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Iran situation should be eye opener for everyone to see how afraid all "powers"

Are of real conflict. We may be in a legitimately post-war e...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
Not to sound like NSAM but I knew some people that worked in...
deep black woman house
  05/29/26
The end of history to quote Fukuyama. The thing people a...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
It's different this time tp
irradiated milky double fault
  05/29/26
"it's different this time" tp
silver brunch useless brakes
  05/30/26
Permanently escalating conflict seems fine for Israel and Ru...
Filthy chapel
  05/29/26
But you notice they won't get any bigger and result in any r...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
Both Russia and Israel are in far worse shape now than they ...
at-the-ready theatre faggot firefighter
  05/30/26
Sometimes it’s cr to just be nice to each other
balding water buffalo
  05/29/26
shut the fuck up faggot
deep black woman house
  05/29/26
why so mad
balding water buffalo
  05/29/26
It wasn't a strategic failure or a humiliation at all. I can...
Fear-inspiring vibrant national security agency
  05/29/26
lol
Hyperventilating Spectacular Senate Sweet Tailpipe
  05/29/26
My take is there's lessons learned from this operation. I do...
Excitant Duck-like Codepig
  05/29/26
It is the greatest strategic failure in American history. Or...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
I should say that's if we actually stop here with whatever s...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
"It is the greatest strategic failure in American histo...
Federal pungent patrolman
  05/29/26
with 13 deaths it’s far from clear that this even cons...
Honey-headed cuck coffee pot
  05/30/26
Yes - if you did a poll, more people are probably outraged b...
Federal pungent patrolman
  05/30/26
And this is the benchmark which determines if something is a...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/30/26
no, but it’s a reasonable factor to consider when dete...
Honey-headed cuck coffee pot
  05/30/26
This is a much longer scale and fundamental problem.
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/30/26
Agree in principle but don’t underestimate how stupid ...
at-the-ready theatre faggot firefighter
  05/30/26
Sometimes. But the US still controls the Iraqi oil fund. The...
Slippery resort
  05/30/26
I don't think Iran was ever the real target. For better or w...
Slippery resort
  05/30/26
people in privileged positions feel like they have too much ...
Hyperventilating Spectacular Senate Sweet Tailpipe
  05/29/26
Apparently not everyone
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
It’s easy to imagine the OP having been written about ...
apoplectic step-uncle's house
  05/29/26
Plenty of people did write it about Vietnam. Which was also ...
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/29/26
Please write 3-5 sentences clearly articulating why you thin...
bossy clown main people
  05/30/26
You are. A big gay queer. Thank.
Passionate Garnet Therapy
  05/30/26
Iran is being allowed by everyone but the US and Israel to a...
coiffed property digit ratio
  05/30/26


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Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

Are of real conflict. We may be in a legitimately post-war era of humanity. No one can escalate because the consequences are too great. Aside from the fact this is greatest unambiguous strategic failure in American history and a national humiliation like nothing we've suffered before all within the span of 3 months, it will shape the future of all of humanity. This is the turning point where it is clear everyone will stop before the cliff. We might as well disarm and disband military at this point, there's nothing else for it to do. This was the dream of the United Nations. The system they built worked. We can never afford anything beyond police action in non-strategic countries anymore.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906523)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:00 PM
Author: deep black woman house

Not to sound like NSAM but I knew some people that worked in DC that were saying this 20 years ago with regard to US-China. There will never be another major war because the consequences are too great for both sides.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906566)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:04 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

The end of history to quote Fukuyama.

The thing people aren't seeing is that this is really the end of nation state entirely. America is irrevocably done here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906572)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:12 PM
Author: irradiated milky double fault

It's different this time tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906575)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 10:41 AM
Author: silver brunch useless brakes

"it's different this time" tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907526)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:14 PM
Author: Filthy chapel

Permanently escalating conflict seems fine for Israel and Russia lol there are multiple wars going on right now retard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906579)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:22 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

But you notice they won't get any bigger and result in any real fundamental change to existing international order except relative strategic gains for major powers absorbing periphery states where they can. Evidently the wall of Israel's ambition is the border of Iran. And Ukraine for Russia. Maybe the Baltics. Maybe Finland. But no more than that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906591)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 9:56 AM
Author: at-the-ready theatre faggot firefighter

