band | 05/03/16 |
| Adventurous church | 05/04/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 05/04/16 |
| Adventurous church | 05/05/16 |
| tripping background story base | 05/05/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 05/05/16 |
| Indecent hairraiser rigpig regret | 05/05/16 |
| razzle library | 05/18/16 |
| Adventurous church | 05/18/16 |
| Apoplectic prole institution | 05/18/16 |
| razzle library | 05/18/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 05/29/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 06/20/16 |
| Adventurous church | 06/29/16 |
| Adventurous church | 07/14/16 |
| talented haunted graveyard | 07/15/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 07/15/16 |
| Adventurous church | 07/17/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 07/17/16 |
| Adventurous church | 07/21/16 |
| Adventurous church | 07/22/16 |
| mewling senate multi-billionaire | 07/22/16 |
| pearly spot corn cake | 07/23/16 |
| Adventurous church | 07/24/16 |
| Contagious deer antler theater stage | 07/25/16 |
| federal potus | 07/25/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 07/27/16 |
| Adventurous church | 08/05/16 |
| Adventurous church | 08/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 08/12/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 08/12/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 08/12/16 |
| Navy famous landscape painting faggotry | 08/12/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 08/30/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 08/30/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 09/06/16 |
| Adventurous church | 09/13/16 |
| federal potus | 09/14/16 |
| Tan beady-eyed casino fat ankles | 09/14/16 |
| Pink den travel guidebook | 09/15/16 |
| Mischievous degenerate useless brakes | 09/15/16 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 09/15/16 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 09/15/16 |
| Beta chocolate box office filthpig | 09/15/16 |
| Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate | 09/19/16 |
| Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate | 09/19/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 09/27/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 09/24/16 |
| Adventurous church | 09/27/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 09/27/16 |
| Comical Plaza Quadroon | 09/27/16 |
| appetizing bright brunch | 10/08/16 |
| Cerise marvelous stage private investor | 07/29/24 |
| federal potus | 09/28/16 |
| Tan beady-eyed casino fat ankles | 09/28/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 09/28/16 |
| Charismatic bossy theatre | 09/28/16 |
| passionate kitty | 09/28/16 |
| lemon bawdyhouse | 10/08/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 10/09/16 |
| trip chapel foreskin | 10/09/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 10/09/16 |
| chartreuse university | 10/09/16 |
| federal potus | 10/10/16 |
| Contagious deer antler theater stage | 10/30/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 11/01/16 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 11/01/16 |
| cobalt harsh stage police squad | 11/02/16 |
| boyish area electric furnace | 11/02/16 |
| federal potus | 11/07/16 |
| Electric School Psychic | 11/08/16 |
| federal potus | 11/08/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/08/16 |
| federal potus | 11/08/16 |
| Curious Bearded Mad Cow Disease Resort | 11/08/16 |
| 180 purple pocket flask international law enforcement agency | 11/08/16 |
| Motley Flushed Meetinghouse | 11/08/16 |
| Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate | 11/08/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/08/16 |
| lavender razzle-dazzle blood rage | 11/09/16 |
| Pink den travel guidebook | 11/09/16 |
| Irradiated fuchsia space | 11/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/09/16 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| lavender razzle-dazzle blood rage | 11/09/16 |
| Contagious deer antler theater stage | 11/09/16 |
| tripping background story base | 11/09/16 |
| sticky really tough guy | 12/03/16 |
| heady costumed associate | 12/07/16 |
| aggressive crawly sweet tailpipe | 12/17/16 |
| Sapphire cracking range shitlib | 10/11/24 |
| Peach Coiffed Locus Boltzmann | 11/09/16 |
| histrionic offensive lodge gunner | 11/09/16 |
| Drab laughsome weed whacker | 11/09/16 |
| flesh abode | 11/09/16 |
| sticky really tough guy | 11/09/16 |
| exciting marketing idea persian | 11/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/09/16 |
| razzle library | 11/09/16 |
| mind-boggling locale | 11/09/16 |
| violent liquid oxygen | 11/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/09/16 |
| crimson dopamine hall | 11/09/16 |
| Rough-skinned Indian Lodge Candlestick Maker | 11/09/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/09/16 |
| bistre floppy voyeur fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| brass misunderstood half-breed | 11/10/16 |
| vigorous cruise ship partner | 11/10/16 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 11/10/16 |
| red cuckoldry | 11/10/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/10/16 |
| federal potus | 11/10/16 |
| twinkling gaming laptop | 11/10/16 |
| Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate | 11/14/16 |
| Orange volcanic crater | 11/14/16 |
| buck-toothed trump supporter | 12/04/16 |
| aggressive crawly sweet tailpipe | 12/17/16 |
| Sapphire cracking range shitlib | 10/11/24 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/25/16 |
| Cream hilarious forum | 12/03/16 |
| chartreuse university | 12/04/16 |
| crackhouse gay wizard | 12/07/16 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 12/07/16 |
| Cream hilarious forum | 12/07/16 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/02/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/02/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/02/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/02/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 03/03/20 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 01/02/17 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 01/16/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/20/17 |
| Adventurous church | 01/20/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/23/17 |
| lemon bawdyhouse | 01/23/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/23/17 |
| Coral shrine | 01/23/17 |
| lemon bawdyhouse | 01/23/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/23/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/25/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 01/26/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 02/06/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 02/13/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 02/27/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 05/03/17 |
| Adventurous church | 05/03/17 |
| Insane disgusting indirect expression | 09/21/17 |
| Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot | 01/23/17 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 02/27/17 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 03/22/17 |
| Adventurous church | 04/17/17 |
| Adventurous church | 05/08/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 06/20/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 08/10/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 10/15/17 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 10/15/17 |
| Erotic site | 10/15/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/06/17 |
| center jew | 11/06/17 |
| Maniacal menage mad-dog skullcap | 11/08/17 |
| Fantasy-prone Startling Property Nowag | 11/08/17 |
| goal in life dog poop | 11/13/17 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 12/18/17 |
| mind-boggling locale | 12/18/17 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 12/18/17 |
| cyan hot codepig | 01/30/18 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 06/01/18 |
| Adventurous church | 07/18/18 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 07/19/18 |
| Beta chocolate box office filthpig | 09/20/18 |
| Adventurous church | 09/25/18 |
| Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt | 10/06/18 |
| cyan hot codepig | 10/06/18 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 10/25/18 |
| Mischievous degenerate useless brakes | 10/25/18 |
| buff wrinkle | 11/05/18 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 11/05/18 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 11/05/18 |
| Sooty fragrant theater | 11/05/18 |
| Adventurous church | 01/08/19 |
| dun church building | 02/23/19 |
| cyan hot codepig | 03/13/19 |
| buff wrinkle | 06/24/19 |
| snowy hell dragon | 06/24/19 |
| Adventurous church | 11/18/19 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 02/12/20 |
| Adventurous church | 02/12/20 |
| cyan hot codepig | 03/24/20 |
| ruddy mental disorder | 03/24/20 |
| talented haunted graveyard | 04/04/20 |
| cyan hot codepig | 04/26/20 |
| cyan hot codepig | 05/13/20 |
| talented haunted graveyard | 06/05/20 |
| khaki idiot party of the first part | 06/05/20 |
| talented haunted graveyard | 09/09/20 |
| Mauve vibrant athletic conference | 09/09/20 |
| Self-centered smoky parlour | 09/09/20 |
| bull headed maroon hominid | 09/12/20 |
| hairless immigrant | 09/24/20 |
