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Practical effects of Earth pop sinking to 4-5B by 2100?
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:45 AM Author: Bronze Self-absorbed Shrine Less concerned with the question of whether it stabilizes, and ignoring for now the question of which babies are being born.
Just curious about the second and third order effects of fifty-to-eighty years of decrease. Constantly having smaller youth cohorts, smaller cohorts of beginning workers, smaller cohorts of prime-earners, lot of dead weight retirees, etc.
Seems like the bulk of wealth and political power will get jammed up in the olds, and most of the economy will revolve around how to strip them/us of what we have.
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:46 AM Author: Very tactful thriller whorehouse Lots of decaying and abandoned buildings. Housing prices should plummet but I’m sure real estate developers will find a way to make housing expensive nonetheless. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964228) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:02 AM Author: Bronze Self-absorbed Shrine there are twin, opposing pressures to factor in here
1. no one wants to live in bumfuck and people have been abandoning flyover for generations for sex in the city. Entire swathes of the midwest and plains especially are just depopulating back to wildlife
2. remote work has opened an escape valve from high-priced cities
So while I think we see thousands of towns vanish, and the emergence of ghost-towns and giant abandoned counties in places like Kansas, I think an upper class of moneyed parents cluster in a number of places that are NOT NY/SF/LA etc. There will be like shadow cities in beautiful places like Montana, Idaho, etc. where the remote workers go to live.
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:54 AM Author: purple bossy indirect expression Really depends where the population loss takes place (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964246) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:58 AM Author: Bronze Self-absorbed Shrine yeah its highly complicated by race, iq, geography, etc.
but for the purpose of our popdecline 101 seminar, I just want to presume its even and global
from there the grad students can twiddle the variables |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:55 AM Author: Translucent hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964249) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:55 AM Author: 180 really tough guy straight population numbers mask the change in age cohorts imho. things will be much worse than they appear
humanity has never faced anything even remotely like this, where old people literally outnumber young people. the unknown unknowns will be 18000000000000000 |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:07 AM Author: purple bossy indirect expression cr. A gradual decline would be horrible.
A black-plague style quick decline of 3B olds and sicks would be a huge boon. |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:15 AM Author: Bronze Self-absorbed Shrine between superbugs, antibiotic abuse, and constant travel to rub elbows with wildlife eaters (not to mention nefarious lab research), I do think its nearly inevitable that we have a REAL covid type plague in due time.
one species cannot just overpopulate and brush up against every other species and not get put back in place, one way or another. A cleansing virus will probably come and scythe the olds, who will probably be us |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:44 AM Author: Boyish high-end knife roommate it's a race between usa and china to use AI to invent targeted bioweapons that will annihilate the other. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964402) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:33 PM Author: Vivacious silver rehab toilet seat https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1925471590709440845
Read the whole thread it's good |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 8:59 AM Author: scarlet center We're already experiencing some of it. Significant shift in people caring for their "pets" and outlays on vacations and dining. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964271) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:05 AM Author: swashbuckling location none. the people whining about it are just worried about profits not increasing forever. its mostly the wsj/ft/economist crowd. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964283) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:20 AM Author: Know-it-all Snowy Ticket Booth Chad should be interesting to see what happens to south korea, since they are expected to depopulate first (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964339) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:21 AM Author: 180 really tough guy why would you do this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964344) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 10:56 PM Author: Unhinged misanthropic black woman brethren (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48966554) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:04 PM Author: slate harsh stage https://youtu.be/lmoZ_W4WjW0?si=WWOESJNuwgcIKFMF (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48966054) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:40 AM Author: useless circlehead pistol phenotypic shift (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964391) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:45 AM Author: Ebony Water Buffalo i dont care how many ppl on Earth as long as zero percent are muslime (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964405) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 9:46 AM Author: Bateful Resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964407) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 11:44 AM Author: Bronze Self-absorbed Shrine the wildest story of my entire life was going from how much i agreed with this statement on 9/12/01 to how much I would substitute *another group* by 5/27/25
like, a fucking magic trick. david copperfield shit. "what would you say if I told you in 20 years I can reverse you 180 degrees?"
but jews managed it
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Date: May 27th, 2025 11:45 AM Author: useless circlehead pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48964750) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:51 PM Author: Ultramarine supple forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48966019) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:32 PM Author: Crawly Chestnut Pit The real question is will there be a single country that becomes the fortress for the elites or will elites remain distributed throughout the world’s societies in enclaves that they insulate from the South Africa-esque disfunction. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48965991) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 6:35 PM Author: Swollen box office Not a "demographer," but is this predicted to happen? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48965994) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:05 PM Author: Racy reading party market The race/iq matters a huge amount here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48966060) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:22 PM Author: Stirring Buck-toothed Potus Jews are going to flood all the White countries with third-world scum and they will all go to shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5730277&forum_id=2#48966098) |
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Date: May 27th, 2025 7:29 PM Author: Dark Church it's irrelevant because automation is going to have far more immediate and severe of an impact than the demographic cliff will outside of the most rapidly aging countries (sk, japan, etc). our ponzi scheme pension funding mechanism no longer being sustainable due to the population pyramid shape is a red herring if most of the population isn't working in the first place.
that's to say nothing of genetic engineering, as it's entirely possible within 30-40 years every new chinese child is a crispr chad von neumann even if we don't automate away the majority of labor. |