\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

There is 0% possibility of “AGI” ever occurring

AI’s greatest accomplishment will be making millions o...
Yellow resort toaster
  10/18/25
i remember in 90s they pretended internet wld solve all prob...
Naked floppy office messiness
  10/18/25
Nearly 100%.
wild cuck
  10/18/25
but it's definitely possible a future iteration will fool th...
Beta soul-stirring library boiling water
  10/18/25
The only thing that would/could stop the eventual developmen...
khaki zombie-like market preventive strike
  10/18/25
I don't see how far off this shit is. It's effectively The S...
razzle sticky gaming laptop
  10/18/25
that's AGI though make users insanely retarded everyo...
Garnet chapel
  10/18/25
...
multi-colored violet alpha
  10/18/25
...
drunken high-end haunted graveyard filthpig
  10/18/25
It doesn’t matter. Sentience is not even required to t...
apoplectic effete set becky
  10/18/25
Many humans don’t have sentience
brilliant heady field
  10/19/25
...
Razzmatazz haunting parlor jew
  10/19/25
...
salmon chad
  11/08/25
arguably most
salmon chad
  04/20/26
possibly the funniest outcome of all of this is humanity goi...
Snowy Fat Ankles Knife
  10/19/25
...
appetizing gaping
  11/08/25
...
Yellow resort toaster
  04/20/26
It won't be taken seriously until it can do things in the ph...
underhanded dilemma roast beef
  04/20/26
it's a bit like the breathless overselling that went on duri...
nudist school cafeteria
  04/20/26
...
underhanded dilemma roast beef
  04/20/26
This is generally a reasonable criticism of technological hy...
clear bat-shit-crazy mad-dog skullcap
  04/20/26
What definition are you using for "AGI" that curre...
salmon chad
  04/20/26
Isn't "AGI" just supposed to be AI created thats a...
salmon chad
  04/20/26
I thought it was like when AI can autonomously improve and o...
Yellow resort toaster
  04/20/26
No that's way too strong and specific. It is supposed to jus...
salmon chad
  04/20/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 8:11 AM
Author: Yellow resort toaster

AI’s greatest accomplishment will be making millions of otherwise sentient / marginally intelligent people retarded.

It’s just another fucking computer program and that’s all it will ever be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357405)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 8:26 AM
Author: Naked floppy office messiness

i remember in 90s they pretended internet wld solve all probs theyd be no traffic anymore and shit techpigs are furking faggots

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357411)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:49 AM
Author: wild cuck

Nearly 100%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357699)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:52 AM
Author: Beta soul-stirring library boiling water

but it's definitely possible a future iteration will fool the masses into think it's sentient. that's already happened to some dimwits using chatgpt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357709)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:30 PM
Author: khaki zombie-like market preventive strike

The only thing that would/could stop the eventual development of artificial intelligent minds is the breakdown and collapse of civilization

Which could totally happen

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357795)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:34 PM
Author: razzle sticky gaming laptop

I don't see how far off this shit is. It's effectively The Same AGI atm. If it had a Body and Dexterity and if robots didn't suck, it could definitely do all kinds of irl shit. It's not exactly the same as humans but humans are not all they're cracked up to be, like at all. For the most part they just believe and regurgitate The Same Things over and over again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357808)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:36 PM
Author: Garnet chapel

that's AGI though

make users insanely retarded

everyone uses AI to try not be retarded

agents do basic tasks that humans can no longer do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49357811)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 10:30 PM
Author: multi-colored violet alpha



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358822)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 10:42 PM
Author: drunken high-end haunted graveyard filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358839)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:50 PM
Author: apoplectic effete set becky

It doesn’t matter. Sentience is not even required to take over all humans jobs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358898)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:32 AM
Author: brilliant heady field

Many humans don’t have sentience

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358939)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:33 AM
Author: Razzmatazz haunting parlor jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358940)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2025 12:32 PM
Author: salmon chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49412455)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:30 AM
Author: salmon chad

arguably most

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828651)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:35 AM
Author: Snowy Fat Ankles Knife

possibly the funniest outcome of all of this is humanity going extint to an AI that goes defunct right after

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49358941)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2025 12:27 PM
Author: appetizing gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49412445)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:13 AM
Author: Yellow resort toaster



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828595)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:31 AM
Author: underhanded dilemma roast beef

It won't be taken seriously until it can do things in the physical world. You just can't respect an "intelligence" that can't move a coffee mug across a room.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828610)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:40 AM
Author: nudist school cafeteria

it's a bit like the breathless overselling that went on during the mid-20th century regarding technology, space travel, et cetera.

at the time, it felt like things were moving so rapidly that SURELY our computers and rockets would soon morph into robotic butlers and flying cars a la The Jetsons!

people deadass believed that the Moon 'landing' was an obvious auguring of interplanetary space travel and 'colonization' in the near-term. even in the 80s, they were still making sci-fi movies set in 'THE YEAR 1999' where people had flying cars and lived on Mars, like this was 100% plausible futurecasting.

the AI thing will fizzle, just like all tech has. we'll get all the low-hanging fruit benefits of AI, while 'AGI' talk quietly fades away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828620)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:03 AM
Author: underhanded dilemma roast beef



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828641)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:42 AM
Author: clear bat-shit-crazy mad-dog skullcap

This is generally a reasonable criticism of technological hype but the arguments for near term AGI are more complicated than “we made a lot of progress quickly, therefore we are near the end.” The success in modeling multiple different modalities using a highly generic architecture with minimal implementation differences tells you something meaningful about intelligence. Gradient descent with transformers works in multiple different domains because it’s a tractable approximation of Solomonoff induction. Small generalizing circuits make up more of the weight space and are easier for gradient descent to stumble on. It’s basically just a dumb circuit search process that tends to find programs from data that are likely to generalize. This becomes more true the more data you train on, with more epochs and with heavier regularization and more parameters. As compute budgets increase and training techniques become more efficient, this process converges closer and closer to optimal prediction of whatever modality you are training on. Even if we run out of ideas for how to improve the training techniques, the parametric circuit search can be increasingly applied to the learning algorithms themselves. There’s really no plausible obstacle that could stop this from happening relatively soon. Manifesting intelligence is no longer contingent on brilliant insights or ideas but FLOPS and engineering

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828660)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:47 AM
Author: salmon chad

What definition are you using for "AGI" that current systems don't meet and you think might not even meet within the next year or so? I think autonomous operational competence might take another 1-3 years. But current systems already meet broad cognitive generality at the minimum, and arguably exceed most humans across a large fraction of intellectual tasks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828663)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:00 AM
Author: salmon chad

Isn't "AGI" just supposed to be AI created thats as smart as humans? Current AI has already far surpassed the avg human, and on many tasks it has surpassed all humans. Most of the reasons for not calling it "AGI" seem to be sociological. A lot of it is definitional hedging too. If you want AGI to mean autonomous general agents that replace all human jobs or something like that then it might be a long time before we reach it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828639)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:23 AM
Author: Yellow resort toaster

I thought it was like when AI can autonomously improve and otherwise “run” itself and no longer needs any human inputs to exist and grow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828648)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:29 AM
Author: salmon chad

No that's way too strong and specific. It is supposed to just be general competence across a wide range of domains that is comparable to or superior to humans. To me it's kind of insane to say current systems haven't met that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2#49828650)