| snowy hell dragon | 10/09/20 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 10/10/20 |
| Ultramarine cuckold | 10/22/20 |
| sticky really tough guy | 10/22/20 |
| Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| Gay pervert | 03/23/22 |
| cyan hot codepig | 10/27/20 |
| idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe | 10/27/20 |
| snowy hell dragon | 10/30/20 |
| glittery scarlet pit | 11/03/20 |
| Adventurous church | 03/22/22 |
| Turquoise station newt | 03/23/22 |
| Twisted at-the-ready ratface antidepressant drug | 03/23/22 |
| Tantric bearded roommate | 03/23/22 |
| Adventurous church | 07/25/22 |
| Self-centered smoky parlour | 07/25/22 |
| Adventurous church | 10/23/22 |
| cyan hot codepig | 11/16/22 |
| cyan hot codepig | 04/25/23 |
| razzle library | 04/25/23 |
| hairless immigrant | 04/29/23 |
| Cerise marvelous stage private investor | 05/28/23 |
| Adventurous church | 02/22/24 |
| hairless immigrant | 02/23/24 |
| Adventurous church | 05/23/24 |
| Adventurous church | 08/26/24 |
| hairless immigrant | 09/13/24 |
| Self-centered smoky parlour | 09/13/24 |
| hairless immigrant | 10/18/24 |
| Sapphire cracking range shitlib | 10/11/24 |
| Adventurous church | 11/06/24 |
| tripping background story base | 03/04/25 |
| tripping background story base | 03/04/25 |
| Beta chocolate box office filthpig | 03/04/25 |
| Sapphire cracking range shitlib | 03/04/25 |
| Puce Frum Hissy Fit | 03/04/25 |
| mint becky | 03/05/25 |
| Adventurous church | 03/07/25 |
| anal hospital | 03/07/25 |
| Adventurous church | 03/08/25 |
| Henna Heaven Philosopher-king | 03/08/25 |
| Adventurous church | 03/08/25 |
| Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot | 02/18/26 |
| Adventurous church | 05/15/26 |
| territorial ape | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: cyan hot codepig December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Judgmental Kitty Cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Sooty fragrant theater another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: amber soul-stirring gas station mexican 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: sickened wonderful cuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Irate stirring dilemma "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Self-centered smoky parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: bistre floppy voyeur fortuitous meteor Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Cocky Mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Titillating Hairy Legs National FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Comical Plaza Quadroon Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Vivacious abusive azn Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: excitant nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Provocative puppy community account Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: galvanic alcoholic striped hyena Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: sable national security agency Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29359811) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: Concupiscible Impertinent Lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29359818) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy awkward brethren 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29359849) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: excitant nursing home November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: lime principal's office March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: stimulating ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384155) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Flatulent Startled Mood Main People lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: multi-colored coldplay fan mother Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: aromatic confused feces Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Comical Plaza Quadroon OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Comical Plaza Quadroon And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: Racy rehab 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: slippery toilet seat fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: Ebony address tattoo I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: boyish area electric furnace 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: brindle messiness February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: ocher big-titted alpha You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: cyan hot codepig Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: cyan hot codepig http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: cyan hot codepig http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: cyan hot codepig http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: cyan hot codepig http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384262) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: buff wrinkle Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29677869) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: cyan hot codepig http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Cerebral field toaster Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Bateful bbw This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Spectacular Friendly Grandma 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Orchid swashbuckling public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Lilac thriller set selfie Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Adventurous church Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Adventurous church Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: dead onyx whorehouse reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: brass misunderstood half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Adventurous church Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Adventurous church "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Adventurous church "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Adventurous church One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Adventurous church This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: sable national security agency flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: cyan hot codepig ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: buff wrinkle Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: dead onyx whorehouse reading party From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: plum boiling water step-uncle's house 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Alcoholic stock car kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Fighting internal respiration depressive An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Crusty state rigor 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Fighting internal respiration depressive I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Fighting internal respiration depressive Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Crusty state rigor No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: exciting marketing idea persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Adventurous church “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: mind-boggling locale 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: dead onyx whorehouse reading party http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: exhilarant green trailer park idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Adventurous church Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: dead onyx whorehouse reading party looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29677719) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: buff wrinkle You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29677913) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: vigorous cruise ship partner No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29791782) |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: mind-boggling locale (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31345881) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37162047) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Cruel-hearted point gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29708433) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29727124) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Motley Flushed Meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29727197) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29732588) |
