Date: April 10th, 2026 2:58 PM
Author: German pumo
Longer term, Tehran might find it might not have as much time as it likes. Keeping the strait closed can damage its own exports, and Gulf states have vowed to resist its tollbooth plans. This leverage, while critical in the coming weeks and months, may fade.
Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E. can still export oil via pipelines that bypass the Hormuz, with higher prices offsetting lower volumes. Refusing to ship Saudi and Emirati oil through the strait while it is under Iranian control—in a way, an informal oil embargo—would transfer the costs of this problem onto other nations, and force them to intervene, some Gulf officials calculate.
Tehran’s key partner, China, trades much more with the rich monarchies of the Gulf than with Iran—and is unlikely to sit idly as the Strait of Hormuz is closed for a prolonged period, said Meir Javedanfar, an expert on Iranian politics at Reichman University in Israel.
Other nations with influence over Iran are similarly affected, he added. “I don’t think the world is willing to live with such a change,” he said. “Resistance in the long term is going to be much greater than what Iran can withstand.”
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-war-peace-leverage-f90b82d9?mod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_2
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5855795&forum_id=2...id..#49808972)