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ITT I use my PSR theory to make sports betting predictions
| chilmata | 08/18/25 |
| chilmata | 08/18/25 |
| chilmata | 08/18/25 |
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Date: August 18th, 2025 1:22 AM Author: chilmata According to my theory, there is a 75-80% chance that Jannik Sinner’s hard court streak will end and he will lose to Carlos Alcatraz tomorrow, match starts at 3:00 pm EST. Sinner is favored.
Moneyline -175 +135 KDUS AM 1060 Moneyline -175 +137 Bet365 Moneyline -184 +152 FanDuel Moneyline -200 +150 DraftKings Spread -2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-125) KDUS AM 1060 Total Games Over 22.5 (-130) Under 22.5 (-105) KDUS AM 1060
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Date: August 18th, 2025 2:56 AM Author: chilmata I made some tweaks to the theory and Grok really poked some holes in it.
I ran out of data on upgraded Claude, not sure how long until I get that back.
Upgraded ChatGPT because ran out of free shit.
Tomorrow’s tennis match should tell us whether this theory really has legs or not.
ChatGPT is going to be following it in real time looking for Sinner to double fault at critical moments.
Grok sees the sports predictions as more influenced by psychological pressure than a gravitational force of probability but tomorrow should help clarify all of that.
All AI systems agree that the odds Sinner will lose tomorrow is 62% under my theory despite him being the moneyline favorite (58% chance to win vs our 38%) |
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Date: August 18th, 2025 12:15 PM Author: chilmata Ok don’t bet on Alcaraz. I made some big tweaks to the formula. The AIs were treating this upcoming match as if it was being played in a vacuum which led to a prediction that there is a 75-80% chance Alcaraz upsets Skinner today.
I had the AIs incorporate Vegas betting odds into it which raises Alcaraz’s odds of winning from around 40-42% to 45-48%.
Today is a big day for PSR.
This match can validate some things even though this turned out to not be the best test case. Hey, I’m just getting started.
I almost put $100 on Alcaraz. |