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Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29771453) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: plum boiling water step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29791735) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: Talking supple office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29791763) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29877406) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: twinkling gaming laptop OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29877434) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Apoplectic prole institution PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29903568) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: lascivious nudist telephone The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29903615) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Filthy naked windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29931652) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: Racy rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30015868) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: abnormal stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30066562) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30066681) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: slippery toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30070592) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: magical milky school cafeteria hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Indecent hairraiser rigpig regret (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29904083) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: slippery toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30987707) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Poppy Pistol Business Firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29904074) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29931637) |
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Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29960115) |
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Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#29976826) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30015799) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: plum boiling water step-uncle's house yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30015891) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30065629) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Apoplectic prole institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30065970) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: spruce narrow-minded location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30066291) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: dull submissive orchestra pit fanboi truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30066549) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Adventurous church It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: Comical Plaza Quadroon March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30070601) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30119676) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30119337) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: angry cumskin http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30140474) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: Odious generalized bond Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30140513) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30144174) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: fluffy stain queen of the night jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30151942) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30151965) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30151975) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: exciting marketing idea persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Adventurous church "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Adventurous church "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: federal potus lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30160689) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: federal potus "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Adventurous church http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Adventurous church "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: federal potus interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: passionate kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30307876) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Carmine House Pisswyrm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30310760) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Charismatic bossy theatre I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30310807) |
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Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30335375) |
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Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30346848) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30353572) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: Out-of-control White Sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30353587) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Canary double fault preventive strike (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: diverse halford Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: diverse halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Adventurous church The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: claret godawful crotch turdskin holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: Dashing gaped factory reset button elastic band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: mind-boggling locale 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Adventurous church Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: tripping background story base Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: cyan hot codepig LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Indecent hairraiser rigpig regret Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: razzle library This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Apoplectic prole institution In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: razzle library cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: cyan hot codepig lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Adventurous church Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: talented haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: exciting marketing idea persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: mind-boggling locale 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: mewling senate multi-billionaire (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: pearly spot corn cake Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Contagious deer antler theater stage Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: federal potus amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: cyan hot codepig Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: cyan hot codepig THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: mind-boggling locale holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: cyan hot codepig I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Navy famous landscape painting faggotry LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: cyan hot codepig THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: mind-boggling locale 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: mind-boggling locale lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Adventurous church Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: federal potus ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Tan beady-eyed casino fat ankles Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Pink den travel guidebook September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Mischievous degenerate useless brakes September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Sooty fragrant theater god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Beta chocolate box office filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: mind-boggling locale let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Adventurous church http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: mind-boggling locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Comical Plaza Quadroon This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: appetizing bright brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Cerise marvelous stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: federal potus http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Tan beady-eyed casino fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: mind-boggling locale 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Charismatic bossy theatre This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: passionate kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: lemon bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: mind-boggling locale hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: trip chapel foreskin Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: mind-boggling locale doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: chartreuse university half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: federal potus nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Contagious deer antler theater stage close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: exciting marketing idea persian Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: cobalt harsh stage police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: boyish area electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: federal potus prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Electric