Both Russia and Israel are in far worse shape now than they were in 2022. They’ve lost thousands of men, the world hates them, and the land they’ve taken is more trouble than it’s worth.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907499)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:16 PM
Author: balding water buffalo

Sometimes it’s cr to just be nice to each other

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906582)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 12:47 PM
Author: deep black woman house

shut the fuck up faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906622)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 1:54 PM
Author: balding water buffalo

why so mad

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906747)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 1:42 PM
Author: Fear-inspiring vibrant national security agency

It wasn't a strategic failure or a humiliation at all. I can't tell if this is just trolling or posters really are that clueless

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906719)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 1:55 PM
Author: Hyperventilating Spectacular Senate Sweet Tailpipe

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906750)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 2:02 PM
Author: Excitant Duck-like Codepig

My take is there's lessons learned from this operation. I don't think the US expected Iran's capacity to keep the straight closed, nor to keep its economy going and not cave in due to internal economic collapse. At the same time Iran knows the US has the capacity to come along and beat the crap out of it every now and then. And for all the bravado, they don't like that either. You run out of martyrs sooner or later.

I don't know what the immediate short term outcome will be but everyone is taking notes and long term strategic plans will be developed focused on finding alternatives to the straight. Am guessing the Saudis and Emiratis will build expensive underground oil pipes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906757)



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Date: May 29th, 2026 4:39 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

It is the greatest strategic failure in American history. Orders of magnitude greater than Vietnam or Afghanistan which had no real consequences, hence the reason they were fought in the first place and why Iran never was for decades despite our overwhelming military superiority. Military professionals and 8 other US Presidents understood the risks of failure, which this man currently in power never did or took the time to care to understand. But these are the situations when leadership actually matters. It takes a century of careful management and fateful luck to get to a position like the United States and only 60 days to destroy it. This short H1 2026 will reverberate in America's future forever. We are no longer the same country we we were from 1945 until this January. The genie can't be put back in the bottle and Trump may be assassinated over this out of spite by our shadow elite circles but of course that won't change the Rubicon of our disintegration

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906882)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 4:47 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

I should say that's if we actually stop here with whatever situation we're in and concessions we're giving to Iran. The other option and in the past only option would be full invasion and overthrow but that is unacceptable to China and other powers who will certainly enter the conflict. Both options are impossibilities as a nation but retreat and slow unravelling is what will happen. But ultimately there was no way around this. It was always going to happen and a world order system where this was always going to happen was never going to last anyways. So history cannot blame Trump for what happens to us but it will blame him for being uniquely inadequately prepared and unsuited for the task.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906892)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 11:34 PM
Author: Federal pungent patrolman

"It is the greatest strategic failure in American history. Orders of magnitude greater than Vietnam or Afghanistan which had no real consequences"

This is such an absurd statement. 58,000 Americans died in Vietnam. 13 have died in the Iran conflict. That's a ratio of 4,000 to 1.

The "consequences" of the Iran war are so non-existent a majority of Americans couldn't even tell you if the war was still happening or not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907289)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 12:35 AM
Author: Honey-headed cuck coffee pot

with 13 deaths it’s far from clear that this even constitutes a “war” in the first place. we obviously did not and will not accomplish all of our policy goals in this clusterfuck. that’s probably providing limited comfort to the top ~20 irani decisionmakers who drove the brinksmanship from their side and who represent the obvious empathetic stand-ins for any rogue middleweight looking to make moves in the future. and the domestic blowback is less than minimal because trump’s opposition has been shrieking at maximum volume about everything from white house cfp hamburgers to twitter typos for over a decade now. any legitimate gripe they may have had here is completely wasted on an audience deafened and exhausted by their nonstop tds tantrums.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907332)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 1:09 AM
Author: Federal pungent patrolman

Yes - if you did a poll, more people are probably outraged by Trump building an event space at the white house so dignitaries don't have to use portopotties than the Iran war

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907361)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 9:28 AM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

And this is the benchmark which determines if something is an ABJECT failure or not

