Even the Emerson poll, which was the best poll for Republicans in a while, had Abdul leading by 6. Would take a catastrophic polling failure for him to lose.
Date: November 3rd, 2026 7:58 AM Author: Jason Turkish ((zurich is stained))
LJL at ZOG turning out haley stevens and having her torpedo her career/life for zero reason. her stunt the other day is probably going to net abdul votes. lol, just lol at her.
Date: November 3rd, 2026 8:01 AM Author: The Midterms: Politics, AGAIN!
Those Emerson polls are interesting; if they're right at face value then this would be a much tighter set of races nationally (which is what we usually expect to happen anyway). But, I don't know if they're just trying to PRESKEW their polls away from glaringly high Democrat house effects. Those NYT/Siena polls are apparently already heavily adjusted away from the same assumptions that house used in 2024, and they're still bonkers-favorable for the libs.