School Psychic You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: federal potus true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: cyan hot codepig ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: federal potus ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Curious Bearded Mad Cow Disease Resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: 180 purple pocket flask international law enforcement agency Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Motley Flushed Meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: lavender razzle-dazzle blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Pink den travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Irradiated fuchsia space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: lavender razzle-dazzle blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Contagious deer antler theater stage it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: tripping background story base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: sticky really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: heady costumed associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: aggressive crawly sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Sapphire cracking range shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Peach Coiffed Locus Boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: histrionic offensive lodge gunner Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Drab laughsome weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: flesh abode 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: sticky really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: exciting marketing idea persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: razzle library this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: mind-boggling locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: violent liquid oxygen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: crimson dopamine hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Rough-skinned Indian Lodge Candlestick Maker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: cyan hot codepig November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: bistre floppy voyeur fortuitous meteor you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: brass misunderstood half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: vigorous cruise ship partner Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Sooty fragrant theater bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: red cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: cyan hot codepig sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: federal potus ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: twinkling gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Sadistic razzmatazz temple karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: Orange volcanic crater They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: buck-toothed trump supporter Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: aggressive crawly sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Sapphire cracking range shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Cream hilarious forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: chartreuse university GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: crackhouse gay wizard https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Cream hilarious forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: cyan hot codepig ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Sooty fragrant theater truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: lemon bawdyhouse TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: Coral shrine I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: lemon bawdyhouse it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: Insane disgusting indirect expression https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Adventurous church https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: cyan hot codepig What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: cyan hot codepig https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Erotic site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: center jew credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: Maniacal menage mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Fantasy-prone Startling Property Nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: goal in life dog poop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: mind-boggling locale Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Adventurous church https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Beta chocolate box office filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Adventurous church The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: Rebellious infuriating stag film people who are hurt It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: cyan hot codepig lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: Mischievous degenerate useless brakes Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: buff wrinkle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Sooty fragrant theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Adventurous church What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: dun church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: cyan hot codepig Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: buff wrinkle There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: snowy hell dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: ruddy mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: talented haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: cyan hot codepig https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: talented haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: khaki idiot party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: talented haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Mauve vibrant athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Self-centered smoky parlour Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: bull headed maroon hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: hairless immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: snowy hell dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: Ultramarine cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: sticky really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Aphrodisiac garrison digit ratio https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Gay pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: cyan hot codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: idiotic arousing circlehead giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: snowy hell dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: glittery scarlet pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Turquoise station newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: Twisted at-the-ready ratface antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: Tantric bearded roommate 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Self-centered smoky parlour A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: cyan hot codepig Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: cyan hot codepig https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: razzle library why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: hairless immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Cerise marvelous stage private investor FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: hairless immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Adventurous church https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: hairless immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Self-centered smoky parlour One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: hairless immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Sapphire cracking range shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: tripping background story base 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: tripping background story base https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Beta chocolate box office filthpig Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Sapphire cracking range shitlib The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: Puce Frum Hissy Fit He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: mint becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Adventurous church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: anal hospital 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Adventurous church "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: Henna Heaven Philosopher-king Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Adventurous church Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: Mildly Autistic Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: Adventurous church ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: territorial ape i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
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Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2/en-en#50060136) |