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907487)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: Honey-headed cuck coffee pot

no, but it’s a reasonable factor to consider when determining whether such an abject failure is apt to FOREVER CHANGE THE CALCULUS OF INTERNATIONAL MILITARY ACTION or whatever retarded shit you’re going on about itt.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907838)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 9:30 AM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

This is a much longer scale and fundamental problem.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907489)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 9:59 AM
Author: at-the-ready theatre faggot firefighter

Agree in principle but don’t underestimate how stupid and forgetful everyone is now about history. If the Iran thing peters out and returns to status quo ante, Americans will forget and move on to the next thing. And I think turd world leaders already knew the US/West only drops bombs and runs away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907501)



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Date: May 30th, 2026 5:17 PM
Author: Slippery resort

Sometimes. But the US still controls the Iraqi oil fund. The US dictates where Venezuelan oil goes. Nigeria is completely dependent on US investment now that they've gone all in with US companies. It's obvious the tradeoff Arab states have made. Once corporate interests are accounted for, why stay longer?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907852)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 5:13 PM
Author: Slippery resort

I don't think Iran was ever the real target. For better or worse this might be our first AI influenced war. DoW ran multiple simulations using multiple AI platforms. Each of them expected the SoH to be closed. They also predicted the IRGC could likely hold on for at a minimum 10 months. Obviously they didn't need AI to tell them this, but I think people assume we were caught flatfooted and that's not the case. They did not expect the effectiveness of the cheap drones and the Iranians were excellent and maximizing their effectiveness. But at the end of the day, even a couple billion in old aircraft lost was still well within tolerance.

From the looks of it, multiple operations now have been designed to curtail the Chinese. When experts say China is planning to make a play on Taiwan in 2027 it's not just that China is gearing up for an operation but similarly with Russia and Ukraine the Chinese see this as their last window of opportunity with population dwindling and their economy beginning to shrink relative to the US. The operation in Venezuela was the first, with Nigeria staggered next and Iran used to buttress the first two. Venezuelan oil was seen as too costly for investment. But the war in Iran quickly changed that equation. Keep in mind the US is in full control of Venezuelan energy production. Same in Nigeria. Each operation was done to squeeze Chinese reserves and push back any go date on Taiwan.

It's also worth mentioning, this is an arch that Trump designed. These plans have been on the books for years. The entire end goal is aligning the pieces on the chest board so that the US controls the next revolution of AI. AI is energy in, computation out. That's the currency of the future with dwindling populations around the globe. People look at world today and this this is the status quo. But we've already crossed the population Rubicon, it's just not immediately evident. That's also why we're sacrificing out position as a reserve currency betting on this future flip to compute being the new medium.

Iran, isreal,etc are really small components of an overall design on China. And to the Chinese credit, they have been overtly threatening. They just happened to be the next bogeyman in line to use to drive US foreign policy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907851)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 1:55 PM
Author: Hyperventilating Spectacular Senate Sweet Tailpipe

people in privileged positions feel like they have too much to lose. everyone is also terrified of death and/or thinks they can beat it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906752)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 4:40 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

Apparently not everyone

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906885)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 29th, 2026 4:53 PM
Author: apoplectic step-uncle's house

It’s easy to imagine the OP having been written about any American war debacle, from Vietnam to Grenada.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906903)



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Date: May 29th, 2026 4:55 PM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

Plenty of people did write it about Vietnam. Which was also a national humiliation. So was Afghanistan. Iraq was a success. But nothing is like this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49906914)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 8:36 AM
Author: bossy clown main people

Please write 3-5 sentences clearly articulating why you think this. State your point simply and clearly, without any use of circular vague phrasing or statements in the form of "the Iran war is not __, it's __." Clarity and brevity are paramount. Please think very hard and make no mistakes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907469)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 9:27 AM
Author: Passionate Garnet Therapy

You are. A big gay queer. Thank.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907486)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 30th, 2026 10:33 AM
Author: coiffed property digit ratio

Iran is being allowed by everyone but the US and Israel to attack air traffic and shipping and civilian homes, weaving a massive global conspiracy of influence-peddling and petroleum payoffs. The US and Israel stood up and fought back, being counted, waking this disgusting, horrible "international community" out of its sorry-ass sleep. It is a long, lonely road, and setbacks are normal, but good will prevail.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5869906&forum_id=2]#49907524)